多恩布什 宏观经济学 第十版 英文课件Chapter_10

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2024年多恩布什宏观经济学课件

2024年多恩布什宏观经济学课件

多恩布什宏观经济学课件一、引言多恩布什宏观经济学是由美国经济学家鲁迪格·多恩布什提出的宏观经济学理论体系。

该理论以市场供需为基础,强调政府干预对经济波动的影响,并提出了“多恩布什曲线”来描述政府支出与税收政策对经济波动的影响。

本课件将简要介绍多恩布什宏观经济学的基本原理和核心观点,以帮助读者更好地理解和应用该理论。

二、多恩布什宏观经济学的基本原理1.市场供需与价格机制多恩布什宏观经济学认为,市场供需关系是决定价格和资源配置的关键因素。

当市场上的需求增加时,价格会上升,从而刺激生产者增加供给,以满足市场需求。

相反,当市场上的需求减少时,价格会下降,导致生产者减少供给。

通过价格机制的自我调节,市场能够实现资源的有效配置。

2.政府干预与经济波动多恩布什宏观经济学强调政府干预对经济波动的影响。

政府通过调整支出和税收政策,可以影响经济的总需求和总供给。

例如,政府增加支出可以刺激总需求,促进经济增长;而政府减少支出或增加税收则会抑制总需求,导致经济放缓。

政府干预的目的在于通过调整总需求和总供给,实现经济的稳定和可持续发展。

三、多恩布什曲线多恩布什曲线是多恩布什宏观经济学中的重要概念,用于描述政府支出与税收政策对经济波动的影响。

多恩布什曲线是一条向下倾斜的曲线,表示政府支出与税收政策对总需求的影响程度。

1.政府支出增加当政府增加支出时,总需求会增加,导致多恩布什曲线向右移动。

这种政策可以刺激经济增长,提高就业水平,但也可能导致通货膨胀和财政赤字的增加。

2.税收减少当政府减少税收时,个人和企业的可支配收入增加,总需求也会增加,导致多恩布什曲线向右移动。

这种政策可以刺激消费和投资,促进经济增长,但也可能导致财政赤字的增加。

四、多恩布什宏观经济学在实践中的应用多恩布什宏观经济学在实践中有着广泛的应用。

政府可以通过调整支出和税收政策,来应对经济波动和实现经济目标。

1.经济增长与就业政府可以通过增加支出来刺激总需求,促进经济增长和就业。

2020版曼昆版宏观经济学(第十版)课件第10章

2020版曼昆版宏观经济学(第十版)课件第10章
一、作为总需求的数量方程
回忆第5章中的货币数量论,根据该理论, MV=PY
式中,M为货币供给;V为货币流通速度;P为价格水平;Y为产出量。如果货币流通 速度是不变的,那么,这个方程是说,货币供给决定产出的名义值,产出的名义值又是价 格水平与产出量的乘积。
在解释这一方程时,回忆下面这一点是有帮助的:数量方程可以被改写为 用实际货币余额的供给和需求表示:
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图10—4用美国的年度数据来证实奥肯定律。在这个散点图中,每一 点表示一年的数据。横轴表示与上年相比的失业率变动,纵轴表示GDP的 百分比变动。该图清楚地显示了失业率的逐年变动与实际GDP的逐年变 动紧密相关。
关于奥肯定律关系的数量,我们可以更精确一些。通过散点画出的线 告诉我们:
少使总需求曲线向内移动,从AD1移动到AD2。在图(b)中,货币供给M的增加提高
例如,考虑如果美联储减少货币供给会发生什么。数量方程MV=PY告诉我们,货 币供给减少导致产出名义值PY同比例减少。对任何给定的价格水平而言,产出的数量 更低了;对任何给定的产出而言,价格水平更低了。正如图10—6(a)所示,联系着P与Y 的总需求曲线向内移动。
如果美联储增加货币供给,那么相反的情况就会出现。数量方程告诉我们,M增加
图10—4 奥肯定律
该图是一个横轴表示失业率、纵轴表示实际GDP的百分比变动的散点图,使用
了美国经济的数据。每一点代表一年。这些变量之间的负相关关系显示,失业率的
上升往往与实际GDP低于正常水平的增长相联系。
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二、领先经济指标
许多经济学家,特别是那些在企业和政府中工作的经济学家,有着预测经 济的短期波动的任务。企业的经济学家对预测感兴趣是为了帮助公司对经 济环境的变化作出计划。政府的经济学家对预测感兴趣出于两个原因。第 一,经济环境影响政府;例如,经济状况影响政府的税收收入。第二,政府通过 使用货币政策和财政政策可以影响经济。因此,经济预测是政策制订计划所 需的一种投入。

宏观经济学多恩布什第10版教材下载及考研视频网课

宏观经济学多恩布什第10版教材下载及考研视频网课

宏观经济学多恩布什第10版教材下载及考研视频网课多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)网授精讲班【教材精讲+考研真题串讲】目录多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)网授精讲班【郑炳老师讲授的完整课程】【共41课时】多恩布什《宏观经济学(第10版)》网授精讲班【王志伟老师讲授的部分课程】【共28课时】电子书(题库)•多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)【教材精讲+考研真题解析】讲义与视频课程【39小时高清视频】•多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)笔记和课后习题详解•试看部分内容导论与国民收入核算第1章导论1.1 复习笔记1宏观经济学宏观经济学主要讨论总体经济的运行,具体包括:经济增长问题——收入、就业机会的变化;经济波动问题——失业问题,通货膨胀问题;经济政策——政府能否、以及如何干预经济,改善经济的运行。

2.微观经济学与宏观经济学的关系(1)二者的联系第一,微观经济学和宏观经济学互为补充。

微观经济学是在资源总量既定的条件下,通过研究个体经济活动参与者的经济行为及其后果来说明市场机制如何实现各种资源的最优配置;宏观经济学则是在资源配置方式既定的条件下研究经济中各有关总量的决定及其变化。

第二,微观经济学是宏观经济学的基础。

这是因为任何总体总是由个体组成的,对总体行为的分析自然也离不开个体行为的分析。

第三,微观经济学和宏观经济学都采用了供求均衡分析的方法。

微观经济学通过需求曲线和供给曲线决定产品的均衡价格和产量,宏观经济学通过总需求曲线和总供给曲线研究社会的一般价格水平和产出水平。

(2)二者的区别第一,研究对象不同。

微观经济学研究的是个体经济活动参与者的行为及其后果,侧重讨论市场机制下各种资源的最优配置问题,而宏观经济学研究的是社会总体的经济行为及其后果,侧重讨论经济社会资源的充分利用问题。

