Analyzing and predicting focus of attention in remote collaborative tasks

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学位英语作文范文

学位英语作文范文

When writing an essay for an English degree examination,it is essential to follow a structured approach,ensuring that your essay is wellorganized,coherent,and persuasive. Here is a sample essay that you can use as a reference for writing your own:Title:The Impact of Technology on Modern EducationIntroduction:In the21st century,technology has become an integral part of our lives,transforming the way we communicate,work,and learn.The field of education is no exception,as technological advancements have significantly impacted the way students and teachers interact and engage with educational content.This essay will explore the positive and negative effects of technology on modern education,highlighting its potential to revolutionize the learning experience.Body Paragraph1:Advantages of Technology in EducationThe first body paragraph should discuss the advantages of integrating technology into the educational system.Some key points to include are:Enhanced accessibility to educational resources:With the internet,students can access a wealth of information and learning materials from anywhere in the world. Personalized learning experiences:Technology allows for customized learning paths that cater to individual student needs and learning styles.Improved collaboration and communication:Online platforms and tools facilitate group work and discussions,fostering a collaborative learning environment.Body Paragraph2:Challenges and Disadvantages of Technology in EducationThe second body paragraph should address the challenges and potential negative impacts of technology on education.Some points to consider are:Digital divide:Not all students have equal access to technology,leading to disparities in educational opportunities.Overreliance on technology:The excessive use of technology may hinder the development of critical thinking and problemsolving skills.Distractions and decreased attention span:The constant presence of digital devices can lead to distractions and a reduced ability to focus on learning.Body Paragraph3:Balancing Technology and Traditional Education MethodsThe third body paragraph should discuss the importance of finding a balance between technology and traditional education methods.Some ideas to include are:Combining the best of both worlds:Utilizing technology to enhance learning experiences while maintaining the value of facetoface interactions and handson activities. Training teachers to effectively integrate technology:Providing professional development opportunities for educators to learn how to best use technology in their classrooms.Encouraging responsible use of technology:Educating students on the importance of using technology responsibly and ethically.Conclusion:In conclusion,technology has the potential to greatly enhance the modern educational experience,offering numerous benefits such as increased accessibility,personalized learning,and improved collaboration.However,it is crucial to address the challenges and potential drawbacks associated with technology use in education.By finding a balance between technology and traditional methods,we can create a more inclusive,engaging, and effective learning environment for all students.Remember to structure your essay with a clear introduction,body paragraphs that explore both sides of the topic,and a conclusion that summarizes your main points.Additionally, ensure that your essay is wellwritten,with proper grammar,punctuation,and spelling,to demonstrate your proficiency in the English language.。

Pronunciation Teaching by Wang Jie (Dec 20th,2013) 2

Pronunciation Teaching by Wang Jie (Dec 20th,2013) 2

The Direct Method
Proponents of these methods maintain that: • “the initial focus on listening without pressure to speak gives the learners the opportunity to internalize the target sound system. When learners do speak later on, their pronunciation is supposedly quite good despite never having received explicit pronunciation instruction (Celce-Murcia et al. 1996:56).
• These phoneticians did much to influence the teaching of pronunciation with their contribution to the development of a system for describing and analyzing the sound systems of languages and by advocating the following guidelines (CelceMurcia et al. 1996:53):
Audio-lingual Method and the Oral Approach
• According to the behavioral psychology, language is a set of habits, language learning is a habit forming process.In the teaching, learning a foreign language is to rely on mimicry and memorization. • In the 1940's and 1950's, based on the behaviorism, Audiolingual Method in the United States and the Oral Approach in Britain were two methodologies that were built upon the explicit instruction of phonological aspects of language. • These two methods share the similarity with the Direct Method by relying on a recording or the teacher to model the target language which is followed by the students' repetition of that language.

提高科学决策能力方法论

提高科学决策能力方法论

提高科学决策能力方法论英文回答:Improving scientific decision-making capabilities requires a systematic approach that involves several key steps. Firstly, it is important to gather and analyze relevant data. This involves conducting thorough research, collecting accurate and reliable data, and using appropriate statistical methods to analyze the data. For example, when making a decision about implementing a new healthcare policy, it is crucial to gather data on the current state of healthcare, the potential impact of the policy, and the costs involved. This data can then be analyzed to determine the most effective course of action.Once the data has been analyzed, the next step is to evaluate the potential risks and benefits of different options. This involves considering both the short-term and long-term consequences of each option. For instance, when deciding whether to invest in renewable energy sources, itis important to consider the immediate costs of implementation as well as the long-term environmental benefits and potential savings. This evaluation process should also take into account any uncertainties or unknowns, and include contingency plans for unexpected outcomes.Another important aspect of improving scientific decision-making capabilities is to involve multiple stakeholders. This ensures that diverse perspectives and expertise are considered, leading to more informed and comprehensive decisions. For example, when developing a public transportation system, it is important to involve representatives from the government, transportation experts, urban planners, and community members. Each stakeholder brings unique insights and considerations that cancontribute to a more well-rounded decision-making process.Furthermore, effective communication is essential in scientific decision-making. It is important to clearly communicate the findings, implications, and uncertainties associated with different options. This involves usingplain language and avoiding technical jargon, so that theinformation can be easily understood by all stakeholders. For instance, when presenting the findings of a scientific study on the effects of climate change, it is important to clearly communicate the potential risks and the urgency of taking action, without overwhelming the audience with complex scientific terminology.In addition, continuous learning and adaptation are crucial for improving scientific decision-making capabilities. This involves regularly reviewing and evaluating the outcomes of decisions, and makingadjustments as necessary. For example, if a new policy is implemented and it does not achieve the desired outcomes,it is important to identify the reasons for the failure and make changes accordingly. This iterative process allows for continuous improvement and ensures that decisions are based on the best available evidence and knowledge.Overall, improving scientific decision-makingcapabilities requires a systematic approach that involves gathering and analyzing data, evaluating risks and benefits, involving multiple stakeholders, communicating effectively,and continuously learning and adapting. By following these steps, decision-makers can make more informed and effective decisions that are based on sound scientific principles and considerations.中文回答:提高科学决策能力需要采取系统性的方法。

新 SAT 改革后阅读部分考查的核心

新 SAT 改革后阅读部分考查的核心

新SAT改革后阅读部分考查的核心新SAT改革后根据样题分析,改革后的新SAT考试加重了对阅读理解能力的考查,除了在文法以及写作部分加重了阅读之外,在阅读中提高了对阅读理解,尤其是涉及到赏析层面的能力要求。

改革后的新SAT考试加重了对阅读理解能力的考查,除了在文法(Writing and Language)以及写作(Essay)部分加重了阅读之外,在阅读(Evidence-based Reading)中提高了对英语阅读理解(尤其是涉及到赏析层面)的能力要求:Information and Ideas了解文章传达的信息Reading CloselyCiting Textual EvidenceDetermining Central Ideas and ThemesSummarizingUnderstanding RelationshipsInterpreting Words and Phrases in ContextRhetoric了解作者的修辞手法Analyzing word choiceAnalyzing text structureAnalyzing point of viewAnalyzing purposeAnalyzing argument对官方指南的能力要求进行归纳和概括,可以得出备考新SAT,要求考生具备以下能力:基础语言能力逻辑推理能力对修辞的感知能力要提高以上三方面能力,我们可以通过“句子–段落–篇章”等不同层次的内容开始练习。

如果段落或者篇章偏长或者偏难,那我们可以从句子层面开始练习。

这次分享的句子来自官方指南Practice Test1中的第四篇,文章开始部分的题目说明介绍了这篇文章的内容:This passage is adapted from Virginia Woolf,Three Guineas.©1938by Harcourt,Inc.Here,Woolf considers the situation of women in English society.文章作者弗吉尼亚·伍尔夫是英国著名作家,意识流代表作家,被誉为二十世纪现代主义与女性主义的先锋,代表作包括小说《戴洛维夫人》(Mrs.Dalloway)、《灯塔行》(To the Lighthouse)、《雅各的房间》(Jakob's Room)、《奥兰多》,散文《属于自己的房间》等,其中的名言指出,女人必须有她自己的一点收入及独立的房间。

资料科学基础英文版课件

资料科学基础英文版课件

Semi supervised learning is a type of machine learning that combines both labeled and unlabeled data for training
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Spread: Standard deviation, variation
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Shape: Skewness, kurtosis
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Relationships: Correlation, regression
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45%
50%
75%
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95%
Purpose: Draw conclusions about population from sample data
Overview of Data Collection and Sampling: In data science, data collection and sampling are important steps in obtaining data for analysis and modeling.
Data Science also helps in identifying risks, reducing uncertainties, and making better predictions about future trends and outcomes
The field of Data Science has evolved over the years, starting from the early days of data management and analysis to the current era of big data, machine learning, and artificial intelligence

