能源需求分析模型需求

能源需求分析

一、系统设置

1、设置考查年份:

能源需求分析的年数Number of years,设置基本年baseryear(系统初始化从基本年开始，每隔5年作为一次能源需求参考年，依次递增，参考年数即为Number of years)。

2、设置各个行业的子部门数和从属关系

3、经典语录：/

2.1经济行业下分农业、建造业、矿产业、制造业、服务业和能源行业。

需要设置各个子行业的子行业数，如:农业的子行业数初始设置为1，即农业的子部门为农业(Agriculture),设置为2，即农业的子部门为农业和畜牧场。

每个行业的子部门数在1-10之间，能源行业比较特殊，子部门即为本身，只有一个子部门，它只是在国内生产总值(GDP)计算中起作用。

每个部门的子部门初始化设置如下所示:

Insert the number of subsectors for each main economic

sector

up to 10 subsectors

Agriculture Constr

uction

Mining

Manufa

cturing

Service Energy

1 1 1 4 4 1 1 1 1 4 4 1

Agriculture Constr

uction Mining

Havey

industr

y

Transp

ort

Livestock Infrastr

ucture

Non-m

etal

ores

Light

industr

y

Other

service

s

Forestry Cons3 Others Non-du

r.

goods

Financ

e&buss

.

Fishing Cons4 Min4 small

Industri

es

Persn.

serv. &

others

Agr5 Cons5 Min5 Man5 Serv5 Agr6 Cons6 Min6 Man6 Serv6 Agr7 Cons7 Min7 Man7 Serv7 Agr8 Cons8 Min8 Man8 Serv8

Agr9 Cons9 Min9 Man9 Serv9

Agr10 Cons10 Min10 Man10 Serv10

经典语录：/

2.2运输行业下分为货物运输(Freight)和乘客(Passenger)运输

货物运输和乘客运输下需要设置交通工具数，交通工具类型（Mode)和燃料类型索引。设置基本参数如下:

Transportation sector

Freight Passenger

Intercity Intracity

Modes Nr. 11 Modes

Nr. 13 Modes Nr. 11

Mode Fuel Mode Fuel Mode Fuel

Train diesel 3

Air

plane 5 Car diesel 3

Train electric 1 Car

gasolin

e 4 Car gasoline 4

Train steam 2 Car

diesel 3 Car gas 6

Plane 5 Car

gas 6 Bus large 3

Seaboat 3 Cars4 0 Bus medium 3 River boat 3 Cars5 0 Bus small 3

Barge 3 Motobi

ke 4 Bus CNG 7

Truck large 3 Bus

large 3 Metro 1

Truck

medium 3 Bus

mediu

m 3 Tram 1

Truck small 3 Bus

small 3 Trolleybus 1

Pipeline 3 Bus

CNG 7 Motobike 4

Trans12 3 Train

diesel 3 Pass12 8

Trans13 3 Train

electric 1 Pass13 4

Trans14 4 Train

steam 2 Pass14 3

Trans15 6 River 3 Pass15 4

boat

燃料类型和关联的燃料索引

Transport fuels

Fuel

index

Nat. units for

FrTrp

CF to

kWh/100tk

m

Nat. units for

PassTrp

CF to

kWh/…

Electricity 1 [kWh/100tkm] 1 [kWh/100km] 1 Steam coal 2 [kgce/100tkm] 8.141 [kgce/100km] 8.141 Diesel 3 [l/100tkm] 10.013 [l/100km] 10.013 Gasoline 4 [l/100tkm] 9.369 [l/100km] 9.369 Jet fuel 5 [l/100tkm] 8.753 [l/1000seatkm] 8.753 LPG 6 [l/100tkm] 6.972 [l/100km] 6.972 CNG 7 [l/100tkm] 5.270 [l/100km] 5.270 Alcohol 8 [l/100tkm] 6.141 [l/100km] 6.141

0 For unused intercity fixed modes (Air plane and cars)

第一列是燃料类型，第二列是燃料数，第三列是货物运输单位，第四列是kWh/100tkm单位的转换，第五列是乘客运输单位，第六列是kWh/100tKm单位的转换。

2.3家庭行业分为城市和农村居民

家庭行业需要分别设置城市和农村居民居住住房类型数(urban types)和住房类型(type)。

设置参数表如下：

Household sector

Urban HH Rural HH

Types Nr. Types Nr.

4 1

Types of urban HH Types of rural HH

Houses Rural dwellings

Appartments Mudhouse/hut

Lowest standard dwellings ruraltest

dw/nh

Villa rh5

test

各个运算单位之间的换算，见附表1.