第二,中心理论不同。

微观经济学的中心理论是价格理论,宏观经济学的中心理论是国民收入决定论。

第三,研究方法不同。

微观经济学的研究方法是个量分析,宏观经济学的研究方法是总量分析。

多恩布什《宏观经济学》第10版课后习题详解(货币、利息与收入)【圣才出品】

多恩布什《宏观经济学》第10版课后习题详解(货币、利息与收入)【圣才出品】
(3)中央银行是国家的银行,是指中央银行对一国政府提供金融服务,同时中央银行 代表国家从事金融活动,实施金融监管。
5. IS 曲线( IS curve)
答: IS 曲线指将满足产品市场均衡条件的收入和利率的各种组合的点连结起来而形成
的曲线。它是反映产品市场均衡状态的一幅简单图像。它表示的是任一给定的利率水平上都
M P h h kbG
h 与 k 数值越小,b 与 G 数值越大,增加实际余额对均衡收入水平的扩张性效应也越大。 b 与 G 的数值大,对应着非常平直的 IS 曲线。
4.中央银行(central bank) 答:中央银行指在一国金融体系中居于主导地位,负责制定和执行国家的金融政策,调 节货币流通与信用活动,对国家负责,在对外金融活动中代表国家,并对国内整个金融体系 和金融活动实行管理与监督的金融中心机构。中央银行具有三大职能,即它是“发行的银行”、 “银行的银行”和“政府的银行”。
2 / 21
圣才电子书 十万种考研考证电子书、题库视频学习平台

(1)中央银行是发行的银行,这一职能指中央银行服务于社会和经济发展,供应货币、 调节货币量、管理货币流通的职能。
(2)中央银行是银行的银行,这一职能指中央银行服务于商业银行和整个金融机构体 系,履行维持金融稳定、促进金融业发展的职责。
6.货币市场的均衡曲线(money market equilibrium schedule)
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圣才电子书 十万种考研考证电子书、题库视频学习平台

答:LM 曲线即货币市场的均衡曲线,它显示能使其实际余额需求等于供给的所有利率
与收入水平的组合。沿着 LM 曲线,货币市场处于均衡状态。要使货币市场处于均衡状态,
A bi

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版原版

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版原版

可持续发展与经济
增长
在追求经济增长的同时,应注重 环境保护和社会公平,实现可持 续发展。
03
失业、通货膨胀与货币政策
失业类型、原因及影响
摩擦性失业
由于劳动力市场供需不匹配导致的短 期失业。
结构性失业
由于经济结构变化或技术进步导致的 长期失业。
失业类型、原因及影响
• 周期性失业:由于经济周期波动导致的失 业。
经济增长是经济发展的基础,但经济发展还包括 结构优化、社会进步和生态改善等方面。
经济增长因素与政策建议
经济增长因素
包括资本积累、劳动力投入、技 术进步和制度变迁等,对经济增 长具有重要影响。
政策建议
针对经济增长因素,提出相应的 政策建议,如促进资本形成、提 高劳动力素质、推动技术创新和 深化制度改革等。
汇率政策选择
汇率政策是开放经济条件下 宏观经济政策的重要组成部 分。政府可以通过干预外汇 市场、调整汇率制度等方式 来影响国际贸易和资本流动 。
国际合作与政策 协调
在开放经济中,各国之间的 经济政策相互影响,因此国 际合作和政策协调变得尤为 重要。通过国际合作,各国 可以共同应对国际经济波动 和金融危机等挑战,促进全 球经济的稳定和繁荣。
总需求曲线形状及影响因素
总需求曲线形状
总需求曲线通常呈现向下倾斜的形状 ,表示随着价格的上升,消费者和投 资者的需求会减少。
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02
消费者支出
消费者信心、收入水平和预期等因素 会影响消费者支出和总需求。
03
投资支出
企业盈利、利率和预期等因素会影响 投资支出和总需求。
净出口
国际贸易状况和汇率等因素会影响净 出口和总需求。
研究对象

宏观经济学多恩布什ppt课件

宏观经济学多恩布什ppt课件

货币政策和财政政策在工具选择和运用上 应相互补充,形成合力,避免政策冲突和 抵消效应。
时机选择协调性
信息沟通与协作机制建立
货币政策和财政政策在应对经济波动时应 把握好政策出台的时机和力度,确保政策 效果最大化并减少副作用。
加强货币政策和财政政策制定部门之间的 信息沟通与协作,建立定期会晤机制和联 合行动框架,提高政策协调性和有效性。
GDP核算方法
包括生产法、收入法和支出法 三种。
收入法
GDP=劳动者报酬+生产税净 额+固定资产折旧+营业盈余 。
GDP定义
指一个国家或地区所有常住单 位在一定时期内生产活动的最 终成果。
生产法
GDP=各部门的总产出-各部门 的中间消耗。
支出法
GDP=最终消费支出+资本形 成总额+货物和服务净出口。
05 货币政策与财政 政策
货币政策工具、传导机制及效果评估
公开市场操作
通过买卖政府债券等方式调节市场流动性。
存款准备金率
调整商业银行存款准备金率以影响信贷规模 。
货币政策工具、传导机制及效果评估
• 利率政策:调整存贷款基准利率以引导市场利率 变动。
货币政策工具、传导机制及效果评估
利率渠道
通过影响市场利率进而影响投资和消费。
宏观经济学多恩布什ppt课 件
contents
目录
• 宏观经济学概述 • 国民收入核算与衡量 • 失业、通货膨胀与经济增长 • 总供给与总需求模型 • 货币政策与财政政策 • 开放经济下宏观经济政策选择
01 宏观经济学概述
宏观经济学定义与研究对象
宏观经济学定义
宏观经济学是研究整个经济体系 的总体经济行为、经济表现及其 变化规律的科学。

2024年多恩布什宏观经济学ppt课件

2024年多恩布什宏观经济学ppt课件

03
货币与银行体系
CHAPTER
11
货币供给与需求理论
货币供给
指一国或一地区在一定时 期内可用于社会经济交易 的货币总量,包括现金和 存款货币。
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货币需求
指在一定时期内,社会各 经济主体(包括个人、企 业和政府)愿意并能够以 货币形式持有的数量。
货币供需均衡
货币供给与货币需求在一 定条件下达到相对平衡的 状态,是宏观经济稳定的 重要基础。
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宏观经济学概述
1 2
宏观经济学定义
研究整体经济现象,包括国家经济增长、通货膨 胀、失业等问题。
宏观经济学重要性
为政策制定者提供理论支持,指导国家经济发展 。
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宏观经济学与微观经济学关系
两者相互补充,共同构成完整经济学体系。
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4
多恩布什与宏观经济学
多恩布什生平简介
著名经济学家,对宏观经济学有深入研究。
通货膨胀类型与原因
包括需求拉动型通货膨胀、成本推动型通货膨胀、货币型 通货膨胀等,原因涉及总需求过度、成本上升、货币超发 等。
失业与通货膨胀的关系
菲利普斯曲线揭示了失业与通货膨胀之间存在此消彼长的 关系,但长期内二者并无必然联系。治理失业和通货膨胀 需要采取综合性的政策措施。
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学习方法建议
注重理论与实践相结合, 关注经济政策动态。
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02
国民收入与经济增长
CHAPTER
7
国民收入核算体系
国内生产总值(GDP)
一个国家或地区在一定时期内生产的所有最 终商品和服务的市场价值总和。
国民收入(NI)