麦肯锡财经评论20

麦肯锡财经评论20

McKinsey onFinanceMcKinsey on Finance is a quarterly publication written by expertsand practitioners in McKinsey & Company’s Corporate Finance practice. This publication offers readers insights into value-creating strategiesand the translation of those strategies into company performance.This and archived issues of McKinsey on Finance are available online at .Editorial Contact: McKinsey_on_Finance@To request permission to republish an article send an e-mail to permission@.Editorial Board: James Ahn, Richard Dobbs, Marc Goedhart, Bill Javetski, Timothy Koller, Robert McNish, Herbert Pohl, Dennis SwinfordEditor: Dennis SwinfordExternal Relations: Joanne MasonDesign Director: Donald BerghDesign and Layout: Kim BartkoManaging Editor: Sue CatapanoEditorial Production: Roger Draper, Karina Lacouture, Scott Leff,Mary ReddyCirculation: Susan CockerCover illustration by Walter VasconcelosCopyright © 2006 McKinsey & Company. All rights reserved.This publication is not intended to be used as the basis for trading in the shares of any company or for undertaking any other complex or significant financial transaction without consulting appropriate professional advisers. No part of this publication may be copied or redistributed in any form without the prior written consent of McKinsey & Company.Learning to let go:Making better exit decisionsPsychological biases can make it difficult to get out ofan ailing business.John T. Horn, Dan P. Lovallo, and S. Patrick ViguerieWhen General Motors launched Saturn,in 1985, the small-car division was thecompany’s response to surging demandfor Japanese brands. At first, consumerswere very receptive to what was billed as“a new kind of car company,” but salespeaked in 1994 and then drifted steadilydownward. GM reorganized the division,taking away some of its autonomy in orderto leverage the parent company’s economiesof scale, and in 2004 GM agreed to investa further $3 billion to rejuvenate the brand.But 21 years and billions of dollars afterits founding, it has yet to earn a profit.1Similarly, Polaroid, the pioneer of instantphotography and the employer of morethan 10,000 people in the 1980s, failed tofind a niche in the digital market. A seriesof layoffs and restructurings culminated inbankruptcy, in October 2001.These stories illustrate a commonbusiness problem: staying too long witha losing venture. Faced with the prospectof exiting a project, a business, oran industry, executives tend to hang ondespite clear signs that it’s time to bailout. Indeed, when companies do finallyexit, the spur is often the arrival of anew senior executive or a crisis, such as aseriously downgraded credit rating.Research bears out the tendency ofcompanies to linger. One study showed thatas a business ages, the average total return toshareholders tends to decline.2 For mostof the divestitures in the sample, the sellerwould have received a higher price had itsold earlier. According to our analysis of abroad cross-section of US companies from1993 to 2004, the probability that a failingbusiness will grow appreciably or becomeprofitable within three years was less than35 percent. Finally, researchers who studiedthe entry and exit patterns of businessesacross industries found that companies aremore likely to exit at the troughs of businesscycles—usually the worst time to sell.3Why is it so difficult to divest a business atthe right time or to exit a failing project andredirect corporate resources? Many factorsplay a role, from the fact that managerswho shepherd an exit often must eliminatetheir own jobs to the costs that companiesincur for layoffs, worker buyouts, andaccelerated depreciation. Yet a primaryreason is the psychological biases that affecthuman decision making and lead executivesastray when they confront an unsuccessfulenterprise or initiative. Such biases routinelycause companies to ignore danger signs,to refrain from adjusting goals in the faceof new information, and to throw goodmoney after bad.In contrast to other important corporatedecisions, such as whether to make1 Alex Taylor III, “GM’s Saturn problem,” Fortune, December 13, 2004.2 Richard Foster and Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market—and How to Successfully Transform Them, New York: Currency, 2001.3 Richard E. Caves, “Industrial organization and new findings on the turnover and mobility of firms,” Journal of Economic Literature, 1998, Volume 36, Number 4, pp. 1947–82 (/journal.html).McKinsey on Finance Summer 2006acquisitions or enter new markets, bad timing in exit decisions tends to go in one direction, since companies rarely exit or divest too early. An awareness of this fact should make it easier to avoid errors— and does, if companies identify the biases at play, determine where in the decision-making process they crop up, and thenadopt mechanisms to minimize their impact. Techniques such as contingent road maps and tools borrowed from private equity firms can help companies to decide objectively whether they should halt afailing project or business and to navigate the complexities of the exit.The psychological biases at playThe decision-making process for exiting a project, business, or industry has three steps. First, a well-run company routinely assesses whether its products, internalprojects, and business units are meeting expectations. If they aren’t, the second step is the difficult decision about whether to shut them down or divest if they can’t be improved. Finally, executives tackle the nitty-gritty details of exiting.Each step of this process is vulnerable to cognitive biases that can undermine objective decision making. Four biases have significant impact: the confirmation bias, the sunk-cost fallacy, escalation of commitment, and anchoring and adjustment. We explore the psychology behind each one, as well as its influence on decisions (Exhibit 1).Analyzing the projectLet’s start with a brief test of a person’s ability to analyze hypotheses. Imagine that someone deals four cards from a deck,each with a number printed on one side and a letter on the other.4 Which pair would you choose given an opportunity to flip over just two cards to test the assertion, “If a card has a vowel on one side, then there must be an odd number on the other side”?Most people correctly choose the U but then incorrectly select 7. This patternillustrates the confirmation bias: people tend to seek information that supports their point of view and to discount information that doesn’t. An odd number opposite U confirms the statement, while an even number refutes it. But the 7 doesn’t provide any new information—a vowel on the other side confirms the assertion, but a consonant doesn’t reveal anything, since consonantsQ2 2006 Cognitive bias Exhibit 1 of 3Glance: Four cognitive biases significantly affect exit decisions.4This example comes from P. C. Wason,“Reasoning,” in B. M. Foss, ed., New Horizons in Psychology I, Harmondsworth, United Kingdom: Penguin, 1966, pp. 135–51.can have even or odd numbers on their flip sides. The correct choice is the 8 becauseit could reveal something: if there is a vowel on the other side, the statement is false. Now imagine a group of executives evaluat-ing a project to see if it meets performance hurdles and if its revenues and costs match the initial estimates. Just as most people choose cards that support a statement rather than those that could contradict it, business evaluators rarely seek datato disprove the contention that a troubled project or business will eventually come around. Instead, they seek market research trumpeting a successful launch, quality control estimates predicting that a product will be reliable, or forecasts of production costs and start-up times that would confirm the success of the turnaround effort. Indeed, reports of weak demand, tepid customer satisfaction, or cost overruns often give rise to additional reports that contradict the negative ones.Consider the fate of a US beer maker, Joseph Schlitz Brewing. In the early 1970s, executives at the company decided to usea cheaper brewing process, citing market research suggesting that consumers couldn’t tell beers apart. Although they received constant evidence, in the form of lower sales, that customers found the taste of thebeer brewed with the new process noticeably worse, the executives stuck with theirlow-cost strategy too long. Schlitz, once the third-largest brewer in the United States, went into decline and was acquired by rival Stroh in 1982. Likewise, when Unilever launched a new Persil laundry detergentin the United Kingdom, in 1994, the company tested the formula on new clothes successfully but didn’t seek disconfirming evidence, such as whether it would damage older clothing or react negatively to common clothing dyes. Consumers discovered that it did, and Unilever eventually had to return to the old formula.Deciding which projects to exitAt this stage, the sunk-cost fallacy isthe key bias affecting the decision-making process. In deciding whether to exit, executives often focus on the unrecoverable money already spent or on the project-specific know-how and capabilities already developed. A related bias is the escalationof commitment: yet more resources are invested, even when all indicators point to failure. This misstep, typical of failing endeavors, often goes hand in hand with the sunk-cost fallacy, since large investments can induce the people who make them to spend more in an effort to justify the original costs, no matter how bleak the outlook. When anyone in a meeting justifies future costs by pointing to past ones, red flags should go up; what’s required instead is a levelheaded assessment of the future prospects of a project or business.The Vancouver Expo 86 is a classic example.5 The initial budget,CAN $78 million in 1978, ballooned to CAN $1.5 billion by 1985, with a deficitof more than CAN $300 million. During those seven years, the expo received several cash infusions because of the provincial government’s commitment to the project. Outrageous attendance estimateswere used to justify the added expense (the confirmation bias at play). Predictionsof 12.5 million visitors, which would have stressed Vancouver’s infrastructure,grew at one point to 28 million—roughly Canada’s population at the time. Moreover, Canadians had seen budget deficits for big events before: the 1967 Montreal Exposition lost CAN $285 million—six times early estimates—and the 1976 Montreal Olympics lost more than CAN $1 billion, though no deficit had been expected.Learning to let go: Making better exit decisions5J erry Ross and Barry M. Staw, “Expo 86: Anescalation prototype,” Administrative ScienceQuarterly, Volume 31, Number 2, pp. 274–97.McKinsey on Finance Summer 2006Contrast that with the story of the Cincinnati subway. Construction began in 1920. When the $6 million budget ran out, in 1927, the leaders of the city decided that it no longer needed the subway, a point suggested by studies from independent experts. Further construction was stopped, though crews had finished building the tunnels.6 The idea for the subway had been conceived in 1884, and the project was supported by Republicans and Democrats alike, so this decision was not a whim; World War I and shifting demographic needs had altered the equation. Fortunatelyfor Cincinnatians, during the past 80 years, referendums to raise funds for completion have all failed.Proceeding with the cancellationThe final bias is anchoring and adjustment: decision makers don’t sufficiently adjust future estimates away from an initial value. Early estimates can influence decisions in many business situations,7 and this bias is particularly relevant in divestment decisions. There are three possible anchors. One is tied to the sunk cost, which the ownermay hope to recover. Another is a previous valuation, perhaps made in better times. The third—the price paid previously for other businesses in the same industry—often comes up during merger waves, as it did recently in the consolidation of dot-com companies. If the first company sold for, say, $1 billion, other owners may think that their companies are worth that much too, even though buyers often target the best, most valuable company first.The sale of PointCast, which in the 1990s was one of the earliest providers of personalized news and information overthe Internet, shows this bias at work.The company had 1.5 million users and $5 million in annual advertising revenue when Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation (NewsCorp) offered $450 million to acquire it. The deal was never finalized, however, and shortly thereafter problems arose. Customers complained of slow serviceand began defecting to Yahoo! and other rivals. In the next two years, a numberof companies considered buying PointCast, but the offer prices kept dropping. In the end, it was sold to Infogate for $7 million. PointCast’s executives may well have anchored their expectations on the first figure, making them reluctant to accept subsequent lower offers.8Axing a project that flops is relatively straightforward, but exiting a business or an industry is more complex: companies can more easily reallocate resources—especially human resources—from terminated projects than from failed businesses. Higher investments, which loom larger in decision making, are typically tied up in an ongoing business rather than inan internal project. The anguish executives often feel when they must fire colleagues also partially explains why many closures don’t occur until after a change in the executive suite. Divestiture, however, is easier because of the possibility of selling the business to another owner. Selling a project to another company is much more difficult, if it is possible at all.When a company decides to exit an entire business, the characteristics of the company and the industry can influence the decision-making process (Exhibit 2). If a flagging division is the only problematic unit in an otherwise healthy company, for instance, all else being equal, managers can sell or close it more easily than they could if it werethe core business, where exit would likely mean the company’s death. (Managers might still sell in this case, but we recognize that it will be hard to do so.) It sometimes (though rarely) does make sense to hang on6 Allen Singer, The Cincinnati Subway: History of Rapid Transit, Chicago: Arcadia Publishing, 2003.7 John T. Horn, Dan P. Lovallo, and S. Patrick Viguerie, “Beating the odds in market entry,” The McKinsey Quarterly, 2005 Number 4, pp. 34–45 (/links/22192).8 L inda Himelstein, “Dusting cobwebs off a Web staple,” BusinessWeek, July 14, 2003.in a declining industry—for instance, if rivals are likely to exit soon, leaving the remaining company with a monopoly.Becoming unbiasedSeveral techniques can mitigate the effects of the human biases that confound exit decision making. One way of overcoming the confirmation bias, for instance, is to assign someone new from the management team to assess a project. At a multinational energy and raw-materials company, a manager who was not part of an initial proposal must sign off on the project. If the R&D department claims that a prototypeproduction process can ramp up to full speed in three months, for example, the production manager has to approve it. If the target isn’t met, the production manager too is held accountable. Making executives responsible for the estimates of other people is a powerful check: managers are unlikely to agree to a target they cannot reach or to overestimate the chances that a project will be profitable. The likely result is more honest opinions.Well-run private equity firms adopt these practices too. One leading US firm assigns independent partners to conduct periodic reviews of businesses in its portfolio. If Mr. Jones buys and initially oversees a company, for example, Ms. Smith is later charged with the task of reviewing the purchase and its ensuing performance. She takes her role seriously because she is also accountable for the unit’s final performance. Although the process can’t eliminatethe possibility that the partners’ collective judgment will be biased, the reviews not only make biases less likely but also make it more likely that underperformingcompanies will be sold before they drain the firm’s equity.Another tool that can help executivesovercome biases and make more objective decisions is a contingent road map that lays out signposts to guide decision makers through their options at predetermined checkpoints over the life of a projector business. Signposts mark the points when key uncertainties must be resolved, as well as the ensuing decisions and possible outcomes. For a contingent road map to be effective, specific choices must be assigned to each signpost before the project begins (or at least well before the project approaches the signpost). This system in effect supplies a precommitment that helps mitigate biases when the time to make the decision arrives.Learning to let go: Making better exit decisionsWhat influences exit decisions?Cognitive biasExhibit 2 of 3Glance: The type of industry or company matters in exit decisions.Declining vs growing industryDifferences• Different skills, capabilities required • Timing of exit differs• In mature industries, cost efficiency, operational excellence are necessary• In growing industries, growth, innovation, marketing, R&D are necessary• In declining industries, companies shouldstrive to outlast competitors only if profits from ultimate monopoly, cost advantage justify interim losses• In growing industries, companies should exit only if freeing up resources for better alternativesCurrently profitable vs unprofitable business• Corporate focus can be biased toward attention on unprofitable business• Company may overreact and sell unprofitablebusiness that should be kept, while hanging on to profitable business that should be sold • Unprofitable business unit frequently focuses on ‘should we sell?’ and profitable business unit focuses on ‘should we buy or expand?’ when both should focus on ‘are we the long-term natural owner of this business? How can we maximize long-term profits? How can we maximize the sale price?’Focused vsdiversified business• Focused company has harder time divestingcore business because it could result in death of entire enterprise• Diversified company has greater freedom to balance portfolio• Diversified company can cross-subsidize from other units• Focused company might be better at divesting because all their attention is on the main business• Diversified company could pay less attention to smaller, unprofitable business and neglect selling until too lateSimilarities• Focus on expected future profit,growth rates• Compare to current (and prospective) competitors• Ask periodically when is best time to exit industry• Establish timing of divestiture questions early and adhere to the schedule• Determine expected profitability; don’trely on current profit levels• Unprofitability does not necessarily point to exit• In declining industry, issue is whether business can survive as final monopolist • Determine natural owner of business• Biases are similar (eg, sunk-cost fallacy,optimism)• Executives likely to resist exit because of stigma of failureMcKinsey on Finance Summer 2006One petrochemical company, for instance, created a road map for an unprofitable business unit that proposed a newcatalyst technology in an attempt to turn itself around (Exhibit 3). The road map established specific targets—a tight range of outcomes—that the new technology had to achieve at a series of checkpoints over several years. It also set up exit rules if the business missed these targets.Road maps can also help to isolate the specific biases that may affect the corporate decision-making process. If a signpost suggests, for example, that a project or business should be shut down but executives decide that the company has invested too much time and money to stop, the sunk-cost fallacy and escalation-of-commitment bias are quite likely at work. Of course, the initial road map might have to be adjusted as new information arrives, but the changes, if any, should always be made solely to future signposts, not to the current one.Contingent road maps prevent executives from changing the decision criteria in midstream unless there is a valid, objective reason. They help decision makers to focus on future expectations (rather than past performance) and to recognize uncertainty in an explicit way through the use of multiple potential paths. They limit the impact of the emotional sunk costs of executives in projects and businesses. And they help decision makers by removing the blame for unfavorable outcomes that have been specified in advance: the explicit recognition of problems gives an organization a chance to adapt, while a failure to recognize problems beforehand requires a change in strategy that is often psychologically and politically difficult to justify. Before the invasion of Iraq in2003, for example, it was uncertain how US troops would be received there. If the Bush administration had publicly announced a contingency plan providing for thepossibility of increased troop levels should an insurgency erupt, the president would most likely have had the political cover to adopt that strategy.When companies are finally ready to sell a business, the decision makers can overcome any lingering anchoring and adjustment biases by using independentevaluators who have never seen the initial projections of its value. Uninfluenced by these earlier estimates, the reviews of such people will take into account nothing but the project’s actual experience, such as the evolution of market share, competition, and costs. One leading private equity firm overcomes anchoring and other biases in decision making by routinely hiring independent evaluators, who bring aCognitive bias Exhibit 3 of 3Glance: A contingent road map establishes targets.new set of eyes to older businesses inits portfolio.There are ways to ease the emotionalpain of shutting down or selling projects or businesses. If a company has several flagging ones, for example, they canbe bundled together and exited all at once or at least in quick succession—the business equivalent of ripping a bandage off quickly. Such moves ensure thatthe psychological sense of failure that often accompanies an exit isn’t revisited several times. A one-time disappointment is also easier to sell to stakeholders and capital markets, especially for a new CEO with a restructuring agenda.In addition, companies can focus on exiting businesses with products and capabilities that are far from their core activities, as P&G did in 2002, when it divested and spun off certain products in order to focus on others with stronger growth prospects and a more central position in its corporate portfolio.9 Although canceling a project or exitinga business may often be regarded as a sign of failure, such moves are really a perfectly normal part of the creative-destruction process. Companies need to realize that in this way they can free up their resources and improve their ability to embrace new market opportunities.By neutralizing the cognitive biases that make it harder for executives to evaluate struggling ventures objectively, companies have a considerably better shot at making investments in ventures with strong growth prospects. The unacceptable alternativeis to gamble away the company’s resources on endeavors that are likely to fail in the long run, no matter how much is invested in them.John Horn (John_Horn@) is a consultant in McKinsey’s Washington, DC, office; Dan Lovallo is a professor at the Australian Graduate School of Management (of the University of New South Wales) as well as an adviser to McKinsey; Patrick Viguerie (Patrick_Viguerie@ ) is a partner in the Atlanta office. Copyright © 2006 McKinsey & Company. All rights reserved.9 Procter & Gamble annual report, 2002.Learning to let go: Making better exit decisionsHabits of the busiest acquirersM&A executives at the most successful US companies understandnot only how acquisitions create value but also how to enlist the support of the organization.Robert N. Palter and Dev Srinivasan A thin line divides the kind of mergerthat nurtures a company’s growth fromone that destroys value. No surprise,then, that M&A practitioners go to greatlengths to tilt the odds in their favor. Theyhire world-class M&A teams, modify theorganizational design of their companies, oradd systems, tools, and processes to smoothintegration and to accelerate the captureof synergies. Yet a merger’s performance overtime is subject to so many variables thatit’s difficult to analyze whether such movesreally work.To unearth the practical insights that canhelp companies succeed in planningand executing acquisitions, we went directlyto the executives most responsible foroverseeing M&A at the top US acquirers.1Over the course of 20 interviews withbusiness-development officers, we exploredtheir thinking on what does and doesn’twork in M&A. Then, to see what companiesrewarded by the capital markets weredoing differently, we compared the differentapproaches of these companies withtheir general performance during an activeperiod of acquisitions.Our findings provide a road map for theway companies should think aboutand execute acquisitions to improve theirodds of success. We found, for example,that development officers at most of therewarded acquirers tend to treat M&Aas a tool to support strategy, not asa strategy in itself. Moreover, they useM&A to complement a company’sdistinct capabilities. They understand thelimitations of acquiring a company inorder to acquire its superior management oroperational know-how. And to implementthe details of integration, they involveindividual business units in different ways,depending on the type of merger.One lesson from the experts clasheddirectly with conventional M&A lore:world-class M&A teams made up offormer investment bankers and lawyersare not a differentiator of performance.Companies with talented M&A teams areas likely to be rewarded by the marketsas not. Moreover, talented teams are fairlycommon, and the professionals whobelong to them are abundant. Instead, thetenure of an executive was a differentiator;companies with longer-tenured executivesduring a period of acquisitions weremore likely to be rewarded. Other necessaryfactors—including organizational design,people, systems, tools, and processes—are insufficient without a solid approach toacquisitions and integration.M&A is a tool, not a strategyMany companies act as though acquisitionsare their growth strategy. These companies McKinsey on Finance Summer 20061 Of the top 75 US companies by market capitalization and the top 75 by revenues asof June 2005, 33 had accumulated at least30 percent of their market value through acquisitions. The executives most responsible for M&A activity at 20 of those companies agreed to sit down for a rigorous hour-long conversation covering more than 100 questions about the organizations, processes, tools, and metrics used in acquisitions and integration. We then compared the activities of acquirers that were rewarded by the markets—those whose total returns to shareholders exceeded the returns of their peer group from December 1994 to December 2004—with the activitiesof acquirers that were not rewarded during the same period.。

新sat阅读考试范围

新sat阅读考试范围

新sat阅读考试范围1.单词/词组/句子功能题(AnalyzingWord Choice),包括使用目的,作用和效果。

如:Woolfuses the word we throughout the passage mainly to?2.文本结构题(AnalyzingText Structure),对文本总体结构的视察或对部分内容与整篇文章的关系的视察。

如:Overthe course of the passage, the main focus of the narrative shiftsfrom the to?3.观点态度题(AnalyzingPoint of View),对或人物观点,态度和态度的视察。

题目中通常包括perspective,point of view 等字眼。

如:Thestance Jordan takes in the passage is best described as that of?4.目的题 (AnalyzingPurpose),对整篇文章或部分段落目的的视察。

题目中通常包括"purpose',"function'等字眼。

选项中也通常出现"criticize',"support',"present',"introduce'等字眼。

如:Themain purpose of the passage is to?5.论证题 (AnalyzingArguments),对在论证过程中的论点,反论点,论证方式和论据的视察。

题目中通常出现"claim',"counterclaim',"reason',"evidence'等字眼。

如:Astudent claims that nitrogenous bases pair randomly with oneanother.Which of the following statements in the passage contradicts thestudents claim?2新sat阅读考试安全sat阅读sat阅读考试的时间是70分钟,分成三个部分,两个25分钟以及一个20分钟,一共有65道题目,句子填空题是19道,段落阅读是48道题,出去阅读浏览的时间,平均下来,每道题所必须时间不能超过1分钟,有〔英语〕阅读经验的考生都很清楚,一般一般的阅读,整篇通读下来,最快也要3-4分钟,加上做题,至少要7-8分钟的时间,关于阅读比较缓慢或者是阅读习惯不好的考生来讲,要做完sat阅读,都变的非常困难,做都做不完,何谈高分呢?sa阅读突破突破sat阅读时间问题,最基础的就是词汇,只要词汇无障碍,阅读就会节约很多的时间。

2024年考研英语一完形填空详解

2024年考研英语一完形填空详解
that often appears in cloze tests, and classify and memorize them.
Roots and affixes memory method
Using knowledge of roots and affixes to expand vocabulary and improve memory efficiency.
• Problem solving technique: First, read the entire text thoroughly to understand the main idea of the article; Analyze sentence by sentence and choose the best answer based on context and logical relationships; Finally, reread the entire text and check if the answers are reasonable.
Associative memory method
associating new vocabulary with known things or images to form interesting associations and help with memory.
The recognition and application of phrase collocation in articles
02
Analyze clauses
Identify the types of clauses and understand how clauses modify or supplement the main clause.

如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch

如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch
Introduction and Building Rapport
explain purpose again verbal confidentiality assurance (and go over form) no right or wrong answers… o.k. to ask questions and clarify ask permission to record
The researcher is looking for saturation—the point at which there is no new cases coming from each new participant and redundant information keeps coming up.
Sampling and data collection determined by theoretical saturation. Analysis based on narrative description 如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch
Selecting participants...
Qualitative Research 13th of March
如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch
Qualitative Research
“You can learn a lot just by watching”
如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch
MAKING SENSE OF OTHERS’ REALITY
如何做定性研究Qualitativeresearch
What to Observe or Study

