Voluntary nonfinancial disclosure and the cost of equity capital The initiation of corporate social

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Financial Reporting and Analysis(7e)课件 - Ch1

Financial Reporting and Analysis(7e)课件 - Ch1

Analytical tool Management report card
Early warning signal Basis for prediction Measure of accountability
Copyright © 2018 by McGraw-Hill Education.
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Accounting is Not an Exact Science
Some financial statement items (e.g., cash) are measured with a high degree of precision and reliability.
Many items (e.g., product warranty liabilities) are judgmental and uncertain in their measurement because they are derived from estimates of future events.
Copyright © 2018 by McGraw-Hill Education.
Economics of Accounting Information
The financial statements of business enterprises serve two key functions:
Financial statements are the first and often the best source of information about a company’s past performance, current health, and prospects for the future.

国内外顶级金融学期刊近2年选题

国内外顶级金融学期刊近2年选题

The Journal of FinanceOctober 2015Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market (pages 1863–1902)Arbitrage Asymmetry and the Idiosyncratic V olatility Puzzle (pages 1903–1948) Wall Street Occupations (pages 1949–1996)Market Making Contracts, Firm Value, and the IPO Decision (pages 1997–2028) Asymmetric Learning from Financial Information (pages 2029–2062)Informational Frictions and Commodity Markets (pages 2063–2098)The Beauty Contest andCEO Turnover and Relative Performance Evaluation (pages 2155–2184)The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments (pages 2185–2226)Hidden Liquidity: Some New Light on Dark Trading (pages 2227–2274)Outsourcing in the International Mutual Fund Industry: An Equilibrium View (pages 2275–2308)The Role of Institutional Investors in V oting: Evidence from the Securities Lending Market (pages 2309–2346)Agency Conflicts, Investment, and Asset Pricing: Erratum (pages 2347–2348) August 2015Presidential Address: Does Finance Benefit Society? (pages 1327–1363)Does Going Public Affect Innovation? (pages 1365–1403)The Value of Control and the Costs of Illiquidity (pages 1405–1455)The Impact of Incentives and Communication Costs on Information Production and Use: Evidence from Bank Lending (pages 1457–1493)A Model of Mortgage Default (pages 1495–1554)Do Prices Reveal the Presence of Informed Trading? (pages 1555–1582)Investment Decisions of Nonprofit Firms: Evidence from Hospitals (pages 1583–1628)The Brain Gain of Corporate Boards: Evidence from China (pages 1629–1682)A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity (pages 1683–1722)Information Diversity and Complementarities in Trading and Information Acquisition (pages 1723–1765)Capital and Labor Reallocation within Firms (pages 1767–1804)Transparency in the Financial System: Rollover Risk and Crises (pages1805–1837)June 2015Rewarding Trading Skills without Inducing Gambling (pages 925–962)Change You Can Believe In? Hedge Fund Data Revisions (pages 963–999)Innovation, Growth, and Asset Prices (pages 1001–1037)Anchoring on Credit Spreads (pages 1039–1080)Is a VC Partnership Greater Than the Sum of Its Partners? (pages 1081–1113) Dividend Dynamics and the Term Structure of Dividend Strips (pages1115–1160)The Effect of Providing Peer Information on Retirement Savings Decisions (pages 1161–1201)CEO Connectedness and Corporate Fraud (pages 1203–1252)The WACC Fallacy: The Real Effects of Using a Unique Discount Rate (pages 1253–1285)Corporate Taxes and Securitization (pages 1287–1321)April 2015How Does Household Portfolio Diversification Vary with Financial Literacy and Financial Advice? (pages 489–507)Subsidizing Liquidity: The Impact of Make/Take Fees on Market Quality (pages 509–536)Incentivizing Calculated Risk-Taking: Evidence from an Experiment with Commercial Bank Loan Officers (pages 537–575)Aggregate Jump and V olatility Risk in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (pages577–614)The Recovery Theorem (pages 615–648)The Effect of Succession Taxes on Family Firm Investment: Evidence from a Natural Experiment (pages 649–688)Subprime Mortgage Defaults and Credit Default Swaps (pages 689–731)Size Anomalies in U.S. Bank Stock Returns (pages 733–768)Estimating Oil Risk Factors Using Information from Equity and Derivatives Markets (pages 769–804)Defined Contribution Pension Plans: Sticky or Discerning Money? (pages805–838)Yesterday's Heroes: Compensation and Risk at Financial Firms (pages 839–879) On the Design of Contingent Capital with a Market Trigger (pages 881–920)February 2015A Crisis of Banks as Liquidity Providers (pages 1–43)Taxes and Corporate Policies: Evidence from a Quasi Natural Experiment (pages 45–89)Money Doctors (pages 91–114)Inflation Risk in Corporate Bonds (pages 115–162)Urban Vibrancy and Corporate Growth (pages 163–210)Short-Term Debt as Bridge Financing: Evidence from the Commercial Paper Market (pages 211–255)Taking the Long Way Home: U.S. Tax Evasion and Offshore Investments in U.S. Equity and Debt Markets (pages 257–287)Do Acquisitions Relieve Target Firms’ Financial Constraints? (pages 289–328) The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift (pages 329–371)How Stable Are Corporate Capital Structures? (pages 373–418)Click or Call? Auction versus Search in the Over-the-Counter Market (pages 419–447)Borrower Misreporting and Loan Performance (pages 449–484)December 2014Repo Runs: Evidence from the Tri-Party Repo Market (pages 2343–2380)Sizing Up Repo (pages 2381–2417)The Cross-Section of Credit Risk Premia and Equity Returns (pages 2419–2469) V olatility, the Macroeconomy, and Asset Prices (pages 2471–2511)Strategic and Financial Bidders in Takeover Auctions (pages 2513–2555)Financial Intermediaries and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns (pages2557–2596)The Global Crisis and Equity Market Contagion (pages 2597–2649)The Real Product Market Impact of Mergers (pages 2651–2688)A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk (pages 2689–2739)Investment-Based Corporate Bond Pricing (pages 2741–2776)Duration of Executive Compensation (pages 2777–2817)Incentives and Endogenous Risk Taking: A Structural View on Hedge Fund Alphas (pages 2819–2870)October 2014Private Equity Performance: What Do We Know? (pages 1851–1882)Agency Conflicts and Cash: Estimates from a Dynamic Model (pages1883–1921)Corporate Innovations and Mergers and Acquisitions (pages 1923–1960)Have Rating Agencies Become More Conservative? Implications for Capital Structure and Debt Pricing (pages 1961–2005)The Media and the Diffusion of Information in Financial Markets: Evidence from Newspaper Strikes (pages 2007–2043)Rise of the Machines: Algorithmic Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market (pages 2045–2084)Does Stock Liquidity Enhance or Impede Firm Innovation? (pages 2085–2125) Financial Protectionism? First Evidence (pages 2127–2149)The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle (pages 2151–2197)What's Not There: Odd Lots and Market Data (pages 2199–2236)Shaping Liquidity: On the Causal Effects of V oluntary Disclosure (pages2237–2278)The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options (pages 2279–2337)August 2014Presidential Address: Investment Noise and Trends (pages 1415–1453)Time-Varying Fund Manager Skill (pages 1455–1484)Stock Options as Lotteries (pages 1485–1527)The Executive Turnover Risk Premium (pages 1529–1563)Alpha and Performance Measurement: The Effects of Investor Disagreement and Heterogeneity (pages 1565–1596)Skin in the Game and Moral Hazard (pages 1597–1641)Measuring Readability in Financial Disclosures (pages 1643–1671)Mutual Fund Performance and the Incentive to Generate Alpha (pages1673–1704)Merger Negotiations with Stock Market Feedback (pages 1705–1745)Liquidity Measurement Problems in Fast, Competitive Markets: Expensive and Cheap Solutions (pages 1747–1785)Securitization and Capital Structure in Nonfinancial Firms: An Empirical Investigation (pages 1787–1825)June 2014Refinancing Risk and Cash Holdings (pages 975–1012)CEO Ownership, Stock Market Performance, and Managerial Discretion (pages 1013–1050)The Cross-Section of Managerial Ability, Incentives, and Risk Preferences (pages 1051–1098)Connected Stocks (pages 1099–1127)Legal Investor Protection and Takeovers (pages 1129–1165)Thirty Years of Shareholder Rights and Firm Value (pages 1167–1196)Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks (pages 1197–1233)The Market Value of Corporate V otes: Theory and Evidence from Option Prices (pages 1235–1271)Broad-Based Employee Stock Ownership: Motives and Outcomes (pages 1273–1319)Labor Mobility: Implications for Asset Pricing (pages 1321–1346)The Real Impact of Improved Access to Finance: Evidence from Mexico (pages 1347–1376)The Business Cycle, Investor Sentiment, and Costly External Finance (pages 1377–1409)April 2014Managerial Incentives and Stock Price Manipulation (pages 487–526)The Importance of Industry Links in Merger Waves (pages 527–576)The Real Effects of Government-Owned Banks: Evidence from an Emerging Market (pages 577–609)Sequential Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns (pages611–644)Are Analysts’ Recommendations Informative? Intraday Evidence on the Impact of Time Stamp Delays (pages 645–673)Growth Opportunities, Technology Shocks, and Asset Prices (pages 675–718)A Theory of Debt Maturity: The Long and Short of Debt Overhang (pages719–762)Why Do Firms Evade Taxes? The Role of Information Sharing and Financial Sector Outreach (pages 763–817)Sovereign Default, Domestic Banks, and Financial Institutions (pages 819–866) Twin Picks: Disentangling the Determinants of Risk-Taking in Household Portfolios (pages 867–906)Using Neural Data to Test a Theory of Investor Behavior: An Application to Realization Utility (pages 907–946)Self-Fulfilling Liquidity Dry-Ups (pages 947–970)February 2014A Mean-Variance Benchmark for Intertemporal Portfolio Theory (pages 1–49)Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models (pages 51–99)When Uncertainty Blows in the Orchard: Comovement and EquilibriumV olatility Risk Premia (pages 101–137)Do Peer Firms Affect Corporate Financial Policy? (pages 139–178)Strategic Asset Allocation in Money Management (pages 179–217)Mergers and Acquisitions Accounting and the Diversification Discount (pages 219–240)Who Writes the News? Corporate Press Releases during Merger Negotiations (pages 241–291)Product Market Threats, Payouts, and Financial Flexibility (pages 293–324) Biased Beliefs, Asset Prices, and Investment: A Structural Approach (pages 325–361)Informed Trading through the Accounts of Children (pages 363–404)Asset Pricing with Dynamic Margin Constraints (pages 405–452)An Anatomy of Commodity Futures Risk Premia (pages 453–482)The Review of Financial StudiesNovember 2015The Sovereign Wealth Fund Discount: Evidence from Public Equity Investments How Important Are Foreign Ownership Linkages for International Stock Returns?Understanding FX LiquidityThinking Outside the Borders: Investors' Underreaction to Foreign Operations InformationInformation, Analysts, and Stock Return ComovementValuing Changes in Political Networks: Evidence from Campaign Contributions to Close Congressional ElectionsOctober 2015The Real Effects of Hedge Fund Activism: Productivity, Asset Allocation, and Labor OutcomesBoard Structure and Monitoring: New Evidence from CEO TurnoversRestraining Overconfident CEOs through Improved Governance: Evidence from the Sarbanes-Oxley ActExpected Returns in Treasury BondsExploring Return Dynamics via Corridor Implied V olatilityDynamic Thin MarketsSeptember 2015Financing Constraints and the Amplification of Aggregate DownturnsCapital Structure, Investment, and Fire SalesA Theory of Income Smoothing When Insiders Know More Than OutsidersValuation, Adverse Selection, and Market CollapsesOn Bounding Credit-Event Risk PremiaWhy Are University Endowments Large and Risky?Optimal Tax Timing with Asymmetric Long-Term/Short-Term Capital Gains Tax August 2015Editor's Choice: Shareholder V oting and Corporate Governance Around the WorldThe Bright Side of Corporate Diversification: Evidence from Internal Labor MarketsTerritorial Tax System Reform and Corporate Financial PoliciesWhat's in a Name? Mutual Fund Flows When Managers Have Foreign-Sounding NamesInformation Management in Banking CrisesCan “High Costs” Justify Weak Demand for the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage?House Prices, Home Equity Borrowing, and EntrepreneurshipTesting for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate MarketsJuly 2015Confusion of Confusions: A Test of the Disposition Effect and MomentumLearning About Unstable, Publicly Unobservable PayoffsDifferences of Opinion, Endogenous Liquidity, and Asset PricesModeling Credit Contagion via the Updating of Fragile BeliefsHome away from Home: Geography of Information and Local InvestorsRumor Has It: Sensationalism in Financial MediaCompetition for Order Flow with Fast and Slow TradersDo Individual Investors Treat Trading as a Fun and Exciting Gambling Activity? Evidence from Repeated Natural ExperimentsJune 2015Capital Account Opening and Wage InequalityDoes Takeover Activity Cause Managerial Discipline? Evidence from International M&A LawsLearning About CEO Ability and Stock Return V olatilityWhen Less Is More: The Benefits of Limits on Executive PayThe Invisible Hand of Short Selling: Does Short Selling Discipline Earnings Management?The Real Effects of Short-Selling ConstraintsDoes Financing Spur Small Business Productivity? Evidence from a Natural ExperimentFinancial Distress, Stock Returns, and the 1978 Bankruptcy Reform ActMay 2015New Evidence on the Financialization of Commodity MarketsRedefining Financial Constraints: A Text-Based AnalysisDynamics of Innovation and RiskThe Informational Role of Stock and Bond V olumeModeling Covariance Risk in Merton's ICAPMMonotonicity of the Stochastic Discount Factor and Expected Option Returns Robust Econometric Inference for Stock Return PredictabilityApril 2015Money Creation and the Shadow Banking SystemHuman Capital as an Asset Class Implications from a General Equilibrium ModelThe Worst, the Best, Ignoring All the Rest: The Rank Effect and Trading BehaviorThe Costs of Closing Failed Banks: A Structural Estimation of Regulatory IncentivesThe Geography of Funding Markets and Limits to ArbitrageTraders vs. Relationship Managers: Reputational Conflicts in Full-Service Investment BanksPredictable Corporate Distributions and Stock ReturnsPost-Earnings-Announcement Drift in Global Markets: Evidence from anInformation ShockMarch 2015Cosmetic Surgery in the Academic Review ProcessDigesting Anomalies: An Investment ApproachInvestor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Term Structure of EquityDynamic Hedging and Extreme Asset Co-movementsInvestor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock ReturnsCognitive Limitation and Investment Performance: Evidence from Limit Order ClusteringSelf-Exciting Jumps, Learning, and Asset Pricing ImplicationsCan Housing Risk Be Diversified? A Cautionary Tale from the Housing Boom and BustFebruary 2015Strategic Investment and Industry Risk DynamicsCorporate Investment and Stock Market Listing: A Puzzle?Capital Supply Uncertainty, Cash Holdings, and InvestmentAre Mutual Funds Active V oters?Liquidity and Shareholder ActivismOwnership Structure, V oting, and RiskLabor Protection and LeverageAgency Problems of Corporate PhilanthropyJanuary 2015The Sum of All FEARS Investor Sentiment and Asset PricesInvestor Attention and Stock Market V olatilityWeather-Induced Mood, Institutional Investors, and Stock ReturnsThe Implicit Costs of Trade Credit Borrowing by Large FirmsShadow Banking and Bank Capital RegulationSecuritization and the Fixed-Rate MortgageRegression Discontinuity and the Price Effects of Stock Market IndexingFeedback Trading between Fundamental and Nonfundamental InformationDecember 2014No News Is News: Do Markets Underreact to Nothing?Does Media Coverage of Stocks Affect Mutual Funds' Trading and Performance?Media Makes MomentumOpacity in Financial MarketsStrategic Complementarity, Fragility, and RegulationWhat Happens in Nevada? Self-Selecting into Lax LawCash-Flow Sensitivities and the Allocation of Internal Cash FlowMoney Left on the Table: An Analysis of Participation in Employee Stock Purchase PlansNovember 2014Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: The Inefficient Performance and Persistence of Commodity Trading AdvisorsWindow Dressing in Mutual FundsTrading for StatusPeer Effects in Risk Aversion and TrustAggregate Investment and Investor SentimentAsset Prices and Real Exchange Rates with Deep HabitsDebtholder Responses to Shareholder Activism: Evidence from Hedge Fund InterventionsMutual Funds and Information Diffusion: The Role of Country-Level GovernanceOctober 2014Tail Risk and Asset PricesComplex Securities and Underwriter Reputation: Do Reputable Underwriters Produce Better Securities?Does the Tail Wag the Dog?: The Effect of Credit Default Swaps on Credit Risk Collateral-Motivated Financial InnovationLearning from Stock Prices and Economic GrowthAmbiguity Aversion and Asset Prices in Production EconomiesSeptember 2014The Labor Market for Bankers and RegulatorsThe Ownership of Japanese Corporations in the 20th CenturyNationalism and Economic Exchange: Evidence from Shocks to Sino-Japanese RelationsRepossession and the Democratization of CreditReal Estate Prices and Firm Capital StructureGuarantees, Leverage, and TaxesReferee RecommendationsIn Harm's Way? Payday Loan Access and Military Personnel PerformanceAugust 2014High-Frequency Trading and Price DiscoveryThe Swaption CubeDo Lenders Still Monitor When They Can Securitize Loans?Does Stock Liquidity Affect Incentives to Monitor? Evidence from Corporate TakeoversCorporate Venture Capital, Value Creation, and InnovationPrior Client Performance and the Choice of Investment Bank Advisors in Corporate AcquisitionsAdvance Disclosure of Insider TradingJuly 2014Do Going-Private Transactions Affect Plant Efficiency and Investment?Valuing Private EquitySmart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial OutcomesRisk Choice under High-Water MarksMicroprudential Regulation in a Dynamic Model of BankingMisspecification-Robust Inference in Linear Asset-Pricing Models with Irrelevant Risk FactorsFrog in the Pan: Continuous Information and MomentumThe Variety of Maturities Offered by Firms and Institutional Investment in Corporate BondsJune 2014Illiquidity Contagion and Liquidity CrashesInvestors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index OptionsFrictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Mutual FundsCo-opted BoardsAttracting Investor Attention through AdvertisingHeterogeneity and Stability: Bolster the Strong, Not the WeakFinancial Market DislocationsIndex Option Returns: Still PuzzlingMay 2014Do Security Analysts Speak in Two Tongues?Investor Networks in the Stock MarketWisdom of Crowds: The Value of Stock Opinions Transmitted Through Social MediaHousehold Debt and Social InteractionsLiquidity Shocks and Stock Market ReactionsCommunication and Decision-Making in Corporate BoardsBoard Expertise: Do Directors from Related Industries Help Bridge the Information Gap?The Year-End Trading Activities of Institutional Investors: Evidence from Daily TradesApril 2014Repo RunsLimited and Varying Consumer Attention: Evidence from Shocks to the Salience of Bank Overdraft FeesStock Return Serial Dependence and Out-of-Sample Portfolio PerformanceFinancial Flexibility, Risk Management, and Payout ChoiceInternal Capital Market and Dividend Policies: Evidence From Business Groups Resource Allocation within Firms and Financial Market Dislocation: Evidence from Diversified ConglomeratesOpaque Trading, Disclosure, and Asset Prices: Implications for Hedge Fund RegulationThe Growth and Limits of Arbitrage: Evidence from Short InterestMarch 2014Bond Supply and Excess Bond ReturnsExpectations of Returns and Expected ReturnsDo Dark Pools Harm Price Discovery?Expected Returns and Dividend Growth Rates Implied by Derivative Markets Optimal Portfolio Choice with Predictability in House Prices and Transaction CostsSpeculation and Hedging in Segmented MarketsPreventing Zombie LendingFebruary 2014Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-RiskWhy Did Holdings of Highly Rated Securitization Tranches Differ So Much across Banks?Securitization and Loan Performance: Ex Ante and Ex Post Relations in the Mortgage MarketThe Economics of Solicited and Unsolicited Credit RatingsAsset Prices with Heterogeneity in Preferences and BeliefsWhen There Is No Place to Hide: Correlation Risk and the Cross-Section of Hedge Fund ReturnsCommon Errors: How to (and Not to) Control for Unobserved HeterogeneityJanuary 2014Entrepreneurial Finance and Innovation: An Introduction and Agenda for Future ResearchThe Consequences of Entrepreneurial Finance: Evidence from Angel Financings Venture Capitalists on Boards of Mature Public FirmsInformational Holdup and Performance Persistence in Venture CapitalThe Capital Structure Decisions of New FirmsReal Option Financing Under Asymmetric InformationTolerance for Failure and Corporate InnovationIncentives to Innovate and the Decision to Go Public or PrivateWrongful Discharge Laws and InnovationInterbank Liquidity Crunch and the Firm Credit Crunch: Evidence from the 2007–2009 CrisisJournal of Financial EconomicsOctober 2015Measuring skill in the mutual fund industryMotivated monitors: The importance of institutional investors׳ portfolio weights Employee rights and acquisitionsDark trading and price discoveryWealth transfers via equity transactionsTail risk premia and return predictabilityDoes realized skewness predict the cross-section of equity returns?Government ownership and the cost of debt: Evidence from government investments in publicly traded firmsBank loans and troubled debt restructuringsSeptember 2015Banks as patient fixed-income investorsIncremental variables and the investment opportunity setDistilling the macroeconomic news flowThe effect of institutional ownership on firm transparency and information productionFinancing bidders in takeover contestsThe risk premia embedded in index optionsModeling financial contagion using mutually exciting jump processesA theory of LBO activity based on repeated debt-equity conflictsSocial interaction at workSocial learning and corporate peer effectsAugust 20151.Are institutions informed about news?House prices, collateral, and self-employmentThe bonding hypothesis of takeover defenses: Evidence from IPO firmsValue versus growth investing: Why do different investors have different styles?The illiquidity premium: International evidenceGood and bad uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial market implicationsSignal or noise? Uncertainty and learning about whether other traders are informedCosts and benefits of friendly boards during mergers and acquisitionsJuy 2015The “cultural revolution”in financeExecutives' “off-the-job”behavior, corporate culture, and financial reporting riskShould one hire a corrupt CEO in a corrupt country?Military CEOsThe value of corporate cultureFemale leadership and gender equity: Evidence from plant closureSuspect CEOs, unethical culture, and corporate misbehaviorImporting corruption culture from overseas: Evidence from corporate tax evasion in the United StatesForeign corporations and the culture of transparency: Evidence from Russian administrative dataLost in translation? The effect of cultural values on mergers around the worldWhen firms talk, do investors listen? The role of trust in stock market reactions to corporate earnings announcementsJune 2015Juicing the dividend yield: Mutual funds and the demand for dividendsInvestment and CEO compensation under limited commitmentEmpirical determinants of intertemporal choiceGeneralized risk premiaThe cross section of expected holding period returns and their dynamics: A present value approachThe adverse effects of systematic leakage ahead of official sovereign debt rating announcementsMarket-wide attention, trading, and stock returnsBanks׳ liability structure and mortgage lending during the financial crisisDo property rights matter? Evidence from a property law enactmentMay 2015Liquid-claim production, risk management, and bank capital structure: Why high leverage is optimal for banksCentral clearing and collateral demandHigh frequency market microstructureHigh-frequency quoting, trading, and the efficiency of pricesEquilibrium fast tradingExtraordinary acquirersHow do acquirers choose between mergers and tender offers?CEO network centrality and merger performanceContractual incompleteness, limited liability and asset price bubblesSearch-based peer firms: Aggregating investor perceptions through internetco-searchesApril 2015A five-factor asset pricing modelScale and skill in active managementStructured debt ratings: Evidence on conflicts of interestThe role of dynamic renegotiation and asymmetric information in financial contractingCommonality in news around the worldMomentum has its momentsThe JOBS Act and IPO volume: Evidence that disclosure costs affect the IPOdecisionPolitical capital and moral hazardThe disintermediation of financial markets: Direct investing in private equityThe effect of repatriation tax costs on U.S. multinational investmentHedge funds and discretionary liquidity restrictionsMarch 2015Monetary policy and long-term real ratesCapital allocation and delegation of decision-making authority within firmsVulnerable banksDo investors overpay for stocks with lottery-like payoffs? An examination of the returns of OTC stocksImpact of the Dodd-Frank act on credit ratingsCorporate payout, cash retention, and the supply of credit: Evidence from the 2008–2009 credit crisisInformation reliability and welfare: A theory of coarse credit ratingsTechnology spillovers and corporate cash holdingsExcess control rights, bank capital structure adjustments, and lendingTrade credit and cross-country predictable firm returnsPrice support by bank-affiliated mutual fundsFriends or foes? The interrelationship between angel and venture capital markets February 2015The “greatest”carry trade ever? Understanding eurozone bank risksThe failure of models that predict failure: Distance, incentives, and defaultsCan managers time the market? Evidence using repurchase price dataCulture and R2Corporate goodness and shareholder wealthTrading rules, competition for order flow and market fragmentationCallable bonds, reinvestment risk, and credit rating improvements: Role of thecall premiumDoes ambiguity matter? Estimating asset pricing models with a multiple-priors recursive utilityDo analysts matter for governance? Evidence from natural experimentsAsset pricing with arbitrage activityJanuary 2015X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing modelFinancial integration, housing, and economic volatilityMacroeconomic linkages between monetary policy and the term structure of interest ratesWhy do term structures in different currencies co-move?Attentive insider tradingFund managers under pressure: Rationale and determinants of secondary buyouts End-of-the-year economic growth and time-varying expected returnsMarket run-ups, market freezes, inventories, and leverageNon-executive employee stock options and corporate innovationDoes banking competition affect innovation?A comment on Christoffersen, Jacobs, and Ornthanalai (2012), “Dynamic jump intensities and risk premiums: Evidence from S&P 500 returns and options”December 2014Price pressuresRefinancing, profitability, and capital structurePreemptive bidding, target resistance, and takeover premiumsCEO deal-making activities and compensationFails-to-deliver, short selling, and market qualityForecasting stock returns under economic constraintsThe euro and corporate financing before the crisisFact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency。

Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations

Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations

Credit Spreads and Business Cycle FluctuationsSimon Gilchrist∗Egon Zakrajˇs ek†June16,2010AbstractThis paper re-examines the evidence on the relationship between credit spreads and economic activity.We construct a new credit spread index,employing an extensivemicro-level data set of secondary market prices of outstanding senior unsecured bondsover the1973–pared with the standard default-risk and otherfinan-cial indicators,our credit spread index is a robust predictor of future economic growthacross a variety of economic indicators,sample periods,and forecast ingan empirical bond-pricing framework,we also decompose our credit spread index into apredictable component that captures the availablefirm-specific information on expecteddefaults and a residual component—the excess bond premium—which we argue reflectsthe price of default risk rather than the risk of default.Our results indicate that a sub-stantial portion of the predictive content of credit spreads for economic activity is dueto the excess bond premium.Shocks to the excess bond premium that are orthogonalto the current state of the economy,the Treasury term structure,and stock returns areshown to cause significant declines in consumption,investment,and output as well asin equity prices.Overall,ourfindings are consistent with the notion that an increasein the excess bond premium reflects a reduction in the risk appetite of thefinancialsector and,as a result,a contraction in the supply of credit with significant adverseconsequences for the macroeconomy.JEL Classification:E32,E44,G12Keywords:corporate credit spreads,default-risk premium,economicfluctuations We thank Eric Swanson,Jonathan Wright,and participants at the2010CEGE Conference on FinancialShocks and the Real Economy for helpful comments and suggestions.Robert Kurtzman and Michael Levere provided outstanding research assistance.The views expressed in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Board of Governors of the FederalReserve System or of anyone else associated with the Federal Reserve System.∗Department of Economics Boston University and NBER.E-mail:sgilchri@†Division of Monetary Affairs,Federal Reserve Board.E-mail:egon.zakrajsek@1IntroductionBetween the summer of2007and the spring of2009,the U.S.economy was gripped by an acute liquidity and credit crunch,by all accounts,the most severefinancial crisis since the Great Depression.At the height of the crisis in the autumn of2008,the government,in an attempt to prevent thefinancial meltdown from engulfing the real economy,effectively assumed control of a number of systemically importantfinancial institution;the Congress, faced with investors’rapidly deteriorating confidence in thefinancial sector,approved the plan to inject a massive amount of capital into the banking system;and the Federal Reserve dramatically expanded the number of emergency credit and liquidity facilities in an attempt to support the functioning of private debt markets.Throughout this period of extremefinancial turmoil,credit spreads—the difference in yields between various private debt instruments and government securities of comparable maturity—served as a crucial gauge of the degree of strains in thefinancial system.In addi-tion,the movements in credit spreads were thought to contain important signals regarding the evolution of the real economy and risks to the economic outlook,a view supported by the insights from the large literature on the predictive content of credit spreads—or asset prices more generally—for future economic activity.1The focus on credit spreads is motivated,in part,byfinancial theories that depart from the Modigliani and Miller[1958]paradigm of frictionlessfinancial markets,theories that emphasize linkages between the quality of borrowers’balance sheets and their access to externalfinance.Movements in credit spreads may also reflect shifts in the effective supply of funds offered byfinancial intermediaries,which,in the presence offinancial market frictions,have important implications for the usefulness of credit spreads as predictors of future economic activity.In the latter case,a deterioration in the balance sheets offinancial intermediaries leads to a reduction in the supply of credit,causing an increase in the cost of debtfinance—the widening of credit spreads—and a subsequent reduction in spending and production.In either case,credit spreads play a crucial role in the dynamic interaction offinancial conditions with the real economy.In this paper,we re-examine the evidence on the relationship between corporate bond credit spreads and economic activity.To do so,wefirst construct a credit spread index—the“GZ credit spread”—that has considerable predictive power for economic activity.Our 1Financial indicators considered in this vast literature include stock prices(Fama[1981]and Harvey [1989]);spreads between long and short-term risk-free interest rates(Harvey[1988];Estrella and Hardouvelis [1991];Estrella and Mishkin[1998];and Hamilton and Kim[2002]);the term structure of interest rates more generally(Ang et al.[2006]);spreads between rates on short-term commercial paper and rates on Treasury bills(Bernanke[1990];Friedman and Kuttner[1992,1998];and Emery[1999]);and yield spreads on longer-term corporate debt(Gertler and Lown[1999];Mody and Taylor[2004];King et al.[2007];Mueller[2007]; Gilchrist et al.[2009];and Faust et al.[2010]).approach builds on the recent work of Gilchrist et al.[2009](GYZ hereafter),in that we use prices of individual corporate bonds traded in the secondary market to construct this high-information content credit spread.According to our forecasting results,the predictive ability of the GZ credit spread for economic activity significantly exceeds that of the widely-used default-risk indicators such as the standard Baa-Aaa corporate bond credit spread and the“paper-bill”spread.Moreover,in predicting the volatile cyclical components of aggregate demand such as businessfixed and inventory investment,the GZ credit spread significantly outperforms the standard indicators of the stance of monetary policy(e.g.,the shape of the Treasury yield curve or the real federal funds rate).As shown recently by Philippon[2009],the predictive content of corporate bond credit spreads for economic activity could reflect—absent anyfinancial market frictions—the abil-ity of the bond market to signal more accurately than the stock market a decline in eco-nomic fundamentals resulting from a reduction in the expected present-value of corporate cashflows prior to a cyclical downturn.To address this issue,we use aflexible empiri-cal bond-pricing framework to decompose the GZ credit spread into two components:a component capturing the usual countercyclical movements in expected defaults;and a com-ponent representing the cyclical changes in the relationship between default risk and credit spreads—the so-called excess bond premium.We then examine the extent to which the forecasting power of the GZ credit spread is due to the measurable default component or the excess bond premium.Our decomposition is motivated in part by the existence of the“credit spread puzzle,”the well-known result from the corporatefinance literature showing that less than one-half of the variation in corporate bond credit spreads can be attributed to thefinancial health of the issuer(e.g.,Elton et al.[2001]).As shown by Collin-Dufresne et al.[2001], Houwelling et al.[2005],Driessen[2005],and Duffie et al.[2007],the unexplained portion of the variation in credit spreads appears to reflect some combination of time-varying liquidity premium,to some extent the tax treatment of corporate bonds,and,most importantly for our purposes,a default-risk factor.2Our results indicate that a substantial portion of 2Although corporate bonds are actively traded,the volume of transactions is far lower and transaction costs are much higher than in the Treasury market(e.g.,Edwards et al.[2007]).Because the information content of prices tends to be lower for less actively traded securities and liquidity is an attractive feature of an asset class,the compensation for liquidity risk shows up in higher corporate bond credit spreads over otherwise comparable Treasuries.Relative to Treasuries,corporate bonds are also at a tax disadvantage, because their interest is taxed at the federal and state levels,whereas the interest earned on Treasuries is subject only to taxes at the federal level.This differential tax treatment should bias the prices of corporate bonds downward in order to equalize the after-tax return across the two asses classes.The implications of this tax effect for the ability of credit spreads to forecast economic activity,however,are likely to be negligible,because the marginal investor in the corporate cash market are banks,pension funds,insurance companies,and other institutional investors—that is,legal entities for which there is no difference in the tax treatment of interest income received from corporate bonds and Treasuries.In addition,major changes in tax laws are infrequent and unrelated to the large cyclical swings in corporate bond credit spreads.the information content of the GZ credit spread can be attributed to the deviations in the pricing of corporate bonds relative to the expected default risk of the issuer.Thisfinding suggests that changes in investor risk attitudes embedded in prices of corporate bonds may account for a significant fraction of the forecasting power of credit spreads for economic activity.We examine the implications of thisfinding using an identified vector autoregression (VAR)framework.According to our analysis,shocks to the excess bond premium that are orthogonal to the current state of the economy,the Treasury term structure,and stock market returns cause economically and statistically significant declines in consumption, investment,and output as well as in equity prices.The confluence of our results is consistent with the notion that an increase in the excess bond premium reflects a reduction in the risk appetite of thefinancial sector and,as a result,a contraction in the supply of credit. Consistent with thefinancial accelerator mechanisms emphasized by Kiyotaki and Moore [1997],Bernanke et al.[1999],and Hall[2010],this reduction in credit availability augurs a change infinancial conditions with significant adverse consequences for macroeconomic outcomes.The remainder of the paper is organized as follows.Section2describes the construc-tion of our high-information content credit spread index.In Section3,we compare the forecasting power of the GZ credit spread to that of some standardfinancial indicators. In Section4,we describe the methodology for decomposing credit spreads into a predicted component due to expected defaults and the excess bond premium.In Section5,we evalu-ate the relative forecasting ability of the default component and the excess bond premium for future economic activity;we also analyze the effect offinancial shocks—identified by orthogonalized movements in the excess bond premium—on the macroeconomy.Section6 concludes.2A High-Information Content Credit Spread IndexAcademics,business economists,and policymakers have long relied on credit spreads to gauge the degree of strains in thefinancial system.In addition,the forward-looking nature offinancial markets should cause the information about investors’expectations of future economic outcomes to become embedded in asset prices,though obtaining an accurate reading of this information can be greatly complicated by the presence of time-varying risk premiums.Nonetheless,credit spreads on corporate debt instruments have been shown to be particularly useful for forecasting economic activity.Results from this strand of research, however,are often sensitive to the choice of a credit spread index under consideration.In particular,credit spreads that contained useful information about economic outcomes in thepast often lose their predictive power for the subsequent cyclical downturn.3These mixed results are partly attributable to the rapid pace offinancial innovation that likely alters the forecasting power offinancial asset prices over time or results in one-offdevelopments that may account for most of the forecasting power of a givenfinancial indicator.In part to address these problems,GYZ utilized secondary market prices of individual senior unsecured corporate bonds over the1990–2007period to construct a broad array of credit spread indexes that vary across maturity and default risk.As pointed out by GYZ,senior unsecured bonds,compared with other corporate debt instruments,represent a class of securities with a relatively long history containing a number of business cycles; moreover,the rapid pace offinancial innovation over the past several decades has done little to alter the basic structure of these securities.Thus,the information content of spreads constructed from yields on senior unsecured corporate bonds is likely to provide more consistent signals regarding economic outcomes relative to spreads based on securities with a shorter history or securities whose structure or the relevant market has undergone a significant structural change.Indeed,the results of GYZ confirm this conjecture:At forecast horizons associated with business cyclefluctuations,the predictive ability of their portfolio credit spreads significantly exceeds—both in-sample and out-of-sample—that of the commonly-used default-risk indicators,such as the paper-bill spread or the Baa and the high-yield corporate credit spread indexes.2.1Data Sources and MethodsIn this paper,we employ the same“bottom-up”approach to construct a credit spread index with a high-information content for future economic activity.Importantly,we extend the time span of the analysis back to the mid-1970s,thereby covering an appreciably greater number of business cycles,a consideration of particular importance when one is evaluating the predictive ability offinancial indicators for economic activity.Specifically,for a sample of more than1,100U.S.nonfinancialfirms covered by the S&P’s Compustat and the Center for Research in Security Prices(CRSP),month-end secondary market prices of their out-standing securities were obtained from the Lehman/Warga(LW)and Merrill Lynch(ML) databases.4To ensure that we are measuring borrowing costs of differentfirms at the same 3For example,the paper-bill spread has lost much of its forecasting power since the early1990s;indeed, according to Thoma and Gray[1998]and Emery[1999],the predictive content of the paper-bill spread may have reflected a one-time event.Similarly,yield spreads based on indexes of high-yield corporate bonds,which contain information from markets that were not in existence prior to the mid-1980s,have done particularly well at forecasting output growth during the previous decade,according to Gertler and Lown[1999]and Mody and Taylor[2004].Stock and Watson[2003],however,find mixed evidence for the high-yield spread as a leading indicator during this period,largely because it falsely predicted an economic downturn in the autumn of1998.4These two data sources include secondary market prices for a majority of dollar-denominated bonds publicly issued in the U.S.corporate cash market.The ML database is a proprietary data source of dailypoint in their capital structure,we limited our sample to senior unsecured issues with a fixed coupon schedule only.The micro-level aspect of our data allows us to construct credit spreads that are not subject to the“duration mismatch”that plagues most commercially-available credit spread indexes.We do so by constructing for each individual corporate issue a synthetic risk-free security that mimics exactly the cash-flows of the corresponding corporate debt instrument. Specifically,consider a corporate bond k issued byfirm i that at time t is promising a sequence of cash-flows{C(s):s=1,2,...,S},consisting of the regular coupon payments and the repayment of the principle at maturity.The price of this bond is given byP it[k]=Ss=1C(s)D(t s),where D(t)=e−r t t is the discount function in period t.To calculate the price of the corresponding risk-free security—denoted by P f t[k]—we discount the cash-flow sequence {C(s):s=1,2,...,S}using continuously-compounded zero-coupon Treasury yields in period t,obtained from the U.S.Treasury yield curve estimated daily by G¨u rkaynak et al. [2007].The resulting price P f t[k]can then be used to calculate the yield—denoted by y f t[k]—of a hypothetical Treasury security with exactly the same cash-flows as the underlying corporate bond.The resulting credit spread S it[k]=y it[k]−y f t[k],where y it[k]denotes the yield of the corporate bond k,is thus free of the bias that would occur were the spreads computed simply by matching the corporate yield to the estimated yield of a Treasury security of the same maturity.To ensure that our results are not driven by a small number of extreme observations,we eliminated all bond/month observations with credit spreads below5basis points and with spreads greater than3,500basis points.In addition,we dropped from our sample very small corporate issues—those with a par value of less than$1million—and all observations with a remaining term-to-maturity of less than one year or more than30years;calculating spreads for maturities of less than one year and more than30years would involve extrapolating the Treasury yield curve beyond its support.5These selection criteria yielded a sample of 5,937individual securities for the period between January1973and December2009.We matched these corporate securities with their issuer’s quarterly income and balance sheet bond prices that starts in1997.Focused on the most liquid securities in the secondary market,bonds in the ML database must have a remaining term-to-maturity of at least one year,afixed coupon schedule,and a minimum amount outstanding of$100million for below investment-grade and$150million for investment-grade issuers.By contrast,the LW database of month-end bond prices has a somewhat broader coverage and is available from1973through mid-1998(see Warga[1991]for details).5We also eliminated a small number of putable bonds from our sample.In contrast,a significant fraction of the securities in our sample is callable,which raises an important issue of how to separate time-varying prepayment risk from the default risk premium.We address this issue in detail later in the paper.Table1:Summary Statistics of Corporate Bond CharacteristicsBond Characteristic Mean SD Min P50MaxNo.of bonds perfirm/month 2.87 3.54 1.00 2.0074.0Mkt.value of issue a($mil.)311.2313.5 1.22231.75,628Maturity at issue(years)13.09.4 1.010.050.0Term to maturity(years)11.48.5 1.08.330.0Duration(years) 6.59 3.170.91 6.1015.6Credit rating(S&P)--D BBB1AAACoupon rate(pct.)7.34 1.99 1.807.0017.5Nominal effective yield(pct.)7.82 3.22 1.037.2544.3Credit spread(bps.)20128351153,499 Note:Sample period:Jan1973–Dec2009;Obs.=330,029;No.of bonds=5,937;No.of firms=1,111.Sample statistics are based on trimmed data(see text for details).a Market value of the outstanding issue deflated by the CPI(1982–84=100).data from Compustat and daily data on equity valuations from CRSP,yielding a matched sample of1,111firms.Table1contains summary statistics for the key characteristics of bonds in our sample. Note that a typicalfirm in our sample has only a few senior unsecured issues outstanding at any point in time—the medianfirm,for example,has two such issues trading in any given month.This distribution,however,exhibits a significant positive skew,as somefirms can have as many as74different senior unsecured bond issues trading in the market at a point in time.The distribution of the real market values of these issues is similarly skewed,with the range running from$1.2million to more than$5.6billion.Not surprisingly,the maturity of these debt instruments is fairly long,with the average maturity at issue of13years;the average remaining term-to-maturity in our sample is11.4years.However,because corporate bonds typically generate significant cashflow in the form of regular coupon payments,their duration is considerably shorter,with both the average and the median duration of a bit more than6years.According to the S&P credit ratings,our sample spans the entire spectrum of credit quality,from“single D”to“triple A.”At“BBB1,”however,the median observation is still solidly in the investment-grade category.Turning to returns,the(nominal)coupon rate on these bonds averaged7.34percent during our sample period,while the average nominal effective yield was7.82percent per annum.Reflecting the wide range of credit quality, the distribution of nominal yields is quite wide,with the minimum of1.03percent and the maximum of more than44percent.Relative to Treasuries,an average bond in our sample has an expected return of201basis points above the comparable risk-free rate,with the6Other than than the GZ credit spread,all yields are taken from the“Selected Interest Rates”(H.15)All three credit spreads are clearly countercyclical,rising prior to and during economic downturns.Nonetheless,the pair-wise correlations between the three series are fairly small and do not exhibit much of a systematic pattern.For example,the correlation between the paper-bill and the Baa-Aaa spread is0.21,whereas the paper-bill and the GZ spread are slightly negatively correlated,with the correlation coefficient of-0.16.Perhaps not too surprising,the highest correlation,0.37,is between the two corporate bond credit spread indexes.Regarding their variability,the Baa-Aaa and the paper-bill spreads are the least volatile,with the standard deviations of50and67basis points,respectively.7Reflecting its broader coverage,both in terms of credit quality and maturity,the standard deviation of the GZ credit spread—at about100basis points—is considerably higher.3Credit Spreads and Economic ActivityThis section examines the predictive power of the GZ credit spread for various measures of economic activity and compares its forecasting performance with that of several commonly-usedfinancial indicators.Letting Y t denote a measure of economic activity in period t,wedefine∇h Y t+h≡c h ln Y t+h Yt ,where h denotes the forecast horizon and c is a scaling constant that depends on the fre-quency of the data(i.e.,c=1,200for monthly data and c=400for quarterly data).We estimate the following univariate forecasting specification:∇h Y t+h=α+pi=0βi∇Y t−i+γ1TS t+γ2R FF t+γ3CS t+ t+h,(2)where TS t denotes the“term spread”—that is,the slope of the Treasury yield curve,defined as the difference between the three-month constant-maturity Treasury yield and the10-year constant-maturity yield;R FF t denotes the real federal funds rate;CS t denotes a creditstatistical release published by the Federal Reserve Board.Note that the GZ credit spread is measured relative to Treasury yields,whereas the Baa-Aaa spread is defined as the difference between yields on long-term corporate debt instruments of varying credit quality.As emphasized by Duffee[1998],the corporate-Treasury yield spreads can be influenced significantly by time-varying prepayment risk premiums,reflecting the call provisions on corporate issues.According to Duca[1999],corporate bond spread indexes measured relative to the yield on Aaa-rated bonds are more reflective of default risk than those measured relative to comparable-maturity Treasuries.7A significant portion of the volatility in the paper-bill spread reflects year-end funding pressures.These pressures can arise as the maturity of the paper crosses over year-end,and investors demand a premium to hold paper over the turn of the year.Trends in business sector credit quality and the amount of outstanding commercial paper are important determinants of year-end pressures.spread;and t+h is the forecast error.8The forecasting regression(2)is estimated by OLS, and the lag length p of each specification is determined by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).For the forecasting horizons h>1,the MA(h−1)structure of the error term t+h induced by overlapping observations is taken into account by computing the covariance matrix of regression coefficients according to Hodrick[1992].9Within this framework,we analyze the information content of the three credit spreads shown in Figure1for future economic growth.First,we examine the ability of these credit spreads to forecast the key monthly indicators of economic activity:the growth of private (nonfarm)payroll employment and the growth in manufacturing industrial production. Using quarterly data,we also consider the predictive content of these default-risk indicators for the broadest measure of economic activity,namely the growth rate of real GDP as well as its main components.3.1Forecasting ResultsThe results in Table2detail the predictive power of variousfinancial indicators for the two monthly measures of economic activity.We focus on two forecast horizons:3-and 12-month ahead and report standardized estimates of the coefficients associated with the financial indicators as well as the in-sample goodness-of-fit as measured by the adjusted R2. Thefirst column in each panel of the table contains results from our baseline specification, which includes the term spread and the real federal funds rate,along with the current and p lags of∇Y t,as predictors.Consistent with previousfindings,the shape of the Treasury term structure has significant predictive content for the two economic indicators at both forecast horizons,with aflat or inverted yield curve signalling a slowdown in labor demand and a deceleration in industrial output.The real federal funds rate has some additional predictive power for changes in the labor market conditions at both the3-and12-month forecast horizons but has no explanatory power for the growth of industrial production at either horizon.The remaining three columns in each panel contain results from our baseline speci-fication augmented with the three default-risk indicators.Relative to the baseline,the paper-bill spread forecasts both economic indicators at the3-month horizon;at the year-8In calculating the real federal funds rate,we employ a simplifying assumption that the expected inflation is equal to lagged core PCE inflation.Specifically,real funds rate in period t is defined as the average effective federal funds rate during period t less realized inflation,where realized inflation is given by the log-difference between the core PCE price index in period t−1and its lagged value a year earlier.9Ang and Bekaert[2007]compare the performance of various HAC estimators of standard errors in the context of overlapping observations.According to theirfindings,the standard errors developed by Hodrick [1992]retain the correct size even in relatively small samples.In the case of non-overlapping data(i.e., h=1),our inference is based on the heteroscedasticity-consistent asymptotic covariance matrix(HC3) computed according to MacKinnon and White[1985].Table2:Financial Indicators and Economic Activity(1973–2009)Private Payroll EmploymentFinancial Indicator Forecast Horizon:3months Forecast Horizon:12months Term spread-0.080-0.085-0.084-0.096-0.240-0.241-0.220-0.263[1.92][2.03][2.04][2.34][4.81][4.78][4.72][5.41] Real FFR-0.079-0.009-0.075-0.128-0.122-0.108-0.157-0.208[1.75][0.14][1.62][2.79][2.34][1.71][3.15][4.09] CP-bill spread--0.108----0.023--[2.41][0.68]Baa-Aaa spread---0.019---0.108-[0.49][2.20]GZ spread----0.272----0.462[6.64][14.0] Adj.R20.6610.6680.6610.7050.4320.4310.4410.583Manufacturing Industrial ProductionFinancial Indicator Forecast Horizon:3months Forecast Horizon:12months Term spread-0.144-0.166-0.174-0.186-0.332-0.346-0.323-0.368[2.15][2.48][2.72][2.84][3.95][4.12][3.88][4.44] Real FFR-0.070-0.117-0.048-0.145-0.0990.016-0.107-0.189[0.97][1.28][0.67][2.09][1.08][0.15][1.20][2.14] CP-bill spread--0.285----0.179--[4.23][3.02]Baa-Aaa spread---0.108---0.032-[1.63][0.39]GZ spread----0.353----0.417[4.88][6.06] Adj.R20.2760.3250.2830.3630.2250.2430.2240.363 Note:Sample period:Jan1973–Dec2009.Dependent variable is∇h Y t+h,where Y t denotes the log of an indicator of economic activity in month t and h is the forecast horizon.In addition to the specified financial indicator in month t,each specification also includes a constant,current,and p lags of∇Y t(not reported),where p is determined by the AIC.Entries in the table are the standardized estimates of the OLS coefficients associated with eachfinancial indicator;absolute t-statistics reported in brackets are based on the asymptotic covariance matrix computed according to Hodrick[1992].ahead forecast horizon,in contrast,the paper-bill spread has predictive content only for the growth in industrial production.Note also that the addition of the paper-bill spread—where statistically significant—results only in a modest increase in the adjusted R2relative to the baseline specification.The forecasting ability of the Baa-Aaa spread appears to be equally unimpressive.At the3-month horizon,the coefficients on the Baa-Aaa credit。

强制采用国际会计标准降低了股本资本成本吗-January 2008

强制采用国际会计标准降低了股本资本成本吗-January 2008

1. Introduction International Accounting Standards (IAS) have become increasingly popular, with the European Union mandating that all EU-listed companies adopt IAS beginning in 2005. The proponents of mandatory IAS adoption assert that IAS will “reduce the cost of capital and open new opportunities for diversification and improved investment returns” (Tweedie 2006). While prior research finds some evidence that voluntary IAS adoption reduces the cost of equity capital (e.g., Leuz and Verrecchia 2000; Barth, Landsman and Lang 2007), there is little empirical evidence to date supporting this assertion for mandatory IAS adoption, and the economic consequences of mandatory adoption remain largely unclear (e.g., Daske, Hail, Leuz and Verdi 2007a, b). Thus, the purpose of this paper is to explore the effects of mandatory IAS adoption on the cost of equity capital. There are at least two reasons why mandatory IAS adoption may be expected to reduce the cost of equity capital. First, prior research finds that IAS requires greater financial disclosure than most local accounting standards (e.g., Ashbaugh and Pincus 2001) and that increased disclosure reduces the cost of equity capital (e.g., Botosan 1997; Easley and O’Hara 2004; Lambert, Leuz and Verrecchia 2007). Second, prior research argues that one set of uniform accounting standards is likely to improve information comparability across firms, which is also expected to reduce the cost of capital (e.g., Armstrong, Barth, Jagolinzer and Riedl 2007). However, prior research also suggests that the benefits of IAS are likely to depend on features of the local economic institutions, such as the ability to enforce its proper application (Ball, Robin and Wu 2003). Therefore, it is ultimately an empirical question whether mandatory IAS adoption reduces the cost of capiandatory IAS adoption affects the cost of equity capital using a sample of 6,456 observations representing 1,084 distinct companies in 18 EU countries during the period of 1995 to 2006. I define firms that do not adopt IAS until it becomes mandatory in 2005 as mandatory adopters, firms that adopt IAS before 2005 as voluntary adopters, and I divide the sample period into pre- and post-mandatory adoption periods. Consistent with prior research, I measure the cost of equity in my primary analysis using the average estimates from four implied cost of capital models proposed by Gebhard, Lee and Swaminathan (2001), Claus and Thomas (2001), Gode and Mohanram (2003), and Easton (2004). My primary analysis consists of regressing the cost of equity on a dummy variable indicating the type of adopter (mandatory versus voluntary), a dummy variable indicating the time period (pre- versus post-mandatory adoption period), the interaction between these two dummies, and a set of control variables that include whether the firm is crosslisted in the U.S., the country’s inflation rate, firm size, return variability, financial leverage, as well as industry and country fixed effects. This difference-in-differences design (which includes the population of both mandatory and voluntary adopters over the period 1995 through 2006) estimates the change in the cost of equity for mandatory adopters before and after the mandatory switch, relative to the corresponding change in the cost of equity for voluntary adopters. The results of my primary analysis find that mandatory adopters experience a significant reduction in the cost of equity by 48 basis points after the mandatory introduction of IAS in 2005, and voluntary adopters experience no significant change in the cost of equity capital around the mandatory switch. The results also show that while