宏观经济学多恩布什第十版ppt课件

宏观经济学多恩布什第十版ppt课件

The Desired Capital Stock
To derive the rental cost of capital:
› firms finance the purchase of capital by borrowing over time, at an intetal Stock
Firms use capital, along with labor and other resources, to produce output The goal of a given firm is to maximize profits
Figure 14-1 illustrates the volatility of investment by comparing investment and GDP
[Insert Figure 14-1 here]
Introduction
The theory of investment is the theory of the demand for capital
When deciding the optimal level of capital, The mafrirgminasl pmroduucsttofbcaapiltaalniscthee intchreeasecinoonuttpruibt purotdioucnedtbhy austing
more ca1pmiotrae ul nmit oaf ckaepistaltion ptrhodeucirtiorne. venues against the cost of acquiring additional The rental c(usaerp) ciotsat olf capital is the cost of using 1 more unit of capital in production.

Chapter_09 Income and Spending(宏观经济学,多恩布什,第十版)

Chapter_09 Income and Spending(宏观经济学,多恩布什,第十版)




Consumption is not constant, but increases with income the relationship between between consumption and income is described by the consumption function If C is consumption and Y is income, the consumption function is C C cY (4), where C 0 and 0 c 1 The intercept of equation (4) is the level of consumption when income is zero this is greater than zero since there is a subsistence level of consumption The slope of equation (4) is known as the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) the increase in consumption per unit increase in income

If IU > 0, firms cut back on production until output and AD are again in equilibrium
9-4
The Consumption Function

Consumption is the largest component of AD

Savings increases as income rises Ex. If MPS is 0.1, for every extra dollar of income, savings increases by $0.10 OR consumers save 10% of an extra dollar of income

多恩布什课件

多恩布什课件

The equation for the modern version of the PC, the expectations augmented PC, is:
( g w e ) ( * ) ( e ) ( * ), ( )

Phillips curve (PC) shows the relationship between unemployment and inflation

Although GDP is linked to unemployment, it is easier to work with the PC than the AS when discussing unemployment


The price-output relationship is based upon links between wages, prices, employment, and output link between unemployment and inflation = Phillips Curve Translate between unemployment and output, inflation and price changes
6-1
Chapter 6
Aggregate Supply: Wages, Prices, and Unemployment
• • • •
Item Item Item Etc.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Macroeconomics, 10e
© 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 6-2

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版课件2国民收入核算

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版课件2国民收入核算
YCIG NX(3)
2-5
消费
• 消费= 家庭部分对产品或服 务的购买
[Insert Figure 2-2 here]
• 在耐用品(汽车), 非耐用品(食物), 服务(医疗服务)等 方面
• 消费是需求的主要组成部分 • 消费占GDP的比例不是一成不
变的。图 2-1 显示了日本和美 国两国的消费占GDP的百分比
• 私人部门有三种方式处理其储蓄:
1. 贷款给政府使其偿还其支出超过税收收入的部分 2. 借款给外国人,弥补他们从我们这里购买商品所需支付金额的差额 3. 借款给工商企业作为投资所需的资金
2-12
国内生产总值的衡量
• GDP =一段时间内一个国家 生产出来的最终产品和服务的价值
• 只对最终产品和服务进行计算 不进行重复计算 • 例如 :我们不会在GDP中已经包含一辆轿车的全部价格后又将汽车 生产者为生产汽车购买轮胎的价格再包括进来 轮胎 = 中间产品
3. CPI 直接包括进口价格, 但GDP 紧缩指数 只包括在本国生产 的产品的价格
2-18
生产价格指数: PPI
• PPI 计量一个公司购买既定的一篮子商品和服务的成 本
• 一个典型的公司生产的成本 • 市场篮子包括原料及半制成品
• PPI 由最初的重要商业交易水平的价格构成,CPI计量 城市居民实际支付的价格
2-8
净出口
• 本国对外国商品的支出(进口) 与外国对本国商品的支出(出 口) 情况 净出口 = 出口 – 进口
[Insert Fig. 2-4 here]
• 购买外国商品花费的那部分必 须从对国内生产的商品的需求 中减去
• 净出口 可以>, <, 或者 = 0
• 从20世纪 80年代起,美国净出 口一直是负值 贸易赤字

