企业财务风险管理外文文献

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财务风险管理外文文献翻译

文献出处: Sharifi, Omid. International Journal of Information, Business and Management6.2 (May 2014): 82-94.原文Financial Risk Management for Small and Medium Sized Enterprises(SMES)Omid SharifiMBA, Department of Commerce and Business Management,Kakatiya University, House No. 2-1-664, Sarawathi negar,1．ABSTRACTmedium sized Enterprises (SME) do also face business risks, Similar to large companies, Small and Mwhich in worst case can cause financial distress and lead to bankruptcy. However, although SME are a major part of the India and also international - economy, research mainly focused on risk management in large corporations. Therefore the aim of this paper is to suggest a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen. The data required for the study was collected from Annual report of the Intec Capital Limited. For the period of five years, from 2008 to 2012.the findings showed the data and the overview can be used in SME risk management.Keywords: Annual report, Small and Medium sized Enterprises, Financial Risks, Risk Management.2．INTRUDUCTIONSmall and medium sized enterprises (SME) differ from large corporations among other aspects first of all in their size. Their importance in the economy however is large . SME sector of India is considered as the backbone of economy contributing to 45% of the industrial output, 40% of India’s exports, employing 60 million people,create 1.3 million jobs every year and produce more than 8000 quality products for the Indian and international markets. With approximately 30 million SMEs in India, 12 million people expected to join the workforce in next 3 years and the sector growing at a rate of 8% per year, Government of India is taking different measures so as to increase their competitiveness in the international market. There are several factors that have contributed towards the growth of Indian SMEs.Few of these include; funding of SMEs by local and foreign investors, the new technology that is used in the market is assisting SMEs add considerable value to their business, various trade directories and trade portals help facilitate trade between buyer and supplier and thus reducing the barrier to trade With this huge potential, backed up by strong government support; Indian SMEs continue to post their growth stories. Despite of this strong growth, there is huge potential amongst Indian SMEs that still remains untapped. Once this untapped potential becomes the source for growth of these units, there would be no stopping to India posting a GDP higher than that of US and China and becoming the world’s economic powerhouse.3. RESEARCH QUESTIONRisk and economic activity are inseparable. Every business decision and entrepreneurial act is connected with risk. This applies also to business of small andmedium sized enterprises as they are also facing several and often the same risks as bigger companies. In a real business environment with market imperfections they need to manage those risks in order to secure their business continuity and add additional value by avoiding or reducing transaction costs and cost of financial distress or bankruptcy. However, risk management is a challenge for most SME. In contrast to larger companies they often lack the necessary resources, with regard to manpower, databases and specialty of knowledge to perform a standardized and structured risk management. The result is that many smaller companies do not perform sufficient analysis to identify their risk. This aspect is exacerbated due to a lack in literature about methods for risk management in SME, as stated by Henschel: The two challenging aspects with regard to risk management in SME are therefore:1. SME differ from large corporations in many characteristics2. The existing research lacks a focus on risk management in SMEThe following research question will be central to this work:1.how can SME manage their internal financial risk?2.Which aspects, based on their characteristics, have to be taken into account for this?3.Which mean fulfils the requirements and can be applied to SME?4. LITERATURE REVIEWIn contrast to larger corporations, in SME one of the owners is often part of the management team. His intuition and experience are important for managing the company.Therefore, in small companies, the (owner-) manager is often responsible for many different tasks and important decisions. Most SME do not have the necessary resources to employ specialists on every position in the company. They focus on their core business and have generalists for the administrative functions. Behr and Guttler find that SME on average have equity ratios lower than 20%. The different characteristics of management, position on procurement and capital markets and the legal framework need to be taken into account when applying management instruments like risk management. Therefore the risk management techniques of larger corporations cannot easily be applied to SME.In practice it can therefore be observed that although SME are not facing less risks and uncertainties than largecompanies, their risk management differs from the practices in larger companies. The latter have the resources to employ a risk manager and a professional, structured and standardized risk management system. In contrast to that, risk management in SME differs in the degree of implementation and the techniques applied. Jonen & Simgen-Weber With regard to firm size and the use of risk management. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius observe in a study from 2010 that increasing firm size among SME enhances the use of risk management. This observation matches with the opinion of nearly 10% of SME, which are of the opinion, that risk management is only reasonable in larger corporations. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius find that most of the surveyed SME identify risks with help of statistics, checklists, creativity and scenario analyses. reveals similar findings and state that most companies rely on key figure systems for identifying and evaluating the urgency of business risks. That small firms face higher costs of hedging than larger corporations. This fact is reducing the benefits from hedging and therefore he advises to evaluate the usage of hedging for each firm individually. The lacking expertise to decide about hedges in SME is also identified by Eckbo, According to his findings, smaller companies often lack the understanding and management capacities needed to use those instruments.5. METHODOLOGY5.1. USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS IN SME RISK MANAGEMENTHow financial analysis can be used in SME risk management?5.1.1 Development of financial risk overview for SMEThe following sections show the development of the financial risk overview. After presenting the framework, the different ratios will be discussed to finally presenta selection of suitable ratios and choose appropriate comparison data.5.1.2. Framework for financial risk overviewThe idea is to use a set of ratios in an overview as the basis for the financial risk management.This provides even more information than the analysis of historical data and allows reacting fast on critical developments and managing the identified risks. However not only the internal data can be used for the risk management. In additionto that also the information available in the papers can be used.Some of them state average values for the defaulted or bankrupt companies one year prior bankruptcy -and few papers also for a longer time horizon. Those values can be used as a comparison value to evaluate the risk situation of the company. For this an appropriate set of ratios has to be chosen.The ratios, which will be included in the overview and analysis sheet, should fulfill two main requirements. First of all they should match the main financial risks of the company in order to deliver significant information and not miss an important risk factor. Secondly the ratios need to be relevant in two different ways. On the one hand they should be applicable independently of other ratios. This means that they also deliver useful information when not used in a regression, as it is applied in many of the papers. On the other hand to be appropriate to use them, the ratios need to show a different development for healthy companies than for those under financial distress. The difference between the values of the two groups should be large enough to see into which the observed company belongs.5.1.3. Evaluation of ratios for financial risk overviewWhen choosing ratios from the different categories, it needs to be evaluated which ones are the most appropriate ones. For this some comparison values are needed in order to see whether the ratios show different values and developments for the two groups of companies. The most convenient source for the comparison values are the research papers as their values are based on large samples of annual reports and by providing average values outweigh outliers in the data. Altman shows a table with the values for 8 different ratios for the five years prior bankruptcy of which he uses 5, while Porporato & Sandin use 13 ratios in their model and Ohlson bases his evaluation on 9 figures and ratios [10]. Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic also show the difference in ratios between the two groups, however only directly before bankruptcy and not as a development over time [9]. Therefore this information is not as valuable as the others ([4][15]).In summary, the main internal financial risks in a SME should be covered by financial structure, liquidity and profitability ratios, which are the main categories ofratios applied in the research papers.Financial structureA ratio used in many of the papers is the total debt to total assets ratio, analyzing the financial structure of the company. Next to the papers of Altman, Ohlson and Porporato & Sandin also Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic show comparison values for this ratio. Those demonstrate a huge difference in size between the bankrupt and non-bankrupt groups.Figure 1: Development of total debt/ total assets ratioData source: Altman (1968), Porporato & Sandin (2007) and Ohlson (1980), author’s illustrationTherefore the information of total debt/total assets is more reliable and should rather be used for the overview. The other ratios analyzing the financial structure are only used in one of the papers and except for one the reference data only covers the last year before bankruptcy. Therefore a time trend cannot be detected and their relevance cannot be approved.Cost of debtThe costs of debt are another aspect of the financing risk. Porporato & Sandin use the variable interest payments/EBIT for measuring the debt costs. The variable shows how much of the income before tax and interest is spend to finance the debt. This variable also shows a clear trend when firms approach bankruptcy.LiquidityThe ratio used in all five papers to measure liquidity is the current ratio, showingthe relation between current liabilities and current assets (with slight differences in the definition). Instead of the current ratio, a liquidity ratio setting the difference between current assets and current liabilities, also defined as working capital, into relation with total assets could be used.Figure 2: Development of working capital / total assets ratioData source: Altman (1968) and Ohlson (1980); author’s illustratioBasically the ratio says whether the firm would be able to pay back all its’ current liabilities by using its’ current assets. In case it is not able to, which is wh en the liabilities exceed the assets, there is an insolvency risk.6. CRITICAL REVIEW AND CONCLUSIONWhen doing business, constantly decisions have to be made, whose outcome is not certain and thus connected with risk. In order to successfully cope with this uncertainty, corporate risk management is necessary in a business environment, which is influenced by market frictions. Different approaches and methods can be found for applying such a risk management. However, those mainly focus on large corporations, though they are the minority of all companies[13].Furthermore the approaches often require the use of statistical software and expert knowledge, which is most often not available in SME. They and their requirements for risk management have mainly been neglected [17][13].This also includes the internal financial risk management, which was in the focus of this paper. Due to the existing risks in SME and their differences to larger corporations as well as the lack of suitable risk management suggestions in theory, there is a need for a suggestion for a financial risk management in SME. Theaim was to find a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen. Based on an examination and analysis of different papers, despite of their different models, many similarities in the applied ratios could be identified. In general the papers focus on three categories of risk, namely liquidity, profitability and solvency, which are in accordance to the main internal financial risks of SME. From the ratios the most appropriate ones with regard to their effectiveness in identifying risks.译文中小企业的财务风险管理奥米德沙利菲1、摘要中小型企业(SME)和大型企业一样，也面临着业务风险，在最糟糕的情况下，可能会导致金融危机，甚至破产。

财务风险管理外文文献翻译

《公司财务风险管理问题研究国内外文献综述3000字》

公司财务风险管理问题研究国内外文献综述1 国外文献综述西方国家对财务风险的分析与防范研究的比较早，其中“风险管理”一词就是被美国学者莫布雷在20世纪五十年代首次提出的。

Sohnke M. Bartram, Gregory W. Brown, and Murat Atamer发表了《How Important is Financial Risk》的文章，他采用对比分析法与文献资料法等方法，提出了要加强对财务风险分析的观点。

他认为：企业可以通过控制管理财务风险，从而让股东承担较低的经济风险。

对企业来讲财务风险非常重要，只是选择高负债承担水平或管理风险能力缺乏的不同罢了。

相比之下，典型的非金融类公司选择不采取这些风险。

财务总风险可能是重要的，但公司可以管理它。

与此相反，更加难以预防的是基本的经济和商业风险，因为他们可以代表机制，使企业赢得经济效益。

目前，英国、德国和法国等国对财务风险分析与防范的研究也非常重视。

在财务风险控制方面，James（2017年）认为企业财务风险管理的效果受到许多不同因素的影响，包括企业经营市场的外部环境、企业的负债能力和风险管理能力；Rileye（2016年）认为企业对财务风险进行管理时需要建立以行业环境为中心的新模型，拓展原有风险评估模型，从多个层次对企业资产的状况进行剖析，进一步完善现有的财务风险管理系统；YoshikawaH（2014年）认为财务风险的控制是以财务风险的量化作为基础，企业在经营活动中面临的各种各样财务风险可以通过科学的方法进行量化，并将评估的结果应用于企业的决策，这对于转移财务风险，降低决策失误可能性具有重要的意义；William （2015年）认为企业只有建立严密的内部控制制度并且优化资本结构才能够对企业可能面临的各种财务风险进行有效的管理；Sibt-ul-Hasnin Kazmi（2016年）提出财务风险是随同业务活动发展产生的，错误的业务解决策略会导致财务风险,利用套期保值工具可以有效降低金融相关的财务风险；Indranil（2016年）认为企业的财务风险管理与审计人员的判断力和企业构建行之有效的内部控制和风险防范框架存在着密切的联系；Andreea（2017年）认为企业对资产的管理存在不足是导致财务风险管理出现问题的重要原因，因此企业想要制定合理的风险评估体系，就需要结合生产经营活动的实际情况，并对财务风险进行科学评估，这样才能有效化解可能面临的各种风险。

中小企业的财务风险管理外文文献翻译2014年译文3000字

中小企业的财务风险管理外文文献翻译2014年译文3000字Financial Risk Management for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs)Financial risk management is an essential aspect of business management。

particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)。

SMEs face numerous financial risks。

including credit risk。

market risk。

liquidity risk。

and nal risk。

which can significantly impact their financial stability and growth prospects。

Therefore。

the effective management of financial risks is crucialfor SMEs to survive and thrive in today's competitive business environment.One of the primary challenges for SMEs in managing financial risks is their limited resources and expertise。

Unlike large ns。

SMEs often lack the financial resources and specialized staff to develop and implement comprehensive risk management strategies。

