1976-2012年黄金价格指数历史数据
黄金50年走势图：天要让其灭亡,必先令其疯狂!
50年来黄金价格走势1、美元也好，RMB也好，都是纸做的，这些纸币都只是交易符号，而没有实际价值，这也是马克思的结论吧2、自1971年布雷顿森林体系解体，黄金价格走势出现了巨大变化：1833－1932年国际黄金价格大致在20．62－20．69美元／盎司之间波动，1934－1968年国际黄金价格大致在35美元／盎司左右。
1971年8月，尼克松总统宣布，停止履行外国政府或中央银行用美元向美国兑换黄金的义务，布雷顿森林体系解体，同年12月，黄金价格从35美元／盎司上升到38美元／盎司。
1973年2月，在第二次美元危机冲击下，黄金价格上升到42．22美元／盎司。
1980年1月18日，国际黄金价格达到850美元／盎司，这是当时国际黄金市场的历史最高价格。
3、20世纪80年代下半期，世界经济保持了较低通胀和较快增长，黄金的保值和避险作用下降，黄金价格也随之下跌。
而且一跌就是20年，1980年1月，国际黄金价格暴涨至历史最高点之后，一直呈下行趋势。
2001年初，国际黄金价格下跌到255．95美元／盎司。
4、最近10年，“盛世古董乱世黄金”的道理，再一次得到印证：2001年美国9．11事件之后，世界俨然重新审视了黄金的保值和避险功能，国际黄金市场结束持续20年的下跌趋势，步入上升通道。
2004年12月，国际黄金价格上涨至456．75美元／盎司。
2005年下半年，黄金价格连续突破500美元／盎司、600美元／盎司和700美元／盎司。
2006年5月，黄金价格一度涨至730．00美元／盎司。
2007年，黄金期货价格上涨了31％，2007年12月31日，伦敦定盘价达到836．5美元／盎司，2010年以来，随着金融危机加深，美元印钞厂加足马力开机印票子，所谓二次三次量化宽松策实行，现在黄金价格正在昂首阔步，迈向1800美元，有人甚至已经预测到2000美元了........人们都是喜欢追涨和从众的，前期几乎所有人看多至2000美元的时候，黄金已经见了大顶。
新中国黄金价格数据表
12.50
390.625
48.81
7
1980.7.15-1985.1.31
4年6个月
16.00
500.000
28.00
8
1985.2.1-1985.8.31
7个月
22.40
700.000
40.00
9
1985.9.1-1986.11.30
1年2个月
28.80
900①
28.57
10
1986.12.1-1988.5.31
7天
74.59
74.09
73.59
2299.688
-2.11
54
2001.10.22-10.22
1天
73.05
72.55
72.55
2251.563
-2.09
55
2001.10.23-10.28
6天
71.95
71.45
70.95
2217.188
-1.53
56
2001.10.29-11.04
7天
72.45
-4.49
31
2000.10.24-2000.11.16
24天
75.16
74.36
73.36
2292.500
-1.53
32
2000.11.17-2001.2.20
96天
72.64
71.84
70.84
2213.750
-3.44
33
2001.2.21-2001.5.21
90天
70.35
69.55
68.55
2210.938
-1.10
60
2001.11.26-12.2
历年黄金价格走势（Goldpricetrendovertheyears）
历年黄金价格走势（Gold price trend over the years）Gold price chart over the yearsGold investment has certain risks, and there are many factors that influence the price of gold. Among them, war, economy, employment, supply and demand, interest rate, stock market, politics and other aspects will make the price of gold fluctuate.The lowest international trading price of gold took place in 1999 July 20th, 252 dollars / ounce, equivalent to RMB 67 yuan / gram. The highest price occurred in 2006 May 12th, 725 dollars / ounce, equivalent to about 187 yuan / gram.These prices are the first transaction price of gold for international raw materials. Gold raw materials through layers of wholesale, processed into finished jewelry, and then wholesale, about 7--8 links to reach the terminal sales. After these links, to the counter, basically rose by about 50 yuan per gram (including management fees, taxes and so on). So the old jewelry shop in the recovery than many finished bottom, it is for this reason.Since the "9. 11" event in 2001, the international gold price has been showing an upward trend, and has continued to rise sharply since 2003. The price of gold at the beginning of 2003 is $345.25, the same year at the beginning of February, the price of gold rose to nearly $388.9 an ounce. After several twists and turns, the end of September 2003 hit a high of $394 in December, rising above $400 mark in December 9th, rising to $407.76. In 2003, the international price of gold rose by about17.8%. Mainly due to the international price of gold is rising global economic development still faces many uncertainties, the dollar devaluation and economic instability investors hedging demand growth, causing investors to buy gold boom, push gold prices to a eight year high.The dollar faces a sharp downside risk and gold becomes a haven. Generally speaking, a country's strong economic performance should support the country's currency exchange rate rise, but in 2003 the dollar exchange rate and the U.S. economy is contrary to the trend. The U.S. economy picked up in 2003. According to a report released by the US Department of Commerce, the gross domestic product of the United States increased by 1.4% in the first quarter of 2003, an increase of 3.3% in the second quarter and an increase rate of 8.2% in the third quarter, the fastest rate in 20 years. Economists expect the economy to grow