10宏观经济学英文版(多恩布什)课后习题答案全解

10宏观经济学英文版(多恩布什)课后习题答案全解

CHAPTER 10MONEY, INTEREST, AND INCOMEAnswers to Problems in the Textbook:Conceptual Problems:1. The model in Chapter 9 assumed that both the price level and the interest rate were fixed. But the IS-LM model lets the interest rate fluctuate and determines the combination of output demanded and the interest rate for a fixed price level. It should be noted that while the upward-sloping AD-curve in Chapter 9 (the [C+I+G+NX]-line in the Keynesian cross diagram) assumed that interest rates and prices were fixed, the downward-sloping AD-curve that is derived at the end of Chapter 10 from the IS-LM model lets the price level fluctuate and describes all combinations of the price level and the level of output demanded at which the goods and money sector simultaneously are in equilibrium. 2.a. If the expenditure multiplier (α) becomes larger, the increase in equilibrium income caused by a unitchange in intended spending also becomes larger. Assume investment spending increases due to a change in the interest rate. If the multiplier α becomes larger, any increase in spending will cause a larger increase in equilibrium income. This means that the IS-curve will become flatter as the size of the expenditure multiplier becomes larger.If aggregate demand becomes more sensitive to interest rates, any change in the interest rate causes the [C+I+G+NX]-line to shift up by a larger amount and, given a certain size of the expenditure multiplier α, this will increase equilibrium income by a larger amount. As a result, the IS-curve will become flatter.2.b. Monetary policy changes affect interest rates and this leads to a change in intended spending, whichis reflected in a change in income. In 2.a. it was explained that a steep IS-curve means either that the multiplier α is small or that desired spending is not very interest sensitive. Therefore, an increase in money supply will reduce interest rates. However, this does not result in a large increase in aggregate demand if spending is very interest insensitive. Similarly, if the multiplier is small, then any change in spending will not affect output significantly. Therefore, the steeper the IS-curve, the weaker the effect of monetary policy changes on equilibrium output.3. Assume that money supply is fixed. Any increase in income will increase money demand and theresulting excess demand for money will drive the interest rate up. This, in turn, will reduce the quantity of money balances demanded to bring the money sector back to equilibrium. But if money demand is very interest insensitive, then a larger increase in the interest rate is needed to reach a new equilibrium in the money sector. As a result, the LM-curve becomes steeper.Along the LM-curve, an increase in the interest rate is always associated with an increase in income. This means that an increase in money demand (due to an increase in income) has to be offset by a decrease in the quantity of money demanded (due to an increase in the interest rate) to keep the money sector in equilibrium. But if money demand becomes more income sensitive, a smaller change in income is required for any specific change in the interest rate to keep the money sector in equilibrium. Therefore, the LM-curve becomes steeper as money demand becomes more income sensitive.4.a. A horizontal LM-curve implies that the public is willing to hold whatever money is supplied at anygiven interest rate. Therefore, changes in income will not affect the equilibrium interest rate in the money sector. But if the interest rate is fixed, we are back to the analysis of the simple Keynesian model used in Chapter 9. In other words, there is no offsetting effect (or crowding-out effect) to fiscal policy.14.b. A horizontal LM-curve implies that changes in income do not affect interest rates in the money sector.Therefore, if expansionary fiscal policy is implemented, the IS-curve shifts to the right, but the level of investment spending is no longer negatively affected by rising interest rates, that is, there is no crowding-out effect. In terms of Figure 10-3, the interest rate not longer serves as the link between the goods and assets markets.4.c. A horizontal LM-curve results if the public is willing to hold whatever money balances are suppliedat a given interest rate. This situation is called the liquidity trap. Similarly, if the Fed is prepared to peg the interest rate at a certain level, then any change in income will be accompanied by an appropriate change in money supply. This will lead to continuous shifts in the LM-curve, which is equivalent to having a horizontal LM-curve, since the interest rate will never change.5. From the material presented in the text we know that when intended spending becomes more interestsensitive, then the IS-curve becomes flatter. Now assume that an increase in the interest rate stimulates saving and therefore reduces the level of consumption. This means that now not only investment spending but also consumption is negatively affected by an increase in the interest rate. In other words, the [C+I+G+NX]-line in the Keynesian cross diagram will now shift down further than previously and the level of equilibrium income will decrease more than before. In other words, the IS-curve has become flatter.This can also be shown algebraically, since we can now write the consumption function as follows:C = C* + cYD - giIn a simple model of the expenditure sector without income taxes, the equation for aggregate demand will now beAD = A o + cY - (b + g)i.From Y = AD ==> Y = [1/(1 - c)][A o - (b + g)i] ==>i = [1/(b + g)]A o - [(1 - c)/(b + g)]YTherefore, the slope of the IS-curve has been reduced from (1 - c)/b to (1 - c)/(b + g).6. In the IS-LM model, a simultaneous decline in interest rates and income can only be caused by a shiftof the IS-curve to the left. This shift in the IS-curve could have been caused by a decrease in private spending due to negative business expectations or a decline in consumer confidence. In 1991, the economy was in a recession and firms did not want to invest in new machinery and, since consumer confidence was very low, people were not expected to increase their level of spending. In the IS-LM diagram the adjustment process can be described as follows:I o↓ ==> Y ↓ (the IS-curve shifts left) ==> m d↓ ==> i ↓ ==> I ↑ ==> Y ↑. Effect: Y ↓ and i ↓ .2ii1i221Technical Problems:1.a. Each point on the IS-curve represents an equilibrium in the expenditure sector. Therefore the IS-curvecan be derived by settingY = C + I + G = (0.8)[1 - (0.25)]Y + 900 - 50i + 800 = 1,700 + (0.6)Y - 50i ==>(0.4)Y = 1,700 - 50i ==> Y = (2.5)(1,700 - 50i) ==> Y = 4,250 - 125i.1.b. The IS-curve shows all combinations of the interest rate and the level of output such that theexpenditure sector (the goods market) is in equilibrium, that is, intended spending is equal to actual output. A decrease in the interest rate stimulates investment spending, making intended spending greater than actual output. The resulting unintended inventory decrease leads firms to increase their production to the point where actual output is again equal to intended spending. This means that the IS-curve is downward sloping.1.c. Each point on the LM-curve represents an equilibrium in the money sector. Therefore the LM-curvecan be derived by setting real money supply equal to real money demand, that is,M/P = L ==> 500 = (0.25)Y - 62.5i ==> Y = 4(500 + 62.5i) ==> Y = 2,000 + 250i.1.d. The LM-curve shows all combinations of the interest rate and level of output such that the moneysector is in equilibrium, that is, the demand for real money balances is equal to the supply of real money balances. An increase in income will increase the demand for real money balances. Given a fixed real money supply, this will lead to an increase in interest rates, which will then reduce the quantity of real money balances demanded until the money market clears. In other words, the LM-curve is upward sloping.1.e. The level of income (Y) and the interest rate (i) at the equilibrium are determined by the intersectionof the IS-curve with the LM-curve. At this point, the expenditure sector and the money sector are both in equilibrium simultaneously.From IS = LM ==> 4,250 - 125i = 2,000 + 250i ==> 2,250 = 375I ==> i = 6==> Y = 4,250 - 125*6 = 4,250 - 750 ==> Y = 3,500Check: Y = 2,000 + 250*6 = 2,000 + 1,500 = 3,5003i125 ISLM62,000 3,500 4,250 Y2.a. As we have seen in 1.a., the value of the expenditure multiplier is α= 2.5. This multiplier αisderived in the same way as in Chapter 9. But now intended spending also depends on the interest rate, so we no longer have Y = αA o, but ratherY = α(A o - bi) = (1/[1 - c + ct])(A o - bi) ==> Y = (2.5)(1,700 - 50i) = 4,250 - 125i.2.b.This can be answered most easily with a numerical example. Assume that government purchasesincrease by ∆G = 300. The IS-curve shifts parallel to the right by==> ∆IS = (2.5)(300) = 750.Therefore IS': Y = 5,000 - 125iFrom IS' = LM ==> 5,000 - 125i = 2,000 + 250i ==> 375i = 3,000 ==> i = 8==> Y = 2,000 + 250*8 ==> Y = 4,000 ==> ∆Y = 500When interest rates are assumed to be constant, the size of the