andInflation宏观经济学加州大学詹姆斯·布拉德
policy(宏观经济学-加州大学-詹姆斯·布拉德福特·.ppt
Stabilization Policy
13-1
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Questions
• What principles should guide stabilization policy?
13-3
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Government Policy
• There are two kinds of government policy
– fiscal policy
– the principal policy-making body of the Federal Reserve system is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
• the FOMC lowers and raises interest rates and increases and decreases the money supply
13-6
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Figure 13.1 - Structure of the Federal Reserve System
13-7
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
一次性的价格调整，就不被认为
是通货膨胀。
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教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
30
接上页
通货膨胀是物价总体水平的上升，而不 一定是每一种商品有同一水平上升。
这也不一定是生活水平的下降，因为收 入水平
有可能有或可能没有同一水平上升。
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教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
31
c）、Price Indexes
衡量的是投资品的价格。 是一种批发价格指数。
在美国它包括了3,400种产品 但不包含劳务。
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教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
33
以上二种价格指数 都以基年数量为权重
即： （∑Ptiq0i）/（∑P0iq0i）×100 这类指数也称为
拉氏（Laspeyres）价格指数。
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事实是凯恩斯主义 没有结构性失业的概念的。
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教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
20
接上页
技术失业论，如马克思认为 有机构成的提高，
会造成失业的增加。 货币失业（供给不足）论。
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教案宏观经济学失业与通货膨胀
21
Classical Unemployment
古典的失业
经济高速发展：消费结构迅速变化。
解放鞋与旅游鞋。
产业技术迅速变化：电脑代替打字机。
产业结构迅速变化：石油代替煤。
中国经济体制改革使潜在失业显性化，
集中游离出劳动素质低的员工。
人力资源中知识存量的刚性与
21.11.2020
求职者教案在宏观职经济的学失业相与通对货膨刚胀 性。
18
Cyclical Unemployment
宏观经济学题库3简答题
3．为什么通货膨胀会有惯性？Why might inflation be inertial ？答：通货膨胀有惯性是因为人们总是根据目前所观测到的通货膨胀来修订他们对将来通货膨胀的预期。
比如，若价格水平正在快速上升，人们会预期价格继续急速上涨。
而通货膨胀预期又影响了人们在签订将来的合同时，对价格的设定。
即：如果现在的通货膨胀高，那么人们有理由相信将来通货膨胀仍将继续保持较高水平，因此，在各种合同中都把价格相应提高。
这样，表现出来的是物价水平持续上升。
4．解释需求拉动型通货膨胀与供给推动型通货膨胀之间的差别。
Explain the differences between demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation.答：（1）需求拉动型通货膨胀指总需求超过总供给所引起的一般价格水平的持续显著上涨。
供给推动型通货膨胀是在没有超额需求的情况下，由于供给方面成本的提高所引起的一般价格水平持续和显著地上涨，它又可以分为工资推动通货膨胀及利润推动通货膨胀。
（2）需求拉动型通货膨胀与供给推动型通货膨胀的区别主要表现在以下两个方面： ①造成通货膨胀的原因不同。
需求拉动型通货膨胀产生的原因在于：在总产量达到一定产量后，当需求增加时，供给会增加一部分，但供给的增加会遇到生产过程中的瓶颈现象，即由于劳动、原料、生产设备的不足使成本提高，从而引起价格上升。
或者在产量达到最大，即为充分就业时的产量时，当需求增加时，供给也不会增加，总需求增加只会引起价格的上涨。
消费需求、投资需求或来自政府的需求、国外需求都会导致需求拉动型通货膨胀。
供给推动型通货膨胀产生的原因在于：不完全竞争的劳动市场造成的过高工资所导致的一般价格水平的上涨，或者垄断企业和寡头企业利用市场势力谋取过高利润所导致的一般价格水平的上涨，前者因为工会的力量导致非市场化的工资，后者因为垄断导致非市场化的产品定价。
②对经济的影响效果不同。
mei宏观经济学名词解释
mei宏观经济学名词解释宏观经济学是研究整体经济运行和调控的学科。
以下是几个与宏观经济学相关的名词解释：1. 国内生产总值（Gross Domestic Product, GDP）：表示一个国家或地区在一定时期内生产的全部最终商品和服务的总价值。
GDP是衡量经济活动和国民经济总体发展水平的重要指标。
2. 供给与需求（Supply and Demand）：供给是市场上生产者为销售商品和服务而愿意提供的数量，需求是市场上消费者愿意购买的商品和服务的数量。
供给与需求的关系决定了市场均衡价格和数量。
3. 通货膨胀（Inflation）：指物价总水平持续上涨的情况。
通货膨胀可能导致货币贬值，购买力下降。
4. 失业率（Unemployment Rate）：用于衡量劳动力市场上没有工作但愿意工作的人口比例。
失业率是评估经济状况和就业机会的重要指标。
5. 货币政策（Monetary Policy）：由央行（例如：美联储）制定和执行的一系列措施，通过调整利率、货币供应量等手段来影响经济活动和通货膨胀水平。
6. 财政政策（Fiscal Policy）：政府通过调整支出和税收政策来影响经济活动和资源分配的手段。
财政政策可以通过刺激经济或调节经济波动来实现宏观经济目标。
7. 经济增长（Economic Growth）：一个经济体在一定时期内实际产出的总量增加。
经济增长通常被认为是一个国家或地区经济发展的重要目标。
8. 外汇市场（Foreign Exchange Market）：国际货币兑换的市场，也是不同国家货币汇率形成的地方。
外汇市场对国际贸易和跨国投资等经济活动具有重要影响。
9. 经济周期（Business Cycle）：经济活动波动的周期性变化。
经济周期包括扩张阶段、高峰阶段、衰退阶段和底部阶段，不同阶段的经济表现和政策需求有所不同。
10. 国际贸易（International Trade）：不同国家和地区之间的商品和服务交换。
宏观经济学英文版
宏观经济学英文版English: Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that studies the behavior of an economy as a whole, focusing on factors such as inflation, unemployment, economic growth, and monetary and fiscal policies. It explores the aggregate outcomes of individual decisions made by households, businesses, and governments, and seeks to understand how these decisions impact overall economic performance. Macroeconomists use models to analyze and predict economic trends, and to formulate policies that can help stabilize and promote sustainable growth in the economy. By studying the relationships between different macroeconomic variables, such as consumption, investment, and government spending, macroeconomics provides valuable insights into how policymakers can manage economic fluctuations and achieve national economic goals. Overall, macroeconomics plays a crucial role in shaping government policies, business strategies, and individual financial decisions, by providing a framework for understanding and addressing the complex dynamics of modern economies.中文翻译: 宏观经济学是经济学的一个分支，研究整体经济行为，专注于通货膨胀、失业、经济增长以及货币和财政政策等因素。
曼昆《经济学原理》（宏观）第五版测试题库（30）