As a result。

公司财务风险中英文对照外文翻译文献

中英文资料外文翻译外文资料Financial ﬁrm bankruptcy and systemic riskIn Fall 2008 when the Federal Reserve and the Treasury injected $85 billion into the insurance behemoth American International Group (AIG), themoney lent to AIGwent straight to counterparties, and very few funds remained with the insurer. Among the largest recipients was Goldman Sachs, to whomabout $12 billionwas paid to undoAIG’s credit default swaps (CDSs). The bailout plan focused on repaying the debt by slowly selling off AIG’s assets, w ith no intention of maintaining jobs or allowing the CDSmarket to continue to function as before. Thus, the government’s effort to avoid systemic risk with AIG was mainly about ensuring that ﬁrms with which AIG had done business did not fail as a result. T he concerns are obviously greatest vis-a-vis CDSs, ofwhich AIG had over $400 billion contracts outstanding in June 2008.In contrast, the government was much less enthusiastic about aiding General Motors, presumably because they believed its failure would not cause major macroeconomic repercussions by imposing losses on related ﬁrms. This decision is consistent with the view in macroeconomicresearch that financialﬁrmbankruptcies pose a greater amount of systemic risk than nonfinancial firmbankruptcies. For example, Bordo and Haubrich (2009) conclude that “...more severe ﬁnancial events are associated withmore severe recessions...” Likewise, Bernanke (1983) argues the Great Depressionwas so severe because ofweakness in the banking systemthat affected the amount of credit available for investment. Bernanke et al. (1999) hypothesize a financial accelerator mechanism, whereby distress in one sector of the economy leads to more precarious balance sheets and tighter credit conditions. This in turn leads to a drop in investment, which is followed by less lending and a widespread downturn. Were shocks to the economy always to come in the form of distress at nonﬁnancial ﬁrms, these authors argue that the business downturns would not be so severe.We argue instead that the contagious impact of a nonfinancial firm’s bankruptcy is expected to be far larger than that of a financial ﬁrm like AIG, although neither would be catastrophic to the U.S. economy through counterparty risk channels. This is not to say that an episode ofwidespread financial distress among our largest banks would not be followed by an especially severe recession, only that such failures would not cause a recession or affect the depth of a recession. Rather such bankruptcies are symptomatic of common factors in portfolios that lead to wealth losses regardless of whether any firm ﬁles for bankruptcy.Pervasive ﬁnancial fragility may occur because the failure of one ﬁrm leads to the failure of other ﬁrms which cascades through the system (e.g., Davis and Lo, 1999; Jarrow and Yu, 2001). Or systemic risk may wreak havoc when a number of ﬁnancial ﬁrms fail simultaneously, as in the Great Depression when more than 9000 banks failed (Benston, 1986). In the former case, the failure of one ﬁrm, such as AIG, Lehman Brothers or Bear Stearns, could lead to widespread failure through ﬁnancial contracts such as CDSs. In the latter case, the fact that so many ﬁnancial institutions have failed means that both the money supply and the amount of credit in the economy could fall so far as to cause a large drop in economic activity (Friedman and Schwartz, 1971).While a weak ﬁnancial systemcould cause a recession, the recession would not arise because one ﬁrm was allowed to ﬁle bankruptcy. Further, should one or the other ﬁrmgo bankrupt, the nonﬁnancial ﬁrmwould have the greater impact on the economy.Such extreme real effects that appear to be the result of ﬁnancial ﬁrm fragility have led to a large emphasis on the prevention of systemic risk problems by regulators. Foremost amo ng these policies is “too big to fail” (TBTF), the logic of which is that the failure of a large ﬁnancial institution will have ramifications for other ﬁnancial institutions and therefore the risk to the economywould be enormous. TBTF was behind the Fed’s decisions to orchestrate the merger of Bear Stearns and J.P.Morgan Chase in 2008, its leadership in the restructuring of bank loans owed by Long Term Capital Management (LTCM), and its decision to prop up AIG. TBTF may be justiﬁed if the outcome is preven tion of a major downswing in the economy. However, if the systemic risks in these episodes have been exaggerated or the salutary effects of these actions overestimated, then the cost to the efﬁciency of the capital allocation system may far outweigh any po tential beneﬁts from attempting to avoid another Great Depression.No doubt, no regulator wants to take the chance of standing down while watching over another systemic risk crisis, sowe do not have the ability to examine empiricallywhat happens to the economy when regulators back off. There are very fewinstances in themodern history of the U.S.where regulators allowed the bankruptcy of amajor ﬁnancial ﬁrm.Most recently,we can point to the bankruptcy of Lehman,which the Fed pointedly allowed to fail.However,with only one obvious casewhere TBTFwas abandoned, we have only an inkling of how TBTF policy affects systemic risk. Moreover, at the same time that Lehman failed, the Fed was intervening in the commercial paper market and aiding money marketmutual fundswhile AIGwas downgraded and subsequently bailed out. In addition, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury were scaremongering about the prospects of a second Great Depression to make the passage of TARPmore likely. Thuswewill never knowifthemarket downturn th at followed the Lehman bankruptcy reﬂected fear of contagion from Lehman to the real economy or fear of the depths of existing problems in the real economy that were highlighted so dramatically by regulators.In this paper we analyze the mechanisms by which such risk could cause an economy-wide col-lapse.We focus on two types of contagion that might lead to systemic risk problems: (1) information contagion,where the information that one ﬁnancial ﬁrmis troubled is associatedwith negative shocksat other ﬁnanc ial institutions largely because the ﬁrms share common risk factors; or (2) counterparty contagion,where one important ﬁnancial institution’s collapse leads directly to troubles at other cred-itor ﬁrms whose troubles snowball and drive other ﬁrms into distress. The efﬁcacy of TBTF policies depends crucially on which of these two types of systemic riskmechanisms dominates.Counterparty contagion may warrant intervention in individual bank failureswhile information contagion does not.If regulators do not ste p in to bail out an individual ﬁrm, the alternative is to let it fail. In the case of a bank, the process involves the FDIC as receiver and the insured liabilities of the ﬁrmare very quickly repaid. In contrast, the failure of an investment bank or hedge fund does not involve the FDIC andmay closely resemble a Chapter 11 or Chapter 7 ﬁling of a nonﬁnancial ﬁrm. However, if the nonbank ﬁnancial ﬁrm inquestion has liabilities that are covered by the Securities Industry Protection Corporation (SIPC), the ﬁrmi s required by lawunder the Securities Industry Protection Act (SIPA) to liquidate under Chapter 7 (Don and Wang, 1990). This explains in large partwhy only the holding company of Lehman ﬁled for bankruptcy in 2008 and its broker–dealer subsidiaries were n ot part of the Chapter 11 ﬁling.A major fear of a ﬁnancial ﬁrm liquidation, whether done through the FDIC or as required by SIPA, is that ﬁre sales will depress recoveries for the creditors of the failed ﬁnancial ﬁrm and that these ﬁre saleswill have ramiﬁcations for other ﬁrms in related businesses, even if these businesses do not have direct ties to the failed ﬁrm (Shleifer and Vishny, 1992). This fear was behind the Fed’s decision to extend liquidity to primary dealers inMarch 2008 – Fed Chairman Bernanke explained in a speech on ﬁnancial system stability that“the risk developed that liquidity pressuresmight force dealers to sell assets into already illiquid markets. Thismight have resulted in...[a] ﬁre sale scenario..., inwhich a cascade of failures andliquidations sharply depresses asset prices, with adverse ﬁnancial and economic implications.”(May 13, 2008 speech at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta conference at Sea Island, Georgia) The fear of potential ﬁre sales is expressed in further detail in t he same speech as a reason for the merger of Bear Stearns and JP Morgan:“Bear...would be forced to ﬁle for bankruptcy...[which] wouldhave forced Bear’s secured creditors and counterparties to liquidate the underlying collateral and, given the illiquidity of markets, those creditors and counter parties might well have sustained losses. If they responded to losses or the unexpected illiquidity of their holdings by pulling back from providing secured ﬁnancing to other ﬁrms, a much broader liquidity crisis wou ld have ensued.”The idea that creditors of a failed ﬁrm are forced to liquidate assets, and to do so with haste, is counter to the basic tenets of U.S. bankruptcy laws, which are set up to allow creditors the ability to maximize the value of the assets now under their control. If that value is greatest when continuing to operate, the laws allow such a reorganization of the ﬁrm. If the value in liquidation is higher, the laws are in no way prejudiced against selling assets in an orderly procedure. Bankruptcy actually reduces the likelihood of ﬁre sales because assets are not sold quickly once a bankruptcy ﬁling occurs. Cash does not leave the bankrupt firm without the approval of a judge.Without pressure to pay debts, the ﬁrm can remain in bankruptcy for months as it tries to decide on the best course of action. Indeed, a major complaint about the U.S. code is that debtors can easily delay reorganizing and slow down the process.If, however, creditors and management believe that speedy assets sales are in their best interest, then they can press the bankruptcy judge to approve quick action. This occurred in the case of Lehman’s asset sale to Barclays,which involved hiring workers whomight have split up were their divisions not sold quickly.金融公司破产及系统性的风险2008年秋，当美联邦储备委员会和财政部拒绝85亿美金巨资保险投入到美国国际集团时，这边借给美国国际集团的货款就直接落到了竞争对手手里，而投保人只得到极少的一部分资金。

财务风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献

中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce riskwithin the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio towhich it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might bepossible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in otherfinancial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。