金融财经类常用词汇表达

金融财经类常用词汇表达

金融财经类词汇a-zAaccommodative monetary policy适当的货币政策according to the international practice按照国际惯例adverse selection逆向选择adjustable fatigue调整疲劳症affordable housing projects安居工程aggregate demand总需求(社会总需求)aggregate purchasing power社会商品购买力aggregate supply总供给(社会总供给)allocative efficiency资源配置效率allocative decision(基金等的)分配方案anti-dumping duty反倾销税anti-inflation policy反通货膨胀政策arm’s length transactions独立交易;非关系户交易Article VIII country经常项目可兑换的国家;接受国际货币基金组织协定第八条款austerity policies紧缩政策autarky 封闭经济(指由政府造成的,含贬义)Bblue chip stock蓝酬股bonded area保税区bottom (trough) of business cycle周期谷底bridge bank过度银行budget constraint预算约束business cycle经济周期business tax营业税buyer’s market 买方市场CCayman Islanders (为逃避监管)在开曼岛注册的(金融)机构capacity utilization设备利用率capital account convertibility资本项目可兑换capital budget建设性预算capital flight资本外逃;资本抽逃capital reflow资本回流carryover effect翘尾因素cautious in lending慎贷central bank lending中央银行贷款(再贷款)chain debts三角债chamber of commerce商会change in reserve assets储备资产增减change-of-ownership-based accounting principle所有权核算原则CHIBOR(China inter-bank offered rate) 中国同业拆借市场利率China Insurance Clause(CIC) 中国保险条款CHIPS(Clearing House Inter-bank Payment System) 同业支付清算系统circuit breaker涨跌停板city commercial bank城市商业银行claims on the non-financial sector对非金融部门债权clearing house清算所closed economy不开放经济commodity-related cash reflow商品回笼competitive devaluation竞争性贬值concealed accounts账外账concerted intervention联手干预conditional convertibility有条件的可兑换conditionality(国际货币基金组织的)贷款条件conduct of monetary policy制定和执行货币政策conform to a certain standard符合一定的标准conservatorship托管consumer price index(CPI)消费物价指数contagion effect扩散效应convergence criteria趋同标准convertible currency可兑换货币cost-push inflation成本推动型通货膨胀countercyclical policy逆周期政策countervailing duty反补贴税credit control信贷规模控制credit crunch信贷紧缩credit rating信用评级credit ratings资信评级credit reference system信用查询系统credit to related interest对关系人贷款credit worthiness信誉度creditor country债权国cross-border banking跨境银行业务currency board货币局制currency composition币种构成currency mismatch币种搭配不当currency outside bank流通中现金current account经常项目current account convertibility经常项目可兑换current budget经常性预算custody of government debt国债托管customs and practice惯例与做法cyclical divergence 经济周期不同步Ddebt fatigue债务疲劳症debt forgiveness债务减免debt overhang债务过重debt rescheduling债务重组debt service ratio偿债率(当年应付本金和利息与出口总值之比)debt-equity swap债权转股权debtor country债务国deflation通货紧缩demand elasticity需求弹性demand expansion需求膨胀demand-pull inflation需求拉动型通货膨胀denomination mismatch币种搭配不当deposit insurance system存款保险体系deposit money banks存款货币银行deregulation放松管制derivative(金融)衍生工具diminishing returns收益递减规律disbursement of foreign capital实际利用外资disguised irregular (or illegal) fund raising变相社会集资disguised unemployment隐蔽性失业disintermediation脱媒现象;信贷资金绕过中介机构循环disinvestment投资萎缩效应distorted signals信号失真distributional efficiency产品分配效益domestic credit国内信贷总额domestic debt内债down-stream enterprises下游企业dual exchange rate system 汇率双轨制;双重汇率制Eearly-warning system风险遇警系统easing monetary policy放松银根economic depression经济萧条economic fundamentals宏观经济基本状况;经济基本面economic indicators经济指标economic recession经济衰退economic sanction经济制裁economic stagnation经济停滞economies of scale规模效益economies of scope多元效益effective supply有效供给effective tax rate实际税率electronic data interchange(EDI) 电子数据交换emerging market新兴市场endogenous shock内生冲击enforcement action强制措施entrenched interest既得利益excess capacity生产能力过剩exchange rate misalignment汇率失调exogenous shock外生冲击expenditure changing policy影响支出的政策export-oriented economy出口导向型经济external debt外债external liberalization 对外开放Ffinal consumption最终消费final product最终产品finance companies财务公司financial crisis金融危机financial deepening 金融深化financial derivatives金融衍生物financial disintermediation脱媒;资金体外循环financial disturbance金融风波financial fragility金融脆弱financial oligarch金融寡头financial panic金融恐慌financial repression金融压抑financial turbulence金融动荡financial unsoundness金融不稳键financing gap资金缺口fine turning微调fiscal agent国库代理fiscal consolidation财政整顿(包括增收节支和改善结构)fiscal creation of money财政性发行fiscal outcome财政决算fiscal overdraft财政透支fiscal restraint财政节制fit and proper test(对高级管理人员的)资格审查flight to quality资本逃险;资本惊逃forced saving强迫储蓄foreign direct investment外国直接投资foreign exchange cover外汇抛补foreign exchange reserves外汇储备foreign exchange surrender结汇foreign exchange swap外汇调剂freely convertible currency可自由兑换货币frictional unemployment摩擦性失业full employment充分就业full face value全部面值fundamental analysis 基本面分析GGDP deflator国内生产总值缩减指数general government广义政府(包括地方政府和中央政府)general market risk一般市场风险goodwill商誉government divestiture政企分开(离)government sector政府部门government securities repurchase 国债回购gross capital formation资本形成总额gross domestic product(GDP) 国内生产总值gross national product(GNP) 国民生产总值gross retail sales 社会商品零售额Hhard currency硬通货heavily-indebted poor countries(HIPCs) 重债穷国hedge fund对冲基金;避险基金;套利基金herd instinct羊群效应hidden inflation隐蔽性通货膨胀hidden unemployment隐蔽性失业home country母国hostile takeover敌意收购hot money热钱;游资hyperinflation 恶性通货膨胀Iincentive structure 激励机制incomes policy收入政策Incoterms国际贸易术语解释通则independent accounting独立核算indexation指数化industrial policy产业政策infant industry幼稚产业inflation expectation通货膨胀预期inflation inertia通货膨胀惯性inflation tax通货膨胀税informatics信息产品information asymmetry信息不对称information disclosure信息披露inheritance tax 遗产税insider transactions内幕交易insolvency资不抵债;失去支付能力Institute of London Underwriters伦敦保险协会institutional investors机构投资者institutional purchasing power社会集团购买力institutional shareholders法人股东intellectual property知识产权interlocking relationship(在不同金融机构)兼职关系involuntary unemployment非自愿性失业issue IOU 打白条Jjudicial proceeding 法律诉讼Llabor shedding消减冗员lagged effect滞后效应laid-off employees 下岗工人legal jurisdictions法律管辖权legal tenders法币less developed countries(LDCs) 欠发达国家leveraged buyout杠杆收购(指主要通过借款收购公司)LIBOR(London interbank offered rate) 伦敦同业拆放利率limit down跌停板limit up涨停板listed corporations上市公司low-cost housing projects 安居工程Mmacroeconomic management宏观调控;宏观管理macroeconomic objectives宏观管理目标;宏观经济目标managed floating exchange rate有管理的浮动汇率mandatory measures指令性措施mandatory plan指令性计划market access市场准入(指商品和劳务的进入)market capitalization市值market entry市场准入(指机构的审批)market exit市场退出market failure市场调节失调market maker造市者market producer市场生产者market risk市场风险market segmentation市场分割market share市场占有率;市场份额marketability适销性;产销衔接material injury实质性损害merchandise trade商品贸易(相对于服务贸易而言)monetary base基础货币monetary condition银根monetary contraction银根紧缩monetary overhang货币供应过多monetary policy stance货币政策态势monetary survey货币概览money illusion货币幻觉money laundering洗钱money supply货币供给mono-bank system大一统的银行体系moral hazard道德危害;道德风险moral persuasion道义劝说most-favored nation treatment最惠国待遇mull and void无效的,作废的multilateral netting多边轧差multiple currency practice多重货币做法multiple exchange rate regime多重汇率体制mutual fund共同基金NNASDDAQ(National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System)美国券商协会自动报价系统national disposable income国民可支配收入national income国民总收入national saving国民储蓄national treatment国民待遇natural unemployment rate自然失业率net domestic product(NDP)国内生产总值neutral fiscal policy中性财政政策new sources of economic growth新经济增长点nominal anchor名义支撑点non-bank financial institutions非银行金融机构non-financial corporate sector非金融企业部门non-investment grade非投资级别non-performing loans不良贷款non-profit organizations非盈利机构notary public公证人Ooff-budget expenditure(revenue)预算外支出(收入)offshore banking离岸银行业务offshore financial center离岸金额中心open economy开放经济open inflation显性通货膨胀open market operation公开市场操作opening price开盘价operational target操作目标opportunity cost机会成本outlay overrun超支output gap产出缺口outstanding household deposits居民储蓄存款余额over competition过度竞争overstaffing人浮于事over-the-counter (OTC)transaction场外交易owner's equity所有者权益Ppaid-up capital实缴资本par value面值pay-as-you-go pension scheme现收现付养老金制度peer pressure伙伴国压力pegged exchange rate钉住汇率pension fund养老基金per capita GDP人均国内生产总值per capita income人均收入performance-based pay system按劳付酬制度phased implementation逐步到位policy bank政策性银行policy instrument政策工具policy mix 政策组合policy slippage政策失误;政策偏差policy-related operations政策性业务portability (of pension funds,etc.)(养老金等的)可携性;可转移性portfolio investment证券投资poverty alleviation扶贫pre-emptive adjustment预调preferential policies优惠政策(倾斜政策)price liberalization价格放开price-earnings(P/E)ratio市盈率pricing-mechanism价格形成机制primary industry第一产业primary market一级市场procyclical policy顺周期政策professional ethics职业道德progressive tax rate累进税率prudential supervision审慎监管public good公共物品public sector公共部门(包括政府,国有企业及政府所有的其他机构)public sector borrowing requirement公共部门融资缺口public utilities公用事业purchasing power parity(PPP)购买力平价purchaser's price购买者价格Qquality stock绩优股quasi-fiscal deficit准财政赤字quasi-money准货币Rrational expectation合理预期real effective exchange rate实际有效汇率real time实时realized profit实现利润recapitalization资本重组;补充资本receivership接管reciprocal holdings相互持股recognition of bad debt清分坏账red chips红酬股regional disparity地区差别registered capital注册资本reluctance to lend惜贷rent seeking寻租repatriation of profits利润汇回replacement cost重置成本repository智囊团;知识库repurchase agreement (repo agreement)证券汇购协议required reserves存款准备金;法定准备金reserve bank储备银行reserve currency储备货币reserve requirement存款准备金(要求)restrictive policies限制性政策restructuring plan重组计划retail price index (RDI)零售物价指数retail shares散股retaliatory tariff报复性关税return on assets (ROA)资产利润率return on capital资本利润率returns on equity (ROE)权益回报率risk awareness风险意识risk clientele effect客户的风险群体效应risk monitoring and warning system风险监控和警戒系统royalty资源税rule of law法治run on banks挤提存款Rsafety net安全网scarcity economy稀缺经济secondary market二级市场segregation of financial industry金融业分业经营self-financed investment自酬投资self-identifying自己识别seller’s market卖方市场shadow price影子价格snowballing雪球效应social security contribution社会保险税social security社会保障social welfare社会福利soft budget constraint软预算约束soft landing软着陆sovereign credit国家信用sovereign rating主权信用评级sovereign risk主权风险special drawing right(SDR)特别提款权specific tax从量税stagflation 滞涨standard money本位币statutory legislation 法律规定sterilization operation对冲操作stock pile产品积压stocks and flows存量和流量structural distortion结构扭曲structural imbalance结构失调structural rigidity结构僵化structural unemployment结构性失业sub-contractors分包商subordinate debt 次级债务subscribed capital 认缴资本subsidiary companies子公司substandard loans次级贷款sunrise industries朝阳产业sunset industries夕阳产业supervisory board监事会surcharge附加税surtax附加税sustainable economic growth可持续经济增长SWIFT国际金融电讯协会SWIFT(Society for Worldwide International Financial Telecommunication)环球银行业金融电信协会System of National Account(SNA)国民账户体系systemic effect系统性影响systemic financial crisis系统性金融危机Ttariff incentives关税优惠tax arrears欠税tax avoidance避税tax compliance依法纳税tax erosion税收流失tax evasion逃税tax refund(rebate)退税tax shelter避税tax threshold (税收)起征点technical analysis技术分析technology-intensive技术密集型tertiary industries第三产业;服务行业the exception of clause免除条款The ICC Executive Board国际商会执委会The ICC International Court of Arbitration国际商会国际仲裁院The International Chamber of Commerce国际商会The Uniform Rules for bank-to-bank Reimbursement(URR)银行间偿付统一规则total factor productivity全要素生产率transition economy转轨经济transmission mechanism传导机制treasury bills短期国债treasury bonds长期国债turnover tax流转税Uundercapitalized资本不足underground economy地下经济underlying inflation自发性通货膨胀;内在通货膨胀uniform Customs and Practice(UCP)统一惯例unit tax rate定额税收universal bank全能银行upside potential(down potential)上行空间(下行空间)URC国际托收统一规则Vvalue added增加值value-added tax(V AT)增值税value at risk风险价值量velocity of money货币流通速度venture capital风险资本voluntary export restraint自愿出口限额Wwholly state-owned commercial banks国有独资商业银行window dressing practices装饰门面的做法window guidance窗口指导。

投行相关英文缩略

投行相关英文缩略

中国银行间市场交易商协会 上海清算所 中国人民银行 资本公积转增股本
央行
Asset Backed Medium Term Note Asset Backed Securities Mortgage Backed Securities Underlying Assets Credit Risk Mitigation Collateralized Mortgage Obligation Collateralized Debt Obligation Credit Default Swap TCohtinalaRIentsuurrnanScweaRpegulatory Commission China Banking Regulatory Commission
China Government Securities Depository Trust & Clearing Co. Ltd.
China Securities Depository & Clearing Corporation Limited Supplementary Capital Core Tier One Capital Tier One Capital Minimum Total Capital Risk-Weighted Assets National Interbank Bond Market Green Shoe Option
中小企业集合票据
中小非金融企业集合票据 项目收益票据
非金融企业项目收益票据 债务融资工具 绿色债券 专项资产计划
Minutes Conference Resolution
Absolute Prohibition Relative Prohibition Debenture Holders' Meeting Bondholders' Meeting Independent Financial Advisor Material Adverse Effect Significant Adverse Impact Non-Listed Public Company Province Autonomous Region Municipality Directly under the Central Government Special Economic Zone Municipality Separately Listed on the State Plan State Council People's Congress Standing Committee of the People's Congress Ministry of Finance National Treasury Bond General Local Treasury Bond Special Local Treasury Bond Short Term Commercial Paper Short Term Financing Bill Super Short Term Commercial Paper Medium Term Note

国际会计第七版课后答案(第五章)作者:弗雷德里克

国际会计第七版课后答案(第五章)作者:弗雷德里克

国际会计第七版课后答案(第五章)作者:弗雷德里克Chapter 5Reporting and DisclosureDiscussion Questions1. Accounting measurement is the process of assigning numerical symbols to eventsor objects. Disclosure, on the other hand, is the communication of accounting measurements to intended users. Advances in financial disclosure are likely to outpace those related to accounting measurement for a number of reasons.First, many would argue that financial disclosure is a less controversial area than accounting measurement. Second, changes in disclosure requirements are more rapidly implemented than changes in accounting measurement rules.Finally, whereas a single set of accounting measurement rules may not serve users equally well under different social, economic and legal systems, a company can disclose without necessarily sacrificing its accounting measurement system.2.Four reasons why multinational corporations are increasingly being heldaccountable to constituencies other than traditional investor groups:a.The development and growth of the influence of trade unions.b.The growing recognition of the view that those who are significantlyaffected by decisions made by institutions in general must be given theopportunity to influence those decisions.c.The rejection by many governments of classical economic premises such asthe belief that the regulated pursuit of private gain maximizessociety’s welfare.d.The increasing concern over the social and economic impact ofmultinational corporations in host countries.3.Arguments in favor of equal disclosure include:a.The absence of equal disclosure would create an unfair playing field forU.S. companies. Non-U.S. companies would have a competitive advantagein that they would not have to disclose the same information and sowould not incur the costs involved in generating and publishing it.b.Investors in non-U.S. companies have the same information needs as thosewho invest in U.S. companies. A market concerned with investorprotection would make sure that investors have timely and materialinformation on all listed companies, not just those domiciled in theUnited States.c.Unequal disclosure might impede cross-company comparisons involving U.S.and non-U.S. companies.Possible reasons against equal disclosure include:a.The high cost of meeting equal disclosure requirements may deter foreignissuers from listing in the United States.b.The extra costs involved work against the benefits of listing to theforeign companies.Evaluation of arguments:All of these arguments have merit. There is no unambiguously correct answer as to what disclosure requirements should be imposed on foreign issuers, and there has been a contentious debate on this subject in the U.S. in recent years. In practice, fairness arguments often carry great weight in public debate, even when objective economic analysis does not support them.4.Managers in Continental Europe and in Japan have for many years stronglyobjected to disclosing information about business segment financial results.These managers have argued that the information can be used by their competitors. In addition, Continental Europe and Japan have had traditions of low disclosure.Requirements for disclosure about segment results have become more stringent in Japan, France, and Germany in response to strong investor and analyst demand for the information. More generally, the three countries are striving to improve the quality of their financial reporting standards in order to improve the reputation and credibility of their capital markets.5.The simple answer is that mandatory disclosures are corporate disclosures madein response to regulatory requirements (for example, rules issued by national regulators or stock exchanges), and thatvoluntary disclosures are purely discretionary in nature. The distinction between mandatory and voluntary disclosures can be ambiguous in some settings, however. For example, the requirement that U.S. companies must file Form 10-Ks with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is straightforward. However, measurement and disclosure approaches for some of the items in the Form 10-K are not.Similarly, there are widely divergent views concerning what types of press announcements are mandatory versus voluntary.Two possible explanations for differences in managers’ voluntary disclosure practices are: (1) Managers in highly competitive industries may be less forthcoming than managers in less competitive industries due to the expected cost of releasing information of potential use to their competitors. (2) Managers are expected to be more forthcoming when there is good news to disclose, than when there is bad news, particularly when the news can be expected to affect share prices.Two explanations for differences in managers’ mandatory disclosure practices are: (1) Cross-jurisdictional differences in disclosure requirements. (2) Differences in the extent of compliance with disclosure rules due to cross-jurisdictional differences in enforcement.6. Triple bottom line reporting refers to reporting on a company’s ec onomic,social, and environmental performance. It is a form of social responsibility reporting designed to demonstrate good corporate citizenship. So-called “sustainability” reports are an increasingly popular means of triple bottom line reporting. There is substantial variation in social reporting today.More regulation would improve comparability, but it might also stifle reporting innovations. The usefulness of social reporting to outside parties, particularly investors, needs to be demonstrated before implementing more regulation for it.6.Often we expect to observe less voluntary disclosure by companies in emergingmarket countries than by those in developed countries:a.Equity markets are relatively less developed in many emerging marketcountries, resulting in lower total demand for company information byinvestors and analysts.b.In many emerging market countries, most financing is supplied by banksand insiders such as family groups. This also leads to less demand fortimely, credible public disclosure, and in these markets enhanceddisclosure may have limited benefits.8. In general, for the same reasons as in Discussion Question 7, we expect toobserve fewer regulatory disclosure requirements in emerging market countries than in developed countries. The equity markets and disclosure requirements in many emerging market countries are not yet well developed, and accounting and auditing systems in emerging market countries are less well developed than in more developed market countries.9. The two broad objectives of investor-oriented equity markets are investorprotection and market quality. In the absence of investorprotection, investors will not be willing to participate in a market. However, in the absence of market quality, markets will not function satisfactorily. Many would consider the objectives equally important.10. It certainly is possible that more required disclosure will further encourageinvestor participation in capital markets by providing more and better information on which to base investment decisions. Benefits of increasedinvestor participation include increased liquidity, reduced transaction costs, and more accurate and efficient market pricing.。

