另一个世界新秩序的

Another new world order另一个世界新秩序The planet has been completely reshaped in the first decade of the 21st century, and Canada mustn't squander its opportunity to reposition在21世纪头10年，地球已被完全改造，加拿大不能浪费重新定位的机会。

As the ballad goes, “the times, they are a-c hangin’,” and so too is the context that shapes our national interests and our global relationships. In just 20 years we have gone from a bipolar world of two military, if not economic, superpowers, to a single-polar world of an economic, political and military hyper-power to today’s multipolar world with competing centres of economic and political power, and evolving military balances. It has also been an intellectual roller-coaster ride from Francis Fukuyama’s The End of History in the mid-1990s to Fareed Zakaria’s The Post-American World a short decade later.歌曲有云，“时代变革在今朝，” 我们的国家利益和全球关系也在发生着巨变。

短短20年间，地球从两个军事（而不是经济）超级大国主宰的两极世界，发展到经济、政治和军事超级霸权的单级世界，又迈入目前的经济和政治力量中心相互竞争、实现军事平衡的多级世界。

也从20世纪90年代弗朗西斯·福山《历史的终结》中的智力过山车，进化到十年后里德·扎卡里亚所说的后美国世界。

Clearly, the first decade of the new millennium will cast a long shadow over the 21st century. It was a decade marked by jarring and unsettling events: Y2K; terrorist attacks; Enron and a host of other corporate debacles; horrific natural disasters showcased by the digital information age; the invasion of Iraq and the absence of weapons of mass destruction; the dot-com bust; and the global financial crisis. Cumulatively, these events have sapped public trust in leadership. Overwhelmingly, they have changed the public’s expectations for their governments. Paradoxically, they have created gaping fissures in the body politic about how best to meet these changed public expectations.显然，新千年的头10年将在21世纪投下长长的阴影。

其间充满着不和谐和令人不安的事件：千年虫、恐怖袭击、安然和大批公司倒地、数字化信息时代展示的可怕自然灾害、入侵伊拉克却未找到大规模杀伤性武器、互联网泡沫破灭，以及全球金融危机。

种种事件累加，削弱了公众对领导力的信任。

这些事件不可抗拒地改变了公众对政府的期望。

矛盾的是，国民也因此对政府如何能更好地满足变化了的公众期望产生了意见分歧。

And while these very public events naturally captured the headlines, they represent only the tip of the proverbial iceberg of the “global drivers of change” that are now reshaping economies, societies and politics. There are four core structural trends driving this change: globalization, demographics, the information revolution and climate change. These, together with the events of the past decade, are inexorably changing the world order.虽然这些公众事件自然而然地成为新闻头条，但是，相对于重塑经济、社会和政治的”全球变化发动机“来说，它们只是冰山的一角。

变革有四大结构驱动力：全球化、人口、信息革命和气候变化。

这些连同过去10年所发生的事件，无情地改变了世界秩序。

So, what shape will this new world order take? Let’s start with globalization. Today’s pervasive globalization has been made possible by the information revolution. It is bound together through global supply chains, global capital markets, the global Internet and unprecedented movements of people. We now inhabit a flatter, more interconnected, more wired and more competitive world than was imaginable just a decade ago.那么，新的世界秩序将会怎样？我们先从全球化说起。

今天，信息革命已使普遍全球化成为可能，通过全球供应链、全球资本市场、全球互联网和前所未有的人们迁移，世界被紧紧连在一起。

与10年前相比，我们现在生活在联系更紧密、在线化程度更高、更具竞争力的扁平世界，远远超乎想象。

Without this pervasive globalization, the global financial crisis would have been an American banking crisis. Without this pervasive globalization, the United States would not have been able to live beyond its means at no apparent cost for the past decade, nor would China have been able to export its way to two decades of double-digit growth. Without this globalization, supply chains would still be national rather than worldwide, and costs would be higher.如果没有这种普遍的全球化，全球金融危机将只是美国银行业危机。

如果没有这种普遍的全球化，在过去10年，美国就不会几乎毫无成本地入不敷出，中国的出口也不能在20年间保持两位数的增长。

如果没有全球化，供应链仍然会是全国性的，而不是全球性的，成本将更高。

The global restructuring that globalization has facilitated will see Asia account for 50 per cent of world GDP by the end of this decade, an economic prominence last seen three centuries ago. Indicative of the pace of change is that China became the second-largest economy in the world in 2010, moving another Asian economy, Japan, into third place.全球化促进了全球重组，在这10年末期，亚洲的GDP将占到全球的50%，这种经济实力只在300年前出现过。

这一变化的指标是中国在2010年成为全球第二大经济体，将亚洲另一大经济体日本推到第三的位置。

At the same time, the information revolution is reshaping how we work, how we communicate, and how we interact. We are creating a 24/7 global digital universe that is changing our concepts of markets, the value of information, our systems of social networking, political dynamics.与此同时，信息革命正在改变我们工作、沟通和互动的方式。

我们创造出全天候的全球数字宇宙，改变了我们的市场观念、信息价值、社交系统、政治格局。

And the revolution is far from having run its course. Twitter will be obsolete before I ever get around to using it. The Internet and blogs are changing political campaigns. Blogs are beginning to lead – not follow – traditional news media. The growth of data on the World Wide Web is an unimaginable order of magnitude greater than trade and investment.而且革命远未结束。