民营企业财务风险文献综述及外文文献资料

本份文档包含：关于该选题的外文文献、文献综述一、外文文献Evaluating Enterprise Risk Management (ERM); Bahrain Financial Sectors as a CaseStudyAbstractEnterprise Risk Management (ERM) is a process used by firms to manage risks and seize opportunities related to the achievement of their objectives. ERM provides a proactive framework for risk management, which typically involves identifying particular events relevant to the organization's objectives, assessing them and magnitude of impact, determining a response strategy, and monitoring progress. This research measures the awareness of Bahrain financial sector of ERM and if companies maintain an effective ERM framework. The results show success since all companies are aware of ERM and have an effective ERM framework in place.Keywords: Enterprise Risk Management, Financial sectors, ERM framework1. Introduction1.1 OverviewThe pace of change and characteristics of the new economy are exposing organizations to take risks more than ever before. Therefore mastering these risks can be a real source of opportunity and challenge and a powerful way of sustaining a competitive edge. Especially for companies to sustain and survive in the long run where companies need an effective &continuous risk management. Risk influences every aspect of business as they say "Risk is a risk is a risk". Understanding the risks Bahraini Companies face and managing them appropriately will enhance their ability to make better decisions, deliver company's objectives and hence subsequently improve performance. It is also important to note that risk is categorized into: financial, operational, strategic, and reputation risk. Enterprise Risk Management is any significant event or circumstance, which could impact the achievement of business objectives, including strategic, operational, financial, and compliance risks. ERM helps create a comprehensive approach to anticipating, identifying, prioritizing,and managing material risks of the Company.1.2 Research ObjectiveThe objective of this research is to take a more strategic and consistent approach to managing risk across, Bahrain's financial sector through the introduction of an Enterprise Risk Management ("ERM") framework and associated activities assisting the protection and the creation of value. When looking back at the corporate scandals i.e. Enron &world com, financial crisis of 1997, 2009 misled the investors and resulted in investors loosing confident &dissatisfaction. The result of that crisis was not limited to the country of origin. However it spread globally due to globalization.Global marketplace = Increased risksThis means that global risks combined with rapidly evolving business conditions are prompting financial sector to turn to ERM. It is very important for Bahrain Financial sector to have ERM. Bahrain does international business with other, therefore it is effected by downturns and since no company can prevent an economic downturn, those who map out the steps they would take to respond to a downturn won't find themselves taking quick decisions which will ultimately affect the firm negatively.1.3 Research MethodologyA questionnaire will be constructing and publish on Google document targeting only Bahraini financial sector. SPSS application will be utilized to analyze results. In addition, the questionnaire will measure how important of ERM factors to establish a good ERM practice.1.4 Research ChallengesThe goal of any firm is to achieve its objectives and create value; therefore each company has value chain which is divided into key and support activities. The company must be successful in each and every process in order to deliver a good result and achieve competitive advantage. Each of the processes in the value chain might result in more than five risks. If firms were not able to identify and put appropriate controls then all firms will end up bankrupt, in crisis, investor's dissatisfaction, etc. This research focuses on the importance of addressing key riskswhich helps and organization understand accountability-who owns the risks and whether the risks are being properly monitored. Often, because companies are organized by function or geography and not by risk, the highest risks might not have designated risk owners or risk monitors. Risk Management is the responsibility of each and every staff. This research will allocate one full section which will be called "Challenges" where it will mention what kind of risk will the bank face of proper ERM framework was not in place.2. Literature ReviewWhen EJ Smith (1912) was asked if he has encountered any risks during his 40 years experience he said "cannot remember any serious risks. I have only once seen a ship in distress." However immediately after that SS Titanic sank. The accident demanded 1500 lives including that of Captain EJ Smith. This article highlights the importance of our subject which is Enterprise risk Management if (EJ Smith, 1912) though of some risks that could occur, then Titanic wouldn't have sunk. This article is too general and it has nothing to do with our ERM on financial sector in Bahrain, however it could help us understand that there are risks in each and every business, process, task, etc we do in our life and ERM should be considered whether it is a financial or non financial sector, however for the purpose of specificity, the research will focus only on the financial sector in Bahrain. This quote also shows that risks always exist and it has nothing to do with the current environment or crisis. In another article Ed O'Donnell, (2005) talked about the framework for ERM and he stated "The guidelines establish objectives for event identification and suggest general procedures for identifying events that represent business risks." Internal Audit is concerned about identifying the root cause of the risk however here in ERM it is about identifying the root cause of the root cause. The Author is right as he mentioned that ERM task is to identify the risks which can stop us from achieving our objectives. The author wants companies to be proactive in identifying risks.The project will also highlight the factors according to COSO framework and it will also highlight what type of risks the company is going to face if it didn't have ERM framework implemented. In Nocco, Brian W &Stulz, René M article publishedon (2006) He state That " ERM adds value by ensuring that all material risks are owned and risk - return tradeoffs carefully evaluated, by operating managers and employees throughout the firm. ".It is strongly believed that implementing ERM adds value to the firm if it was effective and the action points were implemented correctly. Also supports what (Ed O'Donnell, 2005) said in his article that ERM improves the performance of the firms which will ultimately add value to the firm "there is growing support for the general argument that organizations will improve their performance by employing the ERM concept". Rao, Ananth (2009) has conducted a case on private sector organization which uses ERM within strategic control process. (Rao, Ananth 2009) uses risk identification, risk assessment, value at risk as the quantitative risk assessment techniques. Rao recommends the implementation of COSO (2004) which focuses on the Internal controls, (Rao, Ananth 2009) research stated "This case study demonstrates the prudence and practicality of the recommendations of COSO (2004) framework and Turnbull report for integrating the management of risk and organizational performance in general as part of a coherent approach to corporate governance." .However Our case study will differ than the above research as we are going to focus on COSO frame work in financial institutions .this research will focus on all supply chain areas not only strategic.(Please refer to Challenges section in this research for more details). Arena, and Giovanni, (2010) stated that "ERM is the main form taken by firms' increasing efforts to organize uncertainty, which 'exploded' in the 1990s." This project supports Arena and Giovanni article's that ERM &Risk Management are important and that is because uncertainty always exist, we agree with this article somehow because all our plans are for the future and as we know the only thing we are sure about the future is that many things might change in future so we are not certain .It is impossible to have no risk however by preparing ourselves and implementing ERM we can minimize it.In the article above the researcher used longitudinal multiple case study however we are going to build a questionnaire to test if companies are aware with the concept of ERM and they are implementing effective ERM framework. We agree with the researcher as there is a strong link between risk management &business strategytherefore financial institutions should maintain Disaster recovery plan and business continuity plan when doing their business strategy which ensures backup of all information and which reduces the safety hazards such us fire (Umbrella insurance). He also used the longitudinal multiple case study to make readers understand more about ERM process. Mark S. Beasley, Richard Clune, and Dana R. Hermanson,(2005) stated that "there is little research on factors associated with the implementation of ERM. Research is needed to provide insights as to why some organizations are responding to changing risk profiles by embracing ERM and others are not."(Mark S. Beasley, Richard Clune, and Dana R. Hermanson 2005) and it focuses on US, however as a result of our research and discussions with our managers we were informed that Bahraini corporations and specifically financial sector are aware of the ERM concept. It came to our attention that Central Bank of Bahrain force institutions to have independent auditors, however ERM is still grey area to many banks. We also noticed that now ERM factors are clearly defined, and frameworks have been established.The following article supports the idea that if a company has established good risk management process then this will help it reduce the risk and therefore the cost of having consultants to check compliance against the Central Bank. We are going to test if banks in Bahrain maintain a compliance checklist against CBB rulebook and if there is adequate monitoring and follow up with this checklist .This will be tested as part of our questionnaire. Standard &Poor's Ratings Services( 2005 )"The HP Compliance Suite for Financial Institutions is a collection of HP products, market offerings, and services that help financial services firms reduce the cost of achieving regulatory compliance, improve risk management capabilities, and also reduce the cost of sustaining compliance. This paper explains how with the Enterprise Risk Management component of its compliance suite, HP can help organizations". Craig Faris (2010) states "Climbing out of a recession can be heavy going. At the same time, it can be a stimulating wake-up call." We agree that the recession was like a wakeup call for many financial institutions which didn't give risk management attention; in our introduction we mentioned briefly that because of the financial crisis and scandals(i.e. Enron &Worldcom) Bahrain's financial sector need to establish and implement ERM framework. In another article for Walker, Paul L and Shenkir, William G. (2008) his article highlights Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) practices that improve a company's ability to manage risks effectively. "The authors argue that ERM allows companies to proactively manage risk, clarify the organization's risk philosophy, and develop a risk strategy." Further, the article discusses how the ERM process forces companies to consider those events that might stand in the way of achieving corporate goals. Then companies can assess these risks and develop strategic plans. Discussion of contingency plans, measuring effectiveness, and communications strategies is also presented. Referring to Paul, shenkir &William (2008) article we mentioned that Bahrain financial sector need to establish &implement ERM framework, this article highlights one way to start implementing ERM which is establishing good internal controls which we will also consider it one of the ERM factors in later stages of this project.This article explains how we can implement ERM. We strongly agree with Walker as ERM is trying to imagine what could happen to the company in the worst scenario therefore the company should establish Internal controls for each and every department and those controls should be communicated to all employees &implemented. As we said we agree with the author when he said that "ERM allows companies to proactively manage risk"Cokins, Gary (2010) stated that "It notes that the four types of alternative risk categorization are market and price risk, credit risk and operational risk". This article talks about risk categorization .We disagree somehow with the researcher when he categorized risks into Market, Price, credit &Operational. As we would classify them to: Strategic, financial, Operational &Reputation. He could have done better job by listing price and credit under financial. In another article for Richard S.Warr &Donald P.Pagach, (2010) said in his article "We study the effect of adoption of enterprise risk management (ERM) principles on firms' long-term performance by examining how financial, asset and market characteristics change around the time of ERM adoption. Overall, our results fail to find support for the proposition that ERM is value creating, although further study is called for."( Richard S.Warr &Donald P. Pagach, 2010) failto support that ERM is value creating, we mentioned earlier that implementing ERM does not only mitigate the risks, however it also adds value .During our detailed testing in Bahrain financial sector we are either going to agree with this article or disagree. McAliney, Peter J (2009) said "providing readers the operational considerations to implement this program within their organization to enhance performance improvement. At the individual initiative level, readers will recognize elements used in developing retrospective return on investments (ROIs) for learning programs. " We agree with (McAliney, Peter J, 2009) in teaching and communicating ERM concept with the line executive as all employees in the company must be aware of what possible risk might take place to better appreciate the internal controls which will be established by the Management in later stages. We are going to test how whether financial sector in Bahrain have well established internal controls while doing their business. If Management doesn't communicate such issues with employees then they won't understand the reason for policies &procedure changes, etc. We also agree that by performing good and effective ERM the ROI's will improve as we believe that ERM adds value to all business processes. In another SHABUDIN, Ebrahim, DREW, John O. &PEROTTI, William L. (2007), said that" noted that risk management is not just about mitigation but also about optimization. "We think that this article will help us in writing the project as they segregated risk into other classification which is quantitative &qualitative risk. We might need to through light on the difference between quantitative &qualitative as part of the introduction. We also agree with the researcher when he mentioned that it is not about mitigation but optimization however we would also like to add that ERM is also about "value adding" to the corporations.While Ohio State University, (2006) stated that "we explain how enterprise risk management creates value for shareholders", this article highlights the role of ERM in creating value, and as we learnt in our finance courses that the goal of any firm is to increase the value of stockholders. This article also draws attention on the risk appetite which we will explain later as one of the ERM factors. David L. Olson, (2010), stated that "This paper demonstrates support to risk management through validation of predictive scorecards for a large bank. The bank developed a model toassess account creditworthiness". This article supports our project. It writes about financial sector (Bank), it talks about scorecards which we are going to consider it as one of the ERM factors which falls under Internal Controls. This article also supports benchmarking and evaluating actual performance against competitors which will also be tested in our questionnaire.3. Research MethodologyThis project was conducted by analyzing results of distributed questionnaires about Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) in Bahrain Financial Sector. A questionnaire was published on the web and sent to banks in Bahrain and specifically to risk management and internal audit department. The questionnaire will cover the following areas being: (1) general questions, (2) questions relating to risk awareness and (3) questions relating to ERM factors. This research is trying to identify the extent to which good enterprise risk management (ERM) practices are being implemented and communicated throughout the banks. In addition, we are going to test how important the ERM factors established against a good ERM practice.HypothesisIn order to state the hypothesis we need to identify successful factors defining ERM.As defined by KPMG (one of the big four Auditing firms) the following are the factors of successful ERM:Referring to the above table we can identify the following independent factors which must be in place for an effective and successful ERM:According to the above factors we are going to design a questionnaire tailored for Bahrain corporations (financial sector), published on Google. Results will be analyzed and hence conclude findings.4. ChallengesIf firms don't implement ERM all value chain activities will be subject to risk. As previously mentioned; risk can be divided into strategic/financial/operational. Each of the activities whether its support or primary it is subject to risks. If we ignore deploying clear ERM framework we might end up with financial losses (likebankruptcy/operational risk reputation.5. Result analysisWe have identified 8 factors however due to time constraints we will only choose the 4 most important factors according to KPMG one of the big 4 auditing firms and specialized in ERM.A questionnaire was tailored based on the above mentioned 8 factors and this questionnaire was conducted in 2010 &it was distributed to financial sector in Bahrain; only 33 questionnaires .The results were organized in tables and graphs which facilitate our analysis and help the reader better understand.SPSS was used for the purpose of analyzing the results. SPSS test results were conducted on 4 independent factors &the dependent factor (ERM) using 2 questions for each factor.6. DiscussionsAfter analyzing the results we conclude that F test results show that there is no relationship between risk assessment &ERM, communication &ERM, monitoring &ERM, but there is a relationship between control &ERM.In addition, almost all the respondents answer the questions positively either strongly agree or somewhat agree, and these factors that we used for the analysis were essential factors in COSO framework, so we used T test analysis to examine the three factors separately, and the results for each factor conclude a positive results which mean that all Bahrain financial firms consider risk assessment, control, monitoring and communication while implementing ERM.After reviewing all the published literature reviews written about Enterprise Risk Management .We think that this subject was not fully consumed by researchers, as researchers didn't touch all the areas or in some cases they did but very briefly.This research is more comprehensive as it includes ERM from the very first point, then it will walk easier through the different factors in COSO framework.As we mentioned in the result analysis that financial sector in Bahrain are aware of the importance of ERM however companies can't perform it by themselves and use other professional firms to have effective ERM in place and we can say the reason forthat is due to unavailability of enough sources and explanation of ERM framework.This project agrees with Walker, Paul L and .Shenkir, William G. Research published on (Mar2008) as ERM is trying to imagine what could happen to the company in the worst scenario therefore the company should establish Internal controls for each and every department and those controls should be communicated to all employees &implemented. However our project results disagree somehow with the researcher when he categorized risks into Market, Price, credit &Operational. As we would classify them to: Strategic, financial, Operational &Reputation. He could have done better job by listing price and credit under financial.7. ConclusionThe result of the project concludes that Bahrain financial Corporations are aware of the Concept of ERM and its factors and that awareness can be traced to the fact that companies appreciate that risks are things that might face us in our day to day activities and all companies regardless of its capital and how experienced is their employees are subject to different types of risks. The project conclude that companies are aware of the different classifications of risks and that there is no one standard classification of risk as mentioned in the literature review section Article number 11 where better classification of risk could be put in place.Bahraini Financial Institutions are lead by the Central Bank of Bahrain rules and since having Effective ERM framework is not insisted in the rulebook as the need for independent internal auditors, the corporations will not consider it as priority .As we understand that companies are more concerned with compliance with the CBB rule book .As explained earlier although companies are not required to have ERM process by the Central Bank of Bahrain, it seems that many companies are looking forward to have contracts signed with Professional firms to conduct ERM studies.Keeping in mind that professional firms charge quite a high fee for conducting ERM studies, however as a result of the questionnaire we can say that companies would not matter to pay any amount as long as they can ensure that they are on the safe side by having ERM.文献出处：Jalal, A., AlBayati, F. S., & AlBuainain, N. R. Evaluating Enterprise Risk Management (ERM); Bahrain Financial Sectors as a Case Study [J] International Business Research, 2015, 4(3), 83-92.二、文献综述民营企业财务风险文献综述摘要民营企业在我国的发展进程中具有十分主要的地位，民营企业为我国的经济创造了巨大的价值，对我国的发展产生了很大的推动作用。

财务风险管理外文文献翻译译文

Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk,understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent withinternal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and theinteractions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio to which it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks.Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existingexposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater theuncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economyvulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。

