DB46-T 465-2018雷电灾害风险区划技术规范

3.649 -0.064 -0.064 0.077 -0.331 -0.418 -0.162 11
DB46/T 465—2018
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.582 0.439 1.065 0.935 -0.594 -1.072 -0.311 0.285 -1.545 -0.878 -2.105 0.912 0.559 -0.327 -1.132 -1.023 -1.051 -1.331 -0.942 -0.119 -0.363 -0.915 0.626 2.522 -0.710 -1.123 -0.556 -0.402 -0.710 -0.556 0.878 0.010 -0.605 0.103 -1.178 -0.903 -1.178 -0.286 -0.004 1.223 -0.843 -0.233 -0.903 0.049 0.209 -1.015 -0.932 -0.860 -0.579 -0.370 -0.447 -0.673 0.231 0.198 0.600 0.186 -0.729 -0.681 -0.675 -0.265 -0.232 -0.523 -0.598 -0.033 -0.180 1.043
E
3.649 -0.160 -0.569 -0.001
D.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
பைடு நூலகம்
1 2 2 2 2 2 3 2
0.000 1.546 1.844 1.129 0.587 2.083 0.781 1.397 14
DB46/T 465—2018
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 2.720 0.783 1.403 0.720 0.365 1.706 0.935 1.396 1.041 1.535
P /
•a-1 1.223 1.840 2.008 -0.004 0.499 -0.903 -0.508
C /
-2
E /
-2
·a-1
0.252 0.505 1.020 0.243 1.283 2.368 0.062
3.526 -0.133 -0.122 0.424 -0.050 -0.216 0.209
13
DB46/T 465—2018
D.2 D.6
D.4 -K 0.01 D.5 ward’
0.01 “
SPSS “
D.4 Td
0.238 0.619 0.750 -1.013
Ng
0.252 1.084 -0.356 -0.556
N
2.319 -0.310 -0.002 -0.108
P
1.223 0.688 -0.922 -0.007
ICS 07.060 A 47
DB46
DB 46/ T 465—2018
Technical specifications for lightning disaster risk regionalization
2018 - 10 - 23
2018 - 12 - 01
DB46/T 465—2018
GB/T 1.1-2009
xik
k 1
x jk
k 1
xj
2
rij ——
xik ——
x jk ——
xi ——
x j ——
i
j
k k
i
j
m ——
C.2 C.2
m 2
d ij
k 1
xik
x jk
....................... (C.2)
d ij ——
i
j
xik —— i
k
9
DB46/T 465—2018
x jk ——
7
DB46/T 465—2018 BB
B
B.1 1999-2015
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
29 21 32 61 88 63 48 44 90 107 88 47 9 5 13 5 4 754
j
k
m ——
C.3 C.1 n-1 n-2 …… n-1 Ward's method Ward's
C.4
0.01 1%
10
DB46/T 465—2018 DD
D
D.1 SPSS 1998-2009 18
50kA Euclidean Distance Ward's
D.2 D.2.1 D.2.1.1 D.2.1.2 50kA D.2.1.3 D.2.1.4 D.2.1.5 D.2.1.6 D.2.1.7 GDP D.2.2 18 SPSS “ D.1 D.1
50KA
18 1998-2009 1998-2009
2009
Td
d•a-1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.238 -0.287 1.596 0.096 0.799 0.893 1.029
Ng
-2
N
•a-1 2.319 0.010 -0.199 -0.507 -0.451 -0.402 -0.144
5 10 13 21 19 27 21 11 18 12 14 4 1 3 7 2 1 189
24 11 19 40 69 36 27 33 72 95 74 43 8 2 6 3 3 565
13 24 34 55 40 70 46 22 58 19 18 5 1 5 10 3 2 425
4 9 11 28 16 25 15 9 15 13 9 2 1 3 7 2 1 170
I
DB46/T 465—2018
1
2
2.1 disaster-formative environment
[MZ/T 027-2011
3.4]
2.2 hazard affected body
[MZ/T 027-2011
3.6]
2.3 disaster information [GB/T 26376-2010 2.4 lightning disaster frequency ·a 2.5 economic vulnerability modulus GDP 2.6 vital vulnerability modulus ·km 2.7
D.7
D.6 D.6
/ •a
-1 -2
• 10
-4 -2
•a
-1
•10-4
-2
•a-1
100.2 103.3 108.9 77.8