雷曼兄弟破产案与公允价值论战

雷曼兄弟破产案与公允价值论战
综合上述,公司固定收益类净收入同向并显著影响资本市场 业务收入,资本市场业务收入进而极大地影响到公司总净收入,最 终导致了整个公司层面上的净损失,如图5所示。
单位:十亿美元
3.5
0.3
0.7
- 2.4
3
2.9
- 4.1 - 4.6
- 7.1
总净收入
固定权益部净收入
固定权益部公允价 值净损益
图 5 2008 年一到三季度雷曼总净收入、固定收益部净收入 及固定收益部公允价值变动损益对比图
07Q3 4.3 1.1
(0.7)
07Q4 4.4 0.86
(0.8)
08Q1 3.5 0.3
(2.4)
08Q2 (0.7) (3.0) (4.1)
08Q3 (2.9) (4.6) (7.1)
由表1可见,2008年前三季度固定收益部计入当期损益的公允 价值变动净损益,对总净收入的负贡献率分别是133%、228%和 394%,公司出现亏损。
一、公允价值对雷曼兄弟财务报表的影响① (一 )雷 曼 兄 弟 破 产 案 回 顾 雷曼兄弟公司(Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.)创立于1850年,是一家为全球公司、机构、政府和投 资者的金融需求提供服务的全方位、多元化投资银行,公司通过全 球48个城市的办事处组成的网络参与全球资本市场,由纽约的世 界总部和伦敦、东京及香港的地区总部统筹管理全球业务。公司在 全球范围内建立起了创造新颖产品、探索最新融资方式、提供最佳 优质服务的良好声誉②。 雷曼兄弟在1999年以其账上资产作抵押大量借贷,再将借来 的资金贷给私募股权基金,或者购买房贷资产,再打包发行给投资 者,将杠杆机制用到了极限。2004年,雷曼收购了BNC房贷公司,以 便能有持续不断的次级房贷得以被雷曼打包成债券出卖。雷曼还 收购了Aurora贷款公司,该贷款公司发放Alt- A房屋贷款。这种做 法的结果就是让雷曼手中有大量卖不出去的次贷资产。经济危机 爆发前,雷曼成为华尔街打包发行房贷债券最多的银行,自己也积 累了850亿美元的房贷资产。危机发生后,公司开始了一系列的自 救。在2008年第一个财务季度中,卖掉了大约五分之一的杠杆贷 款,同时又用公司的资产作抵押,大量借贷现金为客户交易其他固 定收益产品。房屋价格的急剧下跌,使得这一努力不但没有改善雷 曼的状况,反而让雷曼背上了更沉重的包袱。第二个财务季度变卖 了1470亿美元的资产,使得公司承受大量的账面损失。此时,雷曼 还没有放弃商业楼贷款业务,将房贷资产的一半投在商业房贷和 商业楼,而这些资产在2008年均被大量减计。此外,雷曼还连续多 次进行大规模裁员来压缩开支。自2007年6月以来,雷曼公司已经 实施了四波裁员计划,共解雇超过6000名员工。即便在这些业务和 举措的支撑下,仍然回天乏术。公司只有将希望寄托在来自第三方 力量的他救上。从2008年6月30日开始,先后传出巴克莱银行、太平 洋投资管理公司、韩国产业银行、美国银行等将收购雷曼兄弟。然 而,这些有意向的收购方,最终都选择了放弃。2008年9月14日晚 间,雷曼兄弟公司不得不宣布计划破产清算。 雷曼兄弟公布的2008年第三季度财务报表显示,公司第三季

金融专业英语名词

金融专业英语名词

Financial MarketsFinancial market金融市场: A financial market is a market in which people and entities can trade financial securities, commodities and other fungible items of value at low transaction costs and at prices that reflects supply and demand.International financial market国际金融市场: A financial market that involves participants all over the world.(查不到自己编的,请慎重考虑)Direct financing直接融资: An investor purchases the securities issued by ultimate borrowers (i.e. without intermediaries).Indirect financing间接融资: Indirect financing is where borrowers borrow funds from the financial market through indirect means, such as through a financial intermediary.Money market货币市场: Money market is a component of financial market for assets involved in short-term borrowing, lending, buying and selling with ORIGINAL maturities of one year or less. Capital market资本市场: Capital market provides for the buying and selling of long-term(over 1 year) debts or equity-backed securities.Foreign exchange market (or currency market)外汇市场: Foreign exchange market deals with the exchanges of different means of payment.Primary market一级市场: A primary market is a market in which new issues of a security (like a bond or a stock), are sold to initial buyers by the corporation or government agency borrowing the funds.Secondary market二级市场: A secondary market is where is where the sale of previously issued securities takes place.Exchange market交易所市场: It is a highly organized market where tradable securities, commodities, foreign exchanges, futures and option contracts are sold and bought.OTC market柜台市场: over-the-counter market. A decentralized market of securities not listed on an exchange where market participants trade over the telephone, facsimile or electronic network instead of a physical trading floor.Technical analysis技术分析: It is the art of deducing probable future trend from historical records of stock trading. (the study of the stock market itself rather than external factors) Fundamental analysis基本面分析或基础分析: It examines all relevant factors affecting the stock price in order to determine an intrinsic value for that stock.The top-down approach or Economy-Industry-Company(EIC) model自上而下法:1)select a country which could offer the investors better returns from other economies;2)select promising industries and companies in this country.The bottom-up or stock picking approach自下而上法: It is to find undervalued stocks regardless of the market and industry factors.Capital MarketBond债券: Bonds are securities that represent a debt owed by the issuer to the investor. They obligate the issuer to pay a specified amount at a given date.Government notes and bonds(Treasury bonds)国库券: They are issued to finance the national debt. Difference: notes have a original maturity of 1year to 10 years while bonds have a original maturity of 10-30 years. Note that they are free of default risk.Corporate bonds公司债券: Large corporations issue bonds in order to borrow funds for long periods of time. The bond indenture is a contract that states the lender’s rights and privileges andthe the borrower’s obligations.Stock股票: Shares of stock in the firm represent ownership.Outstanding stock流通股: The shares of a corporation’s stock that have been issued and are in the hands of the public.Mortgage loan抵押贷款: A mortgage loan is a loan secured by real property.Foreign Exchange MarketExchange rate汇率: The ratio of two different currencies.Bills of exchange票据: They are financial documents that require the individual or business that is addressed in the document to pay a specified amount of money on a date that is cited in the document.Demand draft即期汇票: It is a check created by a merchant with a buyer’s checking account number on it, but without the buyer’s original signature.Bankers draft银行汇票: It is a check where the funds are taken directly from financial institutions rather than the individual drawer’s account.Foreign bond外国债务: A bond issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity, in the domestic market’s currency.Dividend check股利支票: A share of profits in the form of checks received by a stockholder. (查不到自己编的,请慎重考虑)Pension check养老金支票: A sum of money in the form of checks paid regularly as a retirement benefit or by way of patronage.(查不到自己编的,请慎重考虑。

国际财务报告准则、分析师跟踪、制度基础与世界各国的股价同步性

国际财务报告准则、分析师跟踪、制度基础与世界各国的股价同步性

Infrastructure, and Stock Price Synchronicity around the WorldByJeong-Bon Kim and Haina ShiCurrent VersionFebruary 2008________________________*Both authors are at the School of Accounting and Finance, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. We have received useful comments and suggestions on earlier drafts of the paper from Jong-Hag Choi, Richard Chung, Jenny Jia, Wenxia Ge, LeeSeok Hwang, Francis Kim, Annie Qiu, Yaqi Shi, Byron Song, Xijia Su, Lanfang Wang, Zheng Wang, Cheong H. Yi, Wayne Yu, Yoonseok Zang, and workshop participants at City University of Hong Kong, Concordia University, Seoul National University, the 2007 International Conference on Accounting Standards, The Institute of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics. Jeong-Bon Kim acknowledges partial financial support for this research from The Hong Kong Polytechnic University through the central research grant and the Area of Strategic Development (ASD) grant. All errors, of course, are our own. Correspondence: Professor Jeong-Bon Kim, The School of Accounting and Finance, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong(E-mail:afjbkim@.hk; Phone: 852-2766-7046; Fax: 852-2774-9308)Infrastructure, and Stock Price Synchronicity around the WorldAbstractIn this paper, we investigate whether the voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) improves information environment, measured by stock price synchronicity or the extent to which firm-specific information is impounded into stock prices. We also study the role of analyst following and institutional infrastructure in determining the relation between IFRS adoption and stock price synchronicity. Our results reveal the following: IFRS adoption encourages the incorporation of firm-specific information into stock prices, which in turn leads to a decrease in stock price synchronicity. This synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption is attenuated for firms with high analyst following. Moreover, IFRS adoption encourages the incorporation of firm-specific information into stock prices to a greater (lesser) extent in countries with poor (good) institutional infrastructures where publicly available, firm-specific information such as accounting disclosures is of low (high) quality.Keywords: Information environment; Analyst coverage; Institutional infrastructure, Stock price synchronicity; International financial reporting standards;International Financial Reporting Standards, Analyst Following, Institutional Infrastructure, and Stock Price Synchronicity around the World1. IntroductionThe effect of a firm’s reporting strategy on information environments and stock returns is an important issue in accounting and finance. In this paper, we investigates a hitherto under-researched question of whether and how a firm’s commitment to a better reporting strategy influences the information environment, in particular, the extent to which firm-specific information is incorporated into stock prices, relative to market-wide and industry-wide information. In so doing, our analysis focuses on a particular reporting strategy that has received increasing attention from academic researchers, stock market regulators, and the global investment community, that is, the voluntary adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) by non-US companies. Voluntary IFRS adoption improves corporate disclosures, which could affect market participants’ incentives to collect, process and trade on firm-specific information, and thus alter the information environment faced by them. As a result, voluntary IFRS adoption influences the relative amount of firm-specific information being impounded into stock prices measured by stock price synchronicity.Several researchers have examined economic consequences of a firm’s decision to voluntarily adopt IFRS, and provide evidence suggesting that corporate financial disclosures under IFRS are of higher quality than those under local accounting standards in most financial reporting regimes. In particular, these studies find that IFRS adoption leads to less accounting flexibility and smaller analysts forecast errors (Asbaugh and Pincus 2001), lower costs of capital (Daske et al. 2007; Kim and Shi 2007), higher market liquidity and trading volume (Leuz and Verrecchia2000), larger earnings response coefficients (Bartov et al. 2005), and better accounting quality in terms of less aggressive earnings management, more timely recognition of economic losses and greater value relevance of accounting amounts (Barth et al. 2005), a convergence of accounting amounts under IFRS with those under US GAAP (Leuz 2003; Barth et al. 2006), more investment flows by attracting more foreign mutual funds (Covrig et al. 2007), and greater efficiency in private debt contracting (Kim et al. 2007).The findings of the aforementioned studies suggest that IFRS adoption gives rise to an increase in the quantity and quality of firm-specific information.However, these studies are in general, silent on whether the enhanced disclosures via IFRS adoption facilitate the information flow to the market. We are therefore motivated to investigate an unsolved question on whether or not IFRS adoption improves the information environment or the price formation process in which firm-specific is capitalized into stock prices via trading. To provide systematic evidence on this unexplored issue, we ask three important, but unexplored, questions:1.Does voluntary IFRS adoption improve the incorporation of firm-specificinformation into stock prices?2.Do financial analysts play a moderating role in shaping the relationbetween IFRS adoption and firm-specific information capitalization intostock prices?3.Does the efficacy of a country’s institutional infrastructure matter indetermining the effect of IFRS adoption on stock price synchronicity?To address the first question, we investigate whether IFRS adoption improves the flow of firm-specific information to the market, i.e., the extent to which firm-specific information is impounded into stock prices, relative to market-wide and industry-wide information. We use stock price synchronicity to measure the amountof firm-specific information incorporated into stock prices. Higher stock price synchronicity means that stock prices co-move with market-wide and/or industry-wide factors, to a greater extent, than firm-specific factors. Therefore, lower stock price synchronicity suggests that larger amount of firm-specific information is incorporated into stock prices and that the firm has a better information environment (Morck et al. 2000; Chan and Hameed 2006; Piotroski and Roulston 2004).The relationship between disclosure and stock price synchronicity is investigated by several recent studies in different contexts. Fernandes and Ferreira (2007) document that cross-listing in the U.S. improves stock price informativeness for firms from developed markets because of the added disclosure and scrutiny associated with cross-listing. Jin and Myers (2006) provide both theoretical and empirical evidence showing the importance of financial transparency in determining R2. They argue that R2 is higher in countries where firms are less transparent to outside investors. Ferreira and Laux (2007) use abnormal accruals as a proxy for transparency and find low transparency is associated with low levels of idiosyncratic volatility. Chan and Hameed (2006) extend Piotroski and Roulstone (2004) and Morck et al. (2000)’s work by investigating the emerging markets. They offer some possible reasons why there is a lack of firm-specific information in emerging markets, one of which is that “there is a low degree of voluntary disclosure and corporate transparency” (p.116). In our context, as discussed above, voluntary IFRS adoption leads to enhanced corporate disclosures, which facilitate investors to collect and trade on firm-specific information. As a result, stock price becomes more informative. We therefore expect that IFRS adoption encourages the incorporation of firm-specific information into stock prices, which leads to a decrease in stock price synchronicity.Our first research question is aimed to provide empirical evidence on whether and how IFRS adoption influences stock price synchronicity.With respect to the second question, previous research provides evidence that analysts are involved primarily in the production of industry-wide and/or market-wide information rather than the costly acquisition of idiosyncratic information (Chan and Hameed 2006; Piotroski and Roulston 2004; Ferreira and Laux 2007). To provide direct evidence on the second question, we first establish the relation between the synchronicity and the intensity of information intermediation by analysts proxied by the number of analyst following. We then examine whether the effect of IFRS adoption on the synchronicity is differentially affected by analyst coverage.Finally, previous cross-country studies show that stock price synchronicity decreases with the level of a country’s property right protection (Morck et al. 2000) and with the strength of a country’s governance and the level of accounting transparency (Jin and Myers 2006). To address the third question, we first establish the relation between the synchronicity and the efficacy of institutional infrastructures such as a country’s governance and enforcement mechanisms. We then investigate whether and how the effect of IFRS adoption on the synchronicity differs systematically across countries with strong and poor institutional infrastructures.For our empirical tests, we construct a large sample of non-US firms that had voluntarily adopted IFRS over the seven-year period, 1998-2004 (hereafter adopters) and those that had not adopted IFRS over the same period (hereafter non-adopters). Our sample covers 34 countries around the world. As IFRS adoption was not a mandatory requirement during our sample period, our sample firms were allowed to voluntarily choose their reporting strategies, including IFRS adoption. Further they had an option to adopt either a full or partial set of IFRS. This feature allows us tocompare whether the synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption, if any, could be differentiated for different levels of IFRS adoption, i.e., full versus partial adoption.Using a total of 16,647 firm-years which include both IFRS adopters and non-adopters, we empirically test whether IFRS adoption influences stock price synchronicity, after controlling for potential self-selection bias associated with a firm’s decision to adopt IFRS and other factors that are known to affect the synchronicity. We compare the level of stock price synchronicity for IFRS adopters vis-à-vis non-adopters, and document three major findings. First, we find that IFRS adoption leads to a significant decrease in stock price synchronicity across all empirical specifications considered in this paper. This supports the view that voluntary IFRS adoption improves the flow of firm-specific information to the market and facilitates the incorporation of firm-specific information into stock prices. Moreover, we find that the synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption is more pronounced when firms adopt a full set of IFRS than when they adopt a partial set of