曼昆《经济学原理》（宏观）第五版测试题库（30）Chapter 30Money Growth and InflationTRUE/FALSE1. The inflation rate is measured as the percentage change in a price index.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: InflationKEY: MSC: Definitional2. U.S. prices rose at an average annual rate of about 4 percent over the last 70 years.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: InflationMSC: Analytical3. The United States has never had deflation.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: DeflationMSC: Definitional4. In the 1990s, U.S. prices rose at about the same rate as in the 1970s.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: U.S. inflationMSC: Definitional5. As the price level falls, the value of money falls.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Value | MoneyMSC: Interpretive6. The price level is determined by the supply of, and demand for, money.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Definitional7. If the quantity of money supplied is greater than the quantity demanded, then prices should fall.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical8. Dollar prices and relative prices are both nominal variables.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of moneyTOP: Nominal variables | Real variables MSC: Definitional9. The quantity equation is M x V = P x Y.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Quantity equationMSC: Definitional10. According to the Fisher effect, if inflation rises then the nominal interest rate rises.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Fisher effectMSC: Definitional11. An increase in money demand would create a surplus of money at the original value of money.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Applicative201412. Hyperinflations are associated with governments printing money to finance expenditures.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: HyperinflationMSC: Definitional13. For a given level of money and real GDP, an increase in velocity would lead to an increase in the price level. ANS: T DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Velocity of moneyMSC: Analytical14. The quantity theory of money can explain hyperinflations but not moderate i nflation.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: HyperinflationMSC: Interpretive15. If P represents the price of goods and services measured in money, then 1/P is the value of money measured interms of goods and services.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money | ValueMSC: Interpretive16. When the value of money is on the vertical axis, an increase in the price level shifts money demand to theright.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money demandMSC: Applicative17. The money supply curve shifts to the left when the Fed buys government bonds.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money supplyMSC: Analytical18. When the value of money is on the vertical axis, the money supply curve slopes upward because an increase in the value of money induces banks to create more money.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money supplyMSC: Definitional19. If the Fed increases the money supply, the equilibrium value of money decreases and the equilibrium price level increases.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical20. A rising price level eliminates an excess supply of money.ANS: T DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical21. A rising value of money eliminates an excess supply of money.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical22. Nominal GDP measures output of final goods and services in physical terms.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Nominal variablesMSC: Interpretive2016 Chapter 30 /Money Growth and Inflation23. The classical dichotomy is useful for analyzing the economy because in the long run nominal variables are heavily influenced by developments in the monetary system, and real variables are not.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Classical dichotomyMSC: Definitional24. The irrelevance of monetary changes for real variables is called monetary neutrality. Most economists accept monetary neutrality as a good description of the economy in the long run, but not the short run.ANS: T DIF: 2 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Monetary neutralityMSC: Interpretive25. The quantity theory of money implies that if output and velocity are constant, then a 50 percent increase in themoney supply would lead to less than a 50 percent increase in the price level.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Quantity theoryMSC: Applicative26. The source of all four classic hyperinflations was high rates of money growth.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: HyperinflationMSC: Definitional27. In the long run, an increase in the growth rate of the money supply leads to an increase in the real interest rate,but no change in the nominal interest rate.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-1NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Quantity theoryMSC: Definitional28. Inflation induces people to spend more resources maintaining lower money holdings. The costs of doing thisare called shoeleather costs.