蒙古矿产和经济发展
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by capacity until 2007
Years
Some projects have already started in 2009 Mongolia is going to become a large producer and exporter of coal
10
This trend will accelerate with intensive development of new natural resources
Ch.Khashchuluun
National Development and Innovation Committee, Government Agency of Mongolia Ulaanbaatar 2009
1
In 1990 mining wasn’t a main policy issue World prices for minerals were low in the aftermath of Asian crisis After 2002, rising world prices completely changed policy orientation Mining as a pillar of economic growth 30% of GDP, 70% of exports
Shivee-Ovoo 564.1 Million tons of А+В+С1 grades coal
Priority development area – nonferrous metals, coal, energy
TAVAN TOLGOI 7.0 Billion tons of coal
OUY TOLGOI 32 Million tons of copper, 1000 tons of gold
23.0
95,0 250,0 8500
7
NAME OF THE PROJECT 1 2 3. 4. 5. KHUST UUL TSAV BARGILT, TUMURTEI OYU TOLGOI TSAGAAN SUVARGA
TYPE OF MINERAL
RESOURCE
RESERVE 4.4 MLN.Т FE 3.5 MLN.Т ORE, 226.2 THOU.Т PB, 123.3 THOU.Т ZN 31 MLN.Т FE, 229.3 MLN.Т FE 24 MLN.Т CU, 720 Т GOLD 240.0 MLN.Т ORE, 1.3 MLN.Т CU, 48.2 THOU.Т MO 14.8 MLN.Т ORE, 186.4 THOU.Т PB, 245.8 THOU.Т ZN
TSAGAAN SUBRAGA 44 400 tons of copper
9
Volume of the coal production /Million tons/
45,0 Tavan tolgoi coal mine 40,0 35,0 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0
15
accelerates economic growth necessitates infrastructure development development of social infrastructure Technology transfer and related human development: education in particular Export/import growth – need for logistics expansion Fiscal sources for overall modernization
14
Development needs, long term vision (2008)
Priority sectors – midterm strategy (2009)
Investment program (2009)
Financing (2010-2015) Monitoring, evaluation, results
IRON LEAD, ZINC IRON COPPER, GOLD COPPER, MOLYBDENUM LEAD, ZINC
6.
ULAAN
7.
8.
MARDAI
TAVAN TOLGOI
URANIUM
COAL
924.6 THOU.Т ORE, 1104 Т U
7.0 BLN.Т
8
Priority development area – ferrous metals
11
Volume of the gold production /tons/
60,0 Gatsuurt hard rock gold deposit 50,0 Oyu Tolgoi
By capacity until 2007
40,0
30,0
20,0
10,0
0,0
1990 1992 1993 1995 1996 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
2
Started transition to market economy in 1990 under extremely difficult conditions Mongolia has fully overcome transition to market economy by 2000 In 1990-1992 transition crisis, GDP was falling at 910% annually In 2004-2008 Mongolia is one of fastest growing countries Between 2004 and 2007 GDP per capita increased from 720.9 USD to 1971.5 USD or 2.7 times
6
2004 Copper in concentrate, thousand tonnes Molybdenum in concentrate, thousand tonnes Cathode copper, tonnes 130,0 1140,9 2376,0
2005 126,3 1153 2474,5
2006 130 1160 2500
Gold /refined/, кg
Fluorspar, thousand tonnes Metallurgical fluorspar, thousand tonnes Coal, tonnes
18,6
104,8 206,7 6794,7
21,9
93,7 233,4 8255,8
13
Development needs:
1. Necessity to create new industries to diversify to add higher value and increase income 2. Rising complexity of development projects, longer term, financing options – need for midterm coordination of sectoral strategies on a basis of unified development strategy 3. Issues of competitiveness 4. Technology transfer 5. Productivity 6. Institutional development
16
Development Priorities 2010-2015
Priority 1. Develop mining, establish base of heavy industry – metallurgy, copper smelting, oil processing, chemical industry Priority 2. Intensification of agriculture, industrialization Priority 3. Development of infrastructure to support mining and industrialization Priority 4. Human development, sustainable development Priority 5. Improvement of Governance, support of private sector
Copper production /Thousand tons/
1200,0
Îþóò ë î , Öàà íñâ ðàÁ ÿ î ãé ãà ó à ã, à í
1000,0
-à ð ã éà
by capacity until
2007
800,0
600,0
400,0
200,0
0,0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
1991 1994 1997 2000
12
Growth of mining results – possibilities of growth for other industries 1. Every dollar in mining creates additional demand of 1.84 dollars in other sectors 2. Growth of related industries – transport, energy, construction, finance and other services 3. New large infrastructure projects: railroads, automobile roads, rural airports, power stations 4. Movement of population to new growth areas and growing need for hospitals, schools, apartments, urban development
3
Construction Services Manufacturing Mining Agriculture
4
Exploration Mining volume Reserves
5
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
In 2007, the amount of exploration budget in Mongolia has increased to 280.2 mil.USD and listed in Top ten countries in the world.