IFRS, though the effect is significant in both cases. This finding is in line with the view that the full IFRS adoption is a more credible commitment than the partial adoption (e.g., maintaining local standards with some adjustments following IFRS).Second, we find that stock price synchronicity increases with the intensity of information intermediation by financial analysts, which is consistent with evidence reported by Chan and Hameed (2006) and Piotroski and Roulston (2004). More importantly, we find that the synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption is more pronounced for firms with low analyst following than for firms with high analyst following. Put differently, IFRS adopters with high analyst following reveal a higher level of synchronicity (or a lower level of firm-specific return variation), compared with those with low analyst following. This finding suggests that, for IFRS adopters,the added analyst coverage (associated with IFRS adoption) attenuates the flow of firm-specific information to the market, while it fosters the production of industry-wide and/or market-wide information and the incorporation of such information into stock prices.Finally, we provide evidence that stock price synchronicity decreases with the strength of a country’s institutional infrastructures. More importantly, we find some firm-level evidence that the synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption is greater for firms in countries with poor institutional infrastructures than those in countries with strong institutional infrastructures. This finding implies that firm-level governance such as voluntary IFRS adoption and country level governance act as substitutes for each other.Our study provides further insight into the finding of Fernandes and Ferreira (2007) who examine the effect of cross listing on stock price informativeness and find that the US cross-listing by foreign firms improves the incorporation of firm-specific information into stock prices. Similar to IFRS adoption by non-US firms, cross listing in the US market by non-US firms can be viewed as a firm’s voluntary commitment to enhanced disclosures as cross-listed firms on the US organized exchanges are subject to the US accounting standards that are widely viewed as the most stringent disclosure requirement. It should be pointed out, however, that unlike IFRS adoption, cross listing of non-US firms in the US market causes cross-listed firms to subject themselves to a more stringent legal liability and enforcement regime (in addition to a stronger disclosure regime). For this reason, non-US firm’s IFRS adoption, which can be viewed as a voluntary commitment to better disclosures with no shift in legal regime, provides us with a cleaner or better controlled setting in which the effect ofenhanced disclosures can be effectively isolated from the effect of a upward shift in legal regime, compared with cross listing of non-US stocks on the US exchanges.Our paper studies the interplay of corporate disclosures and financial analysts. The finding that synchronicity-reducing effect of IFRS adoption is attenuated by added analyst coverage sheds some light on the role of financial analysts in stock markets and gives investors some insights into the price formation process. In addition, to the best of our knowledge, our paper is the first study that evaluates the interplay of firm-level governance and country-level governance in the context of voluntary and enhanced disclosures and their effects on stock price synchronicity. Given the scarcity of empirical evidence on the issue, our evidence that the two different levels of governance act as substitutes for each other provides stock market regulators with useful insights into how to improve the information environment and the price formation process in which firm-specific information is incorporated into stock prices.The reminder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the sample and data sources, and explains how we measure key research variables. In section 3, we present descriptive statistics and the results of univariate tests. In section 4, we examine the relation between IFRS adoption and stock price synchronicity and the role of analyst following in determining this relation. In Section 5, we perform a variety of robustness tests. In Section 7, we report the results of our investigation into the role of institutional infrastructure in determining the effect of IFRS adoption on the synchronicity. The final section concludes the paper.2. Data and MeasurementIn this section, we first explain the sample and data sources. We then describe the measurement of the dependent variable, i.e., stock price synchronicity, and other key independent variables used in our study.2.1. Sample and data sourcesThe initial list of our sample consists of all non-U.S. and non-Canadian firms that are included in three databases: Datastream, Worldscope, and IBES International for the sample period 1998-2004. We merge the three databases and exclude firms pertaining to the banking, insurance and other financial industries from the sample (the Worldscope general industry classification 04, 05 or 06). All financial statement data, including a firm’s adoption of particular accounting standards, are extracted from Worldscope. All stock return data are obtained from Datastream, while all data on analysts’ earnings forecasts are from IBES International. When certain financial statement data are missing in Worldscope, we supplement such data if they are available from Global Vantage. We delete firms if data required to measure firm- specific control variables are not available from either Worldscope or Global Vantage. After applying the above selection criteria, we obtain a total of 16,647 firm-year observations with full IFRS adoption and non-adoption from 34 countries around the world over the 1998-2004 period.2.2. Measurement of stock price synchronicityOur dependent variable is stock price synchronicity for each stock, which captures the extent to which individual stock price moves together with the market. Similar to previous research (e.g., Morck et al. 2000; Durnev et al. 2003a, b; Piotroski and Roulstone 2004), we measure stock price synchronicity using R2 statistics of the market model. Specifically, for each sample year, we regress weekly returns (RET) onthe current and prior week’s value-weighted market return (MKTRET ) and the current and prior week’s value-weighted industry return (INDRET )1:RET i,t = a + b 1MKTRET i,t-1 + b 2MKTRET i,t + b 3INDRET i,t-1 + b 4INDRET i,t + i,t (1) The industry return (INDRET i,t ) for a specific week t for the industry to which firm i belong is created using all firms within the Worldscope general industry classification code.2 INDRET i,t is the value-weighted average of these firms’ returns for week t . We include lagged return metrics to correct for potential autocorrelation problems. We require that a minimum of 40 weekly return observations be available for each firm in each year. All stock return data are obtained from Datastream .As in previous studies, stock price synchronicity (Synchroncity ) is defined as:221log R R ity Synchronic −= (2)where R 2 is the coefficient of determination for Eq. (1). The log transformation of R 2 is used to obtain an unbounded continuous variable from the variable that is bounded by 0 and 1, thus making our dependent variable more normally distributed. By construction, high values of Synchronicity indicate that individual firms’ stock returns co-move closely with the market and industry returns, and thus the firm-specific return variation is low. The reason why R 2 statistics can measure a firm’s information environment is proposed by Roll (1998) who suggests that firm-specific return variation (or idiosyncratic volatility, which has a direct inverse relation to stock price synchronicity) measures the rate of firm-specific information that is incorporated into 1Chan and Hameed (2006) do not include industry returns in the market model as an additional factor. They argue that in some markets the economy is dominated by a few industries and it is difficult to disentangle the industry effect from the market effect. We take into account this argument and use the Worldscope general industry classification to calculate value-weighted industry return. In section 5.3, we conduct sensitivity tests by using different market models to estimate R 2. 2Worldscope data field 06010 describes the general industry classification to which a specific firm pertains. There are a total of six industries using this classification method. Specifically, 01, 02,and 03 represent industrial firms, utility firms, and transportation firms, respectively, while 04, 05, and 06 represent bank/savings & loan firms, insurance firms, and other financial firms, respectively. In our sample, firms pertaining to the financial service industries (06010 = 04, 05 or 06) are deleted.stock prices via trading. Recent studies by Chen et al. (2007), Ferreira and Laux (2007), Fernandes and Ferreira (2007), and Kim and Yi (2008) provide evidence that is consistent with this information-based interpretation of stock price synchronicity. In this paper, we maintain that the lower is the level of stock price synchronicity, the greater is the amount of firm-specific information being incorporated into stock prices, relative to market-wide and/or industry-wide information.2.3. IFRS adoption and differentiation between full and partial adoptionsA key independent variable in this paper is the indicator variable representing a firm’s decision to voluntarily adopt IFRS, which is denoted by DIFRS. The DIFRS variable equals 1 for IFRS adopters and 0 otherwise. We obtain information about IFRS adoption from the Worldscope database. Worldscope has a data field 07536 that describes accounting standards followed by a specific firm. Appendix I provides a detailed description on classification of accounting standards as recorded in the Worldscope data field 07536. As shown in Appendix I, Worldscope identifies 23 different accounting standards adopted by non-US firms, including local standards (07536 = 01), International Accounting Standards (IAS: 07536 = 02), IFRS (07536 = 23) and other hybrid-type accounting standards that partially adopt international standards promulgated by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) or its predecessor, International Accounting Standards Committee (IASC) (07536 = 06, 08, 12, 16, 18, and 19).Recent research by Daske et al. (2007) found that the effect of IFRS adoption on lowering the cost of capital or improving market liquidity is greater for “serious” adopters than for “label” adopters. Similar in spirit with Daske et al., firms are considered as full IFRS adopters if 07352 = 02 or 23, and as partial IFRS adopters if 07352 = 06, 08, 12, 16, 18, or 19. To test whether IFRS adoption can decrease stockprice synchronicity and whether the synchronicity-decreasing effect is greater for those who adopt a full set of IFRS (full adopters) than those who adopt a partial set of IFRS (partial adopters), we construct three different samples:(i)the strict sample of full IFRS adopters (07536 = 02or 23) and non-adopters in which partial adopters are treated as non-adopters;(ii)the comprehensive sample of full and partial IFRS adopters (07536 = 02, 06, 08, 12, 16, 18, 19or 23) and non-adopters in which both full andpartial adopters are treated as adopters; and(iii)the hybrid sample of partial IFRS adopters (07536 = 06, 08, 12, 16, 18, or19) and non-adopters in which full IFRS adopters are excluded from thesample.We expect that a firm’s commitment to enhanced disclosures is stronger and more credible for full IFRS adoptions than for partial IFRS adoptions. The stronger is the commitment, the greater is the effect of IFRS adoption on stock price synchronicity. We therefore hypothesize that the effect of IFRS adoption on stock price synchronicity is the highest, the second highest, and the lowest for the strict, comprehensive and hybrid samples, respectively.Panel A of Table 1 presents the distribution of our sample by country, separately, for the strict, comprehensive, and hybrid samples. Column 4 of Panel A reports the total number of firm-years with both IFRS adopters and non-adopters for each of 34 countries, while columns 1, 2, and 3 of the same panel report the number of firm-years with IFRS adopters only and the percentage of IFRS adopters3 for the strict, comprehensive, and hybrid samples, respectively. As shown in Panel A, there are 1,118, 1,592, and 474 firm-years of IFRS adoption for the strict, comprehensive and hybrid samples, respectively, which account for 6.72%, 9.56%, and 3.05%,3 For columns 1 and 2, the percentage of IFRS adopters is relative to the total number reported in column 4. For column 3, the percentage of IFRS adopters is relative to a reduced sample which excludes the full IFRS adopters.respectively, of the total number of firm-years in the respective samples.4 The difference in the number of firm-years between full and partial adoptions is not large in most countries except for France, Italy and Switzerland. Interestingly, the partial adoption is very popular in Italy as it accounts for about 87% of the total sample. The partial adoption accounts for about 27% in Luxemberg and about 10% in France and Switzerland. IFRS adopters are unevenly distributed across 34 countries: more than half of the total number of observations from Austria, Czech Republic, Hungary and Switzerland adopt a full set of IFRS, while ten countries do not have any full IFRS adopters.5The last column of Panel A reports the mean R2statistics of the market model in Eq. (1) for each country. Among 34 sample countries, the mean R2statistics is the highest in Czech Republic and Russia, while it is the lowest in Australia, which is consistent with evidence reported in other cross-country studies on stock price synchronicity (e.g., Morck et al. 2000). Panel B of Table 1 presents the yearly distribution of IFRS adopters in each sample. While the trend of partial adopters has no clear pattern, both the number and the percentage of full IFRS adopters increase steadily over year, reflecting an increasing trend of adopting a full set of IFRS around the world.[INSERT TABLE 1 ABOUT HERE!]2.4 Analyst following4 Note here that as both full and partial adopters are classified as IFRS adopters in the comprehensive sample, the number of observations with IFRS adoption for the comprehensive sample (N = 1,592) is the same as the sum of the number of observations with IFRS adoption for the strict sample (N = 1,118) and that for the hybrid samples (N = 474).5 The inclusion of observations from these ten countries with no IFRS adopters into our sample is consistent with Covrig et al. (2007), Kim et al. (2007), and Kim Shi (2007). As will be further explained in section 5.3, we re-estimate our main regressions after excluding observations from these ten countries and find that their exclusion does not alter our statistical inferences on the variables of interest.Another key independent variable in this study is the intensity of information intermediation by financial analysts which is proxied by the number of analyst following. Evidence shows that stock price synchronicity increases with the intensity of analyst activities as analysts are involved primarily in the production of industry-wide and market-wide information (e.g., Chan and Hameed 2006; Piotroski and Roulstone 2004). We include the number of analyst following in our regression to control for its effect on synchronicity and to test whether and how the effect of IFRS adoption on synchronicity is differentially affected by analyst coverage. In our regression, we measure analyst following (Foll) as the natural log of one plus the number of analysts making an EPS forecast for a firm as recorded in the IBES International database.3. Descriptive Statistics and Univariate ComparisonAppendix II provides the definitions of all variables used in our study. Sections 1, 2, and 3 of Table 2 present descriptive statistics of the major research variables included in our main regressions for the full sample (N = 16,647), the sub-sample of full IFRS adopters (N = 1,118), and the sub-sample of non-adopters (N = 15,529), respectively, while Section 4 reports test statistics for mean and median differences between the IFRS adopter sample and the non-adopter sample. As will be further explained in section 5.1, we also construct a matched sample. For the matched sample, for brevity, we report the descriptive statistics only for our dependent variable (i.e., Synchronicity) in Table 2. As shown in Panel A, the mean and median of stock price synchronicity are -0.542 and -0.531 (-0.568 and -0.597), respectively, for our full (matched) sample, which are much higher than those for US firms. For example, Piotroski and Roulston (2004), who measure the synchronicity in the same way with。