Introduction to Analytical Modeling

Introduction to Analytical Modeling

Introduction to Analytical ModelingGregory V. CaliriBMC Software, Inc.Waltham MA USAABSTRACTAnalytical models are constructed and used by capacity planners to predict computing resource requirements related to workload behavior, content, and volume changes, and to measure effects of hardware and software changes. Developing the analytical model provides the capacity planner with an opportunity to study and understand the various behavior patterns of work and hardware that currently exist. Certain factors must be taken into consideration to avoid common errors in model construction, analysis, and predictions.Definition of Analytical ModelingWhat is an analytical model? By pure definition and in terms of being applied to computer systems, it is a set of equations describing the performance of a computer system1. In practical terms, it describes a collection of measured and calculated behaviors of different elements over a finite period of time within the computer system – workloads, hardware, software, and the CPU itself, and can even include the actions and behaviors of its users and support personnel.In most instances, the capacity planner constructs the model using activity measurement information generated and collected during one or more time intervals. It is critical that an interval or series of intervals be used that contain significant volumes of business-critical activity. Units of work are then characterized by type and grouped into workloads. The capacity analyst can then translate future business requirements into measurable units of computing resource consumption, and calculate capacity and performance projections for workloads.Purposes for building Analytical modelsSome users will construct analytical models to merely gain an understanding of the current activity on the system and to measure performance and analyze behavior of the workloads and hardware within it.Others will use them as a basis for prediction of behavior of certain elements of work within a system by inputting changes to different components of the system; one might include changes to faster or slower hardware, configuration changes, increased or decreased or altered workload arrival patterns.changes. Some will even carry the use of an analytical model beyond entering changes to the current system or set of systems and use it as input to a second model so as to measure the effects of the combination of two existing systems.For most sites, the projection of capacity requirements and future performance are the objectives behind the capacity planning effort. In these "what-if" analysis situations, the capacity planner follows a several step process consisting of the following steps:- Receives projections for future business computing requirements- Translates those business requirements into data processing resource requirements based on the information contained in the model, and other sources, if the model does not contain sufficient workloads with characteristics meeting those requirements- Calculates the status of the system after the new workload requirements have been input-Reports results to management, listing any available options.Starting offIf you've never engaged in capacity planning, implementing the process in your enterprise. Very simply:-Define and identify the purpose(s) for your modeling study-Ensure that sufficient collection mechanisms and analytical tools are available to support model construction and analysis-Characterize workloads according to a set of rules and definitions-Identify the intervals of time and critical workloads for study-Accept input and business requirements from your user community-Establish a standard method to report results back to managementLet's review each of these steps.Define the purpose for the modeling studyIt is important to define exactly what the purpose is for building models and what their specific uses will be. Most will use the model to execute a series of "what-if" changes to the environment by making alterations to the analytical model -- workload volume increases or decreases, hardware changes, or addition of new users and transactions. Performance results are then measured. As a parallel function, an analytical model can be used to model changes to the existing environment that will allow the analyst to tune the system for improved performance.Refining the objective for the use of the model can also serve to streamline the process. For instance, are we only concerned about CPU capacity? Must we control response time of certain mission-critical workloads? Detailed modeling of database changes? Will you be analyzing and tuning for typically heavy use periods, or only doing so for peak periods? Each scenario listed would entail different levels of data collection and varying complexities in workload characterization. Of course, if an analytical model has reduced detail and very coarse granularity in its components, it will not be as flexible and will not be able to be used to return specific esoteric results.Establishing the purpose(s) for the modeling study will affect the total approach that is taken to model construction, characterization of workloads, and series of analytical iterations to be performed with the model. Definition of the modeling goal will also lead to increased confidence in the results of the study.Data collection and retention; model constructionA data collection routine must be designed and implemented, and the data collected must be robust enough so that appropriate records are available to identify all components and all pertinent workload activity. On an OS/3902 system, this would include all SMF3 job and task related records (type 30s), all pertinent RMF4 records for configuration, hardware activity, workload activity (types 70 - 75, and type 78 records if collected), and all appropriate database and online activity monitor records (IMS DC Monitor5, DB26 related SMF, IMF7 etc.).Some sites will find it impossible to generate, collect, and archive data with extreme granularity for extended periods of time. In these instances, it is recommended that prime intervals for modeling be identified early in the process and that the data is kept from these periods of time, even if certain monitoring instrumentation mechanisms have to be deployed.Similar, but less detailed data collection mechanisms exist on UNIX systems. Often the analyst must execute series of UNIX commands, collect the output from those commands and later generate reports and input for modeling from that output.There are several commercially available measurement and capacity planning tools available. These packages provide their own collectors to generate measurement data that will permit creation of an analytical model. Organize and characterize workloads according to a set of rules and definitionsThis is probably the most difficult task because it is highly subjective. As with other steps, errors made here can be carried forward through the process and cause improper results.To begin workload characterization, you must study all units of work in the enterprise at an extremely granular and low level. This will give the capacity planner an understanding of system activity and behavior patterns. If data collection was set up properly, this should be possible.Classify work according to its type -- batch, online, TSO, query transactions, long / short transactions, utilities, long and short processes.As part of the previous step, you should have already made computing activity and resource consumption trackable and identifiable. The mission-criticalworkload definitions should already be roughly established.From this point, begin to classify work and build workloads by the type of work that it is, and do so from a system activity standpoint. In an OS/390 system, batch should be classified as short, long, and "hot" and further grouped as to its service. For instance, production batch serving the business might be placed in one set of workloads, and internal work of some type would be placed in others; online database transactions should be identified and grouped not only as to its production or test role but also by its function. Some will attempt to perform the capacity planning process by classifying work by user communities or account codes. This approach is only valid if the work within each user group or accounting code group is also classified as to the type of work and placed into its own workloads. Erroneous projections are often produced when user counts are employed. This approach assumes that additional users will exhibit the exact behavior and execute work with the same distributions and resource consumption compositions as the existing user community.Identify the intervals of time and critical workloads for studyWhen selecting an appropriate interval of time to measure and input into the construction of analytical models, observe the following:1)Attempt to select a period of high, but notcompletely saturated system utilization.2)Keep in mind your objectives for modeling, andensure that the model contains all of the critical workloads to be measured and observed.3)Do not use intervals of time that containanomalies of activity, such as looping processes, crashed regions, application outages, and other factors that are likely to cause unrealistic measurements.4)The mix of workloads and their activity willchange from one time of day to another. In OS/390 mainframe systems, this is rather common; often there will be a high volume of online, real-time transactional processing during the standard business day and a concentration of batch work during the evening hours. Situations containing the same variances can exist in other platforms as well. In such instances, select two ormore intervals for modeling that have different mixes of work and build separate models.The most important rule to follow in area is to ensure that your model contains a robust workload mix and the most critical workloads executing at a significant and typical activity level. A baseline analytical model should come reasonably close to representing a realistic situation.Accept input and business requirements from your user communityObviously, there are many methods of internal communication and sometimes these may be dictated by corporate culture. One suggested method for receiving input from users is to hold a monthly meeting with a representative from each of your user communities.This meeting can be used by the capacity planner to receive input from, and deliver feedback to user groups and explain the current state of the enterprise in plain language. There is also a side benefit to this meeting; different user groups can communicate with each other on upcoming projects. Often duplication of effort is eliminated because two or more groups determine that they are doing the same work, and with a cooperative effort, save system development time and use fewer computing resources.It is also an excellent opportunity to release, distribute and explain the monthly or quarterly performance and capacity plan to users.Establish a standard method to report results back to managementCapacity planners often issue a monthly or quarterly report to management. The report should be straightforward, and offer brief explanations of performance results of critical workloads. There should also be a report on the state of the enterprise’s capacity, with capacity and performance expectations based on growth projections. Revisions to the capacity plan and the reasons for them should also be included.One mistake often made is the inclusion of too much irrelevant information in reports or presentations. In most cases, upper management personnel do not have the time nor the interest to wade through technical jargon and attempt its translation. Use of visuals can cut through the technological language barrier.Often the capacity planner gets into a quandary – he or she has to provide a high level report for management and executives, but may also be challenged by technical personnel to explain the report in technical terms. In such instances, you must have the technical detail available and make it available to those who wish to see it. You will be asked for it at some point in time, and it might be advisable to distribute the high level report and extend an invitation to your audience to read the extended technical report.If actions must be taken, executives often wish to have a variety of viable options and the benefits and consequences of each put before them. Avoid listing only one possible solution to management to solve a problem and refrain from presenting options that are not practically possible to implement.Queuing theory and its role in Analytical Modeling The mathematical basis for many analytical modeling studies is the application of queuing theory. In plain English, it is a mechanism to reflect the length of time that a task waits to receive service and queue length times are calculated based on the speed that a unit providing service (or server, not to be confused with a "file server", etc.) can provide and the number of requests to be processed.If one thinks of a single device – for instance, a disk, or a channel, or a CPU as a "server" - the following formula can be applied to determine the average response time for a transaction to be handled at that one service point, or server. This formula is known as "Little's Law".R t = Response time, or the time that the transaction enters the queue until the request is satisfiedS = Service time , or the amount of time that the server itself spends handling the requestTx = The number of transactions receiving or awaiting service at any one timeThe formula:R t = S / (1-(Tx*S))If Tx*S is equal to or greater than one, then the server is considered to be saturated, as transactions are arriving at the server at a greater rate than the server can handle.To demonstrate this formula, let's assume that a serving CPU can service a request in 50 milliseconds, or .05 second. We can then input transactions per hour, and divide by 3600 to obtain transactions per second. Using the formula, we can input transaction counts and determine where the response time will degrade noticeably, and where the server will saturate. With lower arrival rates, the response time hovers very close to the service time. There is very little queuing taking place for the first 20000 transactions per hour. However, when the total is doubled to 40000 per hour, the queuing time accelerates to 64 milliseconds, and the transactions are spending more time queued for service than they are actually receiving service. The queuing time rises with a more rapid rate as more transactions are input to the server unit. In the rightmost column, you will note that if the service time were reduced, the queues for transactions would be shorter and the response time would not be noticeable at 72000 transactions per hour as they are with 50ms service time.There is also a column listing response time calculations if service time for the transaction were improved and reduced to 30 ms.Analysis of a single server's response time by arrival rate; service time is constant at 50 ms. Trans/HrTrans/SecPct.ServerbusyResponsetime(servicetime .05s)QueueTimeResponse ifservice timeis .03s 10000 2.77813.890.0580.0080.033 11000 3.05615.280.0590.0090.033 12000 3.33316.670.0600.0100.033 13000 3.61118.060.0610.0110.034 14000 3.88919.440.0620.0120.034 15000 4.16720.830.0630.0130.034 16000 4.44422.220.0640.0140.035 17000 4.72223.610.0650.0150.035 18000525.000.0670.0170.035 19000 5.27826.390.0680.0180.036 20000 5.55627.780.0690.0190.036 4000011.1155.560.1130.0630.045 6000016.6783.330.3000.2500.060 7000019.4497.22 1.800 1.7500.072 7100019.7298.61 3.600 3.5500.073 7150019.8699.317.2007.1500.074 7200020100.00Saturated Saturated0.075What should be evident is that there is a definite point where the response time begins to markedly curve upward!Now, one must consider that a process traveling through various points of service in a computing system will have to undergo some type of queuing process at each point. The length of time spent in all of these queues, plus the service time spent at each point of service, comprises the response time for a single process or transaction. Mathematical formulae exist for explanation and calculation of a process in a multi-point system, but they are beyond the scope of an introductory paper. The extended explanation of the above formula and its practical application with multiple points of service can be found at its source; this was extracted from a paper by Dr. Jeffrey Buzen,“A Simple Model of Transaction Processing”, contained in the 1984 CMG Proceedings.Modeling methodologies other than analyticalTwo other modeling methods are often used to determine current status of computing systems and to model any changes to them. The first is the use of experimental models. Measuring existing situations or even creating new situations and measuring the performance results performs experimentation and the percentage of used capacity. Benchmark workloads are run on new hardware and/or software environments and true performance measurements are collected. When commercial computing environments were much smaller than they are today, it was relatively easy to simulate an actual business environment. Indeed, the "stress test" was a commonplace occurrence within the MIS world. A number of individuals were handed a scripted series of instructions to follow at a certain time, and performance results were measured at the conclusion of the test. It is still the most accurate method of computer performance prediction. However, several problems arise in the running experiments.In today's world of MIS, the volumes of transactions processed are so high that it is impossible in many cases to obtain a true experimental reading of what might happen after changes are executed. How many individuals would be needed to enter 50,000 online terminal transactions in an hour, or generate a number of hits from varied locations to a web server to duplicate the effort? Furthermore, with today's 24/7/365 expectations, an enterprise may not have the machine, time, and personnel resources with which practical experimentation can be performed.It is possible to simulate operations of several hundred terminals using scripted keystroke files. However, it may not be practical to perform such simulations with thousands of terminals.One of the research documents that the author encountered discussed the prospect of experimentation and, with a touch of humor, conveyed that some experiments are unfeasible due to safety reasons. He cited two prime examples. One was the scenario of a jetliner, carrying a full load of passengers, and then attempting a landing with one engine shut off. The other was the possibility of driving a nuclear reactor to the point of critical mass so those researchers could definitively prove where the point actually occurred!7 It is conceded that stress testing or overloading of a computer system to determine its points of performance degradation would not carry the possibility of disaster that these previous experiments would carry, but one would wish to avoid them nonetheless.Another modeling technique in use today, and gaining popularity in some areas of computing is simulation. The following quotation provides a down-to-earth explanation as to how simulation models work:"The simulation model describes the operation of the system in terms of individual events of the individual elements in the system. The interrelationships among the elements are also built into the model. Then the model allows the computing device to capture the effect of the elements' action on each other as a dynamic process."(Kobayashi, 1981)8In short, this is stating that a simulation model describes workloads, and the different components of each, as well as the results of the continuous interaction of the different components of the computer system as time proceeds.Several factors make it difficult to use simulation models for larger systems that contain multiple workloads and devices. The most notable reasons are that there are too many variances in behavior of different devices and workloads which compose the workloads over a period of time, and that the arrival of transactions used as input to the simulation will probably have an uneven distribution. This leads us to begin consideration of the less-complex, but highly effective analytical modeling technique. It must also be noted that for several years, simulation modeling has been a proven, effective methodology used in less complex analyses such as network traffic modeling and prediction. Because network traffic generally has fewer variances in its composition, and packetsgenerally do not interact with each other, simulation techniques can be applied in a practical fashion. There have also been some other applications and hybrid techniques developed through the years; one is called “Simalytic Modeling”, and it combines both analytical and simulation techniques in the same model. An excellent paper (Norton) on this hybrid methodology is noted in the recommended reading section below.Future of Analytical ModelingAnalytical models, or products using analytical analysis and queueing theory, and the tools to create and analyze them and to report and predict performance will continue to enjoy widespread use. In large scale computer systems running applications that contain a high degree of variation of activity, it will remain a highly practical method of analysis because of its relative simplicity and practicality.New technologies have emerged that will force changes in methods of model construction and "what-if" exercises. Internal and operational architecture changes in the mainframe arena will lead to a complete revision of the modeling paradigm, and analytical modeling should continue to service the mainframe realm.Actual stress test experiments will likely not be as prevalent as they were in the past for larger interactive applications, simply because of the large scale efforts required to plan for them and the human and system resources required to execute them. However, it will certainly be used to benchmark hardware, vendor software, and even batch cycle testing.Simulation has been used for many years to provide a more detailed analysis of systems with workload components that contain limited variability. Simulation has and will continue to come into play in the world of the Internet. With the rise of E-commerce, simulation modeling appears to be a viable method for modeling web-based, multi-platform, and network applications.ConclusionThis paper has touched upon several high-level areas of capacity planning and specifically, use of an analytical model as a primary tool. While analytical modeling is but one method in use today, different platforms and applications may require other approaches for effective capacity planning. The availability of statistical data, the platforms used for processing, and the objectives and complexities of studies can dictate the methodology to be used for capacity planning.References(1) Buzen, Dr. Jeffrey P., “A Simple Model of Transaction Processing”, CMG Proceedings, 1984.(2),(3),(4),(5) OS/390, RMF, SMF, and IMS DC Monitor are trademarks of IBM Corporation, White Plains, NY.(6) IMF is a trademark of BMC Software, Inc., Houston, TX.(7) Extracted from an Internet WWW home page (.mt/jskl/simul.html), which is an extract from the text of “Simulation”, by J. Skelnar, University of Malta, 1995.(8) Kobayashi, Hisashi. , “Modeling and Analysis: An Introduction to System Performance Evaluation Methodology.” The Systems Programming Series. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, 1984. (quote attributed by Norton, below) Recommended reading – in addition to the above“Simalytic Enterprise Modeling - The Best of Both Worlds”, Norton, Tim R., Doctoral Candidate, Colorado Technical University CMG Proceedings, 1996 (and many other works by Norton found in CMG Proceedings through the years)“Using Analytical Modeling to Ensure Client/Server Application Performance”, Leganza, Gene, Cayenne Systems, CMG Proceedings, 1996. (and other works by Leganza in CMG Proceedings that deal with stress testing).。

2024年6月大学英语六级考试真题和答案(第3套)

2024年6月大学英语六级考试真题和答案(第3套)