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Shoeleather costs of inflation MSC: Definitional29. Shoeleather costs and menu costs are both costs of anticipated inflation.ANS: T DIF: 1 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflationTOP: Shoeleather costs of inflation | Menu costs o f inflation MSC: Definitional30. For a given real interest rate, an increase in the inflation rate reduces the after-tax real interest rate.ANS: T DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP:Inflation | Taxes | Real interest rate MSC: Analytical31. Inflation necessarily distorts saving when either real interest income or nominal interest income is taxed. ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Inflation | Real interest rate MSC: Interpretive32. Inflation distorts savings when real interest income, rather than nominal interest income, is taxed.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Inflation | Real interest rate MSC: Interpretive33. Suppose the nominal interest rate is 10 percent; the tax rate on interest income is 28 percent, and the inflationrate is 6 percent. Then the after-tax real interest rate is -3.2 percent.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Taxes | Real interest rateMSC: Interpretive34. Suppose the nominal interest rate is 5 percent; the tax rate on interest income is 30 percent, and the after-taxreal interest rate is 0.8 percent. Then the inflation rate is 2.7 percent.ANS: T DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Taxes | Real interest rate MSC: Interpretive35. If the Fed were to unexpectedly increase the money supply, creditors would gain at the expense of debtors. ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of moneyTOP: Wealth redistribution | Inflation MSC: Applicative36. If inflation is higher than expected, then borrowers make nominal interest payments that are less than theyexpected.ANS: F DIF: 2 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Menu costs of inflationMSC: Applicative37. Inflation is costly only if it is unanticipated.ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-2NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation costsMSC: Interpretive38. Even though monetary policy is neutral in the short run, it may have profound real effects in the long run. ANS: F DIF: 1 REF: 30-3NAT: Analytic LOC: The role of money TOP: Monetary neutralityMSC: InterpretiveSHORT ANSWER1. Why did farmers in the late 1800s dislike deflation?ANS:Most had large nominal debts. The decrease in the price level meant that they received less for what they produced and so made it harder to pay off the debts whose real value rose as prices fell.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Deflation MSC: Analytical2. Explain the adjustment process in the money market that creates a change in the price level when the moneysupply increases.ANS:When the money supply increases, there is an excess supply of money at the original value of money. After the money supply increases, people have more money than they want to hold in their purses, wallets and checking accounts. They use this excess money to buy goods and services or lend it out to other people to buy goods and services. The increase in expenditures causes prices to rise and the value of money to fall. As the value of money falls, the quantity of money people want to hold increases so that the excess supply is eliminated. At the end of this process the money market is in equilibrium at a higher price level and a lower value of money.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical2018 Chapter 30 /Money Growth and Inflation3. Suppose the Fed sells government bonds. Use a graph of the money market to show what this does to the valueof money.ANS:When the Fed sells government bonds, the money supply decreases. This shifts the money supply curve from MS1 to MS2 and makes the value of money increase. Since money is worth more, it takes less to buy goods with it, which means the price level falls.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical4. Using separate graphs, demonstrate what happens to the money supply, money demand, the value of money,and the price level if:a. the Fed increases the money supply.b. people decide to demand less money at each value of money.ANS:a. The Fed increases the money supply. When the Fed increases the money supply, the money supply curveshifts right from MS1 to MS2. This shift causes the value of money to fall, so the price level rises.b. People decide to demand less money at each value of money. Since people want to hold less at eachvalue of money, it follows that the money demand curve will shift to the left from MD1 to MD2. Thedecrease in money demand results in a lower value of money and so a higher price level.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Money marketMSC: Analytical5. According to the classical dichotomy, what changes nominal variables? What changes real variables? ANS:The classical dichotomy argues that nominal variables are determined primarily by developments in the monetary system such as changes in money demand and supply. Real variables are largely independent of the monetary system and are determined by productivity and real changes in the factor and loanable funds markets.