人民币汇率变化及其对中国经济的影响

本科学位论文

人民币汇率变化及其对中国经济的影响

作者：宋杰

学院：管理科学与工程

专业：计算机科学与技术

年级：2008级

学号：2162208116

指导教师：孙刚

答辩日期：_________________

成绩：_________________

人民币汇率变化及其对中国经济的影响

摘要

随着全球经济一体化程度的不断深化，我国经济的外向型程度日益增强，在享受广泛参与世界经济所带来的诸多好处的同时，我国也面临着开放经济所必须面对的问题——汇率波动对经济所带来的正面和负面影响。因此，研究人民币汇率变化对中国经济方方面面的影响，对于优化我国产业结构、促进经济增长是十分具有现实意义的。

本文根据汇率波动的影响因素以及汇率变化对于中国经济的影响的基本理论，分析人民币实际有效汇率波动与我国经济变量之间的相互关系，系统地研究人民币实际有效汇率波动对我国宏观和微观经济的影响。本文主要结构为四部分：

第一部分概述人民币汇率制度的背景跟意义，阐述人民币汇率所经历的阶段，并对次贷危机之后的人民币汇率问题进行思考。

第二部分主要讨论分析人民币汇率变化的影响因素，通过对各种因素的分析，深入了解这些因素对于人民币汇率波动的影响。

第三部分主要讲述如果人民币升值，对于中国经济的各个方面所产生的影响，从升值这单一方面了解人民币汇率变化所带来的影响。

第四部分则是通过以上的分析与了解，我们对人民币汇率变化所产生的影响需要有所对策，以适当解决人民币汇率变化等问题，具有十分重要的意义。

关键词：人民币汇率中国经济影响因素对策与建议经济增长

ABSTRACT

With the continuous deepening of the global economic integration，the degree of export-oriented economy in China has been increasing. At the same time of enjoying the many benefits from Broad participation in the global economy, China is also facing problem that the open economy must face--the positive and negative effects of exchange rate fluctuations. So it is very practical significance for optimizing the industrial structure, promoting economic growth of China that study the exchange rate fluctuations impact to Chinese economic.

Based on the basic theory of exchange rate fluctuations to economic growth, through analysis the relationship between the RMB real effective exchange rate volatility and Chinese economic variables, this paper systematically study the impact of the RMB real effective exchange rate volatility to China macro-economic and micro-economic. This paper is structured as follows:

The first part is the introduction of the background and the significance of the system of the exchange rate of RMB, and talks about the stages of the exchange rate of RMB and thinks deeply the problem of the exchange rate of RMB after subprime crisis.

The second part mainly discusses the exchange rate of RMB changed influence factors, through the analysis of various factors, we will get a thorough understanding of these factors for the exchange rate of RMB fluctuations.

The third part is mainly about Chinese economy for all aspects of the impact from the appreciation of the RMB.

The fourth part is based on the above analysis and understandings, and we need to solve the problem of the exchange rate of RMB and it has very important sense.

Key words:exchange rate of RMB; Chinese economics; factors of influence; tactics and proposals; the growth of economics