2024年6月大学英语六级考试真题和答案(第3套)Part I Writing (30 minutes)Directions: For this part, you are allowed 30 minutes to write an essay that begins with the sentence “Nowadays, cultivating independent learning ability is becoming increasingly crucial for personal development.” You can make comments, cite examples or use your personal experiences to develop your essay. You should write at least 150 words but no more than 200 words.You should copy the sentence given in quotes at the beginning of your essay.Part Ⅱ Listening Comprehension (30 minutes)Section ADirections:In this section, you will hear two long conversations. At the end of each conversation, you will hear four questions. Both the conversation and the questions will be spoken only once. After you hear a question, you must choose the best answer from the four choices marked A), B), C) and D). Then mark the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 1 with a single line through the centre.Questions 1 to 4 are based on the conversation you have just heard.1. A) Read numerous comments users put online.B) Blended all his food without using a machine.C) Searched for the state-of-the-art models of blenders.D) Did thorough research on the price of kitchen appliances.2. A) Eating any blended food.B) Buying a blender herself.C) Using machines to do her cooking.D) Making soups and juices for herself.3. A) Cooking every meal creatively in the kitchen.B) Paying due attention to his personal hygiene.C) Eating breakfast punctually every morning.D) Making his own fresh fruit juice regularly.4. A) One-tenth of it is sugar.B) It looks healthy and attractive.C) One’s fancy may be tickled by it.D) It contains an assortment of nutrients.Questions 5 to 8 are based on the conversation you have just heard.5. A) How he has made himself popular as the mayor of Berkton.B) How the residents will turn Berkton into a tourist attraction.C) How charming he himself considers the village of Berkton to be.D) How he has led people of Berkton to change the village radically.6. A) It was developed only to a limited extent.B) It was totally isolated as a sleepy village.C) It was relatively unknown to the outside.D) It was endowed with rare natural resources.7. A) The people in Berkton were in a harmonious atmosphere.B) The majority of residents lived in harmony with their neighbors.C) The majority of residents enjoyed cosy housing conditions.D) All the houses in Berkton looked aesthetically similar.8. A) They have helped boost the local economy.B) They have made the residents unusually proud.C) They have contributed considerably to its popularity.D) They have brought happiness to everyone in the village.Section BDirections: In this section, you will hear two passages. At the end of each passage, you will hear three or four questions. Both the passage and the questions will be spoken only once. After you hear a question, you must choose the best answer from the four choices marked A),B),C) and D). Then mark the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 1 with a single line through the centre.Questions 9 to 11 are based on the passage you have just heard.9. A) They have created the smallest remote-controlled walking robot in the world.B) They are going to publish their research findings in the journal Science Robotics.C) They are the first to build a robot that can bend, crawl, walk, turn and even jump.D) They are engaged in research on a remote-controlled robot which uses special power.10. A) It changes its shape by complex hardware.B) It is operated by a special type of tiny motor.C) It moves from one place to another by memory.D) It is powered by the elastic property of its body.11. A) Replace humans in exploratory tasks.B) Perform tasks in tightly confined spaces.C) Explore the structure of clogged arteries.D) Assist surgeons in highly complex surgery.Questions 12 to 15 are based on the passage you have just heard.12. A) She threw up in the bathroom.B) She slept during the entire ride.C) She dozed off for a few minutes.D) She boasted of her marathon race.13. A) They are mostly immune to cognitive impairment.B) They can sleep soundly during a rough ride at sea.C) They are genetically determined to need less sleep.D) They constitute about 13 percent of the population.14. A) Whether there is a way to reach elite status.B) Whether it is possible to modify one’s genes.C) Whether having a baby impacts one’s passion.D) Whether one can train themselves to sleep less.15. A) It is in fact quite possible to nurture a passion for sleep.B) Babies can severely disrupt their parents’ sleep patterns.C) Being forced to rise early differs from being an early bird.D) New parents are forced to jump out of bed at the crack of dawn.Section CDirections: In this section, you will hear three recordings of lectures or talks followed by three or four questions. The recordings will be played only once. After you hear a question, you must choose the best answer from the four choices marked A), B), C) and D). Then mark the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 1 with a single line through the centre.Questions 16 to 18 are based on the recording you have just heard. 16. A) We have poor awareness of how many controversial issues are being debated.B) No one knows better than yourself what you are thinking about at the moment.C) No one can change your opinions more than those who speak in a convincing tone.D) We are likely to underestimate how much we can be swayed by a convincing article.17. A) Their belief about physical punishment changed.B) Their memory pushed them toward a current belief.C) The memory of their initial belief came back to them.D) Their experiences of physical punishment haunted them.18. A) They apparently have little to do with moderate beliefs.B) They don’t reflect the changes of view on physical punishment.C) They may not apply to changes to extreme or deeply held beliefs.D) They are unlikely to alter people’s position without more evidence.Questions 19 to 21 are based on the recording you have just heard.19. A) American moms have been increasingly inclined to live alone.B) The American population has been on the rise in the past 25 years.C) American motherhood has actually been on the decline.D) The fertility rates in America have in fact been falling sharply.20. A) More new mothers tend to take greater care of their children.B) More new mothers are economically able to raise children.C) A larger proportion of women take pride in their children.D) A larger proportion of women really enjoy motherhood.21. A) The meaning of motherhood has changed considerably.B) More and more mothers go shopping to treat themselves.C) More mothers have adult children celebrating the holiday.D) The number of American mothers has been growing steadily.Questions 22 to 25 are based on the recording you have just heard.22. A) Add to indoor toxic pollutants.B) Absorb poisonous chemicals.C) Beautify the home environment.D) Soak up surrounding moisture.23. A) NASA did experiments in sealed containers resembling thesuper-insulated offices of 1970s.B) It was based on experiments under conditions unlike those in most homes or offices.C) NASA conducted tests in outer space whose environment is different from ours.D) It drew its conclusion without any contrastive data from other experiments.24. A) Natural ventilation proves much more efficient for cleaning the air than house plants.B) House plants disperse chemical compounds more quickly with people moving around.C) Natural ventilation turns out to be most effective with doors and windows wide open.D) House plants in a normal environment rarely have any adverse impact on the air.25. A) The root cause for misinterpretations of scientific findings.B) The difficulty in understanding what’s actually happening.C) The steps to be taken in arriving at any conclusion with certainty.D) The necessity of continually re-examining and challenging findings.Part III Reading Comprehension (40 minutes)Section ADirections: In this section, there is a passage with ten blanks. You are required to select one word for each blank from a list of choices given in a word bank following the passage. Read the passage through carefully before making your choices. Each choice in the bank is identified by a letter. Please mark the corresponding letter for each item on Answer Sheet 2with a single line through the centre. You may not use any of the words in the bank more than once.A rainbow is a multi-colored, arc-shaped phenomenon that can appearin the sky. The colors of a rainbow are produced by the reflectionand____26____of light through water droplets (小滴) present in the atmosphere. An observer may____27____a rainbow to be located either near or far away, but this phenomenon is not actually located at any specific spot. Instead, the appearance of a rainbow depends entirely upon the position of the observer in____28____to the direction of light. In essence, a rainbow is an____29____illusion.Rainbows present a____30____made up of seven colors in a specific order. In fact, school children in many English-speaking countries are taught to remember the name “Roy G. Biv” as an aid for remembering the colors of a rainbow and their order. “Roy G. Biv”____31____for: red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, and violet. The outer edge of the rainbow arc is red, while the inner edge is violet.A rainbow is formed when light (generally sunlight) passes through water droplets____32____in the atmosphere. The light waves change direction as they pass through the water droplets, resulting in two processes: reflection and refraction (折射). When light reflects off a water droplet, it simply____33____back in the opposite direction from where it____34____. When light refracts, it takes a different direction. Some individuals refer to refracted light as “bent light waves.” A rainbow is formed because white light enters the water droplet, where it bends in several different directions. When these bent light waves reach the other side of the water droplet, they reflect back out of the droplet instead of____35____passing through the water. Since the white light is separated inside of the water, the refracted light appears as separate colors to the human eye.A) bouncesB) completelyC) dispersionD) eccentricE) hangingF) opticalG) originatesH) perceiveI) permeatesJ) ponderK) precedingL) recklesslyM) relationN) spectrumO) standsSection BDirections: In this section, you are going to read a passage with tenstatements attached to it. Each statement contains information given in one of the paragraphs. Identify the paragraph from which the information is derived. You may choose a paragraph more than once. Each paragraph is marked with a letter. Answer the questions by marking the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 2.Blame your worthless workdays on meeting recovery syndromeA) Phyllis Hartman knows what it’s like to make one’s way through the depths of office meeting hell. Managers at one of her former human resources jobs arranged so many meetings that attendees would fall asleep at the table or intentionally arrive late. With hours of her day blocked up with unnecessary meetings, she was often forced to make up her work during overtime. “I was actually working more hours than I probably would have needed to get the work done,” says Hartman, who is founder and president of PGHR Consulting in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.B) She isn’t alone in her frustration. Between 11 million and 55 million meetings are held each day in the United States, costing most organisations between 7% and 15% of their personnel budgets. Every week, employees spend about six hours in meetings, while the average manager meets for a staggering 23 hours.C) And though experts agree that traditional meetings are essential for making certain decisions and developing strategy, some employees view them as one of the most unnecessary parts of the workday. The result is not only hundreds of billions of wasted dollars, but an annoyance of what organisational psychologists call “meeting recovery syndrome (MRS)”: time spent cooling off and regaining focus after a useless meeting. If you run to the office kitchen to get some relief with colleagues after a frustrating meeting,you’re likely experiencing meeting recovery syndrome.D) Meeting recovery syndrome is a concept that should be familiar to almost anyone who has held a formal job. It isn’t ground-breaking to say workers feel fatigued after a meeting, but only in recent decades have scientists deemed the condition worthy of further investigation. With its links to organisational efficiency and employee wellbeing, MRS has attracted the attention of psychologists aware of the need to understand its precise causes and cures.E) Today, in so far as researchers can hypothesise, MRS is most easily understood as a slow renewal of finite mental and physical resources. When an employee sits through an ineffective meeting their brain power is essentially being drained away. Meetings drain vitality if they last too long, fail to engage employees or turn into one-sided lectures. The conservation of resources theory, originally proposed in 1989 by Dr. Stevan Hobfoll, states that psychological stress occurs when a person’s resources are threatened or lost. When resources are low, a person will shift into defence to conserve their remaining supply. In the case ofoffice meetings, where some of employees’ most valuable resources are their focus, alertness and motivation, this can mean an abrupt halt in productivity as they take time to recover.F) As humans, when we transition from one task to another on the job —say from sitting in a meeting to doing normal work—it takes an effortful cognitive switch. We must detach ourselves from the previous task and expend significant mental energy to move on. If we are already drained to dangerous levels, then making the mental switch to the next thing is extra tough. It’s common to see people cyber-loafing after a frustrating meeting, going and getting coffee, interrupting a colleague and telling them about the meeting, and so on.G) Each person’s ability to recover from horrible meetings is different. Some can bounce back quickly, while others carry their fatigue until the end of the workday. Yet while no formal MRS studies are currently underway, one can loosely speculate on the length of an average employee’s lag time. Switching tasks in a non-MRS condition takes about 10 to 15 minutes. With MRS, it may take as long as 45 minutes on average. It’s even worse when a worker has several meetings that are separated by 30 minutes. “Not enough time to transition in a non-MRS situation to get anything done, and in an MRS situation, not quite enough time to recover for the next meeting,” says researcher Joseph Allen. “Then, add the compounding of back-to-back bad meetings and we may have an epidemic on our hands.”H) In an effort to combat the side effects of MRS, Allen, along with researcher Joseph Mroz and colleagues at the University of Nebraska-Omaha, published a study detailing the best ways to avoid common traps, including a concise checklist of do’s and don’ts applicable to any workplace. Drawing from around 200 papers to compile their comprehensive list, Mroz and his team may now hold a remedy to the largely undefined problem of MRS.I) Mroz says a good place to start is asking ourselves if our meetings are even necessary in the first place. If all that’s on the agenda is a quick catch-up, or some non-urgent information sharing, it may better suit the group to send around an email instead. “The second thing I would always recommend is keep the meeting as small as possible,” says Mroz. “If they don’t actually have some kind of immediate input, then they can follow up later. They don’t need to be sitting in this hour-long meeting.” Less time in meetings would ultimately lead to more employee engagement in the meetings they do attend, which experts agree is a proven remedy for MRS.J) Employees also feel taxed when they are invited together to meetings that don’t inspire participation, says Cliff Scott, professor of organisational science. It takes precious time for them to vent their emotions, complain and try to regain focus after a pointless meeting—one of the main traps of MRS. Over time as employees find themselves tied up in more and more unnecessary meetings—and thus dealing with increasing lag times from MRS—the waste of workday hours can feel insulting.K) Despite the relative scarcity of research behind the subject, Hartman has taught herself many of the same tricks suggested in Mroz’s study, and has come a long way since her days of being stuck with unnecessary meetings. The people she invites to meetings today include not just the essential employees, but also representatives from every department that might have a stake in the issue at hand. Managers like her, who seek input even from non-experts to shape their decisions, can find greater support and cooperation from their workforce, she says.L) If an organisation were to apply all 22 suggestions from Mroz and Allen’s findings, the most noticeable difference would be a stark decrease in the total number of meetings on the schedule, Mroz says. Lesstime in meetings would ultimately lead to increased productivity,which is the ultimate objective of convening a meeting. While none of the counter-MRS ideas have been tested empirically yet, Allen says one trick with promise is for employees to identify things that quickly change their mood from negative to positive. As simple as it sounds, finding a personal happy place, going there and then coming straight back to work might be key to facilitating recovery.M) Leaders should see also themselves as “stewards of everyone else’s valuable time”, adds Steven Rogelberg, author of The Surprising Science of Meetings. Having the skills to foresee potential traps and treat employees’ endurance with care allows leaders to provide effective short-term deterrents to MRS.N) Most important, however, is for organisations to awaken to the concept of meetings being flexible, says Allen. By reshaping the way they prioritise employees’ time, companies can eliminate the very sources of MRS in their tracks.36. Although employees are said to be fatigued by meetings, the condition has not been considered worthy of further research until recently. 37. Mroz and his team compiled a list of what to do and what not to do to remedy the problem of MRS.38. Companies can get rid of the root cause of MRS if they give priority to workers’ time.39. If workers are exhausted to a dangerous degree, it is extremely hard for them to transition to the next task.40. Employees in America spend a lot of time attending meetings while the number of hours managers meet is several times more.41. Phyllis Hartman has learned by herself many of the ways Mroz suggested in his study and made remarkable success in freeing herself fromunnecessary meetings.42. When meetings continue too long or don’t engage employees, they deplete vitality.43. When the time of meetings is reduced, employees will be more engaged in the meetings they do participate in.44. Some employees consider meetings one of the most dispensable parts of the workday.45. According to Mroz, if all his suggestions were applied, a very obvious change would be a steep decrease in the number of meetings scheduled.Section CDirections:There are 2 passages in this section. Each passage is followed by some questions or unfinished statements. For each of them there are four choices marked A), B), C) and D). You should decide on the best choice and mark the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 2 with a single line through the centre.Passage OneQuestions 46 to 50 are based on the following passage.Sarcasm and jazz have something surprisingly in common: You know them when you hear them. Sarcasm is mostly understood through tone of voice, which is used to portray the opposite of the literal words. For example, when someone says, “Well, that’s exactly what I need right now,” their tone can tell you it’s not what they need at all.Most frequently, sarcasm highlights an irritation or is, quite simply, mean.If you want to be happier and improve your relationships, cut out sarcasm. Why? Because sarcasm is actually hostility disguised as humor.Despite smiling outwardly, many people who receive sarcastic comments feel put down and often think the sarcastic person is rude, or contemptible. Indeed, it’s not surprising that the origin of the word sarcasm derives from the Greek word “sarkazein” which literally means “to tear or strip the flesh off.” Hence, it’s no wonder that sarcasm is often preceded by the word “cutting” and that it hurts.What’s more, since actions strongly determine thoughts and feelings, when a person consistently acts sarcastically it may only serve to heighten their underlying hostility and insecurity. After all, when you come right down to it, sarcasm can be used as a subtle form of bullying —and most bullies are angry, insecure, or cowardly.Alternatively, when a person stops voicing negative comments, especially sarcastic ones, they may soon start to feel happier and more self-confident. Also, other people in their life benefit even more because they no longer have to hear the emotionally hurtful language of sarcasm.Now, I’m not saying all sarcasm is bad. It may just be better usedsparingly—like a potent spice in cooking. Too much of the spice, and the dish will be overwhelmed by it. Similarly, an occasional dash of sarcastic wit can spice up a chat and add an element of humor to it. But a big or steady serving of sarcasm will overwhelm the emotional flavor of any conversation and can taste very bitter to its recipient.So, tone down the sarcasm and work on clever wit instead, which is usually without any hostility and thus more appreciated by those you’re communicating with. In essence, sarcasm is easy while true, harmless wit takes talent.Thus, the main difference between wit and sarcasm is that, as already stated, sarcasm is often hostility disguised as humor. It can be intended to hurt and is often bitter and biting. Witty statements are usually in response to someone’s unhelpful remarks or behaviors, and the intent is to untangle and clarify the issue by emphasizing its absurdities. Sarcastic statements are expressed in a cutting manner; witty remarks are delivered with undisguised and harmless humor.46. Why does the author say sarcasm and jazz have something surprisingly in common?A) Both are recognized when heard.B) Both have exactly the same tone.C) Both mean the opposite of what they appear to.D) Both have hidden in them an evident irritation.47. How do many people feel when they hear sarcastic comments?A) They feel hostile towards the sarcastic person.B) They feel belittled and disrespected.C) They feel a strong urge to retaliate.D) They feel incapable of disguising their irritation.48. What happens when a person consistently acts sarcastically?A) They feel their dignity greatly heightened.B) They feel increasingly insecure and hostile.C) They endure hostility under the disguise of humor.D) They taste bitterness even in pleasant interactions.49. What does the author say about people quitting sarcastic comments?A) It makes others happier and more self-confident.B) It restrains them from being irritating and bullying.C) It benefits not only themselves but also those around them.D) It shields them from negative comments and outright hostility.50. What is the chief difference between a speaker’s wit and sarcasm?A) Their clarity.B) Their appreciation.C) Their emphasis.D) Their intention.Passage TwoQuestions 51 to 55 are based on the following passage.Variability is crucially important for learning new skills. Consider learning how to serve in tennis. Should you always practise serving from the exactly same location on the court, aiming at the same spot? Although practising in more variable conditions will be slower at first, it will likely make you a better tennis player in the end. This is because variability leads to better generalisation of what is learned.This principle is found in many domains, including speech perception and learning categories. For instance, infants will struggle to learn the category “dog” if they are only exposed to Chihuahuas, instead of many different kinds of dogs.“There are over ten different names for this basic principle,” says Limor Raviv, the senior investigator of a recent study. “Learning from less variable input is often fast, but may fail to generalise to new stimuli.”To identify key patterns and understand the underlying principles of variability effects, Raviv and her colleagues reviewed over 150 studies on variability and generalisation across fields, including computer science, linguistics, categorisation, visual perception and formal education.The researchers discovered that, across studies, the term variability can refer to at least four different kinds of variability, such as set size and scheduling. “These four kinds of variability have never been directly compared—which means that we currently don’t know which is most effective for learning,” says Raviv.The impact of variability depends on whether it is relevant to the task or not. But according to the ‘Mr. Miyagi principle’, practising seemingly unrelated skills may actually benefit learning of other skills.But why does variability impact learning and generalisation? One theory is that more variable input can highlight which aspects of a task are relevant and which are not.Another theory is that greater variability leads to broader generalisations. This is because variability will represent the real world better, including atypical (非典型的) examples.A third reason has to do with the way memory works: when training is variable, learners are forced to actively reconstruct their memories.“Understanding the impact of variability is important for literally every aspect of our daily life. Beyond affecting the way we learn language, motor skills, and categories, it even has an impact on our social lives,”explains Raviv. “For example, face recognition is affected by whether people grew up in a small community or in a larger community. Exposure to fewer faces during childhood is associated with diminished face memory.”“We hope this work will spark people’ s curiosity and generate morework on the topic,” concludes Raviv.“Our paper raises a lot of open questions. Can we find similar effects of variability beyond the brain, for instance, in the immune system?”51. What does the passage say about infants learning the category “dog”if they are exposed to Chihuahuas only?A) They will encounter some degree of difficulty.B) They will try to categorise other objects first.C) They will prefer Chihuahuas to other dog species.D) They will imagine Chihuahuas in various conditions.52. What does Raviv say about the four different kinds of variability?A) Which of them is most relevant to the task at hand is to be confirmed.B) Why they have an impact on learning is far from being understood.C) Why they have never been directly compared remains a mystery.D) Which of them is most conducive to learning is yet to be identified.53. How does one of the theories explain the importance of variability for learning new skills?A) Learners regard variable training as typical of what happens in the real world.B) Learners receiving variable training are compelled to reorganise their memories.C) Learners pay attention to the relevant aspects of a task and ignore those irrelevant.D) Learners focus on related skills instead of wasting time and effort on unrelated ones.54. What does the passage say about face recognition?A) People growing up in a small community may find it easy to remember familiar faces.B) Face recognition has a significant impact on literally every aspect of our social lives.C) People growing up in a large community can readily recognise any individual faces.D) The size of the community people grow up in impacts their face recognition ability.55. What does Raviv hope to do with their research work?A) Highlight which aspects of a task are relevant and which are not to learning a skill.B) Use the principle of variability in teaching seemingly unrelated skills in education.C) Arouse people’s interest in variability and stimulate more research on the topic.D) Apply the principle of variability to such fields of study as the immune system.。

考研英语二阅读真题及答案

考研英语二阅读真题及答案

考研英语二阅读真题及答案2017考研英语二阅读真题及答案引导语:为了帮助大家更好地准备考研,以下是店铺为大家整理的2017考研英语二阅读真题及答案,欢迎阅读!英语二Section 1 Use of English1. [标准答案][C]how[考点分析]连词辨析[选项分析]? 根据语境,“新发现表明:快乐可能会影响工作__的稳定。

”[A] 为什么 [B] 哪里 [C] 怎样,多么 [D] 当…时候。

根据语义分析,C选项填入原文,译为“快乐可能会影响工作是有多么稳定”,C为正确选项。

2. [标准答案][B]In particular[考点分析]上下文语义以及短语辨析[选项分析][A] 反过来 [B] 尤其是 [C] 相反 [D] 总的来说根据前文语境,第二段第一句译为“根据近期的研究,拥有更多快乐的人的公司会投资更多”。

而第二句“_______那些在快乐氛围中的公司会做更多的研发以及发展。

“第二句是在第一句的基础上进一步强调说明,因此B选项更符合语境要求。

3. [标准答案] [D]necessary[考点分析]上下文语义及形容词词义辨析[选项分析][A]充足的 [B] 著名的 [C] 完美的 [D] 必要的首先,根据本句题干“That’s?because happiness is linked to the kind of longer-term thinking 3 for making investments for the future.”译为“因为快乐与对未来投资有______长远考虑相联系。

”要求填写形容词, 我们要考虑其搭配与其修饰成分。

空格处搭配介词for, 并且修饰“长远考虑”。

因此D选项最符合语境要求。

4. [标准答案][C]optimism[考点分析]上下文语义及名词词义辨析[选项分析][A]个人主义[B] 现代主义[C] 乐观主义[D] 现实主义本题考查同后缀的名词辨析。

根据原文主旨,探讨“happy people”与公司的关系。

学术论文写作考试题精选全文完整版

学术论文写作考试题精选全文完整版

可编辑修改精选全文完整版学术论文写作考试题1.What is term paper?In the university grade stage. It is usually accomplished under the guidance of experience teachers to gain the final credit.2.Define the readability of thesis.The text is smoothly, simple, clear chart, well-organized order and brief conclusion. 3.What are the principles and methods of selecting a subject of study?Focused up-to-date under control4.How is the first-hand source distinguished from the second-hand source?F is original opinions S is the original view reviews and comments5.What are the 4 kinds of note in the subject selection?Summary Paraphrase Direct Quotation Comment6.What are the two main kinds of outline? In what subjects do they cater to respectively?Mixed outline: used in humanities and social sciencesNumerical outline: used in science7.Give reasons of submitting a research proposalFirst, you have a good topic.Second, you have the ability to complete the paper.Third, you have a feasible research plan.8.How many components are there in the research proposal? What are they? Title Introduction Literature review Method Result Discussion Preliminary bibliography9.What is the use of literature review?Understand the background.Familiar the problemsHave a ability of preminary assessment and comprehensive the literature.10.What is abstract?Abstract is a concise and comprehensive summary or conclusion.11.What are the main components of abstract?Objective or purpose Process and methods Results Conclusion12.What is the use of conclusion in the thesis?It emphasized the most important ideas or conclusion clearly in this paper.13.What parties is the acknowledgment usually addressed to?For the tutor and teachers who give suggestion, help and support.For the sponsorFor the company or person which provide the dataFor other friends14.Specify MLA formatIt is widely used in the field of literature, history and so on.Pay attention in the original of the Reference.15.Specify Chicago formatThe subject of general format, used for books, magazines and so on.Divided into the humanities style and the author data system.16.Define footnotes.Also called the note at the end of the page. Appeared in the bottom of every page. 17.Define end-notes.Also called Concentrated note or end-notes appear in thetext.18.M:monographA: choose an article from the proceedings.J: academic journalD: academic dissertationR: research reportC: collected papersN: newspaper article19.Tell briefly about the distinctions between thesis and dissertation.Dissertation defined as a long essay that you do as part of a degree or other qualification. It refers to B.AThesis defined as a long piece of writing, based on your own ideas and research, that you do as part of a university degree. It refers to Ph.D.20.What are the general features of the thesis title?As much as possible use nouns, prep, general phrase and so on.The title can be used to express an Non-statement sentence.The first letter of the notional word in the title should be capital.Be cautious using abbreviations and try not to use punctuation marks.Remove unnecessary articles and extra descriptive words.21.What is the introduction of the research proposal concerned with?Research question Rationale Method FindingsDesign sample instruments22.How is abstract defined to American national standards institute?It is a concise summary of your work.Abstract should state the objectives of the project describe the methods used, summarize the significant findings and state the implications of the findings.23.How is thesis statement understood?It usually at the final part of the introduction in order that the readers could understood the central idea as quickly as possible. It is the point of view and attitude of the statement.1. Have a brief comment upon the study of ESPSpecial use English also called English for specific purpose. It includes tourism English, finance English, medical English, business English, engineering English, etc. In the 1960s, ESP is divided into scientific English, business English and social sciences, each branch can be divided into professional English and academic English.2. What is the research methods of literature?The external research : from society, history, age, environment and so on relationship to study.The internal research: from the works of rhyme, text, images, symbols and specific level to composed the text.3.Have a brief comment upon the study of interpretation.At present, people in the academia mainly focus on these topics, such as interpreting training, interpreting practices and so on. According to its mean of transfer, interpretation can be divided for simultaneous interpretation, consecutive interpretation, whispering interpretation; According to different occasions and interpretation, it can be divided into the meeting interpretation, contact interpretation, media interpretation,etc.4.What is the analytic method in the study of linguistics?In linguistics, analytic method means to make some analysisand decomposition on the various elements of a language according to different research purposes and requirements, and to separate them from the interconnected entirety respectively and extract general and special method.5.In what respects is phonetics studies in the current research?Study on the phonology remains to be further studied, such as Chinese language learning and English phonology, phonological number is still worth discussing. Comparative study of phonology is worth advocating. The combination of researching and teaching for phonetics is also a major focus of current research.6. What is the deductive in linguistics?Deduction is the method to deduce from the general to the special, namely from the general principles of known to conclusions about the individual objects. he deductive method is also known as the study of testing hypothesis.1.What is term paper?2.Define the readability of thesis.3.What are the principles and methods of selecting a subject of study?4.How is the first-hand source distinguished from the second-hand source?5.What are the 4 kinds of note in the subject selection?6.What are the two main kinds of outline? In what subjects do they cater to respectively?7.Give reasons of submitting a research proposal8.How many components are there in the research proposal? What are they?9.What is the use of literature review?10.What is abstract?11.What are the main components of abstract?12.What is the use of conclusion in the thesis?13.What parties is the acknowledgment usually addressed to?14.Specify MLA format15.Specify Chicago format16.Define footnotes.17.Define end-notes.18.Tell briefly about the distinctions between thesis and dissertation.19.What are the general features of the thesis title?20.What is the introduction of the research proposal concerned with?21.How is abstract defined to American national standards institute?22.How is thesis statement understood?。