by more than 5% in the second half of 2003. At the same time as the economy grew strongly, the dollar fell sharply in 2003. As of December 3, 2003, the dollar against the yen fell by 9% compared with the beginning of 2003, the dollar against the euro since 2003, the cumulative decline of about 20%.The greenback fell in 2003 1 to May, by the beginning of 2003 1 dollar to 0.9653 Euro $0.8405 by the end of May. Since the beginning of September began to rise, rose to 0.9225 euros in October 9th fell to 0.8516 euros. In November 3rd, the dollar rose to 0.8726 euros, but fell sharply again in late November, from $1 in November 24th 0.8501 against the euro plunged to 0.8420 euros in November 28th. Since 28, after eight consecutive days to refresh the dollar against the euro in December 9th lows, closing price fell to 0.8257 euros a recordlow.2003, 1~9 months,The exchange rate between us dollar and Japanese yen basically fluctuates from 121.43 to 115.84 yen. It rose to a high of 121.43 yen in March 21st and fell to 115.84 yen in September 3rd. In mid September the dollar has dropped sharply, especially in the meeting, the dollar has accelerated the rate of decline in the first half of October fell to about 107 yen, three years lows in October 20th rose to 110 yen. In November 3rd rose to 111.05 yen. At the end of November fell again to 108 yen. Meanwhile, the dollar has fallen to its lowest level in years against other major currencies. If the US dollar falls, it will have a negative impact on the global economy and may lead to turmoil in the international financial markets, which will lead to more money flowing into the gold market to avoid hedging.Geopolitical tensions continue to exacerbate market panic, gold hedging function highlighted. The growing terrorist attacks in the Middle East have become a lingering worry for investors. Geopolitical tensions have made the growth of the U.S. economy fragile, affecting confidence in the U.S. economy and the steady growth of the global economy. By the Dutch act of the bomb attacks in Turkey by the two Istanbul synagogue, and killed 23 people, Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for the explosion, and threatened to launch a car bomb attack on the United States, Britain, Italy, Australia and japan. In late November 2003, U.S. President Bush in an interview with the British "sun" published in the said: "to ensure the long-term security of the world, the United States may start a war again,if necessary, even at the war alone." The increasing instability of the international political and military situation has raised the demand for hedging for investors, while the gold hedging and hedging functions have been taken seriously by investors.Market analysts have different views on the long-term trend of gold prices. Some experts believe that the dollar is still weak, the international terrorist attacks will happen at any time, the uncertain factors in the financial market investment climate, global interest rates are generally low, the company's repurchase to reduce the supply of gold, "the Washington Agreement" also disguised control of the supply of gold, therefore, the price of gold is expected to 2004 exceeded $420 mark, and keep several years of strong.Some experts believe that the future trend of gold prices will mainly be affected by the economic development of the United states. The United States economy despite signs of recovery, but the unemployment rate remains high, the lack of investor confidence leads to substantial inflow of funds into the gold market. The current wave of irrational buying of gold will subside as the US economy improves and the dollar recovers. If the United States there is a strong economic recovery, employment situation improved significantly, the consumer market is buoyant, funds will be once again back to the stock market and gold market