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Classical dichotomyMSC: Definitional6. Suppose that monetary neutrality holds. Of the following variables, which ones do not change when themoney supply increases?a. real interest ratesb. inflationc. the price leveld. real outpute. real wagesf. nominal wagesANS:a. real interest ratesd. real outpute. real wagesDIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Monetary neutralityMSC: Interpretive7. Wages and prices are many times higher today than they were 30 years ago, yet people do not work a lot morehours or buy fewer goods. How can this be?ANS:Inflation has raised the general price level. An increase in the general price level has no effect on real variables in the long run. Wages are higher, but so are prices. Prices are higher, but so are wages and incomes. In the long run, people change their behavior in response to changes in real variables, not nominal ones.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Nominal variables | Real variablesMSC: Interpretive8. Identify each of the following as nominal or real variables.a. the physical output of goods and servicesb. the overall price levelc. the dollar price of applesd. the price of apples relative to the price of orangese. the unemployment ratef. the amount that shows up on your paycheck after taxesg. the amount of goods you can purchase with the wage you get each hourh. the taxes that you pay the governmentANS:a. real variableb. nominal variablec. nominal variabled. real variablee. real variablef. nominal variableg. real variableh. nominal variableDIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Nominal variables | Real variablesMSC: Interpretive2020 Chapter 30 /Money Growth and Inflation9. Define each of the symbols and explain the meaning o f M V = P Y.ANS:M is the quantity of money, V is the velocity of money, P is the price level, and Y is the quantity of o utput. P Y is nominal GDP. The amount people spend should equal the amount of money in the economy times the average number of times each unit of currency is spent.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Velocity MSC: Definitional10. What assumptions are necessary to argue that the quantity equation implies that increases in the money supplylead to proportional changes in the price level?ANS:We must suppose that V is relatively constant and that changes in the money supply have no effect on real output. DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Quantity theoryMSC: Definitional11. What is the inflation tax, and how might it explain the creation of inflation by a central bank?ANS:The inflation tax refers to the fact that inflation is a tax on money. When prices rise, the value of money currently held is reduced. Hence, when a government raises revenue by printing money, it obtains resources from households by taxing their money holdings through inflation rather than by sending them a tax bill. In countries where governments are unable or unwilling to raise revenues by raising taxes explicitly, the inflation tax may be an alternative source of revenue.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Inflation tax MSC: Interpretive12. Economists agree that increases in the money-supply growth rate increase inflation and that inflation isundesirable. So why have there been hyperinflations and how have they been ended?ANS:Typically, the government in countries that had hyperinflation started with high spending, inadequate tax revenue, and limited ability to borrow. Therefore, they turned to the printing presses to pay their bills. Massive and continued increases in the quantity of money led to hyperinflation, which ended when the governments instituted fiscal reforms eliminating the need for the inflation tax and subsequently slowed money supply growth.DIF: 2 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: HyperinflationMSC: Interpretive13. Suppose that velocity and output are constant and that the quantity theory and the Fisher effect both hold.What happens to inflation, real interest rates, and nominal interest rates when the money supply growth rate increases from 5 percent to 10 percent?ANS:Inflation and nominal interest rates each increase by 5 percent points. There is no change in the real interest rate or any other real variable.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Inflation MSC: Analytical14. In recent years Venezuela and Russia have had much higher nominal interest rates than the United Stateswhile Japan has had lower nominal interest rates. What would you predict is true about money growth in these other countries? Why?ANS:The Fisher effect says that increases in the inflation rate lead to one-to-one increases in nominal interest rates. The quantity theory says that in the long run, inflation increases one-to-one with money supply growth. It follows that differences in nominal interest rates may be due to differences in money supply growth rates. It is reasonable to guess that much higher nominal interest rates in Venezuela and Russia indicate higher money supply growth while lower interest rates in Japan indicate lower money supply growth.