《高中英语阅读教学课件》

《高中英语阅读教学课件》
Compare and contrast different texts to find similarities and differences in themes, characters, or events.
Text-to-Self
Encourage students to connect the text to their own experiences, opinions, or emotions.
2 Note-Taking
3 Test-Taking
Show students
Strategies
how to take
Provide students
organized and
with test-taking
concise notes while
tips and
reading to capture
Opinion
Help students recognize statements that express personal beliefs or preferences.
Author's Bias
Explore how an author's perspective can influence their presentation of facts and opinions.
3
Context Clues
Develop strategies to understand unfamiliar words or phrases by using the clues provided in the surrounding text.
Making Connections

2024届湖南省怀化市等高三下学期三模英语试题

2024届湖南省怀化市等高三下学期三模英语试题

2024届湖南省怀化市等高三下学期三模英语试题一、阅读理解Alien Clay by Adrian TchaikovskyOn the distant world of Kiln lie the ruins of an alien civilization. A great mystery awaits humans: who were the builders and where are they now? These questions become realfor Professor Arton Daghdev, exiled (流放) from Earth to Kiln’s off-world labour camp due to his mistake. Facing the planet’s dangerous ecosystem ,Arton fights for survival.Stories of Your Life and Others by Ted ChiangA sci-fi classic in a brand-new edition. From a high Babylonian tower that connects a flat Earth to the sky above, to an alien language that challenges our very sense of time and reality, Chiang’s unique imagination invites readers to question their understanding of the universe and their place in it.War Bodies by Neal AsherIn a world ruled by robots, the Cyberat face a rebellion (叛乱) when the human Polity arrives.Piper, raised as a weapon, seeks help from the Polity after his parents are caught by enemies. As war worsens,Piper must face the puzzling technology implanted in his own body. It could either end their fight or cause serious consequences. The future of civilization hangs in the balance as the battle unfolds.In the Lives of Puppets by TJ KluneIn a strange little home built into the branches of a forest live three robots.Vic Lawson,a human, lives there too.The day Vic repairs an unfamiliar android labelled“HAP”, he learns of a shared criminal past between the robots — a past spent in hunting humans. The robots, once hidden and safe, are now exposed.1.Which book explores the relations between humans and the universe?A.Alien Clay.B.In the Lives of Puppets.C.War Bodies.D.Stories of Your Life and Others. 2.Whose book uncovers the crime done by robots to humans?A.Adrian Tchaikovsky’s.B.Ted Chiang’s.C.Neal Asher’s.D.TJ Klune’s.3.Who is the text probably intended for?A.Book reviewers.B.Sci-fi lovers.C.Universe researchers.D.Robot developers.Virginia’s McAfee Knob is one of the most famous spots along the Appalachian Trail, offering a beautiful view of forests and valleys. Thousands of hikers visit it each year to take in the scenery. Recently, a new agreement was reached to protect much of this view forever. Two conservation groups, the Appalachian Trail Conservancy (ATC) and The Conservation Fund, have bought 850 acres of land from six different owners below the Knob. This area, now called the McAfee Vista Preserve, will not only maintain the view but also help restore wildlife habitats.Heather Richards from The Conservation Fund expressed joy at the completion of the deal. She praised the cooperation between the organizations involved and the landowners for their commitment to conservation.McAfee Knob is extremely popular, with around 50,000 visitors annually. It is so iconic that when Google featured the Appalachian Trail in the Doodle on their homepage in October, they used an illustration of McAfee Knob. However, this popularity has led to some challenges. For instance, there have been concerns about garbage attracting bears and the need for better management of visitor numbers and facilities.This recent acquisition is part of ongoing efforts by the ATC to protect views along the trail. Over the past four years, they, along with partners like The Conservation Fund and the Roanoke Appalachian Trail Club, have purchased about 1,300 acres from various landowners.However, the funding for this purchase has raised some controversy (争议). A significant part of the money came from the Mountain Valley Pipeline project, which has faced opposition due to its potential impact on the environment. Despite initially opposing the plan, the ATC entered into an agreement with its developers to receive funding for conservation efforts.The ATC also received support from other sources, such as the Virginia Outdoors Foundation’s Forest CORE Fund and donations from members of both the ATC and the Roanoke Appalachian Trail Club.4.What is the new agreement in paragraph 1 about?A.Land purchase.B.Tourism limitation.C.Demand for funding.D.Resource management.5.What’s Heather Richards’attitude towards the deal?A.Uncaring.B.Doubtful.C.Favorable.D.Mixed.6.How does the author introduce the popularity of McAfee Knob?A.By presenting facts.B.By conducting an analysis.C.By making comparisons.D.By explaining a concept.7.Which of the following about the A TC agrees with the text?A.It served as the only sponsor.B.It gave in to a certain extent.C.It refused donations in any form.D.It approved of the plan originally.For people living with dementia (痴呆), a new program offers a supportive path to building social connections and reducing loneliness through music. Led by the Institute for Therapy through the Arts, Musical Bridges to Memory (MBM) is a12-week program designed to bridge relationships between people with dementia, their families, and the greater community that serve them through live musical interactions, training, and research in music-based approaches.MBM gags participants in weekly sessions, which include interactive performances and training in communication skills to improve caregivers’ relationships with loved ones living with dementia. According to a 2022 study that examined MBM’s impacts, this music-based therapy (疗法) can increase social engagement between caregivers and their loved ones despite ongoing declines in cognitive (认知的) health.Research shows people with dementia benefit from interventions that control their preserved cognitive and functional abilities. Music taps into our implicit memory (内隐记忆) , linking us to past experiences and emotions without the need for conscious awareness. This is especially true for music that is personally meaningful to us, such as a favorite song, which can promote brain plasticity and cognition.Neurologist Dr. Ronald Devere notes, “Musical understanding, musical emotion, andmusical memory can survive long after other forms of memory and cognitive function have disappeared." Even as cognition declines, music can help to promote connection and shared communication — making it an efficient tool to support people with dementia.In addition to improving communication, MBM positively impacts mood and alleviates the caregiver’s burden. Caregivers who participated in this program reported significant reductions in distress (痛苦) as a result of improved communication through music. In short, the program’s positive health impacts extend beyond individuals with dementia to their families and loved ones because it facilitates communication and social connection, particularly in cases where verbal language is no longer possible.These findings add to decades of research that demonstrates music can positively impact our health, and they provide further insights into the benefits of the MBM program to people with dementia and their caregivers. They also correspond with other community-based interventions to use music to promote healing.8.What can we learn about the MBM program?A.It needs to be more creative.B.It cures patients of dementia.C.It targets more than dementia patients.D.It involves different types of musical instruments.9.How does music affect dementia patients?A.It makes their memory implicit.B.It promotes their conscious awareness.C.lt can bring back their past memories.D.It enables all their memories to stay long.10.What does the underlined word “alleviates" in paragraph 5 mean?A.Relieves.B.Shifts.C.Distributes.D.Measures.11.Which aspect of the program does the last paragraph stress?A.Its focus.B.Its significance.C.Its background.D.Its process.Educational optimists predict that AI will soon provide amazing efficiencies and progress in teaching and learning. But are efficiency and machine logic what our students need most?It’s certainly true that AI is a wonderful new tool dramatically transforming human life. AI is improving in speed and scope to recognize patterns in extremely complex data sets of all types, allowing it to make predictions about what might come next, be it a purchase of a customer, a word in a sentence , a sound in spoken language, or countless other processes.AI can answer specific complex questions or perform complex calculations at a rate impossible for the human mind to comprehend, let alone compete with. It can also create images and speeches which not only imitate reality but surpass it to meet programmed standards of excellence.However, although these may be helpful to adults seeking to improve productivity, it is necessary to follow G.K. Chesterton’s advice that children should not be subjected to educational projects and ideas younger than they are. Allowing students to avoid traditional learning methods with AI will have uncertain and potentially harmful results. The same could be true of educators’dependence on AI for student assessment and lesson planning. In education at least, it is quite possible that AI will work against natural human development and provide not a shortcut to human formation but a short circuit.Despite AI’s influence, traditional learning and writing assignments are crucial for promoting learning and cognitive development. Homework, similar to music practice, teaches discipline and skills essential for personal growth and future success. Deceptive(欺诈的)practices harm genuine learning, spoiling students’ competitiveness in an AI-dominated job market. Reliance on AI-generated content weakens critical thinking and creativity, damaging students’ intellectual growth. Moreover, it devalues the role of teachers in guiding students’development. In contrast, real engagement with homework cultivates invaluable human qualities essential in an AI-driven world, ensuring students’ competitive advantage and overall development. 12.Which best describes AI according to paragraph 2?A.Unavoidable.B.Dangerous.C.Time-consuming.D.Life-changing.13.What’s the author’s purpose in writing paragraph 3?A.To argue against the involvement of AI in education.B.To clarify the role of AI in promoting efficiency.C.To explore the possibility of applying AI to study.D.To present educators’reliance on AI in class.14.What does the author say about traditional learning methods?A.They are out of date now.B.They have a fair reason to stay.C.They make students less competitive.D.They weaken students’overall development.15.What would be a suitable title for the text?A.The Rise of AIB.The Role of Traditional LearningC.Do Students Really Need AI?D.Does AI Help with Productivity?Have you ever changed jobs or moved to an unfamiliar city, only to find yourself wondering how to connect with new people? 16 However, a connection is a part of what it means to be human. When we do it well, our lives are far more fulfilling. Here are a few tips to help you build and strengthen connections with people.Be your real selfYou can’t go wrong with being yourself. Pretending to be someone you aren’t can lead your relationships to be built on lies and cause confusion in the future. 17 They forget that being themselves is how they make genuine connections.Respect people’s boundariesIt’s likely that when you get to know someone new, you’ll discover their limits quickly. In order to build a meaningful relationship with that person, you must respect the boundaries. 18 Otherwise,the connection will be killed.Move past the surface levelMeaningful connections move past the basics of small talk.Yes, the first time you meet someone, you can cover surface-level facts. 19 What are their values? What types of goals do they have for the future? What are their biggest hopes and dreams? These are all questions that give more insight into who they are and how we can connect with them.20One of the best ways to learn how to connect with other people is learning to be present. And don’t just be present mentally. Use your body language to show that they have your full attention. If you aren’t facing the person who’s speaking, they won’t feel like you care about connecting with them.A.Stay focused on the present.B.Be genuine with your admiration.C.Building relationships can be tough.D.Don’t push them to share things that they don’t want to.E.It can also reduce stress and awkwardness for both of you.F.People make such a mistake when they desperately want to fit in.G.However, after you’ve been talking for a while, try to go deeper.二、完形填空Frank Herbert’s 1965 novel Dune is widely considered one of the best sci-fi books ever written. It is also one of the first to take environmental concerns 21 .“It’s really calling attention to the 22 to think ecologically,” says Gerry Canavan, co-editor of the history of science fiction. “Prior to that moment, people just weren’t thinking in that way.”Herbert 23 to find a publisher for Dune, facing 23 rejections before it was finally 24 by Chilton Book Company. As the book gained 25 -winning two most prestigious(有声望的)prizes in science fiction and eventually selling around 20 million copies 26 -it began to affect pop culture.Dune 27 the environmental movement, which Herbert largely embraced. “I’m 28 to be put in the position of telling my grandchildren ‘Sorry, no more world for you. We have 29 all the resources,’” Herbert said at the first Earth Day in 1970.Herbert was one of the earliest to 30 renewable energy ,installing(安装) his own solar collector and windmill. He believed that understanding the 31 of human actions could reduce environmental damage.The 32 for Dune came from Herbert’s visit to Oregon’s sand dunes in 1957, where he 33 efforts to stabilize the landscape from local people. His novel serves as a cautionary tale about humanity’s relationship with the environment and the disastrous effects of 34 resource exploitation(开发).Dune challenges readers to consider the impact of their actions on the planet and serves as a 35 of the importance of sustainable living. 21.A.personally B.literally C.seriously D.equally 22.A.necessity B.attempt C.agreement D.freedom 23.A.happened B.struggled C.chosen D.hesitated 24.A.dismissed B.accepted C.recommended D.purchased 25.A.permission B.control C.trust D.popularity 26.A.in time B.in turn C.in advance D.in total 27.A.challenged B.pushed C.skipped D.simplified 28.A.unwilling B.unfortunate C.unsuitable D.unlikely 29.A.picked up B.given up C.used up D.piled up 30.A.advocate B.assign C.investigate D.deliver 31.A.similarity B.consequences C.flexibility D.strengths 32.A.support B.proposal C.inspiration D.desire 33.A.witnessed B.spared C.confirmed D.graded 34.A.limited B.balanced C.unchecked D.unchanged 35.A.review B.symbol C.victim D.reminder三、语法填空阅读下面短文,在空白处填入1个适当的单词或括号内单词的正确形式。