财务风险外文原文

Political and Financial Risks and Their Mitigation Measures in Public Private Partnershipsby LIAO BOJING CHAPTER 4FINANCIAL RISKS AND THEIR MITIGATION MEASURES4.1 Interest Rate RiskIn construction project finance ventures, there is always the risk of fluctuations in interest rates. Credit is always granted with a variable rate, due to the long life of such PPP projects. In addition, unlike exchange rate risk, interest rate risk indiscriminately strikes both domestic and international projects as well as ventures with multi-currency cash flows. Sponsors and their advisors have to decide whether or not to cover against this risk, a decision that is not exactly identical throughout the life of the project (Gatti, 2008). The mitigation measures for interest rate risk mainly include:(1)Adopting an appropriate multicurrency portfolio, e.g., a dual-currency contract, which uses a foreign currency of lower rate interest, and a local currency for repayment of the principal. Various currencies have different interest rates. The private sector and its advisers must make the effects on making an ideal combination of a variety of foreign currency and cooperating with the banks so as to reduce interest rate risk. Dual-currency is to use a lower rate currency for interest accrual, and choose the local currency for repayment of the principal.(2)Balancing the floating rate and fixed-rate debt in the financing structure. When there is a lack of capital supplies in the international finance market, the interest rate will rise. Under this situation, the private sector should choose a fixed rate. When there is a surplus of capital supplies in the international finance market, the interest rate tends to go down. Therefore, a floating rate should be selected. The balanced proportion on the fixed rate and floating rate will reduce the risk and profit lost.(3)Seeking a reasonable interest rate that is guaranteed by the host government. The host government will provide a guaranteed interest rate to the private sector. During the project period,if the interest rate exceeds the required percentage, the private sector will be compensated. For example, for the north-to-south highway project in Malaysia, the project company, PLUS, received a guaranteed interest rate from the Malaysian government: if the growth of the interest rate exceeds 20%, the project company will obtain redressment of the margins from the compensation package.(4)Using interest rate derivatives(e.g., forward rate agreements, interest rate futures, swaps, options ) to insure against future interest rate fluctuations so as to reduce the interest rate risk.Forward Rate Agreements (FRA)With an FRA, the buyer pledges to pay the seller interest accrued on the principal at a pre-agreed rate, starting at a future date, and for certain period of time. The FRA buyer sets the future rate and is covered from interest rate risk. If in fact the future rate is higher than what was agreed on in thecontract, the seller of the forward rate agreement pays the difference between the two rates to the buyer. Conversely, it will be paid by the buyer if the future rate proves to be lower than the pre-set rate.Interest Rate FuturesA future is a forward agreement in which all contractual provisions are standardized. Due to this fact, futures differ from forward contracts in light of their lower risk for counterparties and greater market liquidity. In project finance ventures, interest rate futures can be used to curb the negative effect ofa rise in interest rates on a loan raised by the private sector.Interest Rate SwapIn their simplest form, interest rate swaps are a periodic exchange of fixed rate streams against floating rate streams (usually indexed to LIBOR) for a given time horizon. In an interest rate swap, one of the counterparty agrees to pay either a fixed or floating rate denominated in a particular currency to the other counterparty. In such a way, the financial cost can be well locked.Interest Rate Option (caps/floors/collars)Options are contracts that allow (but do not oblige) the buyer to purchase(call option) or sell (put option) a commodity or a financial asset at a fixed price (strike price) at a future date in exchange for payment of a premium. In project finance deals, interest rate options are used for protecting the private sector’s cash flows from interest rate risk.(5)Using bond financing in which the interest rates fixed to reduce the risk of future interest rate increase. Bonds can have fixed and floating rates of interest. In this regard, bond financing is often used in reducing interest cost and in mitigating the interest rate fluctuation risk. However, bond issuance is a long and expensive process compared to acquiring bank loans.(6)Using the supplier's credit to reduce the amount of debt and get the debt at a lower interest rate Interest rates of supplier's credit is generally lower than that in capital lending market under the same conditions, and interest rate differentials can be gained from the exporting country government subsidy.(7)Acquisition of loans and assistance from international financial institutions (e.g., Asian Development Bank and World Bank) to make the projects secure and less risky. These kinds of banks are multilateral development financial institutions. Their mission is to help developing member countries to reduce poverty and improve the quality of life of their citizens. Take Asia Development Bank (ADB) as an example. It aims to promote economic and social development in Asian and Pacific countries through loans and technical assistance. From this perspective, finance projects from these institutions can be secured and are less risky.(8)Predicting the changing trend of future interest rate and making the corresponding financing preparation. Predict the trend of the future interest rate through collecting multi information. For example, ininternational financial markets with a lackof capital supply, the interest rate will gradually increase so that fixing the interest rate is appropriate; whereas whenthere is an excess supply of capital in the markets, the interest rates tend to decline so the floating rates is better.4.2 Inflation RiskIn practice, the biggest problem arising from economic mismanagement is inflation, especially for a foreign firm with assets in a country. With high inflation, the value of the cash flows received from assets will fall as the country’s currency depreciates on the foreign exchange market. The likelihood of this occurring decreases the attractiveness of foreign investment in the country (Kapila1 and Hendrickson 2001). Inflation risk derives from the fact that most contracts between SPVs and their commercial counterparties are based on revision mechanisms for rates or installments based on the behavior ofa given price index. Both industrial and financial costs and revenues are impacted by inflation risk.The mitigation measures for inflation risk mainly include:(1)Increasing the proportion of hardcurrencies in the cash flow. In general, the best way for the private sector to mitigate inflation risk is by maximizing the proportion of cash flows in hard currencies to be channeled through off-shore mechanisms.(2)Indexing the price of the service or productfrom the project to the inflation rate. Prescribe the relevant items in concession agreements and combine the price of the product and service with the price index or inflation rate of the host country. Using the pricing adjustment formula, which consists ofinflation rate factors, as the method for checking the pricing in the future terms, will allow one to adjust pricing when the inflation rate’s movement exceeds a certain range, or accordingly raise the fees, or extend the permitted period in order to guarantee sufficient cash flow to pay off debts and to assure the investment profit.(3)Including a price adjustment clause inthe long term purchase contract. If the Inflation Index adjust the price of products, the Project Company could increase charging standards on their own based on CPI. However,the foundation of the adjustment must be established by strict accounting and be effective after the government’s approval.(4)Drawing up an inflation swap to transfer inflation risk through an exchange of cash flows. To cover against inflation risk, a swap contract is signed between two parties. In an inflation swap, the private sector pays a fixed rate on a notional principal amount, while the other party pays a floating rate linked to an inflation index, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The party paying the floating rate pays the inflation adjusted rate multiplied by the notional principal amount. For example, one party may pay a fixed rate of 3% on a two year inflation swap, and in return receives the actual inflation.(5)Investing in Treasury Inflation Protected Securities to insure the purchasing power of the project company in the future and reduce the inflation influence.A treasury security is indexed to inflation in order to protect the private sectors from the negative effects of inflation. TIPS are considered an extremely low-risk investment since they are backed by the U.S. government andsince their par value rises with inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, while their interest rate remains fixed. Interest on TIPS is paid semi-annually.(6)Choosing the favorable form of construction contract (e.g., Fixed-price Contract and Turn-key Contract) to transfer the increased cost due to inflation to contractors.Making a fixed price contract, turn-in-key contract and cost-plus contract with contractors, the risk of costoverruns caused by the increasing price of cement, steel and the labor can be transferred to the contractors.(7) Predicting the changing trend of future inflation and adjusting the price of product or service accordingly. The project company makes an inflation expectation during the period and confirms the price of the productsfor each annual operation, thus the risk can be avoided.(8) Enhancing the management of the receivable accounts to accelerate the recovery of the project funds. The receivable accounts are managed as the important aspect of financial administration, which influences the managementstate of the project company. Effective receivable accounts management brings favorable cash flow which determines the development or decline of the project.(9) Reducing the operating costs of the projectby strengthening the cost management. Cost management is also a significant part of financial management which can maintain and improve healthy financial statement of the project company.4.3 Currency Exchange RiskForeign exchange risk results from the mismatch between the revenue of the currency and payment obligations for taxes, operating expenses, debt service payments and dividend payments and profit repatriation (Wang et al.,2000). This often occurs in international projects where costs and revenues are computed in different currencies. However, a similar situation may arise in domesticprojects when the counterparty wants to bill the SPV in foreign currency (Gatti, 2008). Here is such an example in China. For investment in China's PPP projects, the foreign companies will invariably receive nearly all of their revenues in RMB. A significant portion of this revenue will need to be converted to other currencies, primarily US dollars, and remitted outside of China. The remittances are used to meet foreign currency obligations to equipment suppliers, to repay borrowings from foreign lenders and to make payments to the companies in respect of equity distributions and shareholder loans. The RMB is not freely convertible into USdollars; even if it is convertible，the exchange rate fluctuates all the time in the market or is subject to the approval of the State Administration for Exchange Control (SAEC). Also, there can be no assurance that the Chinese Government will continue to provide approvals.The mitigation measures for currency exchange risk mainly include:(1) Obtaining currency exchange risk sharing clause from host government. In the PPP agreement there usually exists a foreign exchange risk sharing clause, which means that if theexchange rate fluctuates within a range, the loss is borne by the private sector, but once the changes are beyond a certain value,the loss caused by the exchange rate fluctuations are borne by the host governmentor shared in proportion by both sides. Foreign exchange guarantee in PPP is not an international practice. Whether local government makes a guarantee highly depends on the degree of financial liberalization and complete.(2) Selecting appropriate currency to evade the currency exchange risk, e.g. foreign currency invoicing, loan currency invoicing, hard currency invoicing, and dual-currency agreement. A reasonable foreign currency structure would maintain the appropriate proportion between various currencies and optimize the multi-currency portfolio. The private sector may require the user to pay directly in the currency of the project sponsor country (foreign project sponsor) or adjust the fee structure in which a certain percentage of the loans are used for payment so as to reduce foreign exchange risk, or choose the strong currencies which show few exchange rate movements in the a long term such as US dollar and the euro and other strong currencies. Using a dual-currency or multi-currency agreement, namely you can pay by local currency or partially in other foreign currencies.(3) Enlarging financing proportion in local currency. The private sector needs to seek local lenders or structure their debt in local currency to mitigate risks. Because the revenue from projects can be used to repay the capital and interest, there is no foreign exchange problem and avoid exchange rate risk completely.(4) Using Exchange Rate Proviso Clause which can make a proper adjustment of repayment once the exchange rate exceeds the ratio between the repayment currency and hedge currency (e.g. gold proviso clause, hard currency hedge, and basket of currencies). If valuation in the contract is based on the local currency denominated, according to international practice and the "Guide to Contracting industrial projects in developing countries" developed by the United Nations, the clause on hedging should be provided in the contract terms in order to prevent any exchange rate risk. An Exchange Rate Proviso Clause is one measure that can make a proper adjustment of repayment based on the exchange rate between the repayment currency and the hedge currency, for instance, gold proviso clause, the hard currency hedge, and a basketof currencies. The latter can maintain the value of contracts in relation to the composite currency, like Special Drawing Right (SDR).(5) Using Leads and Lags to mitigate risks or improve profits. Leads will result when private sector making payments expect an increasing foreign-exchange rate, while lags arise when the exchange rate is expected to fall. Leads will result when the private sector making payments and expects an increasing foreign-exchange rate, while lags arise when the exchange rate is expected to fall. Leads and lags are used in an attempt to mitigate risks or improve profits.(6)Buying export credit insurance with export credit agencies against the currency exchange risk. Export credit insurance protects the foreign receivables against virtually all commercial and political risks that could result in non-payment of project company’s export invoices. This insurance especially is offered by national export credit agencies to help exporters to deal withthecurrency exchange risk.(7) Using Letter of Credit to substitute a portion of the security deposit, so the project company may take currency back in advance tomitigate foreign exchange rate risk. Letters of credit are often used in international transactions to ensurethat payment will be received. A letter from a bank can guarantee that a buyer's payment to a seller will be received on time and for the correct amount. In the event that the buyer is unable to make payment on the purchase, the bank will be required to cover the full or remaining amount of the purchase. By using a letter of credit to substitute a portion of the security deposit, the project company may take currency back inadvance to mitigate foreign exchange rate risk.(8) Using financial derivatives to prevent currency exchange rate risk, such as forward exchanges, swaps, foreign exchange futures/options, and currency swaps.Forward ExchangeA forward contract involves an exchange with a delayed settlement. Traders set down contract conditions (specifically the date ofsettlement and the price) upon signing the contract, and the exchange is actually settled at a future, pre-agreed date. A forward contract might pertain to a currency exchange rate (on maturity, the traders sell each other one form of currency for another on the basis of an exchange rate set when the contract is drawn up).Futures on Exchange RatesA future is a forward agreement in which all the contractual provisions are standardized. In futures markets, a clearing house serves to guarantee obligations resulting from futures exchanges. This organization requires traders to pay an initial margin as collateral and daily variation margins until the position closes. Due to this fact, futures differ from forward contracts in light of their lower risk for counterparties and greater market liquidity. Futures markets, in fact, offer contracts written on the most widely exchanged currencies on an international level (Gatti 2008).Options on Exchange RatesA currency option is a viable alternative to futures, swaps, and forwards because it represents a right to buy or sella currency at a price and accounts for the volatility or the swings in currency prices. However, options are quite expensive, because protection is bought against adverse movements in the financial price but gains are also allowed from a favorable movement in the price (Clark & Marois, 1996).Currency SwapsCurrency swaps represent an agreement between two entities where one entity promises payment in one currency and the other promisesto make payments in another currency. Basically, a foreign exchange swap indicates there is a swap of a spot buy or a sale of foreign exchange offset by a forward sale or a buy. Currency swaps are a method to swap the risk for one party while the other party assumes a certain degree of risk. However, this is probably not the best mitigation tool due tothe high expenses involved if one of the currencies is not a desired/maincurrency (Chandra and Chang, 2000).(9)Balancing lending and investing to control exchange rate risk.The Balance method is effectively used in international transactionsfor controlling currency exchange risk. Take one example of balancing lending and investing is that during the same period, the private sector makes a investment which involves a local currency with the same quantity and opposite trend in order to avoid foreign exchange risk. Other ways ofbalancing are such as Borrowing, Investing, Borrow-Spot-Invest (BSI), Lead-Spot-Invest (LSI), Forfeiting, etc.(10) Utilizing multi-currency options of a syndicated loan to arrange the financing monetary structure. From project finance practice, more than 3000 million US dollar in developing countries, or more than 100 million in developed countries, of debt financing must be resolved by syndicated loans. The project sponsor should fully consider the demand for different currencies at all stages of project implementation and make full use of multi-currency options, especially in a syndicated loan, to make reasonable arrangements for currencies structure in order to minimize the foreign exchange risk, which may cause cash flow uncertainty, such as maintaining the balance between borrowing currencies and charge currency.(11) Getting advice from international institutions regarding the project’s currency exchange risk and useful actions to minimize this risk.There are numerous institutions providing services for forecasting exchange rates. Besides, the project manager should establish his/her own group which focuses on observing exchange rate fluctuations that have occurred and analyzing its impact on project progress, while providing a prediction of the tendency of short-term and long-term exchange rate.In accordance with the above discussion, a comparison of different mitigation measures faced exchange rate risk can be concluded, as below in Table 4.1.4.4 Currency Convertibility RiskMany countries impose foreign exchange restrictions or controls to prevent currency speculation and to protect their reserves. These restrictions affect the availability and value of a currency. These controls are designed to limit a customer's ability to freely convert one currency into another. Permission to exchange currencies must be given by the central bank of that country before the transaction can take place.The mitigation measures for currency convertibility risk mainly include:(1) Obtaining the host government’s guarantees on convertibility. This applies to concessions where the convertibility of currency can be guaranteed. Obtaining guarantees from the government is always the most effective measure for mitigating the exchange rate and convertibility risks.(2) Adopting alternative forms of currencies (local and foreign currency) as repayment in contract to mitigate currency convertibility risk. Set dual-currency selective repayment in contracts to mitigate lower currency convertibility risk. Which means one portion of the payment can be made in local currency and the other payment can be in the foreign currency. This measure is significant for lower currency convertibility risk.(3) Increasing bond financing to reduce the amount of direct loans, thus reducing the project company’s currency risk. The private sector can reduce the amount of direct loans by issuing bonds that can be of fixed and floating rates of interest, thus avoiding the currency risk. In this regard, bond financing is often used in reducing interest rate risk and currency convertibility risk. However, bond issuance is a long and expensive process compared to acquiring bank loans.(4)Establishing a contingency credit facility to cover unanticipated expenses. The private sector can extract the provision of risk by a certain percentage from profits each year so as to meet unexpected financial losses.(5) Training the senior management team of the project company with the related financial knowledge. Special attention should be paid to exchange rate risk for international PPP projects. In particular, company leaders and decision-makers, management personnel, financial personnel should have an understanding about foreign exchange tendency and international economic dynamics associated with the projects. Contract negotiators’understanding of exchange rate risk should bestrengthened so as to have affective planning to avoid exchange rate risk.。