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Fisher effect MSC: Applicative15. The U.S. Treasury Department issues inflation-indexed bonds. What are inflation-indexed bonds and why arethey important?ANS:Inflation-indexed bonds are bonds whose interest and principal payments are adjusted upward for inflation, guaranteeing their real purchasing power in the future. They are important because they provide a safe, inflation- proof asset for savers and they may allow the Treasury to borrow more easily at a lower current cost.DIF: 1 REF: 30-1 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Index bonds MSC: Definitional16. List and define any two of the costs of high inflation.ANS:The costs include:Shoeleather costs: the resources wasted when inflation induces people to reduce their money holdings.Menu costs: the cost of more frequent price changes at higher inflation rates.Relative Price Variability: because prices change infrequently, higher inflation causes relative prices to vary more. Decisions based on relative prices are then distorted so that resources may not be allocated efficiently.Inflation Induced Tax Distortions: the income tax is not completely indexed for inflation; an increase in nominal income created by inflation results in higher real tax rates that discourage savings.Confusion and Inconvenience: inflation decreases the reliability of the unit of account making it more complicated to differentiate successful and unsuccessful firms thereby impeding the efficient allocation of funds to alternative investments.Unexpected Inflation: inflation decreases the real value of debt thereby transferring wealth from creditors to debtors. DIF: 1 REF: 30-2 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Inflation costsMSC: Definitional17. Inflation distorts relative prices. What does this mean and why does it impose a cost on society?ANS:Relative prices are the value of one good in terms of other goods. Relative prices ordinarily provide signals concerning therelative scarcity of goods so the goods may be allocated efficiently. Some prices change infrequently, so that when inflation rises, there is greater variation in relative prices. However, changes in relative prices created by inflation do not signal changes in the scarcity of goods and so lead to an inefficient allocation of goods and resources.DIF: 1 REF: 30-2 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Relative price variabilityMSC: Interpretive18. Explain how inflation affects savings.ANS:Inflation discourages savings. Income tax is collected on nominal rather than real interest rates. So an increase in inflation will increase nominal interest rates and taxes. The increase in taxes in turn lowers the real return on savings and so discourages savings.DIF: 1 REF: 30-2 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Saving | InflationMSC: Applicative2022 Chapter 30 /Money Growth and Inflation19. The U.S. Treasury Department began issuing inflation-indexed bonds in early 1997. Since these assets arevirtually risk free, both in terms of default risk and inflation risk, will they quickly replace all other kinds of assets that still entail risk of one kind or another, such as ordinary government bonds or corporate bonds?Explain.ANS:When individuals are choosing between assets of different kinds, they consider both expected return and risk. Because the new inflation-indexed bonds have very low risk, they will also have very low real interest rates. So they will not replace other, more risky assets that promise to pay a much higher real interest rate. They do, however, offer a way of escaping some inflation risk, and have become a popular addition to portfolios.DIF: 1 REF: 30-2 NAT: AnalyticLOC: The role of money TOP: Index bonds MSC: AnalyticalSec00 - Money Growth and InflationMULTIPLE CHOICE1. Over the past 70 years, prices in the U.S. have risen on average abouta. 2 percent per year.b. 4 percent per year.c. 6 percent per year.d. 8 percent per year.ANS: B DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Definitional2. Over the past 70 years, the overall price level in the U.S. has experienced a(n)a. 4-fold increase.b. 8-fold increase.c. 12-fold increase.d. 16-fold increase.ANS: D DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Definitional3. Over the last 70 years, the average annual U.S. inflation rate was abouta. 