multiplier is equal to α = 2.5, that is, (∆Y)/(∆G) = 750/300 = 2.5. But when interest rates are allowed to vary, the size of the multiplier is reduced to α1 = (∆Y)/(∆G) = 500/300 = 1.67.2.c. Since an increase in government purchases by ∆G = 300 causes a change in the interest rate of 2percentage points, government spending has to change by ∆G = 150 to increase the interest rate by 1 percentage point.2.d. The simple multiplier α in 2.a. shows the magnitude of the horizontal shift in the IS-curve, given achange in autonomous spending by one unit. But an increase in income increases money demand and the interest rate. The increase in the interest rate crowds out some investment spending and this has a dampening effect on income. The multiplier effect in 2.b. is therefore smaller than the multiplier effect in 2.a.3.a. An increase in the income tax rate (t) will reduce the size of the expenditure multiplier (α). But as themultiplier becomes smaller, the IS-curve becomes steeper. As we can see from the equation for the IS-curve, this is not a parallel shift but rather a rotation around the vertical intercept.Y = α(A o - bi) = [1/(1 - c + ct)](A o - bi) ==> i = (1/b)A o - (α/b)Y = (1/b)A o - (1/b)[1 - c + ct]Y 3.b. If the IS-curve shifts to the left and becomes steeper, the equilibrium income level will decrease. Ahigher tax rate reduces private spending and this will lower national income.3.c. When the income tax rate is increased, the equilibrium interest rate will also decrease. The adjustmentto the new equilibrium can be expressed as follows (see graph on the next page):t up ==> C down ==> Y down ==> m d down ==> i down ==> I up ==> Y up. Effect: Y ↓ and i ↓45i 1i 2214.a. If money demand is less interest sensitive, then the LM-curve is steeper and monetary policy changesaffect equilibrium income to a larger degree. If money supply is assumed to be fixed, the adjustment to a new equilibrium in the money sector has to come solely through changes in money demand. If money demand is less interest sensitive, any increase in money supply requires a larger increase in income and a larger decrease in the interest rate in order to bring the money sector into a new equilibrium.i ii 1 i 1 2 2i 20 120 12The adjustment process in each of the two diagrams is the same; however, in the case of a more interest-sensitive money demand (a flatter LM-curve), the change in Y and i will be smaller.(M/P) up ==> i down ==> I up ==> Y up ==> m d up ==> i up Effect: Y ↑ and i ↓Section 10-5 derives the equation for the LM-curve and the equation for the monetary policy multiplier asi = (1/h)[kY - (M/P)] and (∆Y)/∆(M/P) = (b/h)γrespectively. If money demand becomes more interest sensitive, the value of h becomes larger and the slope of the LM-curve becomes flatter, while the size of the monetary policy multiplier becomes smaller.4.b. An increase in money supply drives interest rates down. This decrease in interest rates will stimulateintended spending and thus income. If money demand becomes less interest sensitive, a larger increase in income is required to bring the money sector into equilibrium. But this implies that the overall decrease in the interest rate has to be larger, given that the interest sensitivity of spending has not changed.5. The price adjustment, that is, the movement along the AD-curve, can be explained in the followingway: With nominal money supply (M) fixed, real money balances (M/P) will decrease as the price level (P) increases. There is an excess demand for money and interest rates will rise. This will lead toa decrease in investment spending and thus the level of output demanded will decrease. In otherwords, the LM-curve will shift to the left as real money balances decrease.6. In the classical case, the AS-curve is vertical. Therefore, any increase in aggregate demand due toexpansionary monetary policy will, in the long run, not lead to any increase in output but simply lead to an increase in the price level. An increase in money supply will first shift the LM-curve to the right.This implies a shift of the AD-curve to the right. Therefore we have excess demand for goods and services and prices will begin to rise. But as the price level rises, real money balances will begin to fall again, eventually returning to their original level. Therefore, the shift of the LM-curve to the right due to the expansionary monetary policy and the resulting shift of the AD-curve will be exactly offset by a shift of the LM-curve to the left and a movement along the AD-curve to the new long-run equilibrium due to the price adjustment. At this new long-run equilibrium, the level of output and interest rates will not have changed while the price level will have changed proportionally to the nominal money supply, leaving real money balances unchanged. In other words, money is neutral in the long run (the classical case).7.a. An increase in the demand for money will shift the LM-curve to the left, raising the interest rate andlowering the level of output demanded. As a result, the AD-curve will also shift to the left. In the Keynesian case, the price level is assumed to be fixed, that is, the AS-curve is horizontal. In this case, the decrease in income in the AD-AS diagram is equivalent to the decrease in income in the IS-LM diagram, since there is no price adjustment, that is, the real balance effect does not come into play. 7.b. An increase in the demand for money will shift the LM-curve to the left, raising the interest rate andlowering the level of output demanded. As a result, the AD-curve will also shift to the left. In the classical case, the level of output will not change, since the AS-curve is vertical. In this case, the shift in the AD-curve will simply be reflected in a price decrease, but the level of output will remain unchanged. The real balance effect causes the LM-curve to shift back to its original level, since the price decrease causes an increase in real money balances.Additional Problems:1. True or false? Explain your answer.“A decrease in the marginal propensity to save implies tha t the IS-curve will become steeper.”False A decrease in the marginal propensity to save (s = 1 - c) is equivalent to an increase in the marginal propensity to consume (c), which, in turn, implies an increase in the expenditure multiplier ( ). But with a larger expenditure multiplier, any increase in investment spending due to a decrease in the interest rate will lead to a larger increase in income. Therefore the IS-curve will become flatter and not steeper.2. True or false? Explain your answer.“If the c entral bank keeps the supply of money constant, then the money supply curve is vertical, which implies a vertical LM-curve.”6False. Equilibrium in the money sector implies that real money supply is equal to real money demand, that is,m s = M/P = m d(i,Y).This implies that any increase in income (Y) will increase the demand for money. To bring the money sector back into equilibrium, interest rates (i) have to rise simultaneously to bring the quantity of money demanded back to the original level (equal to the fixed supply of money). Therefore, to keep the money sector in equilibrium, an increase in income must always be associated with an increase in the interest rate and the LM-curve must be upward sloping.3. "Restrictive monetary policy reduces consumption and investment." Comment on thisstatement.A reduction in money supply raises interest rates, which will, in turn, have a negative effect on the level of investment spending. The level of consumption may also decrease as it becomes more costly to finance expenditures by borrowing money. But even if it is assumed that consumption is not affected by changes in the interest rate, consumption will still decrease since restrictive monetary policy will reduce national income and therefore private spending.4. "If government spending is increased, money demand will increase." Comment.A change in government spending directly affects the expenditure sector and therefore the IS-curve. But in an IS-LM framework, the money sector is also affected indirectly. An increase in the level of government spending will shift the IS-curve to the right, leading to an increase in income. But the increase in income will lead to an increase in money demand, so the interest rate will have to increase in order to lower the quantity of money demanded and to bring the money sector back into equilibrium. Overall no change in money demand can occur, since equilibrium in the money sector requires that m s = M/P = m d, that is, money supply has to be equal to money demand, and money supply is assumed to be fixed.5. "An increase in autonomous investment reduces the interest rate and therefore the moneysector will no longer be in equilibrium." Comment on this statement.An increase in autonomous investment shifts the IS-curve to the right. The increase in income leads to an increase in the demand for money, which means that interest rates increase. The increase in interest rates then reduces the quantity of money demanded again to bring the money market back to equilibrium.6. "A monetary expansion leaves the budget surplus unaffected." Comment