低碳经济发展模式的初步研究—以中国为例

内容摘要

目前全球经济快速发展，但是大多数国家的发展都以化石能源资源的消耗为基础，导致碳排放总量不断增加、环境污染日益加重等问题，这些已经严重影响到经济增长的质量效益和发展的可持续性。所以，现在全球温室气体减排正由科学共识转变为实际行动，全球经济向低碳转型的大趋势逐渐明晰。低碳经济作为一种正在兴起的经济形态和发展模式，它的发展涉及到人类生产方式、生活方式、价值观念、国家权益等众多领域。因而，学术界对这一领域的研究也日益重视，出现了众多有关低碳经济的研究和讨论。

当然，中国作为一个发展中的经济的大国，发展低碳经济也是大势所趋。基于这样的考虑，本文以低碳经济为主要研究对象，通过对中国发展低碳经济模式的相关方面进行初步研究，以期能为我国低碳经济发展做出贡献。

因此，本论文的核心内容主要是用计量经济学进行数学建模，主要从能源与经济增长关系方面对我国发展低碳经济的必要性进行实证分析，并探究：中国发展低碳经济模式可能带来的一系列经济效应；低碳经济在中国发展可能存在的问题与挑战，也为我国低碳经济发展提出可行性建议与对策。最后结合上述分析得出发展低碳经济模式对我国经济可持续发展以及提升核心竞争力等方面都有积极意义，也确定了我国以政府为导向，以企业为主体，以个人为基础的低碳经济发展思路。

【关键词】低碳经济、能源、经济效应、可行性分析

ABSTRACT

Nowadays, the global economy develops with a rapid speed. However, the developments of most countries based on the fossil energy consuming, which leads to the problems of increasing emission of carbon dioxide and critical environmental pollution. All of these, to some degree, have seriously affected the quality of economy and the sustainability of development. Therefore, to decrease the greenhouse gases, becomes a common view from the theory to the action and the low carbon economy trend is gradually clear. Low carbon economy, as a new mode, relates to the mode of production, living code, values, and country rights and so on. So scientists pay a high attention to this area, make much research and discussion on the low carbon economy.

Surely, china, as a big developing economic country, develops the low carbon economy is the trend of the times. Taking this into consideration, the paper focuses on the low carbon economy through the preliminary investigation of some aspects in china, hoping that it can make contribution to our economy.

Therefore, the core content of the paper is mathematical modelling by analyzing the necessity of developing the low carbon economy in our country, mainly from the aspects of economic growth and energy consumption. And probing into a series of economic effect and recessive problems or challenges from the new mode can be triggered. Then the paper will bring forward the possible suggestions and measures according to the low carbon economy. So, we can make the conclusion that it is positive to develop the

low carbon economy mode, from the sustainable development to the core competency promotion.

A thinking way should be set up with the Government as the driving force, the enterprises as the mainstay, and the individuals as the base.

KEYWORDS：low carbon economy，energy，economic effects，feasibility of the low carbon economy

正文目录

第一章引言 (1)

第二章低碳经济综述 (2)

第一节低碳经济的概念与实践综述 (2)

第二节低碳经济的意义与作用 (3)

第三章我国发展低碳经济必要性的模型分析 (4)

一、模型的建立 (4)

二、数据的说明和处理 (4)

三、进一步的模型建立 (5)

第四章低碳经济模式下的经济效应分析 (7)

第一节低碳经济模式的性质分析 (7)

一、能源利用的高效率性 (7)

二、生态环境的弱胁迫性 (7)

三、行业的高标准性 (7)

四、经济发展的强带动性 (7)

五、经济发展的可持续性 (7)

第二节低碳经济模式的经济效应分析 (7)

一、低碳经济可以获得规模经济与结构效应 (8)

二、低碳经济可以促进绿色税制的建立 (8)