中国及北京房价与土地价格变化对比
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CHINA
Years Capital Value Rental Value Land Value
1997 100.00 100.00 100.00
1998 101.40 102.40 102.00
1999 101.40 100.86 102.00
2000 102.52 103.28 102.20
2001 104.77 106.18 103.94
2002 108.65 107.03 111.11
2003 113.86 109.06 120.34
2004 124.91 110.59 132.49
2005 134.40 112.69 144.55
2006 141.79 114.27 152.93
2007 152.57 117.24 171.74 Annual Growth Rate 4.31% 1.60% 5.56%
CORRELATION COEFFIENT ANALYSIS (CHINA)
CV RV LV
CV 0.957285623 0.998274636 RV 0.957285623 0.954302319
LV 0.998274636 0.954302319
BEIJING
Years Capital Value Rental Value Land Value
1997 100.00 100.00 100.00
1998 100.90 99.80 101.10
1999 101.00 98.30 101.30
2000 100.50 163.77 101.30
2001 101.80 205.53 101.30
2002 102.11 221.16 101.30
2003 102.41 239.95 101.91
2004 106.20 248.11 104.46
2005 113.32 254.07 108.43
2006 123.29 261.43 114.07
2007 137.35 268.49 124.79 Annual Growth Rate 3.22% 10.38% 2.24%
CORRELATION COEFFIENT ANALYSIS (BEIJING)
CV RV LV
CV 0.635619765 0.997712165 RV 0.635619765 0.619441554
LV 0.997712165 0.619441554
y = 2.957x -5812R ² = 0.663
y = 19.63x -39105
R ² = 0.895
y = 1.855x -3609R ² = 0.644
90.00
100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00 140.00 150.00 160.00 170.00 180.00 190.00 200.00 210.00 220.00 230.00 240.00 250.00 260.00 270.00 280.00 290.00 300.00 310.00 1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
20022003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
P r i c e I n d e x
Year
Relationship Between CV/ RV / LV (BEIJING)
Capital Value Rental Value Land Value
y = 5.248x -10390
R ² = 0.875
y = 1.696x -3288.
R ² = 0.972
y = 6.973x -13838
R ² = 0.866
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
140.00
150.00
160.00
170.00
180.00
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
20022003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
P r i c e i n d e x
Year
Relationship between CV/ RV/ LV (CHINA)
Capital Value Rental Value Land Value 线性(Capital Value)线性(Rental Value)
线性(Land Value)
y = 3.630x -196.0
R ² = 0.404
y = 0.293x + 73.27
R ² = 0.916
90.00
110.00 130.00 150.00 170.00 190.00 210.00 230.00 250.00 270.00 290.00 310.00 330.00 90.00
95.00 100.00 105.00 110.00 115.00 120.00 125.00 130.00 135.00 140.00 145.00 150.00 155.00 160.00
R e n t a l V a l u e
Capital Value
Capital Value & Retal Value
BEIJING CHINA 线性(BEIJING)线性(CHINA)