统计学本科毕业论文终审稿)

统计学本科毕业论文文稿归稿存档编号：[KKUY-KKIO69-OTM243-OLUI129-G00I-FDQS58-

统计学本科毕业论文

河北省农村居民人均纯收入影响

因素的实证研究

专业名称：统计学

班级： 201001

学生姓名：

指导教师：

完成时间： 2014年5月

摘要

中国是一个农业大国，农村人口占全国人口的比率较大，人口压力的加大与中国农村可利用土地资源特别是耕地资源的不断减少之间的矛盾将会继续存在。面临着经济全球化、信息化发展趋势，农产品的价格、质量的竞争必然更加激烈，因而农村居民的收入问题也成为我国经济社会发展面临的一大难题，这一问题是否能够得到根本性解决，农村居民是否能够增收，增收速度和质量怎样，不仅直接关系着全面建设小康社会的进程，而且也关系着大多数农村居民的情绪，关系着农村社会的稳定关系和党与政府在农村的威信以及执政党地位的问题。

本文运用统计软件Eviews5.0对2003年至2012年近10

年的影响农村居民人均纯收入的因素进行多元线性回归分析，得出农村居民人均纯收入的函数模型，并在此基础上分析影响我省农村居民人均纯收入的因素。在研究影响我省农村居民人均纯收入的因素问题上利用数形结合的思想，得出要想发展农村经济必须控制农村人口数，提高农村居民综合素质，尤其是必须要提高农村劳动力素质，加大在科学知识教育方面的力度，保证农村劳动力数量，增强农民利用科学技术提高收入的意识。

在本文研究的最后提出增加农村居民收入的建议和有效措施，为实现我国社会主义现代化宏伟目标贡献出微薄的力量。

关键词经济发展；农村居民人均收入；回归模型；最小二乘法

ABSTRACT

China is an agricultural country,rural population accounts for the population ratio is larger,

Population pressure increased with the use of land resources in rural China, especially the

contradiction between the continuous decrease of cultivated land resources will continue to

exist.Facing the development trend of economic globalization and informatization, the prices of agricultural products, the quality of the competition is more intense, and rural residents' income has become a big problem facing China's economic and

social development, this problem can be solve fundamentally, can rural residents' income increase and what about the speed and quality , not only

directly related with the process of building a well-off society in an all-round way, but also the mood of most rural residents, relationship with the stability of rural social relations and the party and the government authority in the country and the ruling status of the problem.

This paper uses the statistical software of

Eviews5.0 for 2003 to 2012, nearly 10 years of the influencing factors of rural residents per capital

net income of multivariate linear regression analysis, then the function model of per capital net income of rural residents, and based on the analysis of influencing factors of the per capita net income of rural residents in our province.In the study of

factors affecting our province rural residents per capital net income of the problem using the number

form combining ideas, it is concluded that control the number of rural populationis must to develop the rural economy , and it is must to improve rural residents' comprehensive quality, especially improve the quality of the rural labor force, intensify in the field of science education, guarantee the rural labor force, enhance the consciousness of the farmers use of science and technology to raise revenue.

Finally, in the study of this paper puts forward suggestions and effective measures of increasing the income of rural residents, to realize the grand goal contribution to China's socialist modernization the meager strength.

Keywords Economic development；Rural residents

per capital income；The regression

model；Least squares