2030世界能源展望
- 1、下载文档前请自行甄别文档内容的完整性，平台不提供额外的编辑、内容补充、找答案等附加服务。
- 2、"仅部分预览"的文档,不可在线预览部分如存在完整性等问题,可反馈申请退款(可完整预览的文档不适用该条件!)。
- 3、如文档侵犯您的权益，请联系客服反馈,我们会尽快为您处理(人工客服工作时间：9:00-18:30)。
Contents
Introduction
Global energy trends Outlook 2030: Fuel by fuel Implications
Introduction
Global energy trends Outlook 2030: Fuel by fuel Implications
36912199020102030
024681990
2010
2030
02550751001990
2010
2030
Population, income and energy growth
Billion Population
GDP
Trillion $2011 PPP Billion toe
Primary energy
Industrialisation drives energy growth
Billion toe 0
3691215181990
2010
20300
36
91215181990
2010
2030
By primary use
By fuel
By region
Billion toe
Billion toe 0
3691215181990
2010
2030
Hydro Nuclear
Renew.* *Includes biofuels
The power sector leads primary energy growth
Growth by sector and fuel,
2011-2030
Growth by sector and region,
2011-2030
-1
123
Final energy use Inputs to power
Billion toe -1
123RoW Middle East China &India OECD
Final energy use
Inputs to power Billion toe
369
1215181990
2000
2010
2020
2030
FSU
S&C America
N. America
Middle East
Europe
Asia Pacific Africa
Emerging economies dominate energy production
Billion toe
3691215181990
2000
2010
2020
2030
Billion toe
Shares of world primary energy
0%
10%20%30%40%50%1965
1980
1995
2010
2025
Oil
Coal
Gas
Hydro
Nuclear
Renewables* *Includes biofuels
Fuel shares and energy prices
204060801001201965
1980
1995
2010
Oil - Brent Gas - basket Coal - basket
Energy prices
$2011/boe
0.0
0.1
0.20.30.40.5187018901910193019501970199020102030
Energy intensity by region
Toe per thousand $2011 GDP (PPP) China
US
World
EU*
050
100
150
2000
10
2030
40501970
1990
2010
2030
GDP (RHS)
Energy
Energy and GDP
Billion toe T rillion $2011 (PPP)
Energy efficiency improvements
*Euro4 (France, Italy, Germany, UK) pre-1970
Energy supply growth
Demand
Supply
Billion toe
204060A s i a P a c i f i c
N . A m e r i c a
S . & C .A m e r i c a
A f r i c a
E u r o p e &E u r a s i a
M i d d l e E a s t
Shale gas and tight oil: resources and production
Billion toe Current resources
Production in 2030
0.0
0.30.60.9A s i a P a c i f i c
N . A m e r i c a
S . & C .A m e r i c a
A f r i c a
E u r o p e &E u r a s i a
M i d d l e E a s t
Billion toe