2 percent, implying that prices have increased 10-fold.b. 4 percent, implying that prices have increased 10-fold.c. 2 percent, implying that prices have increased 16-fold.d. 4 percent, implying that prices increased about 16-fold.ANS: D DIF: 2 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Definitional4. Inflation can be measured by thea. change in the consumer price index.b. percentage change in the consumer price index.c. percentage change in the price of a specific commodity.d. change in the price of a specific commodity.ANS: B DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: InflationMSC: Definitional5. Which of the following is not correct?a. The inflation rate is measured as the percentage change in a price index.b. For the last 40 or so years, U.S. inflation hasn’t shown much variation from its average rate of about 2 percent.c. During the 19th century there were long periods of falling prices.d. Some economists argue that the costs of moderate inflation are not nearly as large as the general public believes.ANS: B DIF: 2 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: InflationMSC: Interpretive6. In which of the following cases was the inflation rate 10 percent over the last year?a. One year ago the price index had a value of 110 and now it has a value of 120.b. One year ago the price index had a value of 120 and now it has a value of 132.c. One year ago the price index had a value of 126 and now it has a value of 140.d. One year ago the price index had a value of 145 and now it has a value of 163. ANS: B DIF: 2 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Applicative7. If the price level increased from 120 to 126, then what was the inflation rate?a. 3 percentb. 5 percentc. 6 percentd. None of the above is correct.ANS: B DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Applicative8. If the price level increased from 120 to 150, then what was the inflation rate?a. 30 percentb. 25 percentc. 20 percentd. None of the above is correct.ANS: B DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: Inflation rateMSC: Applicative9. When prices are falling, economists say that there isa. disinflation.b. deflation.c. a contraction.d. an inverted inflation.ANS: B DIF: 1 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: DeflationMSC: Definitional10. Deflationa. increases incomes and enhances the ability of debtors to pay off their debts.b. increases incomes and reduces the ability of debtors to pay off their debts.c. decreases incomes and enhances the ability of debtors to pay off their debts.d. decreases incomes and reduces the ability of debtors to pay off their debts. ANS: D DIF: 2 REF: 30-0NAT: Analytic LOC: Unemployment and inflation TOP: DeflationMSC: Interpretive。
通货膨胀的书
通货膨胀的书
以下是一些关于通货膨胀的书籍推荐：
1. 《通货膨胀和通货紧缩》（Inflation and Deflation）- 亨利·史克雷奇
这本书是一本具有历史和经济学视角的通货膨胀与通货紧缩研究的经典著作，可以帮助读者更好地理解通货膨胀的原因和影响。
2. 《通货膨胀的万物论》（The Inflationary Universe）- 亚伯特·利斯捷夫
这本书主要关注通货膨胀在宇宙学中的作用，讨论了宇宙通货膨胀的起源和未来发展的可能性，是一本结合了物理学和经济学的独特著作。
3. 《通货膨胀与股市》（Inflation and the Stock Market）- Anthony Boeckh
这本书探讨了通货膨胀对股票市场的影响，讲解了通货膨胀如何通过影响利率、企业盈利和股票市场情绪而影响股票投资。
4. 《通货膨胀：经济与金融的百科全书》（Inflation: Causes, Consequences, and Cures）- Robert E. Hall、John B. Taylor
这本书是一本全面深入地研究通货膨胀的参考书籍，涵盖了通货膨胀的原因、后果以及治理方法，对经济学和金融学的学生和专业人士都有很大的价值。
5. 《通货膨胀与货币价值的历史纵览》（A History of
Inflationary Money）- Arthur M. Silvergate
这本书提供了对货币通货膨胀的历史研究，从古代到现代的货币膨胀现象进行了概述，可以让读者对货币通胀问题有更全面的认识。
以上是一些关于通货膨胀的书籍推荐，覆盖了不同的主题和视角，读者可以根据自己的兴趣和需求进行选择。
宏观经济学-布兰查德第六版-第12章
1、失业率u uU L
U—— 失业人口 L—— 总的劳动力人口
Labor force = employed + unemployed L= N + U
失业人口统计： （1）在失业办公室登记的人；（40年代，动机） （2）家庭调查。（现在，较准确）
欧元区与欧盟28国的失业率
EU28
经济学家关注失业率的原因
25
21.3
20
RGDP%
15
10
7.6
5
0
1953 1955 1957 1959 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
-29.7
※支出法： GDP=全社会对当期生产的最终产品的购买支出 GDP=200美元
2、名义GDP与实际GDP
• 名义GDP：以当年价格计算的GDP • 实际GDP：以基年价格计算的GDP
美国的名义GDP、实际GDP
以1995年不变价格计算
当产品的质量 发生改变时，如 何测量实际GDP 是一个困难。
二、其它主要宏观经济变量
（2）通货膨胀率π
• 总体价格水平的变化率 π = Pt – P t-1 P t-1
通货膨胀：总体价格水平的持续上涨 通货紧缩：总体价格水平的持续下降
为什么宏观经济学家关注通货膨胀
• 因为没有所谓的纯粹通货膨胀
（1）在通货膨胀时期，并非所有的价格和工资都是按同比例上 升的，因此，通货膨胀会影响是收入水平。（退休人员） （2）通货膨胀还会导致其它扭曲。相对价格变化导致更多的不 确定性（价格管制）、税收等级调整（税级攀升）等。
多恩布什《宏观经济学》(英文第八版)答案-第六章
Chapter 6 Solutions to the Problems in the Textbook:Conceptual Problems:1. The aggregate supply curve and the Phillips curve describe very similar relationships and bothcurves can be used to analyze the same phenomena. The AS-curve shows a relationship between the price level and the level of output. The Phillips curve shows a relationship between the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate, given certain inflationary expectations. For example, a movement along the AS-curve depicts an increase in the price level that is associated with an increase in the level of output. As output increases, the rate of unemployment decreases (see Okun’s law).Therefore, with a larger increase in the price level (a higher level of inflation) there will be a decrease in unemployment, creating a downward-sloping Phillips curve.This downward sloping Phillips curve shifts whenever inflationary expectations change. If one assumes that workers will change their wage demands whenever their inflationary expectations change, one can conclude that a shift in the Phillips curve corresponds to a shift in the upward sloping AS-curve, since higher wages mean higher cost of production.2. In the short run, when wages and prices are assumed to be fixed, there can be no inflation and thusthe Phillips curve makes no sense over this very brief time frame. But in the medium run (in this chapter also often referred to as the short run), the Phillips curve is downward sloping as inflationary expectations are assumed to be constant. In