金融学专业术语 中英文

金融学专业术语 中英文

金融学专业术语中英文B 半强式效率semi-strong efficiency 指在证券价格充分反映了所有的公开信息(包括历史价格和交易情况,但不局限于此。

)半通货膨胀Semi-inflation 当经济逐渐接近充分就业时,货币供给增加所形成的过度总需求一方面使产出增加,另一方面又使价格逐渐上升。

保险合约insurance contract 是保险公司与被保险人之间签订的当某一事件发生时按约定的费率给予被保险人赔偿的合约。

本金principal 本期收益率current yield 本位币standard money 按照国家规定的金属、单位货币的名称和重量铸造的货币。

边际储蓄倾向Marginal Propensity to Save ,MPS 反映可支配收入每增加以单位时储蓄支出增加的数量。

边际消费倾向Marginal Propensity to Concume ,MPC 反映可支配收入每增加一个单位时小分支出增加的数量。

补偿性公共支出compensatory public spending 政府财政预算应于社会经济条件保持相同的步调,即政府应在萧条期间实施结构性预算赤字的政策,而在经济繁荣时,就要保持适当的盈余。

不动产信用控制real estate credit control 指中央银行对商业银行等金融机构向客户提供不动产抵押贷款的管理 措施。

C 财富效应wealth effect 财富变动对消费和储蓄倾向的影响。

财务担保guarantee 贷款人要求担保人为借款人的借款提供经济担保,当借款人无力偿还借款时,由担保人负责偿还的一种经济合同。

财务公司financial company 通过发行商业票据、股票或从银行借款获得资金,再利用这些资金对个人或企业进行小额贷款。

财政赤字论fiscal deficit theory 克鲁格曼(Krugman,1979)提出财政赤字导致货币危机的理论。

财政性通货膨胀理论fiscal inflation theory 通过财政政策来鼓励通货膨胀的理论。

内部控制—国外文献综述

内部控制—国外文献综述

内部控制文献综述摘要:上市公司在经营过程中频繁出现财务丑闻,如安然事件、世通事件,社会各界对企业的内部控制关注度日渐上升。

国外学术界比国内较早地开展了对内部控制研究,因此本文对国外近20多年关于内部控制的文献进行了归类综述,主要从内部控制的需求、质量及重大缺陷披露等方面进行了文献梳理。

最后,本文进行了文献评述,希望本研究能给国内的内部控制研究以启示,帮助企业经营管理者制定出一套符合自身需要的内部控制体系。

关键词:内部控制;重大缺陷披露;文献综述内部控制是一个会计程序或系统,旨在提高效率确保政策的实施、捍卫资产、避免欺诈和错误(Hamed Arad和Babak Jamshedy—Navid,2009)。

现今,内部控制是学术界研究的热点问题,同时也引起了政府、企业参与者的广泛关注。

国内关于内部控制的研究和实务都还处于起步阶段,因此特别需要借鉴国外的经验,在国外学者研究成果的基础上结合我国的国情进行研究具有重大意义。

20年前,国外学者率先开展了对内部控制的研究,研究内容广泛,研究方法丰富,取得了许多具有重要价值的研究成果。

一、内部控制文献综述(一)内部控制管理报告McMullen,D.A。

和K。

Raghunandan和D。

V。

Rama。

(1996)通过对具有内部控制管理报告的公司进行实证研究发现,相对于大公司来说,小公司在没有内部控制管理报告的情况下更可能出现财务报告问题,即是强制性内部控制管理报告的收益对小公司来说更大。

Hermanson(2000)调查了9个不同的财务报表使用团体以分析对内部控制报告的需求。

结果表明所有使用团体都认为内部控制报告很重要,并且发现自愿内部控制管理报告提升了内部控制质量,提供了超出审计财务报表的额外信息;内部控制管理报告为公司的长期发展提供指引;而大家对于强制性内部控制管理报告的信息内容没有太多的反应,与个体投资者和内部审计员相比,经理人员更不可能认同强制性内部控制管理报告的价值。

chap002 Financial Reporting and Analysis(财务报表分析-台湾中兴大学)

chap002 Financial Reporting and Analysis(财务报表分析-台湾中兴大学)

Environmental Factors
International Accounting Standards (IAS)
Set by International Accounting Standards Board Not currently accepted in U.S. SEC under pressure to accept IAS
Politicians
Others
Accountants
Provide input to
Financial Accounting Standards Board
Help set
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
Environmental Factors
IAS
Environmental Factors
Corporate Governance
Board of directors oversightAccounting Set by International Audit committeeBoard Standards of the board - oversee accounting process Not currently accepted in U.S. - oversee internal control - oversea internal/external audit SEC Auditor pressure to accept under Internal
Environmental Factors
Economic, Industry & Company News
Impacts current & future financial condition and performance

公司法英文词汇

公司法英文词汇

公司法英文词汇1.公司corporation; company2.合伙partnership3.合股公司 joint-stock company4.特许公司 chartered corporation5.注册公司 registered corporation6.法定公司 statutory corporation7.无限公司 unlimited corporation8.有限责任公司 limited corporation; company with limited liability9.股份有限公司 company limited by shares10.母公司 parent corporation11.子公司 subsidiaries12.总公司 Headquarter; Main Branch13.分公司 branch14.国有独资公司wholly state-owned company15.上市公司 quoted corporation; listed company16.公司集团 groups of companies17.保证公司 limited by guarantee18.慈善公司 charitable corporation19.控股公司 holding corporation; holding company20.公开公司publicly held corporation21.闭锁公司closely held corporation22.公公司 pub1ic company23.私公司 private company24.一人公司one-person company25.一人有限责任公司 one-person company with limited liability26.外国公司的分支机构 branches of foreign company27.公司设立 incorporation28.组织机构 organizational structure29.股权转让 equity transfer30.股份发行 issue of shares31.股份转让 transfer of shares32.股东大会 shareholders general assembly33.公司债券 corporate bonds34.财务 financial affairs35.会计 accounting36.公司合并 merger of companies37.公司分立 division of companies38.增资 increase of capital39.减资 reduction of capital40.公司解散和清算 dissolution and liquidation of company41.企业法人 an enterprise legal person42.名称 name43.住所 domicile44.注册资本 registered capital45.实收资本 actually received capital46.换发营业执照 renew business license47.符合法律规定的条件 meet the conditions provided for by law48.债权 the rights of credit49.债务 the debts50.主要办事机构 main administrative organization51.对……有约束力 have binding force on52.法人资格 the status of a legal person53.公司治理corporation governance54.公司人格corporation personality55.契约contract56.公司法人格否认Disregard of Corporate Personality57.刺破公司面纱Piercing the Corporate Veil58.揭开公司面纱Lifting the veil of the Corporation59.普通合伙general partnership60.有限合伙Limited partnerships61.合伙人partner62.有限责任limited liability63.公司章程articles of association64.注册证书certificate of incorporation articles of incorporation65.发起人的受托义务promoter’s fiduciary obligation66.认购协议 subscription agreement67.既成事实公司de facto corporation68.法律上的公司de jure corporation69.公司设立瑕疵defective incorporation70.受托人义务fiduciary obligation71.结论性证据conclusive evidence72.股份share73.股息dividends74.关联第三方connected third parties75.出资(投资)invest76.股东shareholder77.小股东 minority shareholder78.单个股东individual shareholder79.消极股东passive shareholder80.积极股东active shareholder81.逆向合并 reverse merger82.正向合并forward merger83.股权收购share acquisition84.收购公司acquiring company85.(收购)目标公司target company86.资产收购asset acquisition87.公司责任liability of corporation88.公司结构(组织)corporation structure89.董事director90.高级职员officer91.股东权powers of shareholder92.选任elect93.解任remove94.年会(常会)annual meeting95.兼并merger96.解散dissolution97.自愿解散 voluntary dissolution98.强制解散 involuntary dissolution99.法院解散 judicial dissolution100.清算 liquidation101.董事会 board of directors102.经理 manager103.监事会 board of supervisors104.累计投票权cumulative voting right105.任期term106.董事的延期holdover director107.董事的解除removal of director108.董事会会议directors’ meeting109.公告notice110.法定人数quorum111.少数lower number112.绝对多数super majority113.自己表决present at vote114.多数higher number115.委员会committee116.细则bylaw117.董事长president; the chairman of the board of directors118.执行董事 the executive director119.公司秘书secretary120.股东诉讼shareholders ’action121.股东的信息获取权shareholders’ informational right122.股东的帐簿与记录检查权shareholders’ inspection of books and records 123.公司融资corporation finance124.财务报告financial report125.损益表 income statement126.资产负债表balance sheet127.年度报告annual report128.季度报告quarterly report129.掺水股票watered stock130.许可authorization131.发起人promoter132.营业执照 trade charter; business license133.经营范围business scope134.优先购买权pre-emptive right135.库藏股treasury shares136.受托责任fiduciary duty137.有价证券security138.权益证券equity security139.债务证券debt security140.债券bond141.普通股 common stock142.优先股 preferred stock143.资本capital144.授权且己发行资本authorized and issued capital145.授权资本(名义资本)authorized capital; nominal capital146.己发行资本issued capital147.已缴资本paid—up capital148.待缴资本uncalled capital149.催缴股本 called-up capital150.保留资本reserve capital151.股权资本 equity capital152.借贷资本 loan capital153.声明股本stated capital154.票面价值 par value,缩写为 PV155.无票面价值 no par value 缩写NPV156.法定资本制 legal capital system157.授权资本制 system authorized Capital158.转投资 reinvestment159.资本确定原则prinzipdes festen grund capitals; doctrine of capital determination 160.资本维持原则doctrine of capital maintenance161.资本不变原则Prinzipder Bestandingkedes Grund kapitals; doctrine of unchanging capital162.重组re-classified163.股票再分割sub-divide164.注销cancel165.未发行的股份Unissued capital stock166.注册资本the registered capital167.分配 distribution168.公司登记官the Registrar169.合并股份consolidate170.分割股份divide171.库存股treasure stock172.减资决议a resolution for reducing share capital173.红利股bonus shares174.雇员持股制度an employees’share system175.设立报告incorporators'report176.资本不足inadequate capitalization177.最低资本额制度grundsatz des mindestgrund kapitals178.商业登记官the commercial Register179.授权资本额the amount of the authorized capital180.创立主义konstruktionsprinzip、Incorporation181.净资产net assets; net worth182.资本盈余 capital surplus183.缴付盈余 paid-in surplus184.减资盈余reduction surplus185.泡沫法案the bubble act186.合股公司法The joint-stock companies Act187.泡沫废止法The Bubble Act Repeal Act188.代理理论Principal-agent Theory189.契约的集合nexus of contracts190.越权行为 ultra vires act191.特许公司中chartered corporation192.优先债权人senior creditor193.次位债权subordinated creditor194.公司治理 corporate governance195.股东之公平对待the equitable treatment of shareholders196.股东之权利the rights of shareholders197.信息揭露及透明性disclosure and transparency198.董事会的责任the responsibilities of the board199.股权代理人proxy200.董事与公司间之交易self-dealing201.动机不纯之公司行为corporate action with mixed motives202.挪用公司或股东财产the taking of corporate or shareholder property 203.代表诉讼 derivative suit204.少数股东权 derivative action205.董事义务与责任 shareholder' right and liability206.买回 repurchase207.交叉持股 cross ownership208.重整 corporate reorganization209.股东会 shareholder meeting210.董事会 board of directors211.独立董事 Independent Director212.内部董事inside director213.公司经理人officer214.外部监察人 outside supervisor215.执行委员会executive committee216.监察委员会audit committee217.报酬委员会remuneration committee218.提名委员会nominating committee219.经营判断原则The Business Judgment Rule220.关系人交易 conflict of interest221.股份收买请求权 appraisal right222.资本不足under capitalization223.未遵守公司形式failure to follow corporate formalities224.公司财务报表、功能、或人员之重叠overlap of corporate records, function or personnel225.资产混淆commingling of assets226.股东之支配能力shareholder domination227.不实陈述misrepresentation228.诈欺fraud229.具有支配权之股东 dominant shareholder230.公司机会corporate opportunity231.无表决权股non-voting share232.多数表决权股 multiple-voting share233.表决权信托voting trust234.认股选择权制度stock option235.新股认购权warrant236.章程(组织)[英]memorandum of association; articles of association[美]articles;bylaws237.公司分割corporate division238.资本收益capital gain239.公司分立spin-off、split-off 及split-up240.模范公司法model business corporation act241.注意义务duty of care242.了解公司业务之义务duty to become informed243.询问义务duty of inquiry244.了解后为决定之义务duty of informed judgment245.监督义务duty of attention246.忠诚义务duty of loyalty247.与公司为合理交易之义务duty of fair dealing248.公司债debenture249.公司债所有者bondholder250.营业执照business license251.承担连带责任assume joint and several liability252.企业改制structural reform253.劳动保护occupational protection254.职业教育和岗位培训vocational education and on-the-job training255.非货币财产non-currency property256.按期足额on schedule and in full257.验资证明capital verification certificates258.出资证明书investment certificates259.关联关系affiliated relations260.资本公积金capital surplus fund261.法定公积金statutory surplus fund262.任意公积金discretionary surplus fund263.记名股票registered shares264.无记名股票bearer shares265.招股说明书prospectus266.认股书subscription form267.国有资产监督管理机构State-owned assets regulatory institution 268.抽逃出资secretly withdraw capital contributions269.经营方针operational policy。