on this statement. Expansionary monetary policy, that is, an increase in money supply, will lower interest rates (the LM-curve will shift to the right). Lower interest rates will lead to an increase in investment spending and the economy will therefore be stimulated. But a higher level of national income increases the government’s tax revenues and therefore the budget surplus will increase.7. "Restrictive monetary policy implies lower tax revenues and therefore to an increase in thebudget deficit." Comment on this statement.A decrease in money supply will shift the LM-curve to the left. This will lead to an increase in the interest rate, which will lead to a reduction in spending and thus national income. But as income decreases, so does income tax revenue. Therefore, the budget deficit will increase because of the change in its cyclical component.78. “If the demand for money becomes more sensitive to changes in income, then the LM-curvebecome s flatter.” Comment on this statement.Along the LM-curve, an increase in the interest rate is always associated with an increase in income. This means that an increase in money demand (due to an increase in income) has to be offset by a decrease in the quantity of money demanded (due to an increase in the interest rate) to keep the money sector in equilibrium. But if money demand becomes more income sensitive, a smaller change in income is required for any specific change in the interest rate to keep the money sector in equilibrium. Therefore, the LM-curve becomes steeper (and not flatter) as money demand becomes more sensitive to changes in income.9. “A decrease in the income tax rate will increase the demand for money, shifting the LM-curveto the righ t.” Comment on this statement.A decrease in the income tax rate (t) will increase the expenditure multiplier (α). But with a larger expenditure multiplier, any increase in investment spending due to a decrease in the interest rate will lead to a larger increase in income. Since fiscal policy affects the expenditure sector, the IS-curve (not the LM-curve) will shift. The IS-curve will become flatter and shift to the right. This will lead to a new equilibrium at a higher level of income (Y) and a higher interest rate (i). But money supply is fixed and the LM-curve remains unaffected by fiscal policy. Therefore, at the new equilibrium (the intersection of the new IS-curve with the old LM-curve) the demand for money will not have changed, since the money sector has to be in an equilibrium at m s = m d(i,Y).10. “If the demand for money becomes more insensitive to changes in the interest rate, equilibriumin the money sector will have to be restored mostly through changes in income. This implies a flat LM-curve.” Comment on this statement.Any increase in income will increase money demand and this will drive the interest rate up. Therefore, the quantity of money balances demanded will decline again until the money sector is back in equilibrium. But if money demand is very interest insensitive, then a larger increase in the interest rate is needed to reach a new equilibrium in the money sector. This means that the LM-curve is steep and not flat.11. Assume the following IS-LM model:Expenditure Sector Money SectorSp = C + I + G + NX M = 700C = 100 + (4/5)YD P = 2YD = Y - TA m d = (1/3)Y + 200 - 10iTA = (1/4)YI = 300 - 20iG = 120NX = -20(a) Derive the equilibrium values of consumption (C) and money demand (m d).(b) How much of investment (I) will be crowded out if the government increases its purchasesby ∆G = 160 and nominal money supply (M) remains unchanged?(c) By how much will the equilibrium level of income (Y) and the interest rate (i) change, ifnominal money supply is also increased to M' = 1,100?a. Sp = 100 + (4/5)[Y - (1/4)Y] + 300 - 20i + 120 - 20 = 500 + (4/5)(3/4)Y – 20i = 500 + (3/5)Y - 20iFrom Y = Sp ==> Y = 500 + (3/5)Y - 20i ==> (2/5)Y = 500 - 20i==> Y = (2.5)(500 - 20i) ==> Y = 1,250 - 50i IS-curveFrom M/P = m d ==> 700/2 = (1/3)Y + 200 - 10i ==> (1/3)Y = 150 + 10i==> Y = 3(150 + 10i) ==> Y = 450 + 30i LM-curve89IS = LM ==> 1,250 - 50i = 450 + 30i ==> 800 = 80i ==> i = 10==> Y = 1,250 - 50*10 ==> Y = 750C = 100 + (4/5)(3/4)750 = 100 + (3/5)750 ==> C = 550m s = M/P = 700/2 = 350 = m dCheck: m d = (1/3)750 + 200 - 10*10 = 350i25 IS o LM o10450 750 1,250 Yb. ∆IS = (2.5)160 = 400 ==> IS' = 1,650 - 50iIS' = LM ==> 1,650 - 50i = 450 + 30i ==> 1,200 = 80i ==> i = 15==> Y = 1,650 - 50*15 ==> Y = 900Since ∆i = + 5 ==> ∆I = - 20*5 ==> ∆I = - 100Check: ∆ 331510450 750 900 1,250 1,650 Yc. From M'/P = m d ==> 1,100/2 = (1/3)Y + 200 - 20i==> (1/3)Y = 350 - 20i ==> Y = 3(350 - 20i) ==> Y = 1,050 + 30iIS 1 = LM 1 ==> 1,650 - 50i = 1,050 + 30i ==> 600 = 80i ==> i = 7.5==> Y = 1,650 - 50(7.5) = 1,275.==> ∆i = - 7.5 and ∆Y = 375 as compared to (b).i1107.512. Assume the money sector can be described by these equations: M/P = 400 and m d = (1/4)Y - 10i.In the expenditure sector only investment spending (I) is affected by the interest rate (i), and the equation of the IS-curve is: Y = 2,000 - 40i.(a) If the size of the expenditure multiplier is α= 2, show the effect of an increase ingovernment purchases by ∆G = 200 on income and the interest rate.(b) Can you determine how much of investment is crowded out as a result of this increase ingovernment spending?(c)If the money demand equation were changed to m d = (1/4)Y, how would your answers in (a)and (b) change?a. From M/P = m d ==> 400 = (1/4)Y - 10i ==> Y = 1,600 + 40i LM-curveFrom IS = LM ==> 2,000 - 40i = 1,600 + 40i ==> 80i = 400 ==> i = 5==> Y = 2,000 - 40*5 ==> Y = 1,800∆IS = 2*200 = 400 ==> IS' = 2,400 - 40iIS' = LM ==> 2,400 - 40i = 1,600 + 40i ==> 80i = 800 ==> i = 10==> Y = 1,600 + 40*10 ==> Y = 2,000Therefore ∆i = + 5 and ∆Y = + 200b.Since the size of the expenditure multiplier is α = 2 but income only goes up by αY = 200, the fiscalpolicy multiplier in the IS-LM model is α1= 1. But this means that the level of investment has been reduced by 100, that is, ∆I = -100. This can be seen by restating the IS-curve as follows:Y = 2,000 - 40i = Y = 2(1,000 - 20i)Since government purchases are changed by ∆G = 200 ==> Y = 2(1,200 - 20i), which means that the IS-curve shifts by ∆IS = 2*200 = 400. But the increase in income is actually only ∆Y = 200. This implies that investment changes by ∆I = -100. Investment is of the form I = I o– 20i; however, since the interest rate went up by ∆i = 5, investment changes by ∆I = - 20*5 = - 100.From ∆Y = α(∆Sp) ==> 200 = 2(∆Sp) ==> ∆Sp = 100But since ∆Sp =∆ G + ∆I ==> 100 = 200 + ∆I ==> ∆I = - 100c. If m d= (1/4)Y, then we have the classical case, that is, a vertical LM-curve. In this case, fiscalexpansion will not change income at all. This occurs since the increase in G will be offset by a decrease in I of equal magnitude due to an increase in the interest rate.(M/P) = m d ==> 400 = (1/4)Y ==> Y = 1,600 LM-curveIS = LM ==> 2,000 - 40i = 1,600 ==> 40i = 400 ==> i = 10 ==> Y = 1,600IS' = LM ==> 2,400 - 40i = 1,600 ==> 40i = 800==> i = 20 ==> Y = 1,600 ==> ∆I = - 2001013. Assume money demand (md) and money supply (ms) are defined as: md = (1/4)Y + 400 - 15iand ms = 600, and intended spending is of the form: Sp = C + I + G + NX = 400 + (3/4)Y - 10i.Calculate the equilibrium levels of Y and i, and indicate by how much the Fed would have to change money supply to keep interest rates constant if the government increased its spending by ∆G = 50. Show your solutions graphically and mathematically.ms = md ==> 600 = (1/4)Y + 400 - 15i ==> (1/4)Y = 200 + 15i==> Y = 4(200 + 15i) ==> Y = 800 + 60i LM-curveY = C + I + G + NX ==> Y = 400 + (3/4)Y - 10i ==>(1/4)Y = 400 - 10i ==> Y = 4(400 - 10i) ==> Y = 1,600 - 40i IS-curveFrom IS = LM ==> 1,600 - 40i = 800 + 60i ==> 100i = 800 ==> i = 8 ==> Y = 1,280If government spending is increased by ∆G = 50, the IS-curve will shift to the right) by (∆IS) = 4*50 = 200. If the Fed wants to keep the interest rate constant, money supply has to be increased in a way that shifts the LM-curve to the right by exactly the same amount as the IS-curve, that is, (∆LM) = 200.From Y = 2(200 + 15i) ==> (∆Y) = 2(∆ms) ==> 200 = 2(∆ms)==> (∆ms) = 100, so money supply has to be increased by 100.Check: IS' = LM": 1,800 - 40i = 1,000 + 60i ==> 800 = 100i4018800 1000 1280 1480 1600 1800 Y14. Assume the equation for the IS-curve is Y = 1,200 – 40i, and the equation for the LM-curve isY = 400 + 40i.(a) Determine the equilibrium value of Y and i.(b) If this is a simple model without income taxes, by how much will these values change if thegovernment increases its expenditures by ∆G = 400, financed by an equal increase in lump sum taxes (∆TA o = 400)?a. From IS = LM ==> 1,200 - 40i = 400 + 40i ==>800 = 80i ==> i = 10 ==> Y = 400 + 40*10 ==> Y = 800b. According to the balanced budget theorem, the IS-curve will shift horizontally by the increase ingovernment purchases, that is, ∆IS = ∆G = ∆TA o = 400.Thus the new IS-curve is of the form: Y = 1,600 - 40i.From IS' = LM ==> 1,600 - 40i = 400 + 40i ==>1,200 = 80i ==> i = 15 ==> Y = 400 + 40*15 ==> Y = 1,00015. Assume you have the following information about a macro model:Expenditure sector: Money sector:11。