高中英语阅读理解高难度单项选择题50题

高中英语阅读理解高难度单项选择题50题

高中英语阅读理解高难度单项选择题50题1. The passage mainly discusses _____.A. the history of a cityB. the culture of a countryC. the development of a technologyD. the benefits of a new policy答案:D,In the passage, the author spends most of the text elaborating on the advantages and positive impacts of the new policy. A, B, and C are only briefly mentioned or not the main focus.2. It can be inferred from the passage that _____.A. the project will be completed soonB. there are some challenges aheadC. more funds are neededD. the team is very experienced答案:B,The text mentions certain difficulties and obstacles faced during the process, suggesting that there are challenges to overcome in the future. Options A, C, and D are not directly indicated or inferred from the given information.3. What is the main idea of Paragraph 3?A. A new theory is introduced.B. An example is provided.C. A problem is analyzed.D. A solution is proposed.答案:C,Paragraph 3 mainly focuses on dissecting and explaining a particular problem, rather than introducing a new theory, providing an example, or proposing a solution.4. The author mentions "example X" to _____.A. illustrate a pointB. compare two thingsC. introduce a new conceptD. show contrast答案:A,The "example X" is used to clarify and support a specific point made by the author, not for comparison, introducing a new concept, or showing contrast.5. According to the passage, which of the following is true?A. Option AB. Option BC. Option CD. Option D答案:A,Careful reading of the passage reveals that the details and information presented support Option A. The other options either contain incorrect information or are not in line with the text.6. What can we conclude from the passage about the character?A. He is brave.B. He is intelligent.C. He is kind-hearted.D. He is cautious.答案:B,Throughout the passage, the character's actions and decisions demonstrate his intelligence in handling various situations.7. The tone of the passage is _____.A. optimisticB. pessimisticC. neutralD. critical答案:A,The language and overall message of the passage conveya sense of hope and positive outlook, indicating an optimistic tone.8. Which statement best summarizes the passage?A. Statement AB. Statement BC. Statement CD. Statement D答案:C,Statement C captures the key points and main ideas presented in the passage more accurately than the other options.9. It is implied in the passage that _____.A. a change is comingB. a decision has been madeC. a problem has been solvedD. a goal has been achieved答案:A,Hints and indications within the text suggest that a change is on the horizon, while the other options are not strongly suggested or supported.10. The main purpose of the passage is to _____.A. informB. persuadeC. entertainD. describe答案:A,The content of the passage is primarily focused on presenting facts and information, with the aim of informing the reader.11. The main idea of the passage is _____.A. to describe a beautiful sceneryB. to introduce a new technologyC. to tell a funny storyD. to explain a scientific phenomenon答案:D,The passage mainly focuses on explaining a complex scientific concept and its related details. Option A only mentions the scenery, which is not the main focus. Option B about a new technology is not the core topic. Option C, a funny story, is not the main content of the passage.12. The author's attitude towards the topic is _____.A. positiveB. negativeC. neutralD. uncertain答案:A,Throughout the passage, the author presents various positive aspects and benefits related to the topic, indicating a positive attitude. Option B would imply criticism or pessimism, which is not evident. Option C, neutral, doesn't match the author's clear advocacy. Option D, uncertain, is not supported as the author expresses definite opinions.13. What is the main purpose of the text?A. To informB. To persuadeC. To entertainD. To warn答案:A,The text mainly provides factual information and details to convey knowledge, suggesting an informative purpose. Option B aims at convincing the readers, which is not the main intention. Option C, to entertain, would involve more elements of fun or diversion, not present here. Option D, to warn, is not the main goal as there is no sense of caution.14. The overall tone of the passage is _____.A. seriousB. humorousC. sadD. excited答案:A,The language and content of the passage are presented in a serious and matter-of-fact manner. Option B, humorous, would involve jokes or light-hearted elements not present. Option C, sad, doesn't fit the tone as there is no expression of sorrow. Option D, excited, implies enthusiasm which is not the dominant tone.15. The central theme of the article is _____.A. love and friendshipB. adventure and explorationC. history and cultureD. science and innovation答案:C,The article primarily discusses historical events and cultural aspects, making this the central theme. Option A is not the main focus. Option B, adventure and exploration, are not the core subjects. Option D, science and innovation, may be mentioned but not as the main theme.16. The author's main point in the passage is to _____.A. raise awarenessB. solve a problemC. compare different ideasD. present a theory答案:A,The author emphasizes the importance of certain issues to raise public awareness. Option B, solving a problem, is not the main objective. Option C, comparing different ideas, is not the primary focus. Option D, presenting a theory, is not the main point; rather, it's about making people aware.17. What is the key message the author wants to convey?A. The importance of teamworkB. The benefits of exerciseC. The value of educationD. The need for environmental protection答案:D,The author spends significant time discussing the current state of the environment and the necessity of protection. Option A, teamwork, is not the main emphasis. Option B, exercise benefits, are not the key message. Option C, education value, is not the central topic.18. The main focus of the text is _____.A. art and literatureB. politics and economyC. sports and healthD. technology and development答案:B,The content of the text mainly deals with political systems and economic issues. Option A, art and literature, are not the main subjects. Option C, sports and health, are not the core areas. Option D, technology and development, are not the primary focus.19. The main idea expressed in the passage can be summarized as _____.A. a personal experienceB. a social issueC. a scientific discoveryD. a historical event答案:B,The passage mainly discusses a widespread social problem and its implications. Option A, a personal experience, is not the main content. Option C, a scientific discovery, is not the central idea. Option D, a historical event, is not the main focus.20. The author's perspective on the matter is _____.A. optimisticB. pessimisticC. realisticD. idealistic答案:C,The author presents a balanced and factual assessment, indicating a realistic perspective. Option A, optimistic, would show more hope and positivity. Option B, pessimistic, would convey more negativityand doubt. Option D, idealistic, implies a visionary or utopian view, which is not the case.21. The word "obscure" in the passage is closest in meaning to:A. clearB. confusingC. famousD. unknown答案:D,In the context, the word "obscure" is used to describe something that is not well-known or hard to understand. Option A "clear" means easily understood and is the opposite of "obscure". Option B "confusing" implies causing confusion but not necessarily indicating a lack of familiarity. Option C "famous" means widely known, which is contrary to the meaning of "obscure". So, the correct answer is D "unknown".22. What does the phrase "on the verge of" mean in the following sentence?A. far away fromB. in the middle ofC. close toD. completely inside答案:C,The phrase "on the verge of" typically suggests being very close to a particular state or situation. Option A "far away from"indicates a significant distance. Option B "in the middle of" implies being in the center. Option D "completely inside" means being fully within. Therefore, the correct meaning is C "close to".23. The term "precarious" in the text can be best replaced by:A. stableB. dangerousC. safeD. certain答案:B,"Precarious" is often used to describe a situation that is risky or unstable. Option A "stable" means firm and not likely to change. Option C "safe" indicates the absence of danger. Option D "certain" implies being definite and sure. Hence, the appropriate substitution is B "dangerous".24. What is the meaning of "elusive" as used in the passage?A. easy to catchB. difficult to find or understandC. obviousD. common答案:B,"Elusive" means something that is hard to find, catch or understand. Option A "easy to catch" is the opposite. Option C "obvious" means easily seen or understood. Option D "common" means occurring frequently. Thus, the correct answer is B.25. The word "profound" in the article is most similar in meaning to:A. shallowB. deepC. simpleD. surface答案:B,"Profound" indicates having deep meaning or great significance. Option A "shallow" means not deep. Option C "simple" means easy and not complex. Option D "surface" refers to the outer layer. So, the answer is B.26. What does the expression "at a glance" mean in this context?A. after a careful examinationB. with a quick lookC. without lookingD. by looking many times答案:B,"At a glance" means by taking a quick look. Option A "after a careful examination" involves detailed study. Option C "without looking" is the opposite. Option D "by looking many times" is not the meaning of "at a glance". Hence, the correct option is B.27. The word "conspicuous" in the text can be replaced by:A. hiddenB. noticeableC. invisibleD. secret答案:B,"Conspicuous" means easily noticed or visible. Option A "hidden" means not visible. Option C "invisible" means cannot be seen. Option D "secret" implies being kept hidden. So, the suitable replacement is B "noticeable".28. What is the meaning of "ambiguous" in the following sentence?A. clear and definiteB. having more than one possible meaningC. simple and straightforwardD. easy to understand答案:B,"Ambiguous" means having multiple possible interpretations or being unclear. Option A "clear and definite" is the opposite. Option C "simple and straightforward" implies being easy to understand. Option D "easy to understand" also contradicts the meaning of "ambiguous". Thus, the correct answer is B.29. The term "sporadic" in the passage is closest in meaning to:A. frequentB. regularC. occasionalD. continuous答案:C,"Sporadic" describes something that occurs irregularly or only at intervals. Option A "frequent" means happening often. Option B"regular" implies a consistent pattern. Option D "continuous" means without interruption. Therefore, the answer is C "occasional".30. What does the phrase "by and large" mean in the text?A. in detailB. generallyC. specificallyD. exactly答案:B,"By and large" is an idiomatic expression that means on the whole or generally. Option A "in detail" refers to providing specific and31. The author implies that the main reason for the success of the new product is _____.A. its low priceB. its unique designC. extensive advertisingD. good customer serviceAnswer: B. The passage suggests that the unique design of the product sets it apart from competitors and is the key factor for its success. Options A, C, and D are mentioned but not emphasized as the main reason.32. It can be inferred from the passage that the company's future plans include _____.A. expanding into new marketsB. reducing production costsC. launching a similar productD. improving the existing productAnswer: A. The text hints at the company's ambition to explore new geographical areas for business growth, indicating expansion into new markets. The other options are not strongly indicated.33. The passage suggests that the problem could have been avoided if _____.A. better planning had been doneB. more resources had been allocatedC. quicker decisions had been madeD. different strategies had been adoptedAnswer: A. The context implies that insufficient or improper planning led to the problem. The other options might have helped but are not the core reason as suggested.34. What can be deduced from the writer's tone in the passage?A. OptimisticB. PessimisticC. NeutralD. DoubtfulAnswer: A. The overall language and expressions used by the writerconvey a sense of optimism about the subject matter. The other tones are not consistent with the text.35. It is implicit in the passage that the relationship between the two characters is _____.A. friendlyB. hostileC. indifferentD. complexAnswer: D. The description of their interactions and exchanges implies a complex nature that is not straightforwardly friendly, hostile, or indifferent.36. The passage implies that the new policy will have the greatest impact on _____.A. small businessesB. large corporationsC. consumersD. government agenciesAnswer: A. The details provided suggest that small businesses will be most affected by the new policy due to their limited resources and size.37. What can be inferred about the research findings based on the passage?A. They are conclusiveB. They are controversialC. They need further validationD. They have wide applicationsAnswer: C. The text indicates that while the research has some interesting results, more work is needed to fully validate and understand their implications.38. It can be deduced from the passage that the main challenge faced by the organization is _____.A. lack of fundsB. internal conflictsC. intense competitionD. changing regulationsAnswer: C. The discussion highlights the competitive environment as the primary obstacle for the organization's progress.39. The passage suggests that the solution to the problem lies in_____.A. technological innovationB. better managementC. increased investmentD. changing consumer behaviorAnswer: B. The analysis indicates that improved management practices would address the root causes of the problem effectively.40. What is implied about the future of the industry mentioned in the passage?A. Bright and promisingB. Uncertain and riskyC. Stable and predictableD. Declining and hopelessAnswer: B. The various factors and uncertainties discussed in the passage suggest an unclear and risky future for the industry.41. The author's main purpose in writing the passage is to _____.A. informB. entertainC. persuadeD. describe答案:A,In this type of question, you need to understand the overall tone and content of the passage. If the passage presents facts and information, the purpose is usually to inform. Options B, C, and D have different intentions and don't match the nature of the given text.42. What can be inferred from the passage?A. The situation will improve soon.B. A new solution has been found.C. The problem remains unsolved.D. More efforts are needed.答案:C,To infer means to draw a conclusion based on the given information. Analyze the details and context to determine the most likely outcome. Here, the passage doesn't provide evidence for options A and B, and option D is too general. The text implies that the problem is still ongoing.43. The word "elusive" in the passage probably means _____.A. easy to understandB. difficult to catchC. clearly expressedD. frequently mentioned答案:B,When encountering vocabulary in context questions, look at the surrounding words and sentences for clues. In this case, "elusive" is likely to mean something hard to grasp or obtain, similar to "difficult to catch".44. According to the passage, which of the following statements is true?A. Option AB. Option BC. Option CD. Option D答案:B,Carefully compare each option with the information presented in the passage. Check for accuracy and consistency todetermine the correct statement.45. The passage is mainly about _____.A. a person's experienceB. a historical eventC. a scientific discoveryD. a cultural phenomenon答案:D,Summarize the main ideas and themes of the passage to identify its core topic. Consider the key elements and recurring themes to make the correct choice.46. What is the tone of the passage?A. OptimisticB. PessimisticC. NeutralD. Critical答案:C,The tone refers to the author's attitude. Analyze the language and expressions used to determine if it's positive, negative, or neutral.47. Which of the following best summarizes the passage?A. Option AB. Option BC. Option CD. Option D答案:A,Look for the option that captures the essential points and main ideas of the entire passage without leaving out crucial details.48. The author mentions _____ in order to _____.A. example A; illustrate a pointB. example B; provide evidenceC. example C; contrast with something elseD. example D; introduce a new concept答案:A,Understand the purpose behind the author's inclusion of specific examples and how they contribute to the overall message.49. What conclusion can be drawn from the last paragraph?A. Conclusion AB. Conclusion BC. Conclusion CD. Conclusion D答案:D,Focus on the final paragraph and analyze the information presented to reach a logical conclusion.50. The main idea of this passage can be best expressed as _____.A. Option AB. Option BC. Option CD. Option D答案:C,Synthesize the entire passage to identify the overarchingconcept or message that ties everything together.。

大学英语四六级考试

大学英语四六级考试
Pass Rate
The pass rate for the CET Band 4 and Band 6 exams varies depending on the year and the difficulty of the specific exam. Generally, the pass rate for Band 6 is lower than that for Band 4, as it is a more challenging exam.
College English Test Band 4 and 6
目录
• Overview of College English Test Band 4 and Band 6
• Listening comprehension • reading comprehension
目录
• Writing and Translation • Exam Skills and Preparation
03 reading comprehension
Analysis of Reading Comprehension Question Types
Main Idea Questions
Identify the central idea or main point of a passage.
Detail-Focused Questions
Band 6, with Band 6 generally covering a broader range of content and更高的要求。
Exam Structure
The structure of the exam typically includes multiple-choice questions, short answer questions, and essay-type tasks. The number and difficulty of questions

annotating a text 名词解释

annotating a text 名词解释

annotating a text 名词解释"Annotating a Text: A Guide to Enhancing Understanding"Introduction:When faced with a complex text or document, annotating can be a valuable tool to aid comprehension, analysis, and retention of information. This article aims to provide a comprehensive guide on how to effectively annotate a text, highlighting its importance and suggesting techniques to enhance understanding.Definition:Annotating a text refers to the process of adding notes, comments, or highlights to a written document. These annotations serve to capture the reader's thoughts, questions, connections, or interpretations while engaging with the text. By using various annotation techniques, readers can actively interact with the content, promoting deeper understanding and critical thinking.Importance of Annotation:1. Enhancing Comprehension: Annotating a text helps to clarify complex concepts, unfamiliar terms, or challenging passages, making the content more accessible and easier to understand.2. Fostering Active Reading: By encouraging readers to actively engage with the text, annotation promotes focus and concentration, preventing mindless reading and improving overall retention.3. Encouraging Critical Analysis: Annotations allow readers to critically analyze the text by highlighting significant points, identifying key arguments, or challenging the author's perspective. This critical engagement fosters independent thinking and intellectual growth.4. Facilitating Review and Retrieval: Annotated texts act as personal study aids, providing a quick reference to key ideas or supporting evidence. During revisions or discussions, annotations serve as valuable reminders of previously understood concepts.Techniques for Effective Annotation:1. Highlighting and Underlining: Use different colors to mark keywords, main ideas, or important quotes. This visually organizes information and allows for quick reference.2. Margin Notes: Write short comments or questions in the margins to express thoughts, make connections, or seek clarification on specific passages.3. Summarizing: Condense paragraphs or sections into concise summaries. This forces the reader to distill the main ideas, aiding comprehension and retention.4. Questioning: Pose questions directly within the text to prompt further investigation, challenge assumptions, or seek clarification for unclear concepts.5. Connecting: Make connections to prior knowledge, personal experiences, or related texts. This helps to deepen understanding and create a more holistic perspective.6. Cross-referencing: Refer to other sections within the same text or external sources to enhance comprehension or support arguments. Avoid excessive reliance on external sources to maintain focus on the original text.Conclusion:Annotation is a powerful tool that allows readers to actively engage with texts, enhancing comprehension, critical thinking, and retention. By adopting effective annotation techniques, readers can unlock deeper layers of meaning, making their reading experience more fruitful and enriching. So grab a pen and start annotating to unlock the full potential of any text!。

英语四级考试指导(作文和听力)

英语四级考试指导(作文和听力)

Gap-filling Exercises
Exercises that ask the test taker to fill in the missing information in a passage or dialogue, which can be used to improve notetaking and comprehension skills.
04
Simulated test questions and answer analysis
Simulated test question one and answer analysis
Simulated Test Question One
Write a paragraph about your favorite book.
Scripts and Transcripts
The written version of the audio materials, which can be used for comprehension and analysis.
Multiplechoice Questions
A set of questions based on the audio materials, which can be used for practice and training.
Listening exercise materials
Authentic Materials
Materials that are similar to real-life English usage, such as podcasts, news broadcasts, and conversations.