经管学院论文--企业财务风险的分析与控制--外文翻译

Research on Financial Risk Management System and DiscussionAndrew·chonInternational Finance Manager CenterAbstract: Enterprise financial risk is the financial activities of enterprises inthe whole process, due to the uncertainties caused by loss of business opportunities and possibilities. Financial risk management throughout the e ntire process of production, this article analysis on the internal and external factors impact on the enterprise's financial risk.Keywords: business financial risk internal factors external factors1. Internal Factors1.1 Operating decisions. The success of business strategy usually depends on whether the use of properly. Overall business decision for enterprisedevelopment and business activities to establish the main goal is the focus of corporate management, the core and fundamental task is to improve theeconomic efficiency of enterprises services. Relationship between business decisions and strategies of enterprises and policy, operations and managem ent,market development and marketing, technical development and investme nt, resources development and utilization, product development and pricing and risk prevention and other issues, the failure of policy‐making enterprises into financial difficulties will often . For example, the diversification of the blind is not only conducive to business development strategy of expansion in the external core competencies to cultivate new, but may originally have lost competitive advantage. If the new project occupied the main advantage of the funds can not bring corresponding benefits, it will wear down the main advantage, and eventually lead to a lack of funds within the enterprise as a whole that fall into financial difficulties. Another example is the blind result of financing capital structure decision is irrational, prone to lead to high financial leverage, negative effect, and will put a heavy debt burden of enterprises are faced with due to their inability to refinance maturing debt and the risk of default. Similarly, the lack of scientific proof and full risk assessment of the investment decision-making once the failure will directly affect the cash flow. The cash flow quality directly relatedto the survival of the enterprise. Therefore, business decisions should strictly follow the principle of effectiveness, in particular, should pay attention to the allocation of funding and coordination of resources, thereby protecting the cash inflow and outflow and the balance between the stocks, to maintain the financial health of the enterprise.1.2 Corporate Governance. Modern theory that the choice of corporate governance and management processes can effectively solve the problem of adverse selection and moral hazard, to a large extent influence the ultimate success or failure of the company, poor corporate governance contributed to corporate performance is low, into an important reason for the crisis. On the nature and function of corporate governance, its institutional arrangements and powers as a check and balance mechanism, clear separation of ownership and management under the control of power between the main configuration, and by rights, responsibilities and interests and incentives division constraint mechanismof the play, in the general meeting of shareholders, board of supervisors and managers of mutual checks and balances between the formation of a relationship,but to fulfill their mutual restraint, in order to jointly promote the effectiveoperation of the company. The ownership structure of corporate governancebased on shareholder ownership structure determines the structure, ownership concentration and identity of major shareholders, resulting in the exercise of the rights of shareholders and the effect of different ways, thereby affecting the formation of corporate governance, operations and performance. The soundnessof corporate governance, governance mechanisms are perfect, it will affect the agency costs and governance efficiency, and determine whether the corporate governance and internal control to achieve effective docking, the ultimate impact on the value of the company. When the corporate governance structure is irrational, is not an effective incentive and restraint mechanisms to play a role, the management of the main decision-making power imbalance will cause confusion and inefficiency, and the emergence of serious information asymmetry arisingfrom the interests of the occupation of large shareholders, or managers driven by the interests of the many bad accounting. These issues in the company's financialperformance, usually financial situation is deteriorating.1.3 Financial policy. Corporate financial policy is a set of independent guidelines and rules of financial management operations, the goal is in line with business reform, restructuring of financial behavior, improve financial efficiency and reduce financial risk. The choice of financial policy and arrangements for the enterprise within the statutory range and magnitude, according to the objective situation and self‐development needs, their choice of financial policy to achieve specific financial goals for the service behavior. Modern enterprise financial management of the environment leads to complex corporate financial decisionsare often faced with the optimization of different options, and in the selection process also involves short‐term goals and long‐term business objectives of the conflict, the cost of financing the contradictions of capital assets liquidity and profitability and safety of the conflict, credit policies and expanding sales of contradictions, depreciation of fixed assets and cash flows of the conflict,dividend policy and corporate market value of the contradictions, the existence of these financial conflicts inevitably require managers to make reasonable policy choices and arrangements. This is a comparison, identification and prioritization process, and it is through such a scientific analysis, screening, making the enterprise to ease the financial conflicts, reducing the financial risk, reducing the financial crisis, so that the survival of enterprises is more stable. There is no scientific analysis of corporate financial policies, or lack the necessary scientific analysis tools had to use "trial and error method" to analyze the financial policy to the enterprise vulnerable to the financial crisis. The failure of many companies is due to their own financial policies error.1.4 Investment risk. Investment is to recover the cash and get receipts for the purpose of the cash outflow occurs, the fundamental investment objective is to increase corporate profits or market value, investment activity is the productionand operation activities of the important activities. Enterprises in addition to the core product, the product is the main business of the business activities, can useits own funds accumulated after-tax profits or financing by way of financial leverage, investment, mergers and acquisitions investment, stock investment,futures, different types of investment with different investment risk. Investmentrisk factor is the investment process will affect the investment income of the various factors, such as investment decision‐making system is flawed and timingof investment, the investment object selection, market risk investments, withdrawal of investment risk. If you do not effectively identify and control the investment risk factors, it is easy to lead business investment fails; you can not achieve the expected return on investment. If the investment is suffered serious loss, it ultimately will lead enterprises into financial crisis.1.5 Technical risks. Increasingly accelerated pace of technological progress, technology, increasingly shorter life cycles, increasingly fierce market competition, technological progress everything is characterized by fierce competition. Thus, innovation and become more competitive, to win an important wayto survival and development. Technical risk factor is an enterprise in the implementation of technological innovation, the impact of technological innovation activities in achieving the desired objective factors such as uncertainties in the external environment, advance technological innovation, difficulty, technical innovation and project complexity, and technological innovation ability and the strength of their own limitations, etc., may lead tofailure of technological innovation activities , To bring human, material and financial resources are the loss of investment,leading companies in financial crisis. On the other hand , with the rapid development of modern technology and the increasing pressure of market competition, the accelerating pace of innovation, a core competence of enterprises must gradually decline, no longer support the core layer of the normal operation of enterprises, the competitive advantage no longer continue. At this point the crisis will be generated in the inner nuclear layer, which is the essence of the reasons for the crisis generated.2. External Factors2.1 Economic globalization. The spirit of the World Trade Organization to establish global free trade rules of the game, the core principles of MFN, national treatment and non-discrimination principle of the multilateral negotiations.Therefore, China's accession to the WTO bound tariffs to remove the umbrella, which leads to industry competition. In the process of globalization, industry and the opening and polymerization of goods, knowledge and network technology innovation, diversified customer needs mature society caused by intense industry competition, enterprises must make ecological changes. Then a large number of companies may be survival of the fittest, not those out of the phenomenon.2.2The market competition. "Any industry, whether domestic or international, whether products or services, competition law will reflect the five competitive forces: the invasion of new competitors, threat of substitutes, customers Kanji capacity, the supplier's ability Kanji , as well as competition between existing competitors. "These five industries are threatening the competitiveness of enterprises to the crisis. Operators in making decisions on the development potential of the industries in which business and life cycles, competitor strengths and weaknesses and the threat of substitute products, changes in consumer preferences, raw material market changes, market price fluctuations and so should have a full consideration and understanding, so that it can help avoiding disadvantages and enhance the ability to resist risks, the risk arises in making timely and effective adjustments to reduce losses.2.3 The government's economic policy the government does not always play the role of the consumer and the salesman, in many cases the government as a member of the macroeconomic adjustment in the management and operation of the market there. Government regulation is usually implemented on the market, including legal means and economic means. First, in order to regulate the operation of the market will by enacting such laws, rules, regulations, guidance documents and other formal provision clearly the rights and obligations of market participants; Second, the government will use monetary policy, fiscal policy, industrial policy, regional economic policy, tax and other economic measures of economic activity in various sectors such as production, circulation, distribution, consumption and other implementing regulation and control of economic activities in order to ensure the integrity and smooth implementation. Rational economic policy is the development of business continuity and smooth operationof the premises, any loss will lead to business fluctuations, so that enterprises in crisis. The risk of financial sector is most likely hiding place, the main risk is divided into: financial payments risk that borrowed funds increased due to the possible insolvency; investment risk that, due to uncertainties caused less than the expected rate of return targets the risk incurred; financial operational risk thatcash outflows and cash inflows of funds at the time of consistent strand breakslead to the formation of the cash flow risk; income distribution that the distribution of income risk to the enterprise in the future may adversely affect production and business activities brought about risk.3. Financial risk system3.1 Financial Payment Risk1. Excessive risk liabilityEnterprises to use financial leverage to expand the scale of operation fordebt management is undoubtedly a basic strategy, but if the over‐leveraged, financial structure will be at risk due to refinancing risks resulting from the difficulties, and the burden of heavy corporate borrowing costs will also affectthe overall economic benefits.2. and compared the risk of the formation of high debt, contingent liabilities more invisible form of risk, the potential risks of the enterprise is greater.Typical example is the enterprise security chaos. Some enterprises large amount of external guarantees, long term, even without the consent and approval, directors, managers, name of the company of others without guarantees greater risks to the enterprise. Most of the enterprises lack of management of security, not in accordance with the rules and norms in thebalance sheet disclosure, if the security objects if not insolvent, the guarantee liabilities of enterprises translate into liabilities, the debt burden of the sudden financial strain is likely to lead to even‐owned enterprises no debt, induced the financial risk.At the same time for the Group, the Group's member companies have separate legal personality, independent of the lending relationship can occur, andto own all of the assets as a loan guarantee, the company can not be unifiedcredit. At the same time there is often between members of each group of UNPROFOR, misappropriation, the phenomenon of borrowing funds, resulting in total funding over the Group over the Group's overall risk tolerance. Once there in affiliated enterprises debt out of control, can easily lead to the Group's overall risk linkage.3.The financing structure riskCapital structure, also known as the capital structure refers to thecomposition of various financial companies and their proportional relationship. Capital structure, the broad and narrow sense. Narrow long‐term capital structure refers to the capital structure; broader capital structure refers to all funds (including long‐term capital, short‐term capital) structure. In the investme nt process, you should consider short-term assets and short-term liabilities, long‐term investment and long‐term liabilities such as matching if the lack of unified planning, the length of the structure will lead to unreasonable allocation of funds. If less time to consider the financing of capital structure and financial risk, not only result in higher financial costs, but also increase the solvency risk.3.2 The operational risk capitalFund management companies operating mainly in the following questions:1. the monetary fund risk managementMonetary fund is the enterprise survival and development of the necessary resources, production and operation activities, the basic premise is most likely a problem of resources. The group is concerned, the currency risk management of funds not only in how to prevent the loss of resources, shortage, theft and embezzlement, but also to consider how to play an optimal allocation of resources. If the fund management system of decentralized control imbalance, a subsidiary of the parent company can not grasp the financial situation, can not control the funds of a unit under the operational behavior of the members, it cannot contribute to the Group's business activities, the most in the group level, the distribution of funds to support at the end caused by bad investments, financingout of control, internal disorders and other risk financing, the problems, asubsidiary of the parent company can be able to drag the endless debt, security disputes.Large group from the domestic and international experience, the fund management is generally highly centralized through the centralized management, can be formed within the group an "internal capital market." Through this "internal capital market" operations, management can be more clarity in the datato identify those that most contribute to the Group's business activities and arrangements by the superiority of the project investment in order to raise theissue in order to guide the allocation of funds group, solve the dispersion of funds, inefficient allocation of resources to play a dominant group.2.accounts receivable, the risk of bad debtsAccounts receivable to bad debts held by an enterprise primarily refers to the variety of claims not being paid due to the risk management business if the settlement lags; all is not timely recovery of advances receivable can easily lead to bad loans, thus business losses.In accounts receivable management, many companies focus only on sales, ignoring receivables. Section is the control environment. Some companies to increase sales expand market share, a large number of sales of products by way of credit, which causes a significant increase in accounts receivable. Understandingof the customer's credit rating is not enough, blind credit, resulting in accounts receivable out of control, a considerable proportion of long‐term accounts receivable can not be recovered until it becomes bad. Assets of the debtor freelong been occupied, seriously affect the liquidity of assets and safety.3. the risk of inventory backlogStock inventory backlog means that there is the potential loss ofprice-cutting processing; the stock has a shelf life of many of the provisions of validity, even without these provisions, also due to technological advances and changes in market demand and supply losses. Reflects not only the inventory backlog of business marketing ability, but also reflects the overall coordinationand management capacity of enterprises is low.At present, enterprises current assets, inventories relatively large proportion,and a lot of performance for ultra‐storage inventory. Illiquid stocks, on the one hand takes a lot of money enterprises, other companies must pay for the care of alot of care of these inventory costs, resulting in increased business costs and reduced profits. Long‐term stock inventory, enterprises should bear the price declines and losses arising from improper storage inventory losses, the resulting financial risk.3.3 Investment Risk1. lack of pre-investment risk assessmentCurrently, many enterprise groups in the pre‐investment work on investment projects to make effective choices and there is no benefit and risk assessment, analysis of the potential of enterprise funds also meet the income andexpenditure savings in the book, can not effectively mobilize the enterprise resources to support investment projects. Investment projects, there aredifferent degrees of pre‐investigation stage in the project underestimated the risk for many, generally less associated with the use of quantitative analysis, but also estimated the risk of not properly handling and control measures, which to some extent before investing on the resulting risk aversion ineffective, and some early investments in venture capital project planning is not taken into account, resultingin such problems encountered after the investment, the lack of effective means of control, even at a loss.2.the decision riskCorporate investment decisions is the most critical of all decisions, the most important decision-making, investment decision‐making mistakes is the biggest mistake companies, an important investment decision‐making errors may cause a company in trouble, even bankruptcy. Avoid non‐scientific decision‐making, mainly to do the following two points:Must first investment is a clear economic behavior, when making investment decisions to overcome the "political", "interpersonal relationships" and other factors;Second, when making investment decisions, improve the investment budget estimate should give full consideration to the investment risks, make investmentproject cash flow projections. Only by fully taking into account the time value of money value of investment risk and investment decisions, investment decisions more scientific is to achieve good results.4. Respond to financial risks to approach: a financial early warning syste mObjective existence of financial risk in all aspects of business management, corporate finance activities of the organization and management process and an aspect of a particular aspect of the problem, could promote such a risk into a loss, leading to corporate profitability and solvency reduced. Therefore, the establishment of early warning mechanisms, to take the risk strategies to enhance the management level, from the importance of financial management of allaspects of financial risk prevention, to reduce and defuse financial risks and improve the economic efficiency of enterprises is of great significance.Establishing financial early warning system should pay attention to the following points:4.1 A financial early warning indicator system to prevent financial risks have the root cause of financial crisis, financial risk management properly, therefore, guard against financial risks, establish and improve the financial early warning system particularly necessary.4.2 The establishment of short-term financial early warning system, the preparation of cash flow budget. As the object of corporate finance and cash flowin the short term, businesses can sustain, is not entirely dependent on earnings,but on whether there is sufficient cash for various expenses.4.3 The establishment of financial analysis system and establish a long‐term financial early warning system. For enterprises, the establishment of short‐term financial early warning system is also necessary to establish long‐term financial early warning system. Including profitability, solvency, economic efficiency indicators of the development potential is the most representative. Reflect total assets of profitability are return on assets, profitability and other indicators of cost; reflecting a current ratio of solvency and asset liability ratio and other indicators; economic efficiency will directly reflect the enterprise managementlevel, indicators should reflect the asset management Accounts receivableturnover and balance production and sales rate; reflect the potential for business development with sales growth and capital Maintenance and Appreciation.4.4 foster risk awareness, improve internal control procedures, and reducethe potential risk of liability. Entered into a guarantee contract as rigorous review before being secured credit status of enterprises; conclusion of the security contract to ensure appropriate use of counter‐guarantees and liability disclaimer; should follow the review after the conclusion of the contract was guaranteed the solvency of enterprises, reduce the direct risk of loss.财务风险管理系统的研究和讨论安德鲁·分国际金融管理中心摘要:企业财务风险是企业财务活动在整个生产过程中，由于不确定性造成的损失的业务机会和可能性。

