AWA尝试

The following appeared as part of the business plan of the Capital Idea investment firm:
"Across town in the Park Hill district, the Thespian Theater, Pizzazz Pizza, and the Niblick Golf Club have all had business increases over the past two years. Capital Idea should therefore invest in the Roxy Playhouse, the Slice-o'-Pizza, and the Divot Golf Club, three new businesses in the Irongate district. As a condition, we should require them to participate in a special program: Any customer who patronizes two of the businesses will receive a substantial discount at the third. By motivating customers to patronize all three, we will thus contribute to the profitability of eachand maximize our return."
Buttressed by the evidence that three pizza restaurants succeed in increasing their revenues in the past two year, and that the new strategies will function well in attrating customers, the argument that through investment in tree new pizza restaurants, Rxoy Playhouse, the Slice-o’-Pizza and the Divot Golf Club and the new strategy, Capital Idea can maximize the profits. However, several extant flaws in the argument make it ineloquent.
To begin with, the argument is obviously established on fallcay of analogy that the new restaurants can make increasing revenues as well as the old ones did in the past . the argument doesn’t take differences between three old pizza restaurants, the Thespian Theater, Pizzazz Pizza, and the Niblick Golf Club, and the new ones and thus makes false analogy. The three new reataurants are not excatly similar to those new enough to justify the deduction. For example, the increase in revenues in the past two years may probably resulted from the rise of the number of
new customers who are recommended by the old customers preferring these three old pizza restaurants. Without the recommendations and advertisements made by old consumers,the new restaurants might not be as good as the old ones at making profits. Consequently, unless the argument provides evidence that the abilities of new restaurants and old ones to make revenues are almost the same in all conditons, it can not convince me that the new pizza restaurants are worth investing.
In addition, the argument also assumes that maximizing profits is results from motivating customer to patronize all three restaurants. Nevertheless, the argument doesn’t furnish evidence that can authenticate the correlation between maximizing profits and motivating customer to patronize all three restaurants. The argument overlooks some other explainations to the success of maximizing the profits. For instance, even if the customers are motivated to eat in the restaurants, the low quality of food may make customers feel bad about the restaurants and thus makes less revenues. Hence, the argument is not well proven in this way.
To draw a conclusion, the argument is not impeccable for above flaws.。