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Problems and the introduction of. Can only explain the rules of the stock market is not only about the stock market participants, but also affect the behavior of the government.The last question is the stock market ups and downs can predict that a lot of people do technical analysis that cannot be predicted, here to establish a philosophy and other things in the stock market and the earth as its own operating rules, since there are rules can be predicted. Forecast the biggest advantage is the Gann theory on the stock market operation. Gann theory is broad and profound, is the most difficult in the theory of stock market, if there is no correct idea is unacceptable.Gann said when the time and price into four square, the market potential is in sight, which has two basic unit, a price, a time, high and low price, time has before, in previous books, time are a point, day, week, month, year, etc., the interval concept, actually the time also with price as, is an interval is points and the time difference. With the basic unit, to find the starting point can be done time price of four square.At the end of 2001 to early 2003, the Shanghai Composite Index in 2001 formed the M-line head and neck height for the price of one unit, to form a head of M time to time unit 1, the Shanghai composite index is almost perfect in accordance with the price time square to turn potential reversal of the market, the accuracy is very high. Once again, it is proved that the law of nature is the foundation of market movement ". I think the line for Gann angleSupportOppositionArkDoor school:Forum level: Senior investorsWealth level: poor and blankTreasure box:Enter my blogGet a gift: Click to viewUser toolkits [send short message reference revert edit topic send gift] webmaster toolbox [delete edit] 4 floor 2007-1-8 8:54:56Re:Re: shares the sea ark!!!!!China's stock market growth in the capital market need to "three carriages"2007-01-08 twenty-first Century Economic Report--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Since 2005, the share reform, the market rose more than 1600 points, the market size more than 8 trillion, China's capital market in two years to achieve double turning system and market, began staged double variation of institutional innovation and market's upward. Solved in the market system and the structural distortions, crown of words as these majestic as the blue chip era, golden decade, a structural bull market in China's stock market, not only to suffering for many years investors rejoiced, more let's vision brought about by the development of the capital market and the whole country economy development by leaps and bounds. However, do not think that we have gone beyond history, teenage growth and three or four hundred years of mature, after all, can not be mentioned in the same breath, the "emerging and transitional market both the development of the market and the system innovation, still have a long way to go," great game "can eventually was now remains to be the freedom of the market development remains to be reform and development comprehensively and deeply.Recently, our special Beijing University of Finance and Securities Research Center Director Cao Fengqi, the famous economist Andy Xie, Deutsche Bank Greater China managing director, chief economist Ma Jun, China University of political science and law method and Economic Research Center Professor Liu Jipeng, capital market of the market and institutional factors are discussed in depth, is for the 21st century Beijing Roundtable section 117 period.Rational analysis of rising prices"21st century": you in 2006 blue chips such as industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Sinopec, etc.) led the rapid rise in prices to see how? How long does it take to rise?Cao Fengqi: the rapid growth of blue chip market, the market continued to rise, it is difficult to say how long it will last. But overall, 2007 is a rising market. As an economist, can not be judged from the point of.At the beginning of 2006 I on the Chinese stock market said four sentences, is 2006 the stock market to than 2005 go well, second is China's stock market in the spring, three is the stock market bull market feature previews, four is not expect stock prices very high. It seems the first three words of right and wrong fourth. I judge the stock index should be 2007 to achieve results, come at the end of 2006, it is possible to come early. On 2007 I do not want the stock rose very fast, it should be a smooth rise. Although the overall trend is up, but according to the law of the market rise and fall, gradually rise, this situation may be better.Xie Guozhong: this round is mainly driven by financial stocks, must wait until the governmentintervention in the market to end. The fundamentals are certainly not to support such a high price, and now is entirely driven by funds. Under normal circumstances, if the poor performance of Chinese exports, and continues to a period of time, or is suddenly what happened and that capital flight, there will be a problem.Under normal circumstances, are from the real estate and financial, because the real estate and financial profit itself with funds in excess of the relevant, capital surplus, real estate will Wang, real estate company profits, so has been fried on is reasonable. And real estate a good bank loan is much, the bank's profit also came up. However, the special situation in China is that the government in the crackdown on real estate, so now speculation on financial stocks.Ma Jun: how long it will last is one of the most difficult questions. Large cap stocks rise, from the perspective of the driving factors, there are several reasons why: liquidity if short-term market and inevitable choice for large cap stocks, due to the circulation of strong; especially in the scale of tens of billions of funds and insurance companies enter the market, often choose stocks; second, large cap stocks also fundamentals, like oil, banking, telecommunications, insurance and the stock performance is very good and some industries can also receive support from the policy level. But if liquidity increases slowly -- for example, as a result of domestic policy tightening, QFII due to the global stock market adjustment tends to be cautious and other factors -- large cap stocks in the adjustment will rather violent.From the bank, I am optimistic. The bank should be considered one of the largest stock market in the block. And mainland banks at least a few aspects are supported: one is the growth rate of loans is not significantly decreased, I estimate that this year, or to maintain 15% - 16% growth; also because the whole industry profit greatly enhance, the proportion of non-performing assets of banks will continue to decline; the third is the bank business growth is robust, plus taxes reform and other factors together will bring good news.The insurance industry support from A-share itself, because insurance proceeds from a considerable part of the stock market; the other is the government to allow overseas investment, will enable the investment income increase of space increases, support the formation of stock price. However, once the A shares market adjustment, the insurance sector has a very large sensitivity.Oil is hard to say, global factors determine the prices, but compared to mainland companies and foreign, have great advantage of output expansion, in addition to the foreign mergers and acquisitions have very strong government support. All of these will makes the performance of Chinese petroleum enterprises at least better than the rest of the world's oil company.Telecommunications piece, I think 3G is a positive expected 3G in the second quarter of this year before the introduction, because before the Olympic Games should have 12 months to prepare in advance."21st century": under the premise of sustained and rapid growth of China's economy, theprosperity of China's stock market whether can regarded as a rational return?Xie Guozhong: I think the Chinese stock market boom is the result of excess liquidity. On the one hand, China's own capital is surplus, due to a government crackdown on real estate, a lot of money toward the stock market go; on the other hand is all the world to purchase something less, is now the main towards China and India focused, stock market place to make money is not a lot, such as Japan, South Korea, Thailand is not to make money, that is, the United States and earn some money. And India recently did not move, so a lot of money from Hong Kong into the, Hong Kong's active and driven by the mainland, in turn, active in the mainland will promote investment in Hong Kong, because the QFII and QDII, on both sides of the interaction in the enhancement.Said the Chinese stock market is "a rational return" is one of the biggest?。