ASGAT 1271.2 tons Silver reserve of C2 grade
Mardai - Uranium ห้องสมุดไป่ตู้104 tons of С1+С2 grade
Phosphor deposit of Burenkhaan 162.56 Million tons of phosphorit ore of A,B, C1 grades
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Togrog nuur and Takhilt coal mine Ovoot tolgoi coal mine Nariin sukhait coal mine
Years
Some projects have already started in 2009 Mongolia is going to become a large producer and exporter of coal
10
This trend will accelerate with intensive development of new natural resources
Ch.Khashchuluun
National Development and Innovation Committee, Government Agency of Mongolia Ulaanbaatar 2009
1
In 1990 mining wasn’t a main policy issue World prices for minerals were low in the aftermath of Asian crisis After 2002, rising world prices completely changed policy orientation Mining as a pillar of economic growth 30% of GDP, 70% of exports
Shivee-Ovoo 564.1 Million tons of А+В+С1 grades coal
Priority development area – nonferrous metals, coal, energy
TAVAN TOLGOI 7.0 Billion tons of coal
OUY TOLGOI 32 Million tons of copper, 1000 tons of gold
23.0
95,0 250,0 8500
7
NAME OF THE PROJECT 1 2 3. 4. 5. KHUST UUL TSAV BARGILT, TUMURTEI OYU TOLGOI TSAGAAN SUVARGA
TYPE OF MINERAL
RESOURCE
RESERVE 4.4 MLN.Т FE 3.5 MLN.Т ORE, 226.2 THOU.Т PB, 123.3 THOU.Т ZN 31 MLN.Т FE, 229.3 MLN.Т FE 24 MLN.Т CU, 720 Т GOLD 240.0 MLN.Т ORE, 1.3 MLN.Т CU, 48.2 THOU.Т MO 14.8 MLN.Т ORE, 186.4 THOU.Т PB, 245.8 THOU.Т ZN
TSAGAAN SUBRAGA 44 400 tons of copper
9
Volume of the coal production /Million tons/
45,0 Tavan tolgoi coal mine 40,0 35,0 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0
15
accelerates economic growth necessitates infrastructure development development of social infrastructure Technology transfer and related human development: education in particular Export/import growth – need for logistics expansion Fiscal sources for overall modernization
14
Development needs, long term vision (2008)
Priority sectors – midterm strategy (2009)
Investment program (2009)
Financing (2010-2015) Monitoring, evaluation, results
IRON LEAD, ZINC IRON COPPER, GOLD COPPER, MOLYBDENUM LEAD, ZINC
6.
ULAAN
7.
8.
MARDAI
TAVAN TOLGOI
URANIUM
COAL
924.6 THOU.Т ORE, 1104 Т U
7.0 BLN.Т
8
Priority development area – ferrous metals
11
Volume of the gold production /tons/
60,0 Gatsuurt hard rock gold deposit 50,0 Oyu Tolgoi
By capacity until 2007
40,0
30,0
20,0
10,0
0,0
1990 1992 1993 1995 1996 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
2
Started transition to market economy in 1990 under extremely difficult conditions Mongolia has fully overcome transition to market economy by 2000 In 1990-1992 transition crisis, GDP was falling at 910% annually In 2004-2008 Mongolia is one of fastest growing countries Between 2004 and 2007 GDP per capita increased from 720.9 USD to 1971.5 USD or 2.7 times
6
2004 Copper in concentrate, thousand tonnes Molybdenum in concentrate, thousand tonnes Cathode copper, tonnes 130,0 1140,9 2376,0
2005 126,3 1153 2474,5
2006 130 1160 2500
Gold /refined/, кg
Fluorspar, thousand tonnes Metallurgical fluorspar, thousand tonnes Coal, tonnes
18,6
104,8 206,7 6794,7
21,9
93,7 233,4 8255,8
13
Development needs:
1. Necessity to create new industries to diversify to add higher value and increase income 2. Rising complexity of development projects, longer term, financing options – need for midterm coordination of sectoral strategies on a basis of unified development strategy 3. Issues of competitiveness 4. Technology transfer 5. Productivity 6. Institutional development
16
Development Priorities 2010-2015
Priority 1. Develop mining, establish base of heavy industry – metallurgy, copper smelting, oil processing, chemical industry Priority 2. Intensification of agriculture, industrialization Priority 3. Development of infrastructure to support mining and industrialization Priority 4. Human development, sustainable development Priority 5. Improvement of Governance, support of private sector
Copper production /Thousand tons/
1200,0
Îþóò ë î , Öàà íñâ ðàÁ ÿ î ãé ãà ó à ã, à í
1000,0
-à ð ã éà
by capacity until
2007
800,0
600,0
400,0
200,0
0,0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
1991 1994 1997 2000
12
Growth of mining results – possibilities of growth for other industries 1. Every dollar in mining creates additional demand of 1.84 dollars in other sectors 2. Growth of related industries – transport, energy, construction, finance and other services 3. New large infrastructure projects: railroads, automobile roads, rural airports, power stations 4. Movement of population to new growth areas and growing need for hospitals, schools, apartments, urban development
3
Construction Services Manufacturing Mining Agriculture
4
Exploration Mining volume Reserves
5
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
In 2007, the amount of exploration budget in Mongolia has increased to 280.2 mil.USD and listed in Top ten countries in the world.
ASGAT 1271.2 tons Silver reserve of C2 grade
Mardai - Uranium ห้องสมุดไป่ตู้104 tons of С1+С2 grade
Phosphor deposit of Burenkhaan 162.56 Million tons of phosphorit ore of A,B, C1 grades
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Togrog nuur and Takhilt coal mine Ovoot tolgoi coal mine Nariin sukhait coal mine