the long run, the Phillips curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment, which corresponds to the vertical long-run AS-curve at the full-employment level of output.3. A variety of explanations are given in this chapter for the stickiness of wages in the short orintermediate run. One is that workers have imperfect information and nobody knows the actual price level. People don’t know whether a change in their nominal wage is the result of an increase in prices or in the real wage they receive for the work they provide. Due to this uncertainty, labor markets will not clear immediately. Another argument relies on coordination problems, that is, different firms within an economy cannot coordinate price changes in response to monetary policy changes.Individual firms change their prices only reluctantly, since they are afraid of losing market share. The efficiency wage theory argues that employers pay above market-clearing wages to motivate their workers to work harder. Firms are also reluctant to change wages because of the perceived menu costs involved. There are long-term relations between firms and workers and wages are usually set in nominal terms by wage contracts, which are renegotiated only periodically. Thus real wages fluctuate over time as the price level changes. Finally, the insider-outsider model argues that firms negotiate only with their own employees but not with unemployed workers. Since a turnover in the labor force is costly to firms, they are willing to offer above market-clearing wages to the currently employed rather than hiring the unemployed who may be willing to work for lower wages.These different views are not necessarily mutually exclusive and it is up to students to decide which of the arguments presented here they find most plausible. The explanations differ mainly in their assumption of how fast markets clear and whether employment variations are voluntary.4.a. Stagflation is defined as a period of high unemployment accompanied by high inflation.4.b. Stagflation can occur in time periods when people have high inflationary expectations. If theeconomy goes into a recession, the actual rate of inflation will fall below the expected rate of inflation.However, the actual inflation rate may still be very high while the rate of unemployment is increasing.For example, the Fed may have let money supply grow much too fast in the past, so everyone expectsa high inflation rate. If a supply shock occurs, we will see an increase in the rate of unemploymentwhile inflationary expectations and actual inflation remain very high. This scenario occurred during the 1970s. Once we have reached such a situation, it becomes necessary to design policies that will reduce inflationary expectations to shift the Phillips curve back to the left.5. Assume a disturbance occurs and the AD-curve shifts to the right. Unemployment decreases andinflation increases, and we move along the downward sloping Phillips curve to the left. However, as soon as people realize that actual inflation is higher than their inflationary expectations, they adjust their inflationary expectations upward and the downward-sloping Phillips curve shifts to the right, eventually returning unemployment back to its natural rate. In other words, the economy adjusts back at the full-employment level of income.If an adverse supply shock occurs (the upward-sloping AS-curve shifts to the left), unemployment and inflation increase simultaneously. This will correspond to a shift of the downward-sloping Phillips curve to the right. However, when people realize that actual inflation is less than expected inflation, then the downward-sloping Phillips curve starts to shift back and the economy adjusts back to the natural rate of unemployment in the long run.6.The expectations-augmented Phillips curve predicts that inflation will rise above the expected levelwhen unemployment drops below its natural rate. However, if people know that this is going to happen, why don’t they immediately adjust to it? And if people immediately adjusted to it, wouldn’t this imply that anticipated monetary policy would be ineffective to cause any deviation from the full-employment level of output? In reality, however, even if people have rational expectations, they may not be able to adjust immediately. One reason is that wage contracts often set wages for an extended time period. Similarly, prices cannot always be changed right away and the costs of changing prices may outweigh the benefits. A further argument is that even rational people make forecasting mistakes and learn only slowly.In other words, the location of the expectations-augmented Phillips curve is determined by the level of expected inflation, which is set by recent historical experience. A shift in this curve caused by changing inflationary expectations occurs only gradually. The rational expectations model, on the other hand, assumes that the Phillips curve shifts almost instantaneously as new information about the near future becomes available.Technical Problems:1. A reduction