企业财务风险管理外文文献翻译

文献出处：Błach J. Financial Risk Identification Based on the Balance Sheet Information[J]. Managing and Modelling of Financial Risks, 2016,1: 10-19.第一部分为译文，第二部分为原文。

默认格式：中文五号宋体，英文五号Times New Roma，行间距1.5倍。

基于资产负债表信息的财务风险识别摘要：现代经济风险暴露不断增加，所有企业都要承担不同类型的风险。

本文研究财务风险的定义，组成部分，因素和后果，以及通过资产负债表提供的信息的使用来识别和分析财务风险。

此外，还介绍了这种财务风险评估方法的优缺点，以100个最大波兰公司10年（2000-2009年）的汇总数据为例，测试了根据资产负债表信息确定财务风险的潜力。

关键词：财务风险，财务分析，风险评估，资产负债表。

1. 引言现代社会往往被描述为“风险社会”，这意味着社会的财富生产伴随着社会风险生产。

因此，在这种环境下经营的企业，被迫采取不同类型的风险识别，以发展自己，提高效率。

考虑到不同类型的标准，有各种各样的企业风险进行分析和分类。

企业风险最重要的类型之一是财务风险。

2.财务风险定义及其组成部分文献中没有统一的财务风险定义。

但问题始于风险的一般定义。

在理论上，提出了风险定义的两个概念。

第一个-负面概念将风险描述为潜在损失的威胁。

第二个-中立概念表明，风险不仅是威胁，也是机会，所以风险意味着获得不同于预期的结果的可能性。

因此，风险的定义主要取决于风险的方法，并且可能导致管理者采取的不同行动。

如果采取负面做法，管理人员的主要目标是尽可能减少潜在的损失，并设法避免危险行为，以稳定公司的情况。

在第二种情况下，经理们不仅要尽量减少损失，还要尽量利用承担风险，改善公司状况。

因此，可以从中性或消极的角度分析任何类型的风险的金融风险。

财务风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献

财务风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献译文：[美]卡伦〃A〃霍契.《什么是财务风险管理？》.《财务风险管理要点》.约翰.威立国际出版公司,2005:P1-22.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。

全球市场越来越多的问题是，风险可能来自几千英里以外的与这些事件无关的国外市场。

意味着需要的信息可以在瞬间得到，而其后的市场反应，很快就发生了。

经济气候和市场可能会快速影响外汇汇率变化、利率及大宗商品价格，交易对手会迅速成为一个问题。

因此，重要的一点是要确保金融风险是可以被识别并且管理得当的。

准备是风险管理工作的一个关键组成部分。

什么是风险？风险给机会提供了基础。

风险和暴露的条款让它们在含义上有了细微的差别。

风险是指有损失的可能性，而暴露是可能的损失，尽管他们通常可以互换。

风险起因是由于暴露。

金融市场的暴露影响大多数机构，包括直接或间接的影响。

当一个组织的金融市场暴露，有损失的可能性，但也是一个获利或利润的机会。

金融市场的暴露可以提供战略性或竞争性的利益。

风险损失的可能性事件来自如市场价格的变化。

事件发生的可能性很小，但这可能导致损失率很高，特别麻烦，因为他们往往比预想的要严重得多。

换句话说，可能就是变异的风险回报。

由于它并不总是可能的，或者能满意地把风险消除，在决定如何管理它中了解它是很重要的一步。

识别暴露和风险形式的基础需要相应的财务风险管理策略。

财务风险是如何产生的呢？无数金融性质的交易包括销售和采购，投资和贷款，以及其他各种业务活动，产生了财务风险。

它可以出现在合法的交易中，新项目中，兼并和收购中，债务融资中，能源部分的成本中，或通过管理的活动，利益相关者，竞争者，外国政府，或天气出现。

当金融的价格变化很大，它可以增加成本，降低财政收入，或影响其他有不利影响的盈利能力的组织。

金融波动可能使人们难以规划和预算商品和服务的价格，并分配资金。

有三种金融风险的主要来源：1、金融风险起因于组织所暴露出来的市场价格的变化，如利率、汇率、和大宗商品价格。

财务风险外文文献

外文文献The Important Of Financial RiskSohnke M. Bartram Gregory W. Brown and Murat AtamerAbstract:This paper examines the determinants of equity price risk for a largesample of non-financial corporations in the United States from 1964 to 2008. Weestimate both structural and reduced form models to examine the endogenous natureof corporate financial characteristics such as total debt debt maturity cash holdingsand dividend policy. We find that the observed levels of equity price risk areexplained primarily by operating and asset characteristics such as firm age size assettangibility as well as operating cash flow levels and volatility. In contrast impliedmeasures of financial risk are generally low and more stable than debt-to-equity ratios.Our measures of financial risk have declined over the last 30 years even as measuresof equity volatility e.g. idiosyncratic risk have tended to increase. Consequentlydocumented trends in equity price risk are more than fully accounted for by trends inthe riskiness of firms’assets. Taken together the results suggest that the typical U.S.firm substantially reduces financial risk by carefully managing financial policies. As aresult residual financial risk now appears negligible relative to underlying economicrisk for a typical non-financial firm.Keywords：Capital structure；financial risk；risk management；corporate finance1 1.IntroductionThe financial crisis of 2008 has brought significant attention to the effects offinancial leverage. There is no doubt that the high levels of debt financing by financialinstitutions and households significantly contributed to the crisis. Indeed evidenceindicates that excessive leverage orchestrated by major global banks e.g. through themortgage lending and collateralized debt obligations and the so-called “shadowbanking system”may be the underlying cause of the recent economic and financialdislocation. Less obvious is the role of financial leverage among nonfinancial firms.To date problems in the U.S. non-financial sector have been minor compared to thedistress in the financial sector despite the seizing of capital markets during the crisis.For example non-financial bankruptcies have been limited given that the economicdecline is the largest since the great depression of the 1930s. In fact bankruptcyfilings of non-financial firms have occurred mostly in U.S. industries e.g.automotive manufacturing newspapers and real estate that faced fundamentaleconomic pressures prior to the financial crisis. This surprising fact begs the question“How important is financial risk for non-financial firms”At the heart of this issue isthe uncertainty about the determinants of total firm risk as well as components of firmrisk.Recent academic research in both asset pricing and corporate finance hasrekindled an interest in analyzing equity price risk. A current strand of the assetpricing literature examines the finding of Campbell et al. 2001 thatfirm-specificidiosyncratic risk has tended to increase over the last 40 years. Other work suggeststhat idiosyncratic risk may be a priced risk factor see Goyal and Santa-Clara 2003among others. Also related to these studies is work by Pástor and Veronesi 2003showing how investor uncertainty about firm profitability is an important determinantof idiosyncratic risk and firm value. Other research has examined the role of equityvolatility in bond pricing e.g. Dichev 1998 Campbell Hilscher and Szilagyi2008.However much of the empirical work examining equity price risk takes the riskof assets as given or tries to explain the trend in idiosyncratic risk. In contrast thispaper takes a different tack in the investigation of equity price risk. First we seek tounderstand the determinants of equity price risk at the firm level by considering totalrisk as the product of risks inherent in the firms operations i.e. economic or businessrisks and risks associated with financing the firms operations i.e. financial risks.Second we attempt to assess the relative importance of economic and financial risksand the implications for financial policy.Early research by Modigliani and Miller 1958 suggests that financial policymay be largely irrelevant for firm value because investors can replicate manyfinancial decisions by the firm at a low cost i.e. via homemade leverage andwell-functioning capital markets should be able to distinguish between financial andeconomic distress. Nonetheless financial policies such as adding debt to the capitalstructure can magnify the risk of equity. In contrast recent research on corporate riskmanagement suggests that firms may also be able to reduce risks and increase valuewith financial policies such as hedging with financial derivatives. However thisresearch is often motivated by substantial deadweight costs associated with financialdistress or other market imperfections associated with financial leverage. Empiricalresearch provides conflicting accounts of how costly financial distress can be for atypical publicly traded firm.We attempt to directly address the roles of economic and financial risk byexamining determinants of total firm risk. In our analysis we utilize a large sample ofnon-financial firms in the United States.Our goal of identifying the most importantdeterminants of equity price risk volatility relies on viewing financial policy astransforming asset volatility into equity volatility via financial leverage. Thusthroughout the paper we consider financial leverage as the wedge between assetvolatility and equity volatility. For example in a static setting debt provides financialleverage that magnifies operating cash flow volatility. Because financial policy isdetermined by owners and managers we are careful to examine the effects of firms’asset and operating characteristics on financial policy. Specifically we examine avariety of characteristics suggested by previous research and as clearly as possibledistinguish between those associated of the company(i.e. factors determining economic risk) and those associated with financing the firm(i.e. factors determining financial risk).We then allow economic risk to be a determinant of financial policy in the structural framework of Leland and Toft(1996),or alternatively, in a reduced form model of financial leverage.An advantage of the structural model approach is that we are able to account for both the possibility of financial and operating implciations ofsome factors(e.g .dividends),as well as the endogenous nature of the bankruptcy decision and financial policy in general.Our proxy for firm risk is the volantility if common stock returns derived from calculating the standard deviation of daliy equity returns.Our proxies for econmic risk are designed to capture the essential charactersitics of the firm’s operations and assets that determine the cash flow generating process for the firm.For example,firm size and age provide measures of line of –business maturity; tangible assets(plant,property,and equipment)serve as a proxy for the ‘hardness’of a firm’s assets;capital expenditures measure captial intensity as well as growth potential.Operating profitability and operating profit volatility serve as measures of the timeliness and riskiness of cash flows.To understand how financial factors affect firm risk,we examine total debt,debt maturity,dividend payouts,and holdings of cash and short-term investments.The primary resuit or our analysis is surpriing:factors determining economic risk for a typical company exlain the vast majority of the varation in equity volatility.Correspondingly,measures of implied financial leverage are much lower than observed debt ratios. Specifically, in our sample covering 1964-2008 average actual net financial (market) leverage is 1.50 compared to our estimates of between 1.03 and 1.11 (depending on model specification and estimation technique).This suggests that firms may undertake other financial policise to manage financial risk and thus lower effective leverage to nearly negligible levels.These policies might include dynamically adjusting financial variables such as debt levels,debt maturity,or cash holdings (see,for example , Acharya,Almeida,and Campello,2007).In addition,many firms also utilize explicit financial risk management techniques such as the use of financial dervatives,contractual arrangements with investors (e.g. lines of credit,call provisions in debt contracts ,or contingencies in supplier contracts ),spcial purpose vehicles (SPVs),or other alternative risk transfer techniques.The effects of our ecnomic risk factors on equity volatility are generally highly statiscally significant, with predicted size and age of the firm.This is intuitive since large and mature firms typically have more stable lines of business,which shoule be reflected in the volatility. This suggests that companties with higher and more stable operating cash flows are less likely to go bankrupt, and therefore are potentially less risky .Among economic risk variables,the effects of firm size ,prfit volatility,and dividend policy on equity volatility stand out. Unlike some previous studies,our careful treatment of the endogeneity of financial policy confirms that leveage increases total firm risk. Otherwise,fiancial risk factors are not reliably to total risk.Given the large literature on financial policy , it is no surprise that financial variables are , at least in part , determined by the econmic risks frims take.However, some of the specific findings are unexpected. For example , in a simple model of capital structure ,dividend payouts should increase financial leverage since they represent an outflow of cash from the firm(i.e.,increase net debt ).We find that dividends are associated with lower risk. This suggests that paying dividends is not as much a product of financial policy as a characteristic of a firm’s operations(e.g.,a mature company with limited growth opportunities). We also estimate howsensitivities to different risk factors have changed over time.Our result indicate that most relations are fairly stable. One exception is firm age which prior to 1983 tends to be positively related to risk and has since been consisitently negatively related to risk.This is related to findings by Brown and Kapadoa (2007) that recent trends in idiosyncratic risk are related to stock listings by younger and riskier firms.。