多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)【教材精讲+考研真题解析】讲义与课程【39小时】

多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)【教材精讲+考研真题解析】讲义与课程【39小时】

目 录第一部分 开篇导读及本书点评[1小时高清视频讲解]一、开篇导读二、本书点评及总结(结束语)第二部分 辅导讲义[31小时高清视频讲解]第1篇 导论与国民收入核算[视频讲解]第1章 导 论1.1 本章要点1.2 重难点解读第2章 国民收入核算2.1 本章要点2.2 重难点解读第2篇 增长、总供给与总需求,以及政策[视频讲解]第3章 增长与积累3.1 本章要点3.2 重难点解读第4章 增长与政策4.1 本章要点4.2 重难点解读第5章 总供给与总需求5.1 本章要点5.2 重难点解读第6章 总供给:工资、价格与失业6.1 本章要点6.2 重难点解读第7章 通货膨胀与失业的解剖7.1 本章要点7.2 重难点解读第8章 政策预览8.1 本章要点8.2 重难点解读第3篇 首要的几个模型[视频讲解]第9章 收入与支出9.1 本章要点9.2 重难点解读第10章 货币、利息与收入10.1 本章要点10.2 重难点解读第11章 货币政策与财政政策11.1 本章要点11.2 重难点解读第12章 国际联系12.1 本章要点12.2 重难点解读第4篇 行为的基础[视频讲解]第13章 消费与储蓄13.1 本章要点13.2 重难点解读第14章 投资支出14.1 本章要点14.2 重难点解读第15章 货币需求15.1 本章要点15.2 重难点解读第16章 联邦储备、货币与信用16.1 本章要点16.2 重难点解读第17章 政 策17.1 本章要点17.2 重难点解读第18章 金融市场与资产价格18.1 本章要点18.2 重难点解读第5篇 重大事件、国际调整和前沿课题[视频讲解]第19章 重大事件:萧条经济学、恶性通货膨胀和赤字19.1 本章要点19.2 重难点解读第20章 国际调整与相互依存20.1 本章要点20.2 重难点解读第21章 前沿课题21.1 本章要点21.2 重难点解读第三部分 名校考研真题名师精讲及点评[8小时高清视频讲解]一、名词解释二、简答题三、计算题四、论述题第一部分 开篇导读及本书点评[1小时高清视频讲解]一、开篇导读[0.5小时高清视频讲解]主讲老师:郑炳一、教材及教辅、课程、题库简介► 教材:多恩布什《宏观经济学》(第10版)(多恩布什、费希尔、斯塔兹著,王志伟译,中国人民大学出版社)► 教辅(两本,文库考研网主编,中国石化出版社出版)√网授精讲班【教材精讲+考研真题串讲】精讲教材章节内容,穿插经典考研真题,分析各章考点、重点和难点。

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版原版ppt

多恩布什宏观经济学第十版原版ppt
The given level of capital and technology determine the level of potential output Output is fixed, but prices determined by changes in AD
3.

Short Run Model: business cycle theories

[Insert Figure 1-4 here]
The AS curve is flat in the short run due to fixed/rigid prices, so changes in output are due to changes in AD

Changes in AD in the short run constitute phases of the business cycle
1-4

Very Long Run Growth



Figure 1-1a illustrates growth of income per person in the U.S. over last century growth of 2-3% per year Growth theory examines how the accumulation of inputs and improvements in technology lead to increased standards of living Rate of saving is a significant determinant of future well being and economic growth.

