东北地区1959 -2002年最高、最低气温时空变化特征

P==
PKN== ==== N~ TM MKQOMR
!
!"#$%& Ä !" Tm Tm !" !" !"#$%&' !"#$ # !$ !"
MKPM LNM~ TM !"# MKQM LNM~ !" MKOS LNM~ MKMS LNM~ !"# !"#$ NVRVJOMMO
!"#$%&'()* ! "#$ MKNT LNM~ !"#$%&' !"#
!$%&'()*+!,-. !"#$%&'()
!$%&'()*+,-./ !"#$%&'( !" !" !"# ^
!"#!$%&'()
N==
====
=
!
N R
!"#$% ! !"#$%&'()* !"#$%&'()*+,
S
!"#$%&'()(* !"#$%&'()*+, !"#$%&'() 1
!
!"
! LNM~I !"#$ !"# L
!"#$%&' ! MKOU LNM~I
====
!"# !"#$%& !"#
$!" NVRVJOMMO ! !"
!" ! !"# NM~I=
!"#$%&'($%)*+ !"#$ MKQT LNM~ ! "O ! NVRVJOMMO !
$!"%&'()*+,-./0 !"#$%&'()*
t
wenku.baidu.com
!"#$%&'()$*+, !"#$% !"#$%&'() !"S N U !"#$% N !" QQ=~ !N !"V NN
TM = 0.06t + 110.62 TM = 0.40t J 89.94 !a
!"#$% Tm ! Tm
!"#$%&'()*+, O ! Ä !"#$%& !"# QQ=~ !"#$% '() !"#$ ~ !" !"#$%&' !"#$%& !"#$%&' !"#$% #$%&'%()*+
!"!#$%&' !"#$%&' !"
V
!"#$%&'() ! QM=~ )*+,-.,/
NM
!"#$%&'(&) ! !"#$%&' !"#$"%&'( !"#$%&'() NVQM
!"#$%&'(!)* !"#$%&'()*+
!"#$%
Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2005, 1 (4): 168-171
Q==
====
=
[2]
Chambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001. Jones P D, Parker D E, Martin S, et al. Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years[J] . Rev. in Geophysics, 1999, 37 (3): 173-199. [3] Ratcliffe R A. Variability of weather over approximately the last century [J]. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1978 , 104 (2): 243-255. [4] I K= 45 !"#$%&=[J]. !" 1998,
1999
!"#$%&'( OMMO NV !"#$%
!"#$%& RM
!"# L0.1
!"#$#%&
1969
1979
1989
1999
!"#$%&'()
! 1959J2002 !"# a ! b ! !"#$%&' ( Fig.1 Annual variation of the maximum (a) and minimum (b) temperature in 1959-2002 (straight line: regression trend) 1==
20042041
!"#$%&'() K E-mail:sfh3910839@sina.com
Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2005, 1 (4): 168-171
Q
!W
! NVRVJOMMO
!
120 110 100 90 80 (a) 70 1959 0 J10 J20 J30 J40 (b) J50 1959
!"#$% NVRVJOMMO N QQ=~ !" !" # #
!"#$ !$%&'(
!"#$%&'()*+),-./ ==== !"#$ ==== O !" !"#$% !$%!&'()* * # !" !" !$%& !" !"#
56 (3): 257J271K [5] ! 19J26K [6] Cao H X, Mitchell J B F, Lavery J R. Simulated diurnal range and variability of surface temperature in a global climate model for present and doubled
Q
!W
! NVRVJOMMO
! !
[1]
!"#$%&'
171
!"#$ !" !"#$%
!"#$%&'( !"#$%&'()
! !"
Houghton J T, Ding Y H, Griggs D G, et al. Climate Change 2001: The Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [M].
[8] [7]
w w w. c l i m a t e c h a n g e . c n
!"
!"#$%& MKMN
!"#$% TM MKTOSS !"#$%& !"# TM
! αZMKMR
!"#$%& QQ=~
1== !"# !"# $!"%&'( Table 1 The trends of annual and seasonal maximum and minimum temperatures in Northeast China
!"# ! TM = 0.22t + 98.46 TM = 0.26t + 115.68 TM = 0.17t + 257.46 ! Tm = 0.47t J 30.61 Tm = 0.55t J25.63 Tm = 0.33t + 143.48 Tm = 0.30t J 18.75 Tm = 0.72t J221.55 CmJCMF !"#$% CmJCMFLE L 10a
O==
==== !"
!"
!"#$%&'$(%&)*#+% ! !"#$%&' !"#$% NOM !"#$% I
!"#$%&'!()*+,-./01
! !"
