Confirmation bias作文
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Confirmation bias作文
Deviation exists objectively without distinction between right and wrong. Whether we can explore the truth and attack the truth directly depends on whether we have the attitude and ability to remove the complexity and seek the truth directly. Only in this way can we not be affected by deviation.
There are two deviations: one is the survivor deviation that seems to be correct due to the existence of special cases, and the other is the irrational observer deviation caused by perceptual influence. The military was on the surface, but ward hit the nail on the head. They saw the same plane, but came to a completely different conclusion. This shows that deviation does not determine the result, and the discovery of truth depends on attitude.
If you only look at the special case and not the whole, you will be cheated by the survivor's deviation. The military only saw the places with many bullet marks, but forgot that once the really vulnerable parts were damaged, it would be difficult to return. Looking at the society, such mistakes can be found everywhere.
Around us, we can always hear such arguments: Ma Yun's education is not high, but he is also worth hundreds of millions, and the talent in the youth class finally becomes an ordinary person, which shows that education is useless. However, they did not see so many people frustrated and frustrated because of their low academic qualifications, and they did not know that many successful people, such as liuqiangdong, Lei Jun, Robin Lee, Ma Huateng and YuMinHong, had very high academic qualifications. At the same time, Ma Yun's success is more due to his indomitable tenacity and arduous efforts, and these "most" are selectively ignored, and those people naturally do not get the truth.
If we only look at the appearance but not the essence, we will be confused by the observer's deviation. The military simply analyzed the plane in front of it, so it was confused by the illusion. Only by carefully thinking about the essence can we draw such a conclusion as ward. Truth is always hidden beneath the surface. Just as many people now see Western news and comments, they think that our physique is extremely poor and we can't play football. They think that China's scientific and technological level is far behind that
of the United States, and that our machinery manufacturing level is far behind that of Germany. In this way, we only see what others have shown without adding our own rational thinking, which has caused the observer bias. In fact, what the yellow people are best at is coordination and explosiveness, which is perfectly reflected in the level of table tennis in China. China Railway has built the longest railway in the world, China Construction has built half of the world's super high-rise buildings, and the State Grid has built the world's widest electric vehicle charging network. These are rarely mentioned by Western media. However, not mentioning it does not mean that it did not happen, and not paying attention to it does not mean that it is not important, just like the distribution of bullet marks on the engine room.
It is not easy to look at things objectively and make a correct judgment. We must look at the essence through the phenomenon, draw inferences from one instance, and pick gold through the sand in order to see the truth behind the "Deviation". This requires us to have a heart of "pursuing truth" and a pair of eyes of "scientific judgment".
Only by combining a wise mind with a rich mind can we see the whole situation and hit the essence directly. Because: there is no fault in deviation, and there is only one truth.。