《企业财务风险管理研究国内外文献综述5000字》

企业财务风险管理研究国内外文献综述目录企业财务风险管理研究国内外文献综述 (1)1 国外研究现状 (1)2 国内研究现状 (3)参考文献 (6)1 国外研究现状长期以来，国外学者一直在探索财务风险这个概念。

财务风险一词来源于风险管理理论，诞生于20世纪初，此后数年间得到广泛普及。

（1）关于财务风险的研究Birgham（2019)认为财务风险可能是企业到期不能偿还债务，无法合理的使用财务杠杆，所以导致自身的每股收益出现变动，所以才会出现的危机[1]。

James C（2018)认为财务风险不仅仅是现实的危机，还包含着公司到期也无法偿还的潜在问题。

如果有这样的潜在风险，不仅会阻碍企业的发展，还会给企业的财务状况带来严重的负面影响[2]。

法国著名学者Sevim(2016)第一次给企业管理的概念增加了风险管理的思想。

即企业的早期风险管理理论。

财务风险管理主要是在经营活动中可能发生各种风险，而我们要做的是对这些风险如何进行事前测量和预防错误!未找到引用源。

Liu L (2018)认为企业风险管理并不是为了降低财务风险而浮于形式，而是需要采用一些有效的经济技术措施，而且要有相应的实践价值和实践意义才行错误!未找到引用源。

Yu Cao（2017)提到内部控制时进行了如下阐述：即为了转移财务风险，减少风险的发生，最大限度地降低风险，有必要建立一个健全的风险管理体系错误!未找到引用源。

James A Ohlson（2017)认为，企业财务风险是指企业当前的债务资金大于企业本身所拥有的库存现金，即偿债能力差。

所以企业各环节都需要对相应的风险进行预测，而财务风险则是企业风险预测中的最重要的组成部分错误!未找到引用源。

研究证明，Bartczak（2019）通过可以在合同日或合同日前约定的期限内，给予以协议价格选择是否购买或销售一定数量的商品或资本资产的权利。

用这个方法操作，回避企业的财务风险错误!未找到引用源。

（2）关于财务风险影响因素的研究魏斯(2016)等人认为，财务风险可以归类为政府政策重大变化或证券市场引入重要措施和规章所导致的投资者风险，这些危机都会导致不必要的资金流失甚至更严重的清算错误!未找到引用源。

中小企业财务风险管理外文文献翻译2017

外文文献翻译原文及译文文献出处: Sharifi, Omid. International Journal of Information, Business and Management 6.2 (May 2017): 82-94.原文Financial R isk M ana gement for Small and M edium SizedEnter pr ises(SM ES)Omid SharifiMBA, Depa rtment of Commerce and Business Ma nagement,Ka ka tiya University, House No. 2-1-664, Sa ra wa thi nega r,1．ABSTR AC Tmedium sized Enterprises (SME) do also face business risks, Similar to large companies, Small and Mwhich in worst case can cause financial distress and lead to bankruptcy. However, although SME are a major part of the India and also international - economy, research mainly focused on risk management in large corporations. Therefore the aim of this paper is to suggest a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen.The data required for the study was collected from Annual report of the Intec Capital Limited. For the period of five years, from 2008 to 2012.the findings showed the data and the overview can be used in SME risk management.Keywor ds: Annual report, Small and Medium sized Enterprises, Financial Risks, Risk Management.2．INTR UDUC TIONSmall and medium sized enterprises (SME) differ from large corporations among other aspects first of all in their size. Their importance in the economy however is large . SME sector of India is considered as the backbone of economy contributing to 45% of the industrial output, 40% of India’s exports, employing 60 million people, create 1.3 million jobs every year and produce more than 8000 quality products for the Indian and international markets. With approximately 30 million SMEs in India, 12 million people expected to join the workforce in next 3 years and the sector growing at a rate of 8% per year, Government of India is taking different measures so as to increase their competitiveness in the international market. There are several factors that have contributed towards the growth of Indian SMEs.Few of these include; funding of SMEs by local and foreign investors, the new technology that is used in the market is assisting SMEsadd considerable value to their business, various trade directories and trade portals help facilitate trade between buyer and supplier and thus reducing the barrier to trade With this huge potential, backed up by strong government support; Indian SMEs continue to post their growth stories. Despite of this strong growth, there is huge potential amongst Indian SMEs that still remains untapped. Once this untapped potential becomes the source for growth of these units, there would be no stopping to India posting a GDP higher than that of US and China and becoming the world’s economic powerhouse.3. R ESEAR C H QUESTIONRisk and economic activity are inseparable. Every business decision and entrepreneurial act is connected with risk. This applies also to business of small and medium sized enterprises as they are also facing several and often the same risks as bigger companies. In a real businessenvironment with market imperfections they need to manage those risks in order to secure their business continuity and add additional value by avoiding or reducing transaction costs and cost of financial distress or bankruptcy. However, risk management is a challenge for most SME. In contrast to larger companies they often lack the necessary resources, with regard to manpower, databases and specialty of knowledge to perform a standardized and structured risk management. The result is that many smaller companies do not perform sufficient analysis to identify their risk. This aspect is exacerbated due to a lack in literature about methods for risk management in SME, as stated by Henschel: The two challenging aspects with regard to risk management in SME are therefore:1.SME differ from large corporations in many characteristics2.The existing research lacks a focus on risk management in SMEThe following research question will be central to this work:1.h ow can SME manage their internal financial risk?2.W hich aspects, based on their characteristics, have to be taken into account for this?3.W hich mean fulfils the requirements and can be applied to SME?4. L ITER ATUR E R EVIEWIn contrast to larger corporations, in SME one of the owners is often part of the management team. His intuition and experience are important for managing the company. Therefore, in small companies, the (owner-)manager is often responsible for many different tasks and important decisions. Most SME do not have the necessary resources to employ specialists on every position in the company. They focus on their core business and have generalists for the administrative functions. Behr and Guttler find that SME on average have equity ratios lower than 20%. The different characteristics of management, position on procurement and capital markets and the legal framework need to be taken into account when applying management instruments like risk management. Therefore the risk management techniques of larger corporations cannot easily be applied to SME. In practice it can therefore be observed that although SME are not facing less risks and uncertainties than large companies, their risk management differs from the practices in larger companies. The latter have the resources to employ a risk manager and a professional, structured and standardized risk management system. In contrast to that, risk management in SME differs in the degree of implementation and the techniques applied. Jonen & Simgen-Weber With regard to firm size and the use of risk management. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius observe in a study from 2010 that increasing firm size among SME enhances the use of risk management. This observation matches with the opinion of nearly 10% of SME, which are of the opinion, that risk management is only reasonable in larger corporations. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius find that most of the surveyed SME identify risks with help of statistics,checklists, creativity and scenario analyses. reveals similar findings and state that most companies rely on key figure systems for identifying and evaluating the urgency of business risks. That small firms face higher costs of hedging than larger corporations. This fact is reducing the benefits from hedging and therefore he advises to evaluate the usage of hedging for each firm individually. The lacking expertise to decide about hedges in SME is also identified by Eckbo, According to his findings, smaller companies often lack the understanding and management capacities needed to use those instruments.5.M ETHODOL OGYE OF FINANC IAL ANAL YSIS IN SM E R ISK M ANAGEM ENTHow financial analysis can be used in SME risk management?5.1.1 Development of financial r isk over view for SM EThe following sections show the development of the financial risk overview. After presenting the framework, the different ratios will be discussed to finally present a selection of suitable ratios and choose appropriate comparison data.5.1.2.Fr a mewor k for fina ncial r isk over viewThe idea is to use a set of ratios in an overview as the basis for the financial risk management.This provides even more information than the analysis of historicaldata and allows reacting fast on critical developments and managing the identified risks. However not only the internal data can be used for the risk management. In addition to that also the information available in the papers can be used.Some of them state average values for the defaulted or bankrupt companies one year prior bankruptcy -and few papers also for a longer time horizon. Those values can be used as a comparison value to evaluate the risk situation of the company. For this an appropriate set of ratios has to be chosen.The ratios, which will be included in the overview and analysis sheet, should fulfill two main requirements. First of all they should match the main financial risks of the company in order to deliver significant information and not miss an important risk factor. Secondly the ratios need to be relevant in two different ways. On the one hand they should be applicable independently of other ratios. This means that they also deliver useful information when not used in a regression, as it is applied in many of the papers. On the other hand to be appropriate to use them, the ratios need to show a different development for healthy companies than for those under financial distress. The difference between the values of the two groups should be large enough to see into which the observed company belongs.5.1.3.Eva lua tion of r a tios for fina ncia l r isk over v iewWhen choosing ratios from the different categories, it needs to be evaluated which ones are the most appropriate ones. For this some comparison values are needed in order to see whether the ratios show different values and developments for the two groups of companies. The most convenient source for the comparison values are the research papers as their values are based on large samples of annual reports and by providing average values outweigh outliers in the data. Altman shows a table with the values for 8 different ratios for the five years prior bankruptcy of which he uses 5, while Porporato & Sandin use 13 ratios in their model and Ohlson bases his evaluation on 9 figures and ratios [10]. Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic also show the difference in ratios between the two groups, however only directly before bankruptcy and not as a development over time [9]. Therefore this information is not as valuable as the others ([4][15]).In summary, the main internal financial risks in a SME should be covered by financial structure, liquidity and profitability ratios, which are the main categories of ratios applied in the research papers.Fina ncial str uctur eA ratio used in many of the papers is the total debt to total assets ratio, analyzing the financial structure of the company. Next to the papers of Altman, Ohlson and Porporato & Sandin also Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic show comparison values for this ratio. Thosedemonstrate a huge difference in size between the bankrupt and non-bankrupt groups.Figur e 1: Development of tota l debt/tota l a ssets r a tioData sour ce: Altman (1968), Por por a to & Sandin (2007) and Ohlson (1980), author ’s illustr a tionTherefore the information of total debt/total assets is more reliable and should rather be used for the overview. The other ratios analyzing the financial structure are only used in one of the papers and except for one the reference data only covers the last year before bankruptcy. Therefore a time trend cannot be detected and their relevance cannot be approved.C ost of debtThe costs of debt are another aspect of the financing risk. Porporato & Sandin use the variable interest payments/EB IT for measuring the debt costs. The variable shows how much of the income before tax and interest is spend to finance the debt. This variable also shows a clear trend when firms approach bankruptcy.L iquidityThe ratio used in all five papers to measure liquidity is the current ratio, showing the relation between current liabilities and current assets (with slight differences in the definition). Instead of the current ratio, a liquidity ratio setting the difference between current assets and current liabilities, also defined as working capital, into relation with total assets could be used.Figur e 2: Development of wor king capita l /total assets r a tioData sour ce: Altman (1968) and Ohlson (1980); author ’s illustr a t ioBasically the ratio says whether the firm would be able to pay back all its’current liabilities by using its’current assets. In case it is not able to, which is when the liabilities exceed the assets, there is an insolvency risk.6.C R ITIC AL R EVIEW AND C ONC L USIONWhen doing business, constantly decisions have to be made, whoseoutcome is not certain and thus connected with risk. In order to successfully cope with this uncertainty, corporate risk management is necessary in a business environment, which is influenced by market frictions. Different approaches and methods can be found for applying such a risk management. However, those mainly focus on large corporations, though they are the minority of all companies[13].Furthermore the approaches often require the use of statistical software and expert knowledge, which is most often not available in SME. They and their requirements for risk management have mainly been neglected [17][13].This also includes the internal financial risk management, which was in the focus of this paper. Due to the existing risks in SME and their differences to larger corporations as well as the lack of suitable risk management suggestions in theory, there is a need for a suggestion for a financial risk management in SME. The aim was to find a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen. Based on an examination and analysis of different papers, despite of their different models, many similarities in the applied ratios could be identified. In general the papers focus on three categories of risk, namely liquidity, profitability and solvency, which are in accordance to the maininternal financial risks of SME. From the ratios the most appropriate ones with regard to their effectiveness in identifying risks.译文中小企业财务风险管理研究奥米德沙利菲1、摘要中小型企业( SME) 和大型企业一样，也面临着业务风险，在最糟糕的情况下，可能会导致金融危机，甚至破产。