2005 J07J 12 = !"2005 J09 J19 !"#$%&'%( 2002DIB20069 1963J I !L I
!"#$%&'(
!"#$% MKOO
!"#$%& !"#$%&'(
!"#$%&'()*+ ==== !" !" !"#$!%&'()*&+,-./ !"#$%&'()*+,-. !"#$%&' # !" !"#$ !"#$%&' !"#$%& !"# !"#$%&' !" !"# !"#$% !"#$%& !"#$%&'(' ====
=
=
=
N = OMMR
Q NN
!"#$%
ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
Vol.1, No. 4 November, 2 0 0 5
!"1673-1719 (2005) 04-0168-04
! NVRVJOMMO !"#$%&
Characteristics of Spatial-Temporal Variability of Maximum and Minimum Temperatures in Northeast China during 1959-2002
!"#$%&'
169
!"
!"#$%&'()*+#,!"#$%& !"N !"#$%& NVSM
!"#$%& !"#$%&'() !" VP ! TQ ==== !"#$ # NVRV !"#$O !"#$ !"#$%&' !"#$%&'()
!"# L0.1
!"#$%&'()
!"
#
!
1969
1979
1989
w w w. c l i m a t e c h a n g e . c n
#$%&'()' !" !"
K
!"#$% O !"#$%&' !"#$% ==== P !" ! ==== Q !"
!"#$%&'
!"#$%&'(= [J].
I=1994, 20 (12):
!"#$%&'()*+#,-. !"#$%&' !"#$"%
!"#$% NVRVJNVSV !"#$%&'()* !"#$%& !"# Cã LNM~I ! TM
!"#$%&'Tm !"# TM Tm MKQT !" ==== ! NO !P R O LNM~ MKOO
0.25 0.29 0.16 0.24 0.32
`j
"O ! NO PKO== ==== ! ! !"# !"
!"#$ !"Cao et al K !" ! `lO !"#$%&
!"#$%&'()*+,-./012 !"#$%&'()$*+,-./0 !"#$ !"#$%&'() !"#$%&'()*+,
!"#$%&'( `lO
T
#$%&'( !"#
!"#$ !"#$%&'
!"#$%&'()*+,-./012" !"#$%&'()"*+,-. ! !" !"#$%& !"#$ !"#$% ! "#
0.25
46 N
0.35
44 N
0.3
0.3 0.35
!"#$%&'()*+,-./01 ==== !" ! !"#!$%&'()*&+, !"#$%&'()*+,-. !"#$%&' !"#$%
42 N 40 N 38 N 116 E 120 E 124 E 128 E 132 E 136 E
!"#$ PKP== !"#$"%&'()*+
N
==
O
N=
!"=
!"#$%& I= !"# TQ !" QQ=~
=
=NNMMNSX=O=
!"#$%&'() I= !"#$%&
=
=NNMMNS
=
!"# !"#$ !" ! !"
!"#$%&'() !" ( # !*
!"#
!"#$%&'()* !" ! # !"#$% !" !"#mQST====
QQ=~
!"#$!%&'()*+,-./0
0.65 0.7 0.6 0.55 0.5
40 N 38 N 116 E 56 N 54 N 52 N 50 N 48 N
0.4 0.5 0.45 0.35 0.3
120 E
124 E
128 E
132 E (b)
136 E
MKP MKS !"#$%&'() !"#$%&!'()*
Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2005, 1 (4): 168-171
=
=
=
NTM
56 N 54 N 52 N 50 N 48 N 46 N 44 N 42 N
0.65 0.55 0.6 0.75 0.6 0.65 0.65 0.7
! " # $ %
(a)
=OMMR
!"#$ ==== !"#$!%&'()*+, !"#$%& ! !" !"#$ ! !"#$ !"# !"#$ !"#$%&'()*+ !"#$%&'()*+, !"#$%&'()*+ !"# ==== !"#$%&'()*+,-./01 !"#$%&'() MKR MKU !"#$%&' !"#$%&'() !"#$ !"#$% +"#$, ! !"#$%&'()*+,-./0 !"#$%&'(#)*+ ! !"#$
!"#$%&' TM !"
!"#$%&'( TM !"#$%&'( !"#$%& !" MKTO LNM~ Tm
#$%&'()*+,&!"#$%&'( !" !"#$% !"
!"#$%&'()* !"#$%&'() !"# !"# !"#$%& !"#$% !"
MKRR LNM~ MKPP LNM~
U
!"#$%&' a !" b NVRVJOMMO Fig.2 Distribution of mean annual maximum and minimum termperatures in Northeast China during 1959-2002 2==
====Karl et alK
! NVRNJNVVM !"# MKUQ ! "P