currencies, gold prices will fall.Of particular note is that the cost of gold is an important factor affecting the price of gold. In recent years, the cost of gold has dropped below $240 an ounce, and the current priceof gold has far exceeded the cost, and prices can not be too far away from value. Once the global political and economic instability disappears, gold prices will fall. Theoretically,The aggregate supply and demand of gold are the fundamental factor in determining prices. Gold production has been slow and steady for the last 10 years. Industrialized countries still have large amounts of gold, estimated at more than 24000 tons, plus gold held by institutions, with a total gold reserves of around 28000 tonnes. These gold reserves will not be like the money reserves. Can operate and bring interest, but to make the holder to spend, but keep the cost. So, as soon as the time is ripe, selling gold is an inevitable choice for central banks. In the long run, gold is generally oversupply, and its price will not remain at a high level far away from the cost.I believe that the international price of gold will continue to rise modestly in 2004 as the US dollar faces tremendous downward pressure and geopolitical tensions persist. The main reasons are four:First, the future trend of the dollar remains to be seen, and some countries need to consider increasing non dollar reserves, while gold is an important hedging tool. While the US economy is recovering at the same time in 2004, its inflation rate may rise, which will play a supporting role in the price of gold. In 2004, the negative impact of Iraq's tension on the U.S. economy still exists, and the dollar's safe haven position will be further shaken, and people will continue to attach importance to the hedging role of gold.Second, from the supply and demand side, because the price of gold fell nearly two years ago production costs, has now accumulated a strong rebound momentum. When the market fell in the last two years, gold mines usually had to "hedge", that is, to sell their gold in the next few years or even decades, so as to avoid further losses in the future. But as the price of gold rose, gold miners reduced hedges, leading to a fall in the gold market. In November 21, 2003, Munch, chairman and founder of Baarck gold, Canada's largest gold producer, announced that the company would no longer sell gold to the forward market in order to avoid future price shocks. The news surprised the market. Spot gold jumped nearly $4.50 immediately after the announcement by the gold company, rising to $397.80 an ounce.In terms of demand, the demand for gold in India and China has maintained a high level in recent years. China's annual output of gold is about more than 180 tons, but only the annual consumption of gold jewelry reached more than 200 tons, there is a big gap. Due to the opening of the gold market, China's demand for gold, whether it is investment or consumption, will have a substantial increase. This increase in the short term is difficult to rely on the mainland to improve the production of gold, must rely on imports. China's gold demand will continue to grow in 2004. In addition, not only the demand for gold for civil growth, but also the central bank will increase gold reserves, the central bank to adjust the supply and demand of gold chips. The increasing demand for gold in Asian countries will support the rise in gold prices.Third, although the global interest rate tends to rise, it will remain basically stable in 2004. Lower interest rates arehelping to keep the price of gold going up. Although the US economy recovered strongly in the second half of 2003, the economic restructuring of the United States has not yet been completed, with a serious excess capacity and a high unemployment rate.There is concern that the economic recovery in the United States is a