财务风险管理外文翻译英文文献

财务风险治理中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is RiskRisk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial RiskFinancial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk ManagementFinancial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio to which it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result ofrisk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing theorganization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rateof inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.Source: Karen A. Horcher, 202X. “What Is Financial Risk Management〞. Essentials of Financial Risk Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.pp.1-22.财务风险治理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险治理不是当代的主要问题。

企业风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献

企业风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献(文档含英文原文和中文翻译)原文：Risk ManagementThis chapter reviews and discusses the basic issues and principles of risk management, including: risk acceptability (tolerability); risk reduction and the ALARP principle; cautionary and precautionary principles. And presents a case study showing the importance of these issues and principles in a practical management context. Before we take a closer look, let us briefly address some basic features of risk management.The purpose of risk management is to ensure that adequate measures are taken to protect people, the environment, and assets from possible harmful consequences of the activities being undertaken, as well as to balance different concerns, in particular risks and costs. Risk management includes measures both to avoid the hazards and toreduce their potential harm. Traditionally, in industries such as nuclear, oil, and gas, risk management was based on a prescriptive regulating regime, in which detailed requirements were set with regard to the design and operation of the arrangements. This regime has gradually been replaced by a more goal-oriented regime, putting emphasis on what to achieve rather than on the means of achieving it.Risk management is an integral aspect of a goal-oriented regime. It is acknowledged that risk cannot be eliminated but must be managed. There is nowadays an enormous drive and enthusiasm in various industries and in society as a whole to implement risk management in organizations. There are high expectations that risk management is the proper framework through which to achieve high levels of performance.Risk management involves achieving an appropriate balance between realizing opportunities for gain and minimizing losses. It is an integral part of good management practice and an essential element of good corporate governance. It is an iterative process consisting of steps that, when undertaken in sequence, can lead to a continuous improvement in decision-making and facilitate a continuous improvement in performance.To support decision-making regarding design and operation, risk analyses are carried out. They include the identification of hazards and threats, cause analyses, consequence analyses, and risk descriptions. The results are then evaluated. The totality of the analyses and the evaluations are referred to as risk assessments. Risk assessment is followed by risk treatment, which is a process involving the development and implementation of measures to modify the risk, including measures designed to avoid, reduce (“optimize”), transfer, or retain the risk. Risk transfer means sharing with another party the benefit or loss associated with a risk. It is typically affected through insurance. Risk management covers all coordinated activities in the direction and control of an organization with regard to risk.In many enterprises, the risk management tasks are divided into three main categories: strategic risk, financial risk, and operational risk. Strategic risk includes aspects and factors that are important for the e nterprise’s long-term strategy and plans,for example mergers and acquisitions, technology, competition, political conditions, legislation and regulations, and labor market. Financial risk includes the enterprise’s financial situation, and includes: Market risk, associated with the costs of goods and services, foreign exchange rates and securities (shares, bonds, etc.). Credit risk, associated with a debtor’s failure to meet its obligations in accordance with agreed terms. Liquidity risk, reflecting lack of access to cash; the difficulty of selling an asset in a timely manner. Operational risk is related to conditions affecting the normal operating situation: Accidental events, including failures and defects, quality deviations, natural disasters. Intended acts; sabotage, disgruntled employees, etc. Loss of competence, key personnel. Legal circumstances, associated for instance, with defective contracts and liability insurance.For an enterprise to become successful in its implementation of risk management, top management needs to be involved, and activities must be put into effect on many levels. Some important points to ensure success are: the establishment of a strategy for risk management, i.e., the principles of how the enterprise defines and implements risk management. Should one simply follow the regulatory requirements (minimal requirements), or should one be the “best in the class”? The establishment of a risk management process for the enterprise, i.e. formal processes and routines that the enterprise is to follow. The establishment of management structures, with roles and responsibilities, such that the risk analysis process becomes integrated into the organization. The implementation of analyses and support systems, such as risk analysis tools, recording systems for occurrences of various types of events, etc. The communication, training, and development of a risk management culture, so that the competence, understanding, and motivation level within the organization is enhanced. Given the above fundamentals of risk management, the next step is to develop principles and a methodology that can be used in practical decision-making. This is not, however, straightforward. There are a number of challenges and here we address some of these: establishing an informative risk picture for the various decision alternatives, using this risk picture in a decision-making context. Establishing an informative risk picture means identifying appropriate risk indices and assessments ofuncertainties. Using the risk picture in a decision making context means the definition and application of risk acceptance criteria, cost benefit analyses and the ALARP principle, which states that risk should be reduced to a level which is as low as is reasonably practicable.It is common to define and describe risks in terms of probabilities and expected values. This has, however, been challenged, since the probabilities and expected values can camouflage uncertainties; the assigned probabilities are conditional on a number of assumptions and suppositions, and they depend on the background knowledge. Uncertainties are often hidden in this background knowledge, and restricting attention to the assigned probabilities can camouflage factors that could produce surprising outcomes. By jumping directly into probabilities, important uncertainty aspects are easily truncated, and potential surprises may be left unconsidered.Let us, as an example, consider the risks, seen through the eyes of a risk analyst in the 1970s, associated with future health problems for divers working on offshore petroleum projects. The analyst assigns a value to the probability that a diver would experience health problems (properly defined) during the coming 30 years due to the diving activities. Let us assume that a value of 1 % was assigned, a number based on the knowledge available at that time. There are no strong indications that the divers will experience health problems, but we know today that these probabilities led to poor predictions. Many divers have experienced severe health problems (Avon and Vine, 2007). By restricting risk to the probability assignments alone, important aspects of uncertainty and risk are hidden. There is a lack of understanding about the underlying phenomena, but the probability assignments alone are not able to fully describe this status.Several risk perspectives and definitions have been proposed in line with this realization. For example, Avon (2007a, 2008a) defines risk as the two-dimensional combination of events/consequences and associated uncertainties (will the events occur, what the consequences will be). A closely related perspective is suggested by Avon and Renan (2008a), who define risk associated with an activity as uncertaintyabout and severity of the consequences of the activity, where severity refers to intensity, size, extension, scope and other potential measures of magnitude with respect to something that humans value (lives, the environment, money, etc.). Losses and gains, expressed for example in monetary terms or as the number of fatalities, are ways of defining the severity of the consequences. See also Avon and Christensen (2005).In the case of large uncertainties, risk assessments can support decision-making, but other principles, measures, and instruments are also required, such as the cautionary/precautionary principles as well as robustness and resilience strategies. An informative decision basis is needed, but it should be far more nuanced than can be obtained by a probabilistic analysis alone. This has been stressed by many researchers, e.g. Apostolicism (1990) and Apostolicism and Lemon (2005): qualitative risk analysis (QRA) results are never the sole basis for decision-making. Safety- and security-related decision-making is risk-informed, not risk-based. This conclusion is not, however, justified merely by referring to the need for addressing uncertainties beyond probabilities and expected values. The main issue here is the fact that risks need to be balanced with other concerns.When various solutions and measures are to be compared and a decision is to be made, the analysis and assessments that have been conducted provide a basis for such a decision. In many cases, established design principles and standards provide clear guidance. Compliance with such principles and standards must be among the first reference points when assessing risks. It is common thinking that risk management processes, and especially ALARP processes, require formal guidelines or criteria (e.g., risk acceptance criteria and cost-effectiveness indices) to simplify the decision-making. Care must; however, be shown when using this type of formal decision-making criteria, as they easily result in a mechanization of the decision-making process. Such mechanization is unfortunate because: Decision-making criteria based on risk-related numbers alone (probabilities and expected values) do not capture all the aspects of risk, costs, and benefits, no method has a precision that justifies a mechanical decision based on whether the result is overor below a numerical criterion. It is a managerial responsibility to make decisions under uncertainty, and management should be aware of the relevant risks and uncertainties.Apostolicism and Lemon (2005) adopt a pragmatic approach to risk analysis and risk management, acknowledging the difficulties of determining the probabilities of an attack. Ideally, they would like to implement a risk-informed procedure, based on expected values. However, since such an approach would require the use of probabilities that have not b een “rigorously derived”, they see themselves forced to resort to a more pragmatic approach.This is one possible approach when facing problems of large uncertainties. The risk analyses simply do not provide a sufficiently solid basis for the decision-making process. We argue along the same lines. There is a need for a management review and judgment process. It is necessary to see beyond the computed risk picture in the form of the probabilities and expected values. Traditional quantitative risk analyses fail in this respect. We acknowledge the need for analyzing risk, but question the value added by performing traditional quantitative risk analyses in the case of large uncertainties. The arbitrariness in the numbers produced can be significant, due to the uncertainties in the estimates or as a result of the uncertainty assessments being strongly dependent on the analysts.It should be acknowledged that risk cannot be accurately expressed using probabilities and expected values. A quantitative risk analysis is in many cases better replaced by a more qualitative approach, as shown in the examples above; an approach which may be referred to as a semi-quantitative approach. Quantifying risk using risk indices such as the expected number of fatalities gives an impression that risk can be expressed in a very precise way. However, in most cases, the arbitrariness is large. In a semi-quantitative approach this is acknowledged by providing a more nuanced risk picture, which includes factors that can cause “surprises” r elative to the probabilities and the expected values. Quantification often requires strong simplifications and assumptions and, as a result, important factors could be ignored or given too little (or too much) weight. In a qualitative or semi-quantitative analysis, amore comprehensive risk picture can be established, taking into account underlying factors influencing risk. In contrast to the prevailing use of quantitative risk analyses, the precision level of the risk description is in line with the accuracy of the risk analysis tools. In addition, risk quantification is very resource demanding. One needs to ask whether the resources are used in the best way. We conclude that in many cases more is gained by opening up the way to a broader, more qualitative approach, which allows for considerations beyond the probabilities and expected values.The traditional quantitative risk assessments as seen for example in the nuclear and the oil & gas industries provide a rather narrow risk picture, through calculated probabilities and expected values, and we conclude that this approach should be used with care for problems with large uncertainties. Alternative approaches highlighting the qualitative aspects are more appropriate in such cases. A broad risk description is required. This is also the case in the normative ambiguity situations, as the risk characterizations provide a basis for the risk evaluation processes. The main concern is the value judgments, but they should be supported by solid scientific assessments, showing a broad risk picture. If one tries to demonstrate that it is rational to accept risk, on a scientific basis, too narrow an approach to risk has been adopted. Recognizing uncertainty as a main component of risk is essential to successfully implement risk management, for cases of large uncertainties and normative ambiguity.A risk description should cover computed probabilities and expected values, as well as: Sensitivities showing how the risk indices depend on the background knowledge (assumptions and suppositions); Uncertainty assessments; Description of the background knowledge, including models and data used.The uncertainty assessments should not be restricted to standard probabilistic analysis, as this analysis could hide important uncertainty factors. The search for quantitative, explicit approaches for expressing the uncertainties, even beyond the subjective probabilities, may seem to be a possible way forward. However, such an approach is not recommended. Trying to be precise and to accurately express what is extremely uncertain does not make sense. Instead we recommend a more openqualitative approach to reveal such uncertainties. Some might consider this to be less attractive from a methodological and scientific point of view. Perhaps it is, but it would be more suited for solving the problem at hand, which is about the analysis and management of risk and uncertainties.Source: Terje Aven. 2010. “Risk Management”. Risk in Technological Systems, Oct, p175-198.译文：风险管理本章回顾和讨论风险管理的基本问题和原则，包括：风险可接受性（耐受性）、风险削减和安全风险管理原则、警示和预防原则，并提出了一个研究案例，说明在实际管理环境中这些问题和原则的重要性。

企业财务风险防范外文文献

企业财务风险防范外文文献<i>企业财务风险防范外文文献</i>从分析财务风险入手，阐述其含义、特征以及种类等内容；在此基础上对财务风险产生的原因进行深入细致的分析研究，分析总结出财务风险产生的内因和外因诸方面；从而提出树立风险意识，建立有效的风险防范机制；建立和完善财务管理系统，以适应财务管理环境变化；建立财务风险预警机制，加强财务危机管理；提高财务决策的科学化水平，防止因决策失误而产生的财务风险；通过防范内部制度，建立约束机制来控制和防范财务风险五个方面的财务风险防范措施以及自我保险、多元化风险控制、风险转移、风险回避、风险降低五种技术方法。

只有控制防范和化解企业财务风险，才能确保企业在激烈的市场竞争中立于不败之地。

财务风险的成因（一）外部原因1、国家政策的变化带来的融资风险。

一般而言，由于中小企业生产经营不稳定。

一国经济或金融政策的变化，都有可能对中小企业生产经营、市场环境和融资形式产生一定的影响。

从2007 年开始，我国加大了对宏观经济的调控力度，央行第四次提高存款准备金率，尤其是实行差额准备金制度使直接面向中小企业服务的中小商业银行信贷收紧，中小企业的资金供给首先受阻，融资风险徒增不少，中小企业也因无法得到急需资金而被迫停产或收缩经营规模。

2、银行融资渠道不流畅造成的融资风险。

企业资金来源无非是自有资金和对外融资两种方式。

在各种融资方式中，银行信贷又是重要的资金来源，但是银行在国家金融政策以及自身体制不健全等情况的影响下，普遍对中小企业贷款积极性不高，使其贷款难度加大，增加了企业的财务风险。

（二）内部原因1、盲目扩张投资规模。

有相当一部分的中小企业在条件不成熟的情况下，仅凭经验判断片面追求公司外延的扩大，忽略了公司内涵和核心竞争力，造成投资时资金的重大浪费。

2、投资决策失误。

对企业来说，正确的产业选择是生存发展的战略起点。

但一些企业在选择产业过程中，往往忽视了“产业选择是一个动态过程”的观念，不能敏锐地把握产业演变的趋势和方向。

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