From gaze to focus of attention

From gaze to focus of attention

From Gaze to Focus of AttentionRainer Stiefelhagen,Michael Finke,Jie Yang,Alex Waibelstiefel@a.de,finkem@,yang+@,ahw@Interactive Systems LaboratoriesUniversity of Karlsruhe—Germany,Carnegie Mellon University—USAAbstractIdentifying human gaze or eye-movement ultimately serves the purpose of identifying an individual’s focus of at-tention.The knowledge of a person’s object of interest helps us effectively communicate with other humans by allow-ing us to identify our conversants’interests,state of mind, and/or intentions.In this paper we propose to track focus of attention of several participants in a meeting.Attention does not necessarily coincide with gaze,as it is a perceptual variable,as opposed to a physical one(eye or head posi-tioning).Automatic tracking focus of attention is therefore achieved by modeling both,the persons head movements as well as the relative locations of probable targets of interest in a room.Over video sequences taken in a meeting situa-tion,the focus of attention could be identified up to98%of the time.1.IntroductionDuring face-to-face communication such as discussions or meetings,humans not only use verbal means,but also a variety of visual cues for communication.For example, people use gestures;look at each other;and monitor each other’s facial expressions during a conversation.In this re-search we are interested in tracking at whom or what a per-son is looking during a meeting.Thefirst step towards this goal is tofind out at which direction a person is looking,i.e.his/her gaze.Whereas a person’s gaze is determined by his head pose as well as his eye gaze,we only consider head pose as the indicator of the gaze in this paper.Related work on estimating human head pose can be categorized in two approaches:model based and example based approaches:In model-based approaches usually a number of facial features,such as eyes,nostrils, lip-corners,have to be located.Knowing the relative po-sitions of these facial features,the head pose can be com-puted[2,8,3].Detecting the facial features,however,is a challenging problem and tracking is likely to fail.Example based approaches either use some kind of function approxi-mation technique such as neural networks[1,7,6],or a face database[4]to encode example images.Head pose of new images is then estimated using the function approximator, such as the neural networks,or by matching novel images to the examples in the database.With example based ap-proaches usually no facial landmark detection is needed, instead the whole facial image is used for classification. In the Interactive Systems Lab,we have worked on both approaches.We employed purely neural network[7]and model-based approaches to estimate a user’s head pose[8]. We also demonstrated that a hybrid approach could enhance robustness of a model based system[9].In this paper,we extend the neural network approach to estimating the head pose in a more unrestricted situation.A major contribution of this paper is to use hidden markov model(HMM)to detect a user’s focus of attention from an observed sequence of gaze estimates.We are not only interested in which direction a user is looking at dur-ing the meeting,but also want to know at whom or what he is looking.This requires a way of incorporating knowledge about the world into the system to interpret the observed data.HMMs can provide an integrated framework for prob-abilistically interpreting observed signals over time.We have incorporated knowledge about the meeting situation, i.e.the approximate location of participants in the meeting into the HMMs by initializing the states of person depen-dent HMMs appropriately.We are applying these HMMs to tracking at whom the participants in a meeting are looking. The feasibility of the proposed approach have been evalu-ated by experimental results.Figure1shows an overview of our system:For each user,neural nets are used to produce a sequence of gaze observations given the preprocessed facial images.This sequence of gaze observations is used by the HMM to compute the sequence of foci of attention of the user.The remainder of the paper is organized as follows:Sec-tion2describes the neural network based head pose esti-mation approach.In section3we introduce the idea of in-terpreting an observed sequence of gaze directions tofind a user’s focus of attention in each frame;define the under-lying probability model and give experimental results.We summarize the paper in section4.ANNs HMM2.Estimating Head Pose with Neural NetsThe main advantage of using neural networks to estimate head pose as compared to using a model based approach is its robustness:With model based approaches to head pose estimation[2,8,3],head pose is computed byfinding corre-spondences between facial landmarks points(such as eyes, nostrils,lip corners)in the image and their respective lo-cations in a head model.Therefore these approaches rely on tracking a minimum number of facial landmark points in the image correctly,which is a difficult task and is likely to fail.On the other hand,the neural network-based approach doesn’t require tracking detailed facial features because the whole facial region is used for estimating the user’s head pose.In our approach we are using neural networks to esti-mate pan and tilt of a person’s head,given automatically ex-tracted and preprocessed facial images as input to the neural net.Our approach is similar to the approach as described by Schiele et.al.[7].However,the system described in[7]es-timated only head rotation in pan direction.In this research we use neural network to estimate head rotation in both pan and tilt directions.In addition,we have studied two differ-ent image preprocessing approaches.Rae et.al.[6]describe a user dependent neural network based system to estimate pan and tilt of a person.In their approach,color segmenta-tion,ellipsefitting and Gabor-filtering on a segmented face are used for preprocessing.They report an average accuracy of9degrees for pan and7degrees for tilt for one user with a user dependent system.In the remainder of this section we describe our neural net based approach to estimate user’s head pose(pan and tilt).First we desribe how we collected data to train and test the neural networks.Then the two different image pre-processing approaches that we investigated and the neural network architecture are described.Finally we present ex-perimental results that we obtained using different types and combinations of input images for the neural nets.2.1.Data Collection SetupDuring data collection,the person that we collected data from had to sit on a chair on a specific location in the room, with his eyes at a height of approximately130cm.In a dis-tance of one meter and at a height of one meter a video camera to record the images was placed on a tripod.We placed marks on three walls and thefloor on which the user had to look one after another.The marks where placed in such a way that the user had to look in specific well known directions.The marks ranged from-90degrees to+90de-grees for pan,with one mark each ten degrees,and from +15degrees to-60degrees for tilt,with one mark each15 degrees.This means that during data collection the user had to look at19x6specific points,from top to bottom and left to right.Once the user was looking at a mark,he could press a mouse-button,and5images were being recorded to hard-disk,together with the labels indicating the current head pose.This resulted in a set of570images per user. In order to collect slightly different facial images for each pose,the user was asked to speak with the person assisting the data collection.Figure2shows two example images recorded during data collection.In this way,we collected data of14male and2female subjects.Approximately half of the persons were wearingglasses.2.2.Preprocessing of ImagesWe investigated two different preprocessing approaches: Using normalized grayscale images of the user’s face as the input to the neural nets and applying edge detection to the images before feeding them into the nets.To locate and ex-tract the faces from the collected images,we have used a statistical skin color model[10].The largest skin colored region in the input image was selected as the face.In thefirst preprocessing approach,histogram normal-ization was applied to the grayscale face images as a means towards normalizing against different lighting conditions. No additional feature extraction was performed and the nor-malized grayscale images were downsampled to afixed size of20x30images and then used as input to the nets.In the second approach,we applied a horizontal and a vertical edge operator plus tresholding to the facial grayscale images.Then the resulting edge images were downsampled to20x30pixels and were both used as input to the neural nets.Figure3and4show the corresponding preprocessed facial images of the person depicted in Figure 2.From left to right,the normalized grayscale image,thehorizontal and vertical edge images aredepicted.PersonAPersonB2.3.ANN ArchitectureWe trained separate nets to estimate pan and tilt of a per-son’s head.Training was done using a multilayer perceptronarchitecture with one hidden layer and standard backpropa-gation with momentum term.The output layer of the net estimating pan consisted of19units representing19different angles(-90,-80,...,+80,+90degrees).The output layer of the tilt estimating netconsisted of6units representing the tilt angles+15,0,-15,..-60degrees.For both nets we used gaussian output rep-resentation.With a gaussian output representation not onlythe single correct output unit is activated during training,butalso its neighbours receive some training activation decreas-ing with the distance from the correct label.The input retinaof the neural nets varied between20x30units and3x20x30units depending on the different number and types of inputimages that we used for training(see2.4).2.4.Training and ResultsWe trained separate user independent neural nets to es-timate pan and tilt.The neural nets were trained on datafrom twelve subjects from our database and evaluated onthe remaining four other subjects.The data for each userconsisted of570images,which results in a training set sizeof6840images and a test set size of2280images.As input to the neural nets,we have evaluated three dif-ferent approaches:ing histogram normalized grayscale images as in-put to the netsing horizontal and vertical edge images as inputing both,normalized grayscale plus horizontal andvertical edge images as input.Table1summarizes the results that we obtained usingthe different types of input images.When using normal-ized grayscale images as input we obtained a mean error of12.0degrees for pan and13.5degrees for tilt on our fouruser test set.With horizontal and vertical edge images asinput,a slightly worse accuracy for estimating the pan wasing both,normalized grayscale image as wellas the edge images as input to the neural net significantlyincreased the accuracy and led to accuracy of9.0degreesand12.9degrees mean error for pan and tilt respectively.These results show,that it is indeed feasible to train aperson independent neural net based system for head poseestimation.In fact,the obtained results are only slightlyworse than results obtained with a user dependent neural netbased system as described by Rae et.al.[6].As comparedto their results,we did not observe serious degradation ondata from new users.To the contrary,our results indicatethat the neural nets can generalize well to new users.Net Input Pan TiltGrayscale12.013.5Edges14.013.5Edges+Grayscale9.012.9However with the system that we have developed so far, we have observed a problem which still limits the use of the system significantly:when we tested the system on previously recorded data from a meeting that took place in another room,the accuracy of the estimation seriously degraded.We believe that this is mainly due to the very different lighting conditions between the room where data collection for training the nets took place(computer lab,no windows),and the room where the meeting took place(day-light+artificial illumination).Figure5shows two example images recorded during the meeting.Possible solutions to this problem might be to investi-gate other preprocessing methods to reduce the influence of changing illumination and/or collecting more training data under different lighting conditions.3.Modelling Focus of Attention Using HiddenMarkov ModelsThe idea of this research is to map the observed vari-able over time namely the gaze direction to discrete states of what the person is looking at,i.e.his focus of attention. Hidden Markov Models(HMM)can provide an integrated framework for probabilistically interpreting observed sig-nals over time.In this section we describe how we have designed the HMMs to estimate a user’s focus of attention.We have incorporated knowledge about the observed scene,i.e.the approximate location of likely foci of at-tention such as other people in the room,in the Hidden Markov Models.In our model,looking at a certain target is modelled as being in a certain state of the HMM and the observed gaze estimates are considered as being probabilis-tic functions of the different states.Given this model and an observation sequence of gaze directions,as provided by the neural nets,it is then possible tofind the most likely sequence of HMM states that produced the observations. Interpreting being in a certain state as looking at a certain target,it is now possible to estimate a person’s focus of at-tention in each frame.Furthermore,we can iteratively rees-timate the parameters of the HMM so as to maximize the likelihood of the observed gaze directions,leading to more accurate estimates of foci of attention.We have tested our models on image sequences recordedfrom a meeting.In the meeting,four people were sittingaround a table,talking to and looking at each other and sometimes looking onto the table.During this meetingwe had taped each of the speakers using a camera stand-ing on top of the table and having one person in itsfield of view.Figure5shows two example images taken dur-ing data collection of the meeting.For two of the speakers we then estimated their gaze trajectory with the neural netsdescribed in the previous section.For each user we haveapplied an HMM to detect his focus of attention given the observed gaze directions over time.We then applied theuser-dependent HMMs to detect the foci of attention giventhe observed gaze directions over time.In the remainder of this section we describe the design of the HMM,how we have adapted HMM parameters andgive evaluation results on the two videosequences.3.1.HMM DesignKnowing that there were four people sitting around a ta-ble,we modelled the targets for each person P as the fol-lowing four states:P is looking to the person sitting to his right,P is looking to the person to his left,P is looking tothe person in front of him,P is looking down on the table.In our model the observable symbols of each state arethe pose estimation results as given by the neural nets,thatis the angles for pan and tilt and.We have param-eterized the state dependent observation probabilities for each state,where, as two-dimensional gaussian distributions with diagonal co-variance matrices:Assuming that we know the approximate positions of the participants of the meeting relative to each other,we initial-ized the observation probability distributions of the different states with the means of the gaussians set to the expected viewing angle,when looking at the corresponding target. Table2shows the initial values that we have chosen for the respective means.All variances were set to the same value initially.The transition matrix was initialized toStateleft-450center00right+450table0-45have high transition probabilities for remaining in the same state()and uniformly distributed state transition probabilities for all other transitions.The initial state distri-bution was chosen to be uniform.3.2.Probabilistic ModelLet be the sequence of gaze direc-tion observations as predicted by the neural nets.The probability of the observation sequence given the HMM is given by the sum over all possible state sequences q:Tofind the single best state sequence of foci of attention, for a given observation sequence,we need to findThis can be efficiently computed by the Viterbi algorithm [5].Thus,given the HMM and the observation sequence of gaze directions,we can efficientlyfind the sequence of foci of attention using the Viterbi algorithm.So far we have considered the HMM to be initialized by knowledge about the setup of the meeting.It is further-more possible to adapt the model parametersof the HMM so as to maximize.This can be done in the EM(Expectation-Maximizaton)framework by itera-tively computing the most likely state sequence and adapt-ing the model parameters as follows:means:,wherevariances:transition probabilities:number of transition from state toOn our two evaluation sequences,parameter reestimation converged after three andfive iterations respectively.3.3.ResultsTo evaluate the performance of the proposed model,we compared the state-sequence given by the Viterbi-decoding to hand-made labels of where the person was looking to. Both of the evaluated sequences contained500frames and lasted about one and a half minute each.We evaluated the performance of the HMM without model parameter adap-tion and with automatic parameter adaption.Furthermore we evaluated the results obtained by directly mapping the output of the neural nets to the different viewing targets. This mapping was obtained by assigning the network out-put directly to a specific target as described in table3.Table 4reports the obtained results.It can be seen that compared to directly using the output of the neural nets,a significant error reduction can already be obtained by using an HMM without parameter adaption on top of the ANN -ing parameter reestimation however,the error can be fur-thermore reduced by a factor of two to three on our evalua-tion sequences.While performing parameter reestimation on the two se-quences,a significant improvement of the accuracy of the adapted HMMs over the HMMs that were initialized us-ing knowledge could be observed.The means of the gaus-sians,which represent the viewing angles of the different targets,shifted from their initial estimates to values that bet-ter matched the observations over time.assigned state[-90,-30]any“left”[-20,+20][-15,+15]“center”[+30,+90]any“right”[-20,+20][-30,-60]“table”Seq.no HMM HMM,no reest.HMM,reest.A9.4% 5.4% 1.8%B11.6%8.8% 3.8%4.ConclusionIn this paper we have addressed the problem of track-ing a person’s focus of attention during a meeting situation. We have proposed the use of a HMM framework to detect focus of attention from a trajectory of gaze observations and have evaluated the proposed approach on two video se-quences that were taken during a meeting.The obtained results show the feasability of our pared to hand-made labels,accuracy of96%and98%was obtained with the HMM-based estimation of focus of attention.To estimate a person’s gaze we have trained neural net-works to estimate head pose from facial ing a combination of normalized grayscale images,horizontal and vertical edge images of faces as input to the neural nets, we have obtained accuracy of9.0degrees and12.9degrees for pan and tilt respectively on a test set of four users which have not been in the training set of the neural nets.However we observed that under changed lighting con-ditions the neural network based pose estimaton seriously degraded.Possible solutions to this problem could be us-ing other preproceesing methods to reduce the influence of changing illumination and/or collecting more data under different lighting conditions to train the neural nets.References[1] D.Beymer,A.Shashua,and T.Poggio.Example-based im-age analysis and synthesis.In Proceedings of Siggraph’94, 1994.[2] A.H.Gee and R.Cipolla.Non-intrusive gaze tracking forhuman-computer interaction.In Proc.Mechatronics and Machine Vision in Practise,pages112–117,1994.[3]T.Jebara and A.Pentland.Parametrized structure from mo-tion for3d adaptive feedback tracking of faces.In Proceed-ings of Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition,1997. [4] A.Pentland,B.Moghaddam,and T.Starner.View-basedand modular eigenspaces for face recognition.In Proceed-ings of IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition,1994.[5]L.R.Rabiner.Readings in Speech Recognition,chapter ATutorial on Hidden Markov Models and Selected Applica-tions in Speech Recognition,pages267–295.Morgan Kauf-mann,1989.[6]R.Rae and H.J.Ritter.Recognition of human head orienta-tion based on artificial neural networks.IEEE Transactions on neural networks,9(2):257–265,March1998.[7] B.Schiele and A.Waibel.Gaze tracking based on face-color.In International Workshop on Automatic Face-and Gesture-Recognition,pages344–348,1995.[8]R.Stiefelhagen,J.Yang,and A.Waibel.A model-basedgaze tracking system.In Proceedings of IEEE International Joint Symposia on Intelligence and Systems,pages304–310,1996.[9]R.Stiefelhagen,J.Yang,and A.Waibel.Towards track-ing interaction between people.In Proceedings of the AAAI Spring Symposium on Intelligent Environments,pages123–127.AAAI Press,March1998.[10]J.Yang and A.Waibel.A real-time face tracker.In Proceed-ings of WACV,pages142–147,1996.。

