总需求分析
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Price level
AD
Real domestic output, GDP
For example, a household might not buy a new car or sailboat if the purchasing power of its assets is only $30,000. If there is “deflation” and the price level falls, the household’s real purchasing power may increase to, say, $50,000 so the new purchase is more likely to be made.
Price level
P2
P3
AD
Q1
Real domestic output, GDP
Q2
Q3
The downward slope of the aggregate demand curve means that as the general price level falls, consumers and businesses will increase their demand for goods and services.
总需求分析 (Analysis of AD)
陆军 中山大学岭南学院金融系 lnsluj@
The AS-AD Framework ASPrice
P1
E AS1
AD1
Qu
Output
P1
It shows the various amounts of real output that domestic consumers, businesses, and government along with foreign buyers collectively desire to purchase at each possible price.
Price level
AD
Price level
A second reason why the aggregate demand curve slopes downward is an “interest rate effect.” As the price level falls, so, too, do interest rates. Falling interest rates, in turn, increase investment spending by businesses as well as certain kinds of consumer spending on items such as automobiles and housing.
Increase in aggregate demand
Price level
Decrease in aggregate demand
AD3
AD1
0
Real domestic output, GDP
Determinants of aggregate demand: factors which shift the aggregate demand curve
Monetary Policy
1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household indebtedness or credit conditions d. Tax policy 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Profit expectations on investment projects c. Business taxes d. Technology e. Degree of excess capacity 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates
Price level
AD3
AD1
0
Real domestic output, GDP
Determinants of aggregate demand: factors which shift the aggregate demand curve
1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household indebtedness or credit conditions d. Tax policy 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Profit expectations on investment projects c. Business taxes d. Technology e. Degree of excess capacity 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates
1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household indebtedness or credit conditions d. Tax policy 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Profit expectations on investment projects c. Business taxes d. Technology e. Degree of excess capacity 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates
Price level
AD
First, there is a “real balance” or “wealth” effect. As the price level falls, the purchasing power of consumers increases, and they demand more goods and services. The real value of money is measured by how many goods and services each dollar will buy. A lower price level increases the real value or purchasing power of accumulated financial assets such as savings accounts and bonds that have fixed money values.
Price level
AD2 AD3 AD1
0
Real domestic output, GDP
Determinants of aggregate demand: factors which shift the aggregate demand curve Expansionary Fiscal or
Price level
Contractionary Fiscal or Monetary Policy
AD2 AD3 AD1
Price tic output, GDP
Why The AD Curve Can Shift
Aggregate demand is the graph showing the various amounts of real output that would be purchased at each possible price level, holding other things constant. But what are these “other things” we are talking about?
Determinants of aggregate demand: factors which shift the aggregate demand curve
1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household indebtedness or credit conditions d. Tax policy 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Profit expectations on investment projects c. Business taxes d. Technology 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates
These factors are referred to as the determinants of aggregate demand because they determine the location of the aggregate demand curve.
Determinants of aggregate demand: factors which shift the aggregate demand curve
1. Change in consumer spending a. Consumer wealth b. Consumer expectations c. Household indebtedness or credit conditions d. Tax policy 2. Change in investment spending a. Interest rates b. Profit expectations on investment projects c. Business taxes d. Technology 3. Change in government spending 4. Change in net export spending a. National income abroad b. Exchange rates
AD
Real domestic output, GDP
Third, there is a “foreign purchases,” “foreign“foreign-trade,” or “net export effect.” As the domestic price level falls, the relative price of foreign goods increases. This reduces the demand for the now more expensive foreign imports, increases the demand for exports, and thereby also increases the aggregate quantity demanded.