多恩布什《宏观经济学》课件讲义

多恩布什《宏观经济学》课件讲义

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分析在开放经济条件下,内部均衡和外部均衡可能 存在的冲突及其原因。
实现内外均衡的政策搭配
探讨如何通过政策搭配实现内外均衡,包括财政政 策、货币政策、汇率政策等的协调与配合。
总供给与总需求模型及其政
06
策应用
总供给曲线推导及影响因素分析
总供给曲线推导
基于微观经济学中的生产函数和成本函数, 结合宏观经济学中的就业、产出和价格等 变量,推导出总供给曲线。该曲线描述了 在不同价格水平下,经济体愿意并能够提 供的总产出量。
的变化对经济活动的影响,主张实行“单一规则”的货币政策。
02 国民收入核算与决定
国内生产总值(GDP)核算方法
生产法
通过核算一定时期内各生产单位所生产的全部最终产品的价值总量来计算GDP,即各生产单位的总产值减 去中间投入后的余额。
支出法
通过核算一定时期内整个社会购买最终产品的总支出计算GDP,包括个人消费支出、政府购买支出、固定 资本形成总额和净出口四部分。
特点
宏观经济学具有综合性、总量性、长期性、政策性和阶 段性等特点。
宏观经济学发展历程及主要流派
发展历程
宏观经济学的发展经历了古典主义、凯恩斯主义、新古典主义和现代货币主义等阶段。
主要流派
古典主义强调市场机制的自动调节作用,主张自由放任的经济政策;凯恩斯主义强调国 家干预经济的必要性,主张实行扩张性的财政政策和货币政策;新古典主义则主张恢复 古典主义的自由放任原则,强调市场机制的调节作用;现代货币主义则强调货币供应量
04
货币市场与资本市场均衡
货币市场均衡:LM曲线推导及应用
货币市场均衡条件
货币供给等于货币需求,即Ms=Md。

2024版宏观经济学多恩布什第十版ppt课件

2024版宏观经济学多恩布什第十版ppt课件

2024/1/28
10
03
失业、通货膨胀与货币政 策
2024/1/28
11
失业类型、原因及影响分析
摩擦性失业
由于劳动力市场供需不匹配造成的短期失业。
结构性失业
由于经济结构变化导致某些行业或地区就业机会减少的长期失业。
2024/1/28
12
失业类型、原因及影响分析
• 周期性失业:与经济周期波动相关的失业, 通常在经济衰退时上升,经济复苏时下降。
国际贸易实践
分析国际贸易的现状、趋势和问题,如贸易保护主义、贸易摩擦 等。
36
国际金融市场运行规律和风险防范
国际金融市场概述
介绍国际金融市场的构成、功能和运行规律。
国际金融风险
分析汇率风险、信用风险、流动性风险等国际金融风险的来源和影 响。
风险防范与管理
探讨国际金融风险防范和管理的策略和方法,如风险识别、评估和控 制。
2024/1/28
4
宏观经济学研究方法与工具
2024/1/28
研究方法
宏观经济学采用实证分析和规范分析 相结合的方法,既研究经济现象“是 什么”的问题,也探讨经济运行“应 该是什么”的问题。
研究工具
宏观经济学运用大量的经济模型、图 表和数学公式等分析工具,来研究和 分析宏观经济现象及其运行规律。
5
技术进步是提高生产率和经济 增长的重要途径。通过加强科 技创新、促进科技成果转化、 培养高素质人才等方式,可以 推动技术进步和经济增长。
制度创新是经济增长的重要保 障。通过深化经济体制改革、 完善市场体系、加强法治建设 等方式,可以推动制度创新和 经济增长。
26
经济发展战略和政策选择
2024/1/28
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Downward sloping IS curve
10-13
The Interest Rate and AD: The IS Curve

We can also derive the IS curve using the goods market equilibrium condition:
Y = AD = A + c(1 − t )Y − bi ⇒ Y − c(1 − t )Y = A − bi Y (1 − c(1 − t )) = A − bi Y = αG ( A − bi )

This chapter:
introduces money and monetary policy builds an explicit framework of analysis within which to study the interaction of goods markets and assets market

What determines interest rates? What is the role of interest rates in the business cycle?

10-3
Introduction

Figure 10-1 shows the interest rate on Treasury bills = the payment received by someone who lends to the U.S. government
Introduction

Money plays a central role in the determination of income and employment


Interest rates are a significant determinant of aggregate spending → Fed controls the money supply in the United States The stock of money, interest rates, and the Fed were noticeably absent from the model developed in the last chapter

A change in i will change the equilibrium
10-10
The Interest Rate and AD: The IS Curve

AD = A + c(1 − t )Y − bi (2) Derive the IS curve using figure 10-5
10-4
Introduction

Figure 10-2 shows the strong link between money and output growth

[Insert Figure 10-2 here]
This chapter explores the link from money to interest rates to output

[Insert Figure 10-1 here]

Ex. At an interest rate of 5%, a $100 loan to the government will earn $5 in interest Figure 10-1 shows that interest rates: Are high just before a recession Drop during the recession Rise during the recovery
10-9
The Interest Rate and AD: The IS Curve

Need to modify the AD function of the last chapter to reflect the new planned investment spending schedule

Derived in two steps:
1. 2.
Link between interest rates and investment Link between investment demand and AD


Investment is no longer treated as exogenous, but dependent upon interest rates ( Interest Rate and AD: The IS Curve

AD = A + c(1 − t )Y − bi (2) Derive the IS curve using figure 10-5

[Insert Figure 10-5 here again]
Consider a lower interest rate, i2 Shifts the AD curve upward to AD’ with an intercept of A − bi2 Given the increase in AD, the equilibrium shifts to point E2, with an associated income level of Y2 Plot the pair (i2, Y2) in panel (b) for another point on the IS curve

IS-LM model is the core of short-run macroeconomics


Maintains the details of earlier model, but adds the interest rate as an additional determinant of aggregate demand Includes the goods market and the money market, and their link through interest rates and income

[Insert Figure 10-5 here]

For a given interest rate, i1, the last term in equation (2) is constant → can draw the AD function with an intercept of A − bi1 The equilibrium level of income is Y1 at point E1 Plot the pair (i1, Y1) in the bottom panel as point E1 → a point on the IS curve Combination of i and Y that clears the goods market
10-1
Chapter 10
Money, Interest, and Income
• • • • Item Item Item Etc.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Macroeconomics, 10e
© 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. 10-2
Investment and the Interest Rate

I = I − bi (1) The position of the I schedule is determined by:

[Insert Figure 10-4 here]

The slope, b If investment is highly responsive to i, the investment schedule is almost flat If investment responds little to i, the investment schedule is close to vertical Level of autonomous spending An increase in I shifts the investment schedule out A decrease in I shifts the investment schedule in
Investment demand is lower the higher are interest rates
• •
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money Increased interest rates raise the price to firms of borrowing for capital equipment → reduce the quantity of investment demand
All points on the IS curve represent combinations of i and income at which the goods market clears → goods market equilibrium schedule

Figure 10-5 shows the negative relationship between i and Y


10-12
The Interest Rate and AD: The IS Curve

We can apply the same procedure to all levels of i to generate additional points on the IS curve
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