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Analyzing and Predicting Focus of Attention In Remote Collaborative Tasks Jiazhi Ou, Lui Min Oh, Susan R. Fussell, Tal Blum, Jie YangCarnegie Mellon University5000 Forbes AvenuePittsburgh, PA 15213, USA{jiazhiou, keithoh, sfussell, tblum, jie.yang}@ABSTRACTTo overcome the limitations of current technologies for remote collaboration, we propose a system that changes a video feed based on task properties, people’s actions, and message properties. First, we examined how participants manage different visual resources in a laboratory experiment using a collaborative task in which one partner (the helper) instructs another (the worker) how to assemble online puzzles. We analyzed helpers’ eye gaze as a function of the aforementioned parameters. Helpers gazed at the set of alternative pieces more frequently when it was harder for workers to differentiate these pieces, and less frequently over repeated trials. The results further suggest that a helper’s desired focus of attention can be predicted based on task properties, his/her partner’s actions, and message properties. We propose a conditional Markov model classifier to explore the feasibility of predicting gaze based on these properties. The accuracy of the model ranged from 65.40% for puzzles with easy-to-name pieces to 74.25% for puzzles with more difficult to name pieces. The results suggest that we can use our model to automatically manipulate video feeds to show what helpers want to see when they want to see it.Categories and Subject DescriptorsH5.3. Information interfaces and presentation (e.g., HCI): Group and organizational interfaces – collaborative computing, computer-supported collaborative workGeneral TermsAlgorithms, Experimentation, Human FactorsKeywordsRemote Collaborative Tasks, Eye Tracking, Focus of Attention, Keyword Spotting, Computer-Supported Cooperative Work1.INTRODUCTIONImagine that an engineer in the United States needs to instruct a technician in India on how to service a faulty machine. They are forced by circumstances to collaborate over geographical distance. The participants in this collaborative task must work on physical objects. Their participation can be differentiated into a helper role (the person offering the knowledge to guide the operations) and a worker role (the person who actually performs the physical actions). Given the dynamic nature of collaborative tasks, helpers and workers must coordinate their interaction, so that assistance is provided in a timely manner.Video systems have emerged to help bridge the distance between remote collaborators on physical tasks by providing them a shared visual space [15] for conversational grounding ([4], [6]). We are interested in how a better understanding of task dynamics can improve existing video systems.Video systems that provide the helper with some view of the worker’s environment have shown to help improve task performance, compared to audio-only systems ([8], [9], [11], [15]). However, these systems are handicapped by the reality of expensive bandwidth consumption and by the limited view angle and mobility of the camera. These systems, at best, can provide only a subset of the visual information available in side-by-side conditions. Some systems have attempted to address these issues by having a pan/tilt/zoom camera remotely controlled by the helper ([17], [18]); however, the task of manipulating the camera interferes with smooth interpersonal communication [21]. Other systems offering multiple views simultaneously are bandwidth intensive, and have not been proven to be beneficial [9]. Systems that allow switching between multiple views (e.g., [10]) circumvent bandwidth limitations, but incur high equipment costs and hinder common understandings of what view of the environment is being shared.We hypothesize that if we can show the remote helper the desired view of the worker’s environment in any specific instance of the task automatically, it will free the helper from having to control the camera. At the same time, the helper will have the necessary visual information to communicate effectively and assist the worker in the collaborative task. Before we can design a system that shows the right view at the right time, however, we need a better understanding of how properties such as the nature of the physical task, partners’ actions, and speech characteristics affect helpers’ visual attention.To examine this issue, we created a real-time collaborative online task in which a remote helper instructs a worker on how to build a puzzle. We first investigated whether the helper’s focus of attention towards the different visual resources showedPermission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee.ICMI’05, October 4–6, 2005, Trento, Italy.Copyright 2005 ACM 1-59593-028-0/05/0010…$5.00.regularities by analyzing the effects of task properties, partner actions, and message content on the helper’s gaze. The results, obtained from previous work [23], suggest that the most beneficial view of the workspace can be predicted based on these parameters. In the current study, we build on previous findings by creating and training a classifier that attempts to predict a helper’s desired focus of attention. Following the development phase, we evaluated the classifier’s performance. The results demonstrate the feasibility of creating intelligent camera systems based on task properties, partner actions, and message content.In the remainder of the paper, we first discuss relevant previous work. Then, we describe the experiment in detail. Next, we present the experimental results, our proposed gaze prediction algorithm, and its subsequent evaluation. We conclude with a discussion of some remaining issues and our plans for future work.2.RELATED WORKThe successful performance of collaborative physical tasks requires tight coordination of conversation and action. People plan their utterances by monitoring others' activities and changes in task status to determine what steps should be taken next. Video conferencing tools that provide remote helpers with views of a workspace lead to more efficient task performance than audio-only communications tools (e.g., [9][22]). However, performance with video systems rarely equals that of face-to-face interaction. This may be because video cameras may not show the right part of a workspace at the right degree of resolution at the right time. Clark’s theory of conversational grounding (e.g., [4] [5]) suggests that helpers will look at targets that help them determine whether or not their messages have been understood as intended. Other research has indicated that gaze patterns of speakers and listeners are closely linked to the words spoken, and help in the timing and synchronization of utterances (e.g., [1]). Vertegaal et al. found that in multi-party conversations, speakers looked at the person they were talking to 77% of the time and listeners looked at the speaker 88% of the time. They also built a multi-agent conversational system that uses eye gaze input to determine to which agent the user is listening or speaking [28]. Stiefelhagen et al. developed a system to estimate participants’ focus of attention from gaze directions and sound sources. They demonstrated that acoustic information provides 8% relative error reduction compared to only using one modality [27].Recent studies demonstrate that people naturally look at objects or devices with which they are interacting. Campana et al. describe a system that uses eye movements to determine what a speaker is referring to [3]. Maglio et al. investigated how people use speech and gaze when interacting with an “office of the future,” in which they could interact with office applications (e.g. Calendar, Map and Address Book) via speech recognition, and found that people nearly always looked at a device before making a request to it [19]. Similaly, Brumitt et al. [2] investigated speech, gesture, touch, and other nontraditional interfaces to control lights in their “Easy Living Lab”, a mock up of a small living room. They reported that people typically looked at the lights they wanted to control.Eye gaze has been used as an important modality for building new human computer interfaces. Earlier work includes eye-controlled interfaces for the disabled [12], and eye gaze word processors [7]. In those interfaces, users can either make use of intentional or natural eye movements. Sibert and Jacob compared eye gaze with mouse input [25]. They found that eye-gaze selecting technology was faster than selecting with a mouse. Stiefelhagen and Yang illustrated a multimodal interface using eye gaze and speech to drive a panoramic image viewer [26].A major problem of gaze-based interfaces is the difficulty in interpreting eye movement patterns due to unconscious eye movements such as saccades and to gaze tracking failure. Jacob [13] approached the problem by predicting a series of fixations separated by saccades and fitting the raw data to this model. Salvucci used hidden Markov models to interpret gaze data and reported good interpretation results in an eye typing study [24]. Oh et. al built a gaze-aware interface, “Look-To-Talk,” (LTT) that could direct the speech to a software agent in a multi-user collaborative environment [20]. They compared LTT to “Talk-To-Talk” (TTT), a spoken keyword-driven paradigm, and “Push-To-Talk” (PTT), a keyboard-driven paradigm. They concluded that LTT is a promising interface. In this research, we are interested in the relationship between spoken utterances and gaze. Our goal is to predict focus of attention from keywords extracted from the dialogue during a collative physical task, i.e., Talk-to-Look.3.METHOD3.1DesignOur experiment used an online jigsaw puzzle task adapted from Kraut and colleagues [16], in which a helper and worker collaborated to construct a series of puzzles. The helper could gaze freely among three areas to obtain visual information as he or she provided instructions:•The pieces bay, in which the puzzle pieces were stored. By monitoring the pieces bay, the helper could assess whether the worker had selected the correct piece from among the alternatives.•The workspace,in which the worker was constructing the puzzle. By monitoring the workspace, the helper could assess whether the worker had positioned a piece correctly.•The target solution, which showed how the puzzle should be constructed. This appeared only on the helper’s screen.We manipulated the differentiability of the puzzle pieces (solid colors vs. shaded) and the complexity of the puzzle (5, 10 or 15 pieces). Each participant completed three puzzles for each condition (piece differentiability x puzzle complexity), randomly presented in a single block. The design formed a 2 (piece differentiability) x 3 (puzzle complexity) x 9 (trial) factorial within-subjects study. The order of the puzzle blocks was counterbalanced across participants.3.2MaterialsWe created 18 target puzzles by randomly selecting color pieces and forming configurations of 5, 10 or 15 pieces (see Figure 1). There were 6 different puzzles for each level of complexity, three formed from a pieces pool with solid colors (easier to describe), and three formed from a pieces pool with shaded colors (harder to describe). In the former case, there were at most two shades of the same color in the pieces pool (e.g., two distinctly different greens, such as bright green and dark green); in the latter case, there were five shades of the same color.Figure 1. Examples of puzzle configurations with 5, 10, and 15pieces, respectively.The worker’s screen was laid out so that the workspace and pieces bay were adjacent to each other. The helper’s display was designed such that the 3 areas (workspace, pieces bay, and target) were in a triangular shape. The helper could shift his/her eye gaze from any area directly to any of the other two areas.3.3Equipment and SoftwareLCD monitors were used for displays and adjusted for color consistency. Sony wireless microphones were used to record the conversation between the subjects on separate channels.An eye tracking system, consisting of an ISCAN RK-426PC pupil/corneal reflection tracker, an ISCAN HMEIS head mounted eye-imaging system with head tracking sensor, a Polhemus InsideTRAK magnetic position sensor, and a stand-alone scene camera, was calibrated to each helper and recorded the intersection of the helper’s line of sight with the screen plane at 60 Hz. The video feed of the scene, showing the coordinates of the helper’s eye gaze and the worker’s actions, was then recorded using a Panasonic DV-VCR.The helper’s focus of attention on any one of the 3 areas (workspace, pieces bay, and target) over time was derived from eye gaze coordinates. To overcome the unreliable metric posed by the zero error of the magnetic sensor and the pupil/corneal reflection tracker, we clustered all gaze coordinates in each session using K-Means vector quantization (VQ). We first chose 3 initial centers in the same triangular fashion as the 3 areas on the helper’s display. Within 10 iterations, the algorithm converged and the outputs were 3 new centers. Subsequently, the helper’s gaze coordinates were indexed based on their proximity to these 3 new centers. An example of the clustering result of the eye gaze coordinates for one of the sessions is shown in Figure 2.Figure 2. An example of eye gaze distribution from one section of the tasks. After running K-Means VQ algorithm we got 3 clusters and classified each point’s focus of attention. 3.4Participants and ProcedureTwenty-four college undergraduate and graduate students, all with normal color vision, participated in this study. Participants were randomly assigned to the helper and worker roles. They were seated in the same room at their respective computer terminals with a barrier between them so that they could hear but not see one another, simulating a remote collaboration environment.The experimenter first calibrated the eye-tracker on the helper. After calibration, the helper gave verbal instructions to the worker on how to select puzzle pieces from the pieces bay and assemble them properly in the workspace to complete the target puzzle. The worker was allowed to converse freely with the helper and ask questions whenever necessary. The helper was able to see the worker’s actions in the pieces bay and workspace. In order to prevent eye fatigue, participants were given a 5-minute break after half of the puzzles were completed. After the break, the experimenter recalibrated the eye-tracker. Sessions lasted 60 to 90 minutes.4.STATISTICAL ANALYSISWe employed statistical analysis to look at the relationships between the helper’s gaze pattern and the following three factors: task properties, worker’s actions and message content. Details of the analysis were presented in [23].4.1Gaze and Task PropertiesTo look at how task properties affect the gaze, we used a mixed-model design in which subjects was a random factor and shading, puzzle complexity, trial, and block were fixed-subjects. This model takes individual differences in gaze into account while computing the fixed effects. For this analysis, we focus on percentage gaze directed at the pieces bay. However, because gaze toward the target (puzzle solution) remained relatively constant, gaze toward the pieces bay and gaze toward the workspace are inversely related (r = -.76). Consequently, the results for gaze toward the workspace show essentially the same pattern of significance but in the opposite direction. Overall, the fit of this model to the data was excellent (R Square = .69). A total of 18% of the variance was accounted for by the subject variable. As shown in Figure 3, gaze toward the pieces bay was significantly higher for shaded than for solid pieces (F [1, 182] = 255.98, p < .0001), and significantly lower for puzzles with more pieces (F [2, 182] = 11.28, p < .0001). There was no interaction between shading and puzzle complexity (F < 1, ns).We also found a significant effect of trial (F [1, 182] = 37.68, p < .0001), indicating that helpers spent less time monitoring the pieces bay over trials. However, as can be seen in Figure 4, the trial effect only held for the easy-to-describe (solid) pieces; for shaded pieces, gaze toward the pieces bay remained high across all trials (for the interaction, F [1, 182] = 27.49, p < .0001).4.2Gaze and Worker’s ActionsWorker actions in the workspace and pieces bay were automatically detected. As anticipated, gaze toward the workspace was higher when the worker was acting in that area, and vice versa when the worker was acting in the pieces bay (see Figure 5). However, the effect of worker actions on gaze was not significant for solid-color puzzles. We assume this is because the solid colors are easy to describe and distinguish so that the helper can beWorkspacePiecesTarget Puzzleconfident that the worker is grabbing the right piece without monitoring the pieces bay.4.3Gaze and Instructional ContentIn order to analyze the relationships between the helper’s eye gaze and the content of their instructions, two coders separated transcribed utterances into clauses and coded each of them as one of the categories shown in Table 1. In a subset of the data, the two coders agreed with each other 95% of the time.Table 1. Coding of clausesCode Instructional Content0 Description of color piece, e.g. “Take the green block”1 Description of location, e.g. “And then put that to theright of the dark gray”2 Correcting color piece, e.g. “A little lighter than that”3 Correcting location, e.g. “It’s on the very right”4 OthersFigure 3. Percentage of gaze directed toward the pieces bay asa function of piece discriminability (shading) and puzzle size.Figure 4. Percentage gaze directed at the pieces bay as a function of piece discriminability and trial. We then computed eye gaze distributions for all clause segments as a function of clause coding. Distributions were computed to 1/60 second (Figure 6). The results illustrate that gaze pattern varies as a function of clause coding (description/correction of the next piece vs. description/correction of its location within the puzzle). When describing a piece, helpers overwhelmingly look at the pieces bay, whereas when they are describing a location, they are much more likely to look at the workspace.Figure 5. Helper gaze as a function of worker actions in theworkspace and pieces bay102030405060700123Clause CodingPercentofHelper'sGazeFigure 6. Relationship between helper message content and gaze toward workspace, pieces bay5. PREDICTING FOCUS OF ATTENTIONThe statistical analysis shows that a helper’s gaze is highly related to the dialogue content and worker’s actions. We implemented a conditional Markov model to predict the helper’s gaze and explore the possibility of building an automated camera system to support remote physical collaboration.5.1 The ProblemWe define the problem as a classification problem. Given a section of the puzzle task with the sequence of transcribed words as {w 1, w 2, …, w N }, their corresponding start times derived from the wave signals by the speech recognizer as {s 1, e 1, s 2, e 2, …, s N , e N }, then the worker’s action m t at time t is obtained by the analysis of the mouse click/move events. {}1,0,1!"t m , where -1, 0, 1 are the codes for Not-Moving, Moving-in-Workspace, and Moving-in-Pieces-Bay respectively. g t is defined as the helper’s gaze coded at time t ,{}2,1,0!t g , where 0, 1, 2 are the codes for workspace, piecesbay, and target respectively. m t and g t were processed at a sampling rate of 60HZ. An example of how a helper’s dialogue and gaze, and the worker’s action are synchronized is shown in Figure 7.At each time t we predict the helper’s gaze as t g ˆ. In our evaluation, we only consider gaze to the workspace and pieces bay, ignoring gazes towards the target. Let g t , t = 1 .. T , be the actual gaze codes collected from the experiment and processed by VQ algorithm (Section 3.3). The classification error at time t is defined as:!"#$==otherwise g gand or g if g gerr t t t t t ,0ˆ,10,1),ˆ( (1) and the performance of the classifier in one puzzle task, Acc isdefined as:{}10|),ˆ(11or g g g gerr Acc i i Tt tt=!="= , (2)where {}|10||or g g i i = is the number of gazes excluding thosetowards the target.5.2 Offline PredictionFor comparison purposes, we first used human dialogue coding to perform the classification offline. The helper’s gaze at time t is predicted using maximum likelihood estimation:},|Pr{max arg ˆ10t t or j t m clause j g==, (3)while }3,2,1,0{!t clause is the clause coding in Table 1 (Section 4.3) at time t . In both training and testing phases the clause coding and the worker’s actions are known. We estimated the conditional probabilities of each gaze target from training sample frequencies.5.3 Online PredictionAs our objective is to control the camera automatically in a video system (such as [22]) for remote collaborative physical tasks, the helper’s focus of attention has to be predicted in advance based on previous information from the dialogue and worker’s actions. Using the predictive model, the camera shifts between the workspace and the pieces bay. We do not need to predict camera shift to the target puzzle (solution), as it is always available at the helper’s side. Moreover, in online prediction, the system does not have supervised knowledge of clause boundaries and coding. We formulate online prediction as: at each sampling point t , given the previous words (w 1, w 2, …, w i ), and the previous worker’s actions (m 1, m 2, …, m t ) as input, classify the next gaze code 1ˆ+t g as 0 (workspace) or 1 (pieces bay). The classification problem is illustrated in Figure 8.Figure 7. Demonstration of the three sources of data in a 12-second period. The helper’s was giving the instruction “OK UMMNOW UMM THE DARKEST BLACK PIECE UMM AND THEN PUT THAT UMM TO THE RIGHT OF THE LAST `ONE YOU JUST PUT DOWN”. Starting time and ending time of each word are aligned with the worker’s action (-1: Not-Moving, 0: Moving-in-Workspace, 1: Moving-in-Pieces-Bay) and the helper’s gaze (0: Workspace, 1: Pieces-Bay, 2: Target).61.9473.08DARKEST BLACK PIECEOKUMMUMMNOWTHEUMMAND THENPUT THATUMMTO THE RIGHT OF THELAST ONE YOUJUST PUT DOWNTime (s)Helper’s Gaze ( g t )Worker’s Action ( m t )Helper’s Dialogue ( w i )Figure 8. A multimodal classifier. w 1, w 2, …, w i and m 1, m 2, …,m t are dialogue and action data collected until point t ,respectively; 1ˆ+t g is the classified gaze code. Winner-Takes-All StrategyCompared with the worker’s action data (of which the majority is-1, or Not-Moving), the helper’s utterances are a much richer source of information. Due to the difficulty in capturing the fluctuations of the helper’s gaze within the start and end times of a single word, we don’t expect to predict the gaze well at every sampling time. Therefore we apply a winner-takes-all strategy and smooth the helper’s gaze and worker’s action data based on the boundary of words. That is, the decision is only made at the end of each word. Let w i , s i , e i be the i th word and its starting and ending time, and define the smoothed action M i and gaze G i as:!"!#$%<=&=&=&otherwise e t e j m m e and e time between movements no if M ii t t or j i i i |,},|{|max arg ,11101 (4)|},|{|max arg 110i i t t or j i e t e j g g G !<=="=(5)M i and gaze G i are interpreted as the majorities of action and gazecodes between time e i-1 and e i (ignoring the target area). This process is graphically shown in Figure 9.Now the problem becomes: given w 1, w 2, …, w i and M 1, M 2, …, M i as input features, output the prediction of G i+1 as 0 (workspace) or 1 (pieces bay).A Conditional Markov Model ClassifierSince clause boundaries and coding have proven to be very useful for gaze prediction and are not available in online settings, we predict the clause coding of each word. To capture the dependencies between current word/action and previous word/action more directly we propose a conditional Markov model. Pairing gaze (G = 0 or 1) and clause coding (Clause = 0, 1,2, or 3), we formed a sequence of 8 possible states. Let W vand M vbe the word sequence and action sequence respectively. The probability of a state sequence S vconditioned on the observationsequences W vand M v is inferred through factors !, !, and !:!"""""#ii i i i i i i i i i s M M M s w w w s s M W S )),,,(*),,,(*),((},|Pr{21211$%&vr r (6) and we define:}|,,Pr{),,,(}|,,Pr{),,,(}|Pr{),(2121212111i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i s M M M s M M M s w w w s w w w s s s s !!!!!!!!!!==="#$(7)! captures the relationship between the current state and theprevious state, while ! and ! characterize features W vand M vusing trigram. Figure 10 shows the factor graph representation of the conditional Markov model.Figure 9. The smoothed action and gaze data based on theWinner-Takes-All strategy (Eq. (4) and Eq. (5)).Figure 10. A conditional Markov model.To decrease the number of parameters, we classify each word as one of the following 13 categories: Color_Name (e.g., “red”), Preposition (e.g., “above”), Adjective (e.g., “darkish”), Verb (e.g., “take”), Linking_Verb (e.g. “are”), Noun (e.g., “box”), Pronoun (e.g., “you”), Positive_Feedback (e.g., “yes”), Negative_Feedback (e.g., “wrong”), Adverb (e.g., “very”), Conjunction (e.g., “and”), Non_Word_Utt (e.g., “umm”), Other . ! is approximated by:}|,,Pr{}|,,Pr{),,,(212121i i i i i i i i i i i i s c c c s w w w s w w w !!!!!!"=#(8)where c i is the category of w i .Since training is supervised, we employ a maximum likelihood method to learn the parameters, and Good-Tuning smoothing to estimate the unseen trigram in the training data. Moreover, ass i-1M i s iw iM i-1 w i-1 M i-2 w i-2 1 01 02 -10 1 -10 1 Time Helper’s Dialogue ( w i )wiw i-1 Worker’s Action ( m t )The Smoothed Action ( M i )Helper’s Gaze ( g t )The Smoothed Gaze ( G i )0:67.250:68.83}1,0{ˆ1!+t gw 1, w 2, …, w i m 1, m 2, …, m tdiscussed in Section 4, the gaze distribution varies as a function of task characteristics. Therefore we estimate two sets of parameters, one for solid puzzles and the other for shaded puzzles. In testing we use Viterbi algorithm to find the optimal path given the parameters and observations. The performance of the classifier was evaluated according to Eq. (2).5.4Experimental Results and DiscussionTo test our classifier, we used the data described earlier (i.e., 216 puzzle tasks from 12 pairs of subjects). We trained and tested with solid and shaded puzzles separately. Given puzzles of the same color differentiability, we used half of the data for training and the other half for testing. Then we switched the training set and testing set and performed the experiment again.Offline and online gaze prediction accuracies for solid and shaded puzzles are listed in Table 2. In predicting gaze, the accuracies for shaded puzzles are significantly higher than those for solid puzzles. It can be explained by the statistical analysis in Section 4.2 (Figure 5), showing that data from workers’ actions are more discriminative for shaded puzzles. Online prediction is not as good as offline prediction because it is a more challenging problem given that clause boundaries and coding are unknown.Table 2. Test set accuracies in predictinghelpers’ focus of attentionTask Property Offline PredictionAccuracyOnline PredictionAccuracySolid Puzzles 69.81% 65.40%Shaded Puzzles 76.62% 74.25%Tables 3 and 4 show the confusion matrixes. For solid puzzles, the system classified the workspace better, most likely because the prior probably of gaze toward the workspace is higher than that of gaze toward the pieces bay (see Section 4.3). In contrast, for shaded puzzles, the pieces bay had a higher prior probability and the classifier was better at classifying it.Table 3. The confusion matrix for solid puzzles.0 (Workspace) 1 (Pieces Bay)Offline Prediction0 (Workspace) 79.56% 20.44%1 (Pieces Bay) 43.13% 56.87%Online Prediction0 (Workspace) 75.17% 24.83%1 (Pieces Bay) 47.24% 52.76%Table 4. The confusion matrix for shaded puzzles.0 (Workspace) 1 (Pieces Bay)Offline Prediction0 (Workspace) 61.11% 38.89%1 (Pieces Bay) 12.73% 87.27%Online Prediction0 (Workspace) 57.56% 42.44%1 (Pieces Bay) 15.42% 85.58% To examine the success of the conditional Markov classifier in predicting dialogue content, we define the instructional coding prediction accuracies as the percentage of correctly classified words. The accuracies for solid-color and shaded-color puzzles were 59.00% and 48.37%, respectively. Prediction of instructional coding for solid-color puzzles was much better because helpers used simpler language to describe the puzzle pieces.6.CONCLUSION AND FUTURE WORKIn this paper, we have demonstrated the feasibility of predicting focus of attention in remote collaborative tasks. The statistical analyses demonstrate that in remote collaboration, the percentage of time a helper looks at different targets is predictable from task properties, the worker’s actions, and message content. The results are consistent with a conversational grounding view of collaboration (cf. [4]): When a helper lacks confidence that his/her instructions were understood in the context of previous interactions and a shared common vocabulary, he/she seeks additional visual evidence of understanding from the worker's environment.Based on our analysis, we formulated the problem of predicting gaze in remote collaboration as a multimodal classification problem. We further employed a conditional Markov model to predict gaze as well as clause coding in real time. The experimental results show that overall accuracy is 65.40% for solid color puzzles and 74.25% for shaded puzzles. These results indicate the feasibility of developing intelligent video camera systems that predict where a helper wants to look in real time during remote collaboration. Such a system can optimally use network resources and enhance remote collaboration.Our future research will follow up on three aspects of our findings. First, our classifier was more accurate when discriminative workers’ action data was available. While it is easy to obtain this data during online collaborative tasks, it is much more difficult in 3D tasks. This suggests the need to monitor and interpret the worker’s actions in physical collaborations. Second, our current model does not take workers’ messages into account. Incorporating this information should enhance overall accuracies of prediction. Finally, our accuracy rates were higher than random guessing but still far from perfect. We plan to conduct behavioral research to determine how good an intelligent video camera system must be in order to be beneficial in practical use.7.ACKNOWLEDGMENTSThis work was funded by National Science Foundation Grant #0208903. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. We thank Darren Gergle for his statistical advice, and Jeffrey Wong for the discussion sessions.8.REFERENCES[1]Argyle, M. & Cook, M. (1976). Gaze and Mutual Gaze.Cambridge University Press.[2]Brumitt B., Krumm J., Meyers B., & Shafer S. (2000). Letthere be light: Comparing interfaces for homes of the future.IEEE Personal Communications, August 2000.[3]Campana, E., Baldridge, J., Dowding, J., Hockey, B. A.,Remington, R. W., & Stone, L. S. (2001). Using eye。

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