售后回租不构成销售的出租人会计处理方法

售后回租不构成销售的出租人会计处理方法

英文回答:In situations where a sale-leaseback agreement does not satisfy the criteria for classification as a sale, the accounting treatment deviates from that of a typical sale. Under such circumstances, the transaction is regarded as a financing arrangement rather than a sale. The lessor, who is the original owner of the asset, will persist in recognizing the asset on its balance sheet and treating the lease as a finance lease. The initial recognition of the lease necessitates the establishment of a lease receivable and the acknowledgment of the present value of the future lease payments as a finance lease receivable. The leased asset will continue to undergo depreciation and remain on the lessor's financial records, while the lease payments received will be recognized as finance ie over the lease term.在售后租回协议不符合销售分类标准的情况下,会计处理方式不同于典型销售方式。

金亚科技有限公司财务舞弊案例分析

金亚科技有限公司财务舞弊案例分析

目录1 前言 (1)1.1研究目的及意义 (1)1.1.1研究目的 (1)1.1.2研究意义 (1)1.2国内外研究现状 (1)1.2.1国内研究现状 (1)1.2.2国外研究现状 (2)1.3研究内容 (2)2 相关概念及理论依据 (4)2.1相关概念 (4)2.1.1财务舞弊 (4)2.1.2会计信息失真 (4)2.1.3审计的独立性 (4)2.2相关理论 (4)2.2.1 GONE理论和风险因子理论 (4)2.2.2舞弊三角理论 (5)2.2.3信息不对称理论 (5)3 金亚科技的基本情况与财务舞弊的手段 (6)3.1金亚科技情况介绍 (6)3.2金亚科技财务舞弊手段分析 (6)3.2.1虚构报表 (6)3.2.2虚构收入和净利润 (9)3.2.3虚构应收账款和在建工程 (10)3.2.4虚构预付工程款 (12)3.2.5虚增存货 (14)4 金亚科技财务舞弊原因分析 (16)4.1内部原因 (16)4.1.1公司着急上市 (16)4.1.2相关利益者的需求 (16)4.1.3 未遵循内部控制制度 (16)4.2外部原因 (17)4.2.1 注册会计师审计未按准则工作 (17)4.2.2 监管部门监管不到位 (17)5 防范公司财务舞弊的对策和建议 (18)5.1完善内部相关制度 (18)5.1.1 完善内部结构,发挥真正作用 (18)5.1.2 完善内部控制活动 (18)5.1.3 落实内部的监督职能 (18)5.2加强外部的监管 (19)5.2.1加强注册会计师审计独立性 (19)5.2.2完善相应的法律法规 (19)6 结论 (20)参考文献 (21)摘要近年来随着我国市场经济的发展和证券市场的日益完善,上市公司数量不断攀升,但近几年上市公司财务舞弊事件越来越多,损害了广大老百姓的切身利益。

通过研究金亚科技财务舞弊的案例,可以清楚的分析财务舞弊的原因和目的,并有针对性地提出防范措施和治理建议,研究结果对资本市场的健康发展具有重要的意义。

extrapolative beliefs and financial decision

extrapolative beliefs and financial decision

外推信念和金融决策是指人们根据过去的经验或数据,通过简单的外推来形成对未来的预期,并在此基础上做出决策的过程。

在金融领域中,这种信念和决策方式可能对投资、风险评估、市场预测等方面产生影响。

例如,投资者可能会基于过去的股价走势预测未来的趋势,从而做出买入或卖出的决策。

然而,这种外推信念并不总是准确的,因为未来的发展受到许多不可预知的因素影响。

因此,在进行金融决策时,需要综合考虑多种因素,谨慎评估风险,避免过度依赖外推信念而做出错误的决策。

Financial institutions and markets [学习笔记]

Financial institutions and markets [学习笔记]

Financial institutions and markets in developing countries我们要先了解什么是Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard。

在微观经济学中,我们讨论的完全竞争模型有一个非常重要的前提,那就是假设信息的完全性,即市场的供求双方对于所交换的商品都具有充分的信息了解。

比如说,消费者知道自己的偏好,了解在什么地方,什么时候存在有何种质量的以怎样的价格出售的商品;生产者则明白自己的生产情况,了解在什么地方,什么时候存在有何种质量的以怎样的价格出售的生产要素;等等。

然而,非常显而易见的是,有关信息完全性的假设是不符合现实的。

在现实经济中,信息往往是不完全的,或者我们可以说是不对称的。

在这里,信息不对称不仅是绝对意义上的不对称,即由于认知能力的有限,人们不可能知道在任何时候,任何地方发生的或没有发生却即将发生的任何情况;而且信息不对称也指相对意义上的不对称,其市场经济本身不能够生产出足够的信息并有效地进行配置。

信息并不同于普通的商品。

人们在购买普通商品时,首先会了解它的价值,然后决定是否购买;但是对于信息商品,购买时却很难对其价值做到完全的了解。

人们之所以愿意花钱去购买信息商品,是因为还不知道这个商品是什么,一旦知道了商品,也就是知道了信息的内容,就没有人还愿意为此进行支付了。

这种情况下,就出现了一个难题:究竟卖者让不让买者在购买之前就充分了解要购买的信息的价值呢?让,购买者可能就会因为知道了信息而不再去购买;不让,购买者也可能因为不知道值不值得买而不去购买。