recovery from jobless growth, and that such a recovery is unsustainable. Moreover, the huge US budget deficit makes it difficult for the US government to further stimulate the economic stimulus of tax cuts. As a result, economists expect the US economy to pick up in 2004, but slow down in 2005. With the outlook for economic growth still uncertain, it is unlikely that the Fed will raise interest rates in the first half of 2004. At the same time, Europe's economy is less developed than the United States, and the ECB is less likely to raise interest rates. Lower interest rates are helping to keep the price of gold strong.Fourth, geopolitical tensions will push up the price of gold. The aftermath of the attacks against Iraq is still a lot. The situation in the Middle East and the Korean Peninsula is unstable. Even the United States may be attacked by terrorism again, while the storage of gold has a certain value to maintain its value. Panizo Siti, of UBS, said the fund continued to buy gold with a hedging function, despite signs of recovery in the US economy. At present, the United States faces more attacks in Iraq, and investing in gold is seen as a way of avoiding danger, and the price of gold seems to soon break through the key resistance point of $410 an ounce.。
黄金历史价格走势图
黄金历史价格走势图黄金是一种受人们喜爱的贵金属，具有较强的保值和投资潜力。
黄金的价格受到多种因素的影响，包括全球经济形势、地缘政治风险、货币政策和市场供需关系等。
本文将介绍黄金的历史价格走势，从而帮助读者更好地了解黄金市场。
黄金在人类历史上一直扮演着重要的角色。
早在公元前3000年左右，古埃及人就开始使用黄金进行交易。
黄金的价值在历史上一直被人们认可，成为货币的基准和财富的象征。
在20世纪初，黄金的价格相对较稳定。
然而，到了20世纪70年代，黄金价格开始出现大幅上涨的趋势。
1971年，美国宣布与黄金的兑换脱钩，导致了国际金本位制的解体。
这使得黄金成为了一种自由浮动的商品，价格开始受到市场供需关系的影响。
黄金价格在20世纪80年代和90年代继续保持相对低迷的水平。
然而，随着新千年的到来，黄金价格再次出现了上涨的趋势。
全球经济形势的变化、地缘政治风险的增加以及投资者对避险资产的需求推动了黄金价格的上涨。
自2000年以来，黄金价格经历了一个长期上涨周期。
2008年全球金融危机爆发后，大量投资者纷纷将资金转移到了黄金市场，推动了黄金价格的大幅上涨。
2011年，黄金价格创下历史高点，达到每盎司1920美元左右。
然而，在2011年后，黄金价格开始回落。
全球经济逐渐复苏，投资者对于避险需求减少，导致了对黄金的需求减少，价格出现下跌。
2013年，黄金价格下跌至每盎司1200美元以下。
随后几年，黄金价格呈现震荡下行的趋势。
然而，黄金价格的下跌也刺激了一些投资者重新进入市场，寻找低位抄底的机会。
2019年，黄金价格再次开始上涨，达到每盎司1560美元左右。
2020年年初，新冠疫情爆发导致全球经济陷入衰退，投资者对避险资产的需求激增，推动了黄金价格再创新高。
同年8月，黄金价格一度突破每盎司2000美元。
疫苗的研发和全球经济的逐步复苏使得黄金价格出现了一定程度的回调。
总体来看，黄金的价格走势经历了多次大起大落的过程。
黄金作为一种避险资产和保值工具，受到全球经济形势、地缘政治风险和市场供需关系等多种因素的影响。
张永奎：2012年国际黄金价格走势分析
（一）黄金价格基本面因素分析
1.黄金供需及各国央行储备分析
奎 永
1）.黄金需求量增加
张
金业 奎 根据世界黄金协会发布的报告，如下表 1，2011 年第四季度全球黄金需求量
汇 永 为 1017 吨；2011 年全年的黄金需求量高达 4067.1 吨。但由于迅速增长的投资
百 业张 需求被珠宝制造、工业生产领域的需求下降抵消，2011 年全球黄金需求量仅较
张
日，一位欧洲央行高级政策制定者强烈呼吁，如果欧元区通缩风险出现，应推出
金业 奎 “量化宽松政策”来提振欧元区经济，欧洲央行可能扩大其政策工具。全球放水， 汇 张永 在 2012 年，将快速向新兴国家蔓延。印度卢比在最近四个月内贬值幅度超过 15%。
百 金业 2011 年黄金现货开盘价 1416 美元/盎司，最高价 1920 美元/盎司，最低价 汇 1308 美元/盎司，年收盘价 1563 美元/盎司，高低点落差 612 美元，全年绝对涨 百 幅 10.38%，最大涨幅更是接近 47%。振幅超过 2010 年，显示出 2011 年金价走势
百 2011 年是全球继续放水的一年，正是由于放水太多而造就黄金的大涨。是
年的 8 月、10 月、11 月，巴西央行三度降息各 50 基点。欧洲央行在 11 月 3 日
和 12 月 8 日，将基准利率降至 1.00%。澳洲、印尼、巴基斯坦也都两度降息。
奎 英国央行货币政策委员会在 12 月的份货币政策会议上以 9:0 的投票结果，一致 永 同意 维持利率于 0.5%水平和量化宽松政策(QE)规模 2750 亿英镑不变。12 月 24
一种快速转变波动。这是因为贵金属以及全球大宗商品贸易的最主要标价物是美 元，美元币值的走强通过美元指数得到了充分反映，削弱了黄金等商品的避险作 用，黄金近期的下跌也正是这种情势的体现。展望 2012 年，黄金的走势会是怎 样一番情形呢？它的投资机会又在哪呢？以下我将一一展开分析。
黄金价格历史
黄金历史价格走势简析迈科期货贵金属研究组从历史行情来看，黄金价格主要和汇率变动，尤其是美元变动；全球货币政策变动；通胀因素；战争等因素密切相关，同时配合黄金本身的需求结构，基本上可以构成黄金价格分析的思路和基本框架。
通常情况下，美元上涨对黄金有一定压制，全球货币政策宽松程度影响资金对黄金配比，对价格有重要影响，另外通胀情况下容易造成对黄金的追捧，以及战争造成的避险情绪对黄金有重要作用。
在黄金供需方面，20世纪90年代央行售金曾一度压制黄金价格不断下行。
从20世纪70年代至今，黄金基本上经历了三次比较大的行情，基本上可以划分为1970年到1980年的牛市格局，1980年到2000年的熊市格局，以及2000年到2013年的牛市格局。
一、1970年到1980年的牛市格局。
1968年到1980年，全球汇率和汇率政策的不稳定，以及产油国局势不稳定石油危机，通胀飙升，是影响黄金价格的主要因素。
汇率政策变动往往引导黄金价格，同时通胀对价格有非常重要影响，此阶段是黄金牛市格局。
1.1968年到1971年，价格相对平稳阶段。
1944年7月份布雷顿森林体系确定了以美元为中心的国际货币体系。
该体系包括美元与黄金挂钩，其他国家货币与美元挂钩以及固定汇率制度。
从此到1960年黄金价格基本保持稳定。
1960年-1970年，美国深陷越南战争，国内财政赤字不断扩大，经济状况恶化，美元信用度降低，投资者大量抛售美元，抢购黄金，使美国黄金储备减少，美元汇率下降，黄金价格略有上升，但总体保持相对稳定。
2.1972年到1974年，价格开始启动上涨阶段1971年8月15日美国总统尼克松宣布关闭黄金窗口，停止各国政府或者中央银行持有美元前来兑换黄金。
美元开始自由浮动，开始了黄金价格的上涨过程。
1973年7月布雷顿森林体系解体，美元取消和黄金挂钩，金价开始加速上涨过程，至1975年。
3.1975年到1976年年初，价格向下调整阶段1975年美国财政部开始拍卖黄金，1976年国际银行间可以用黄金作抵押贷款，黄金价格逐步回落。