0.207 0.035 0.014 0.039
16.269 17.002 2.650 9.853
26.753 13.046 11.563 10.577
R
Pearson
1
5
DB46/T 465—2018 AA
A
A.1 A.1
A.1
/d 98.3 59.7 89.1 84.1 67.5 109.0 75.0 111.6 95.3 121.0 109.0 109.7 84.1 111.9 100.9 79.8 99.9 86.8 2014 1951-2013 1961-2013 1959-2013 1953-2013 1959-2013 1959-2013 1963-2013 1953-2013 1962-2013 1959-2013 1963-2013 1959-2013 1966-2013 1959-2013 1956-2013 1956-2013 1966-2013 1962-2013 GB50343-2012 3.1
-2 -6 -1
·a
2.13 Q-Cluster analysis
3 3.1 —— —— —— ——50kA 3.2 —— —— —— —— —— 4
2
DB46/T 465—2018 4.1 4.2
4.3 200kA 4.4 4.5 4.6 5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5
2kA 5km×5km GDP 1:250000
3.1
3.2 Pearson 0.6 5.2 0.01
5.1
6 6.1 6.1.1 6.1.2 5.2
6.2 6.2.1 1 13
3
DB46/T 465—2018
2
3
6.2.2 7 7.1 —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
Pearson
6.2
7.2
4
DB46/T 465—2018
DB46/T 465—2018
0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.1 2.3 1.7 2.8 2.3 2.4 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.9 1.3 1.2 4.5 8.2 4.0 10.3 7.3 10.5 9.7 10.1 5.9 10.7 8.5 3.9 5.9 6.0 11.0 17.6 9.6 19.8 16.4 20.9 19.4 19.2 13.6 19.9 17.4 12.6 16.5 13.2 11.4 17.4 10.3 18.2 16.8 21.0 18.9 18.2 11.8 17.5 16.7 14.7 16.6 13.1 10.1 18.8 10.6 19.7 17.8 21.9 19.0 18.5 14.5 19.3 17.7 13.3 17.1 13.4 13.5 20.5 14.9 20.0 17.5 21.5 20.0 20.3 16.1 20.0 18.8 15.9 19.4 17.2 11.1 17.0 15.1 14.9 12.6 15.8 14.1 15.0 14.4 15.0 14.2 13.2 16.5 14.7 4.1 6.3 7.8 4.9 4.3 4.9 4.2 4.6 5.6 5.4 4.6 4.8 5.7 6.8 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 15 23 27 24 45 31 13 43 6 9 3 0 2 3 1 1 255
8
DB46/T 465—2018 CC
C
C.1 Pearson Pearson C.1
m
xik rij
k 1 m
xi x jk xi
2 m
xj
............................ (C.1)
Ng
N
P
C
E
D.3
85.000 63.500 47.511 35.193 25.937 20.311 15.659 12.636 9.854 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 7.280 5.336 4.014 2.904 1.904 1.063 0.614 0.166
D.5.2 SPSS “ ”“ ” ” Eucliidean D.2 ”
1
-2 -2 -1
4.4]
·km
DB46/T 465—2018 thunderstorm data d·a 2.8 ground lightning density ·km-2·a-1
GB 50057-2010 A.0.1 Ng
-1
2.9 ground lightning intensity kA 2.10 mortality rate 10 2.11 rural population density ·km 2.12 R-Cluster analysis
A.2 A.2
A.2
/d 2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.4 3 2.1 0.7 1.7 1.7 4 7.9 2.7 7.4 6.9 5 18.1 8.3 16.1 15.4 6 18.7 9.5 15.4 14.2 7 17.5 9.2 13.7 12.5 8 17.3 12.3 17.6 15.9 9 11.8 11.7 12.0 12.1 10 3.7 4.6 3.7 4.4 11 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 12 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6
D.3 R
Td Ng N P C E
SPSS “
-
C
Eucliidean D.1
E
D.1 D.4 SPSS “ E C “pearson”
C
D.2
12
DB46/T 465—2018 D.2 Td Td Ng N P C E D.5 Q D.5.1 17 D.3
1 0.434 -0.060 0.000 -0.163 -0.199 1 0.301 0.153 0.159 0.062 1 0.073 0.486 0.505 1 0.408 0.409 1 0.967 1