这时,若想买卖成功,就只能依靠双方并不十分可靠的依赖:卖者让买者充分了解信息的用处,买者则答应了解信息的用处后会购买它。

可以看出来,市场的作用受到了很大的限制。

信息不对称就是在市场交易中,当市场的一方无法观测和监督另一方的行为或无法获知另一方行动的完全信息,亦或观测和监督成本高昂时,交易双方掌握的信息所处的不对称状态。

IFS国际金融统计年鉴 中国

IFS国际金融统计年鉴 中国
Nominal Effective Exchange Rate..... Real Effective Exchange Rate............
Yuan per SDR: End of Period wa 11.2532 12.2989 12.8535 11.5345 11.7474 11.5431 10.5271 11.6801 11.5418 11.6917 11.5431 11.5427
285.64 1,631.77 1,619.60 283.93 282.58 882.53 1,631.77 1,631.77
6.63
6.36
4.41
6.63
6.37
6.37
6.36
4.41
651.67 786.28 843.25 652.66 663.31 661.24 786.28 803.73
8,090 739 547 —
8,090 754 532 —
8,090 764 515 —
International Liquidity Total Reserves Minus Gold............... SDRs............................................. Reserve Position in the Fund.......... Foreign Exchange.......................... Gold (Million Fine Troy Ounces)........ Gold (National Valuation)................ Monetary Authorities:Other Assets... Monetary Authorities: Other Liabs... Banking Institutions: Assets............. Banking Institutions: Liabs...............
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THE ACCOUNTING REVIEW American Accounting Association V ol.86,No.1DOI:10.2308/accr.00000005 2011pp.59–100V oluntary Nonfinancial Disclosure and theCost of Equity Capital:The Initiationof Corporate Social Responsibility ReportingDan S.DhaliwalThe University of Arizona and Korea UniversityOliver Zhen LiThe University of ArizonaAlbert TsangYong George YangThe Chinese University of Hong KongABSTRACT:We examine a potential benefit associated with the initiation of voluntarydisclosure of corporate social responsibility͑CSR͒activities:a reduction infirms’cost ofequity capital.Wefind thatfirms with a high cost of equity capital in the previous yeartend to initiate disclosure of CSR activities in the current year and that initiatingfirmswith superior social responsibility performance enjoy a subsequent reduction in the costof equity capital.Further,initiatingfirms with superior social responsibility performanceattract dedicated institutional investors and analyst coverage.Moreover,these analystsachieve lower absolute forecast errors and dispersion.Finally,wefind thatfirms exploitthe benefit of a lower cost of equity capital associated with the initiation of CSR disclo-sure.Initiatingfirms are more likely than non-initiatingfirms to raise equity capital fol-lowing the initiations;amongfirms raising equity capital,initiatingfirms raise a signifi-cantly larger amount than do non-initiatingfirms.Keywords:corporate social responsibility;cost of capital;voluntary disclosure.Data Availability:The data are publicly available from the sources identified in thepaper.We appreciate the valuable comments from Ying Cao,Zhaoyang Gu,Michel Magnan,Morton Pincus,Suresh Radhakrish-nan,T.J.Wong,and seminar participants at the City University of Hong Kong,Singapore Management University, Tsinghua University and2009AAA Annual Meeting,and especially the detailed constructive suggestions from Steven Kachelmeier͑editor͒and two anonymous referees.We thank Brian Bushee for generously sharing his classifications of institutional investors.We also thank and KLD Research&Analytics,Inc.for providing the corporate social responsibility data,and I/B/E/S for the analyst following data.We are grateful to Xuemei Hao and Guangqing Li for their excellent research assistance.The work described in this paper was fully supported by a grant from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong SAR,China͑Project No.CUHK451409͒.Editor’s note:Accepted by Steven Kachelmeier.Submitted:April2009Accepted:May2010Published Online:January20115960Dhaliwal,Li,Tsang,and YangI.INTRODUCTIONT he last15years have witnessed a steadily increasing emphasis on socially responsible corporate activities around the world.While third parties,such as KLD Research and Analytics,Inc.͑KLD͒,often track and rate the corporate social responsibility͑CSR͒per-formance of largefirms,firms have also become increasingly willing to voluntarily issue standa-lone CSR reports in recent years.1According to ,a private company that specializes in tracking CSR reports,few standalone CSR reports were issued in the United States before the mid-1990s.However,since then,increasingly more U.S.firms have committed to making this type of disclosure.In2007alone,largefirms issued about300CSR reports.Although CSR disclosingfirms represent only a small fraction of the population of U.S.publicly listedfirms, their aggregate market value constituted over10percent of the total U.S.market capitalization in 2007.2The rapid increase in CSR reporting naturally raises questions among researchers:What are the rationales behind this type of voluntary disclosure?What benefits dofirms gain by spending resources on compiling and publishing these standalone reports,especially given that CSR per-formance ratings are often available to investors through third parties?A number of factors potentially provide answers to these questions,such as the growing influence of global enterprises,the intensified scrutiny of corporate impact on the society and the economy as a result of a loss of trust after a series of corporate scandals around2001,and the recent rapid growth in ethical/socially responsible investment in the United States and around the world.3Anecdotal evidence also indicates thatfirms’reputations and long-term sales can suffer because of poor CSR performance.For instance,Nike struggled for years and invested a great amount offinancial resources and effort to regain its reputation after the1997child labor scandal.4 We examine one factor,namely,a reduction infirms’cost of equity capital,that potentially provides an explanation for the increasing trend in CSR disclosure.Among various potential factors influencing CSR disclosure decisions,we focus on the cost of equity capital because it plays a critical role in afirm’sfinancing and general operations decisions.Also,corporate execu-tives appear to believe that voluntarily communicating information can reduce theirfirms’cost of capital͑Graham et al.2005͒.Further,there is a longstanding interest among academics in the relation between disclosure and the cost of capital͑Diamond and Verrecchia1991;Botosan1997; Leuz and Verrecchia2000;Botosan and Plumlee2002͒.To determine whether and how CSR disclosure is related tofirms’cost of equity capital,we employ a sample offirms that intersect two CSR data sources:͑1͒a comprehensive list offirms releasing electronic or hard-copy standalone CSR reports since1993,collected from various sources on the Internet;and͑2͒the KLD STATS database that provides detailed CSR performance ratings for individualfirms.Our analyses provide four important insights.First,firms with a high cost of equity capital in the previous year are significantly more likely than others to initiate standalone CSR disclosures.Second,the cost of equity capital decreases for CSR-initiatingfirms with superior CSR performance.Third,CSR-initiatingfirms with superior CSR performance at-tract dedicated institutional investors and analyst coverage.Moreover,these analysts have more1Consistent with McWilliams and Siegel͑2001͒,among others,we define CSR as instances where the company goes beyond compliance and voluntarily engages in actions that appear to advance social causes,including committing to environmental and human rights protection,providing community support,and so forth.In practice and academic research,CSR is often used interchangeably with“sustainability.”We also follow this convention in the paper.2Thisfigure is based on the mean market cap of$14.47billion forfirms as represented in Table2and the total U.S.market cap of around$15.35trillion on May23,2007.3For example,according to the Social Investment Forum͑2007͒,from1995to2005,assets invested in socially respon-sible investment grew from$639billion to$2.29trillion,and accounted for approximately11percent of the total assets managed by professional managers.4See .au/news/25/0c00d225.asp.The Accounting Review January2011 American Accounting AssociationV oluntary Nonfinancial Disclosure and the Cost of Equity Capital61 accurate forecasts and lower forecast dispersion.Finally,corroborating the result on the relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital,CSR-initiatingfirms are significantly more likely than non-initiatingfirms to conduct seasoned equity offerings͑SEOs͒in the two years following these initiations and amongfirms conducting SEOs,CSR-initiatingfirms raise a signifi-cantly larger amount of capital than do non-initiatingfirms.Overall,our evidence is consistent with our predictions that a potential reduction in the cost of equity capital motivatesfirms to publish standalone CSR reports and that CSR disclosure byfirms with superior CSR performance leads to a lower cost of equity capital.This study is thefirst to investigate the impact of standalone voluntary disclosure of general CSR issues on the cost of equity capital.We contribute to the literature by extending the traditional research on voluntary disclosure beyond the narrow focus offinancial disclosure.The extant finance and accounting literatures on voluntary disclosure focus primarily on management fore-casts or conference calls that are short-term-oriented.5In contrast,CSR disclosure,which is broad in scope,is related to afirm’s long-term development strategies and performance sustainability. Our results provide evidence on the rationales behind and the consequences of the recent trend in voluntary CSR disclosure.Our study is related to,but differs from,the work of Plumlee et al.͑2008͒and Richardson and Welker͑2001͒.Plumlee et al.͑2008͒examine the impact of voluntary environmental disclosure quality onfirm value.We examine a broader concept of CSR,which includes environmental protection,community development,corporate governance practices,employee relations,diversity practices,human rights,and product quality.In addition,we use a measure of CSR that is different from Plumlee et al.͑2008͒,who use a self-constructed index to measurefirms’environmental disclosure quality.We use a proxy that indicates whetherfirms publish CSR reports.Also,the information examined by Plumlee et al.͑2008͒comes from corporate environmental reports as well as annual reports and10-Ks,which reflect both voluntary and mandatory disclosures.The standalone CSR reports we examine are voluntary.Our study also differs from Richardson and Welker͑2001͒,who examine the relation between the cost of equity capital and social as well asfinancial disclosure.First,we study U.S.firms, whereas they examine Canadianfirms.The United States and Canada differ considerably in institutions related to information disclosure,with the United States having more stringent regu-lations than Canada͑Richardson and Welker2001͒.If more stringent regulations and the associ-ated higher level of litigation risk translate into a generally higher level of disclosure credibility, then we can observe different relations between disclosure and the cost of equity capital in these two countries.In addition,the CSR measure used by Richardson and Welker͑2001͒is based on annual reports,whereas we focus on standalone CSR disclosures.These two forms of disclosure differ in depth and breadth of CSR coverage.Methodologically,we differ from Plumlee et al.͑2008͒and Richardson and Welker͑2001͒by employing a lead-lag approach enhanced with two-stage regressions in sensitivity analysis to deal with endogeneity and self-selection issues and by exploring the underlying channels,such as institutional ownership and analyst coverage,through which CSR disclosure affects the cost of equity capital.In sum,we contribute to the literature by complementing and extending Plumlee et al.͑2008͒and Richardson and Welker͑2001͒.Section II develops our hypotheses.Section III describes our sample and methodology.Sec-tion IV presents empirical evidence on the relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital.Section V summarizes and concludes.5One of the few exceptions is Dietrich et al.͑2001͒,who investigate the effect of the supplemental disclosure of forward-looking information on security prices.The Accounting Review January2011American Accounting Association62Dhaliwal,Li,Tsang,and Yang II.RELATED RESEARCH AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT Most prior research on the relation between disclosure and the cost of capital focuses on financial disclosure͑Core2001;Healy and Palepu2001;Leuz and Wysocki2008͒.The consensus appears to be that a negative relation exists between the quality offinancial disclosure and the cost of capital.Greater disclosure increases investors’awareness of afirm’s existence and enlarges its investor base,which improves risk-sharing and reduces the cost of capital͑Merton1987͒.In addition,higher quality or more precisefirm-specific disclosures decrease the covariance of a firm’s cashflow with the cashflows of otherfirms͑Hughes et al.2007;Lambert et al.2007͒, which essentially reduces the betas of individualfirms and,hence,the cost of equity capital. Similarly,greater disclosure can lead to reduced information asymmetry among investors or be-tween managers and investors.When the level of disclosure is inadequate and some investors are perceived to be better informed than others,informationally disadvantaged investors price-protect themselves and become less willing to trade.The resultant illiquidity increases the bid-ask spread and transaction costs͑Verrecchia2001͒,which leads to a higher required rate of return or cost of equity capital͑Amihud and Mendelson1986͒.These mechanisms likely apply to bothfinancial and nonfinancial disclosure,as long as the information concerned is value-relevant.Indeed,a fair amount of research suggests that CSR information is value-relevant͑Margolis and Walsh2001;Orlitzky et al.2003;Al-Tuwaijri et al. 2004͒.Of course,CSR practices can affectfirms’financial performance and value through chan-nels other than those related tofinancial disclosure.For instance,voluntary socially responsible behavior can helpfirms avoid government regulation and,therefore,reduce compliance costs.In addition,socially responsiblefirms appeal to consumers who care about the corresponding social issues,which leads to superior sales andfinancial performance͑Lev et al.2010͒.Socially aware investors are willing to pay a premium for the securities of socially responsiblefirms͑Anderson and Frankel1980;Richardson and Welker2001͒.Perhaps more important,some CSR projects have direct implications for positive cashflow even in the near future.For example,practices related to protecting the environment and improving employee welfare can reduce potential liti-gation and pollution cleaning costs,boost employee morale.And,thereby,production efficiency. These arguments highlight the importance of CSR disclosure in reducing information asymmetry and uncertainty related to factors affectingfirm value͑Rodriguez et al.2006͒,which in turn reduces the cost of equity capital.Nevertheless,a straightforward generalization of the cost of capital effect fromfinancial disclosure to nonfinancial CSR disclosure is not always obvious.Standalone CSR reports are currently subject to very limited regulatory guidance.There is a common concern about the usefulness of this type of disclosure because of noncomparability and potential credibility issues and opportunistic behaviors offirms͑Ingram and Frazier1980;Hobson and Kachelmeier2005͒.6 In the end,whether voluntary CSR disclosure reduces afirm’s cost of equity capital is an empirical question.It is important to note that CSR performance ratings of largefirms are often available to investors through third parties.These ratings could be directly associated with the cost of equity capital of thesefirms.However,ratings alone are unlikely to provide sufficient information for investors to assessfirms’overall CSR performance.Detailed CSR disclosures potentially provide additional information necessary for investors to assimilate these summary ratings.7Further,vol-untarily disclosing CSR activities demonstratesfirms’confidence in their CSR performance,which 6Although some accounting and consultingfirms provide voluntary assurance service͑Simnett et al.2009͒,there is not yet a government standard that regulates this service,and the assurance industry is still in its infancy.7An obvious analogy is the usefulness of footnote disclosures and management discussions in supplementingfinancial statements.The Accounting Review January2011 American Accounting AssociationV oluntary Nonfinancial Disclosure and the Cost of Equity Capital63 sends a positive signal to investors,or,in the case of poor CSR performance,allowsfirms to offer explanations.Therefore,CSR disclosures contain information beyond that contained in CSR per-formance ratings.Somefirms also disclose information on CSR activities in their annual reports orfilings with the SEC.However,afirm’s voluntary compilation and publication of standalone CSR reports demonstrates its special effort and commitment to improving transparency regarding long-term performance and risk management.More importantly,compared with the CSR information pro-vided in annual reports or10-Ks,standalone CSR reports are more comprehensive and contain significantly more details.8Therefore,standalone CSR reports likely provide incrementally useful information for investors to evaluatefirms’long-term sustainability.Focusing on standalone CSR reports can thus improve the power of our tests and shed light on this new form of voluntary nonfinancial disclosure.Ourfirst hypothesis predicts that a possible reduction in the cost of equity capital provides an incentive forfirms to publish CSR reports.Frankel et al.͑1995͒find thatfirms increase their level of voluntary disclosure to raise capital in the future at a lower cost,which suggests thatfirms with a relatively higher cost of capital likely have a greater incentive to enhance disclosure.Lending support to the cost of capital incentive for disclosure,Sletten͑2008͒finds that stock price declines, which imply an increase infirms’cost of equity capital,induce managers to disclose more information.9Of course,endogeneity and self-selection issues can arise if we examine a contemporaneous relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital.On the one hand,if CSR disclosure is motivated by afirm’s desire to reduce its high cost of equity capital,then we shouldfind a positive relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of the equity capital.On the other hand,if CSR disclosure leads to a lower cost of equity capital,then we shouldfind a negative relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital.Therefore,the contemporaneous relation between CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital could be ambiguous.To address the poten-tial endogeneity and self-selection issues related to CSR disclosure and the cost of equity capital, we employ a lead-lag approach in our main analyses and state ourfirst hypothesis below: H1:The likelihood that afirm will disclose its corporate social responsibility activities is positively associated with its cost of equity capital in the previous year.If CSR disclosure provides information that is incremental to information provided in third-party CSR performance ratings or other information dissemination channels such as annual reports or10-Ks,then the preceding discussion suggests that CSR disclosure should lead to a lower cost of equity capital.This logic suggests the following hypothesis:H2:Corporate social responsibility disclosure is associated with a subsequently lower cost of equity capital.Support for H1and H2would provide justification for the rationales behind and the conse-quences of CSR disclosure.We also test a corollary of H1and H2by examining whether disclos-8In untabulated analyses and relying on manual data collection,we compare CSR-related content in thefirst-time standalone CSR reports and annual reports͑or10-Ks in the absence of annual reports͒of50firms out of ourfinal sample of213firms.Wefind that,on average,standalone CSR reports are significantly longer͑28.3pages versus1.5 pages͒and cover significantly more CSR issues͑6.4issues versus1.5issues͒compared to annual reports or10-Ks.The inference of the above comparison is also supported by a comprehensive survey conducted by KPMG͑2008͒,which finds that among the largest100U.S.firms,only about1percent of them adequately integrate CSR reports into their annual reports.9However,the result documented by Sletten͑2008͒could be attributable to either the numerator͑cashflow͒effect or the denominator͑cost of capital͒effect,or both.The Accounting Review January2011American Accounting Association64Dhaliwal,Li,Tsang,and Yang ingfirms seek externalfinancing after CSR disclosures.If CSR disclosure is motivated byfirms’desire to reduce the cost of equity capital,then thesefirms will be more likely than non-disclosing firms to raise equity capital after their CSR disclosures to exploit the reduction in their cost of equity capital,and they will also strive to raise a larger amount.While we formulate our predic-tions based on CSR disclosure,in the empirical analysis we focus on CSR-disclosure-initiating firms since initial reports likely contain more information than mundane continuing reports.III.SAMPLE AND METHODOLOGYSample DescriptionCSR disclosure policies can be sticky across years.Therefore,we focus onfirst-time standa-lone CSR reports.We collect standalone CSR reports issued by U.S.firms from various sources, including͑1͒Corporate Social Responsibility Newswire,͑2͒,͑3͒Internet searches,and͑4͒company websites.Thefirst two sources are the two leading organizations collecting and disseminating news and information related to CSR.We verify our CSR reporting sample by checking whether we canfind their actual standalone CSR reports.10 In our main analyses,we control for the relative social responsibility performance of sample firms,as proxied for by the KLD social performance rating scores.Ourfinal sample comprises firms that are in both the KLD STATS and Compustat databases.KLD evaluates CSR performance for all coveredfirms along a variety of dimensions,regardless of whether they release standalone reports.11Starting from1991,KLD STATS rated approximately650companies every year,com-prising mainly allfirms in the S&P500and Domini400Social SM Index.During2001to2002, KLD expanded its coverage to include the largest1,panies by market capitalization. Since2003,it has covered the largest3,panies based on market capitalization.Table1,Panel A shows the industry distribution,based on Barth et al.’s͑1998͒industry classifications,of CSR reports and disclosingfirms.During the1993–2007period,294firms issued a total of1,190standalone CSR reports.12The Utilities industry has the largest proportion ͑30.4percent͒offirms publishing CSR reports,while the Services and Insurance/Real Estate industries have the lowest proportion of disclosingfirms͑2.15percent and0.40percent,respec-tively͒.Consistent with the broad scope of CSR disclosure,many non-pollution-prone industries including the Food and Retail industries also actively disclose their social performance.After eliminating81firms because of missing data,ourfinal sample contains213disclosingfirms.The Utilities industry constitutes the largest proportion of thefinal sample͑13.4percent͒.Table1, Panel B presents the distribution by year of CSR reports and disclosingfirms.Overall,there is a steadily increasing trend in the number of CSR reports over time from8in1993to184in2007. The average report length nearly doubles from about20pages in the early1990s to more than40 pages in the most recent years.On average,a CSR report has36pages.1310It is tempting to examine the information content of CSR disclosures.However,this test is hampered by the lack of information on the exact reporting dates of the reports.Nevertheless,we conduct an event study based on the reporting months of the reports.Wefind that͑1͒during the CSR reporting month,there is no difference in raw and market-adjusted returns between high and low CSR performancefirms;͑2͒during the three-month period following the CSR reporting month,high CSR performancefirms appear to do slightly better than low CSR performancefirms,based on market-adjusted returns;and͑3͒there is no difference in returns between CSR reporting months and non-CSR reporting months.11The Appendix to this paper lays out the main categories of CSR issues employed by KLD in its rating process and also the average rating scores across industries.12Sometimes afirm publishes multiple CSR reports,often discussing different CSR-related issues such as environmental versus non-environmental matters,in a single year.When that is the case,we combine them into onefirm-year observation.13The statistics for page numbers are based on all CSR reports published in the year,not just onfirst-time reports.The Accounting Review January2011 American Accounting AssociationV oluntary Nonfinancial Disclosure and the Cost of Equity Capital67Empirical Models and Variable DefinitionsPast Cost of Equity Capital and Current-Year CSR DisclosureTo test H1,we examine whether a high cost of equity capital in the previous year givesfirms an incentive for CSR disclosure in the current year.In the empirical regression model,we control for other determinants of CSR disclosure to parse out potential confounding effects.However,the current literature provides limited information on what motivates afirm’s CSR disclosure decision. As CSR disclosure is part of afirm’s overall voluntary disclosure strategy,we identify potential factors from the voluntary disclosure literature that influence afirm’s decision to commit to CSR disclosure.Our logistic regression model is specified as follows:log͓prob͑DISCI i,t͒/͑1−prob͑DISCI i,t͔͒͒=␤0+␤1COC i,t−1+␤2PERFORM i,t−1+␤3HICONCERN i,t−1+␤4SIZE i,t−1+␤5LITIGATION i,t−1+␤6ROA i,t−1+␤7COMPETITION i,t−1+␤8FIN i,t−1+␤9TOBINQ i,t−1+␤10LEV i,t−1+␤11GLOBAL i,t−1+␤12LIQUIDITY i,t−1+␤13ABS_EM i,t−1+␤14CIG i,t−1+⌺IND i,t+⌺YEAR i,t+␧i,t͑1͒where DISCI i,t is an indicator variable that equals1iffirm i discloses a standalone CSR report for thefirst time in year t͑initiatingfirm-years or initiators͒,and0͑non-initiatingfirm-years or non-initiators͒otherwise.Therefore,the control group͑DISCIϭ0͒,namely,non-initiators,in-cludes all years offirms that never issue CSR reports and the years before and after CSR-initiating firms’first-time reports.Our main variable of interest,the cost of equity capital in the year prior tofirst-time CSR disclosure,COC,is the ex ante or implied cost of equity capital,calculated using three different models,namely,those of Gebhardt et al.͑2001͒,Claus and Thomas͑2001͒,and Easton͑2004͒. The mean of the three measures͑COC_AVG͒serves as our proxy for the cost of equity capital.To implement the estimation,we obtain expected future earnings per share from I/B/E/S and market price and dividend per share from Compustat.We include a number of control variables in the regression.PERFORM is the total KLD score of CSR strengths,which we use to proxy forfirms’CSR performance.Firms with better social performance have a greater incentive to disclose͑Dye1985͒.The KLD database is widely used in CSR research͑Graves and Waddock1994;Berman et al.1999;Baron et al.2009͒.Waddock ͑2003,369͒regards it as“the de facto͑CSR͒research standard at the moment.”14KLD ranks firms’CSR performance in seven main categories:͑1͒community,͑2͒corporate governance,͑3͒diversity,͑4͒employee relations,͑5͒environment,͑6͒human rights,and͑7͒product.15We adjust raw CSR strength scores each year by industry medians to get relative performance scores that are comparable across industries.14Of course,there is also no lack of criticism of the KLD database.For example,KLD uses indicator variables to describe firms’CSR performance.This is a crude methodology and potentially suffers from loss of information.Chatterji et al.͑2009͒show that KLD environmental strengths do not accurately predict pollution levels or compliance violations,and that KLD ratings do not optimally use publicly available data.15The rankings are based on information obtained from surveys,financial statements,government documents,peer-reviewed legal journals,and reports from mainstream media.KLD defines a set of potential strengths under each category and assigns a value of1if a strength exists,and a value of0otherwise.See the Appendix for more details on KLD’s rating categories.The Accounting Review January2011American Accounting Association68Dhaliwal,Li,Tsang,and Yang We control forfirm size͑SIZE͒because size captures various factors motivatingfirms to issue CSR reports such as public pressure orfinancial resources͑Lang and Lundholm1993͒.We mea-sure SIZE as the natural logarithm of the market value of common equity at the beginning of each year.Skinner͑1997͒argues thatfirms facing a higher level of litigation risk͑LITIGATION͒are more likely to make voluntary disclosure to preempt potential lawsuits.LITIGATION is an indi-cator variable that equals1if afirm operates in a high-litigation industry͑SIC codes of2833–2836,3570–3577,3600–3674,5200–5961,and7370͒,and0otherwise͑Francis et al.1994;Mat-sumoto2002͒.Asfirms with betterfinancial performance likely have more resources to practice CSR activities and produce CSR reports,we include return on assets͑ROA͒,computed as income before extraordinary items scaled by total assets at the beginning of each year.Dye͑1985͒suggests that proprietary costs arising from product market competition can reduce disclosure incentives.Hence,we control for industry competition͑COMPETITION͒,which is proxied by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index multiplied byϪ1.This index is computed as the sum of the squared fractions of sales of the50largestfirms in an industry͑industries are defined based on the two-digit SIC codes͒.In cases where there are fewer than50firms in an industry,we use allfirms in the industry to calculate market shares.In addition,firms raising capital in the public market have a greater propensity to make voluntary disclosures͑Frankel et al.1995͒.We control for afirm’sfinancing activities͑FIN͒by assessing the amount of debt or equity capital raised by thefirm during the year scaled by total assets at the beginning of the year.Following Richardson et al.͑2004͒,FIN is measured as the sale of common and preferred shares minus the purchase of common and preferred shares plus the long-term debt issuance minus the long-term debt reduction.We also control for growth opportunities͑TOBINQ͒becausefirms in an expansionary period are morefinancially constrained and have fewer resources for CSR activities and disclosure. However,growthfirms also tend to have higher levels of information asymmetry,which could induce managers to make more disclosures to attract potential investors.The net effect is hence unknown ex ante.TOBINQ is Tobin’s Q,defined as the market value of common equity plus the book value of preferred stock,book value of long-term debt and current liabilities,scaled by the book value of total assets.We include the debt ratio͑LEV͒in the model because debt servicing plays a monitoring role and debt holders demand greater disclosure͑Leftwich et al.1981͒.We define LEV as the ratio of total debt divided by total assets.In addition,firms with a global focus,especially those operating in emerging markets,face greater pressure to commit to social performance and are accordingly more likely to provide CSR disclosure.GLOBAL is an indicator variable that equals1if afirm reports foreign income,and0 otherwise.Further,managers have incentives to increase the liquidity of theirfirms’stock in order to issue equities or sell shares of theirfirm obtained from options or other incentive compensation plans.One way to increase liquidity is to improve transparency and supply more information to investors.Our liquidity measure,LIQUIDITY,is the ratio of the number of shares traded in the year to the total shares outstanding at the year-end.Finally,CSR disclosure could be correlated with the general disclosure policies andfinancial transparency offirms.To control for this possibility,we include two variables to proxy forfirm financial disclosure quality and voluntary disclosure policy:earnings quality͑ABS_EM͒and man-agement earnings forecasts͑CIG͒.We use the absolute value of abnormal accruals from the modified Jones͑1991͒model,based on Dechow et al.͑1995͒,to proxy for earnings quality ͑Francis et al.2008͒.16Following prior studies that use management forecasts as a direct measure 16Using the original Jones͑1991͒model or an alternative version developed by Dechow et al.͑2003,359,Equation͑2b͒͒yields similar results.The Accounting Review January2011 American Accounting Association。

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