in the supply of money leads to excess demand for money and increased interest rates,reducing the level of private spending (especially investment). Therefore the AD-curve shifts to the left. This causes an excess supply of goods and services at the original price level so the price level starts to decrease. Since the AS-curve is upward sloping, a new short-run macro-equilibrium is reached at a lower level of output (and thus a higher level of unemployment) and a lower price level.PP1However, the higher level of unemployment eventually puts downward pressure on wages, reducing the cost of production and shifting the upward-sloping AS-curve to the right. Alternatively, since this equilibrium output level is below the full-employment level, prices will continue to fall, and the upward-sloping AS-curve will shift to the right. As long as output is below the full-employment level Y*, the upward-sloping AS-curve will continue to shift to the right, which means that the price level will continue to decline. Eventually a new long-run equilibrium will be reached at the full-employment level of output (Y*) and a lower price level.2. According to the rational expectations theory, an announced change in monetary policy wouldimmediately change people’s perception in regard to the expected inflation rate. If people could adjust immediately to this change in inflationary expectations, then the rate of unemployment or the output level would remain the same. In other words, we would immediately move from point 1 to point 3 in the diagram used to explain the previous question and the Fed would be unable to affect the unemployment rate. In reality, however, even if people have rational expectations and can anticipate the effects of a policy change correctly, they may not be able to immediately adjust due to wage contracts, etc. Thus, there will always be some deviation from the full-employment output level Y*.3.a. A favorable supply shock, such as a decline in material prices, shifts the upward-sloping AS-curve tothe right, leading to excess supply at the existing price level. A new short-run equilibrium is reached at a higher level of output and a lower price level. But since output is now above the full-employment level Y*, there is upward pressure on wages and prices and the upward-sloping AS-curve shifts back to the right. A new long-run equilibrium is reached back at the original position (Y*), and the original price level (assuming that the change in material prices did not affect the full-employment level of output). Since nominal wages (W) will have risen but the price level (P) will not have changed, real wages (W/P) will have increased.PP1P20 13.b. Lower material prices lower the cost of production, shifting the upward-sloping AS-curve shiftsto the right, and leading to an increase in output and a lower price level. Since unemployment is now below its natural rate, there is a shortage of labor, providing upward pressure on wages. This will increase the cost of production again, eventually shifting the upward-sloping AS-curve back to the original long-run equilibrium (assuming that potential GDP has not been affected).Additional Problems:1. Explain the long-run effect of an increase in nominal money supply on the amount of realmoney balances available in the economy.In the very short run, the price level is fixed, so if nominal money supply (M) increases, a higher level of real money balances is available, causing interest rates to fall and the level of investment spending to increase. This leads to an increase in aggregate demand. The shift to the right of the AD-curve causes the price level (P) to increase, leading to a reduction in real money balances (M/P). In the medium run (an upward-sloping AS-curve), we reach a new equilibrium at a higher output level and a higher price level. Since prices have gone up proportionally less than nominal money supply, real money balances have increased. However, to reach a new long-run equilibrium, prices have to increase further, and as a result, the level of real money balances will decrease further. When the new long-run equilibrium at Y* is finally reached, the price level will have risen proportionally to nominal money supply and the level of real money balances will be back at its original level.2. Assume the economy is in a recession. Describe an adjustment process that will ensure that theeconomy eventually will return to full employment. How can the government speed up this process?If the economy is in a recession, there will be downward pressure on wages and prices, which will bring the economy back to the full-employment output level. The upward-sloping AS-curve will shift to the right due to lower production costs. However, this process may take a fairly long time. The government can shorten this adjustment process with the help of expansionary fiscal or monetary policies to stimulate aggregate demand. The resulting shift to the right of the AD-curve implies that the final long-run equilibrium will be at a higher price level. In other words, the reduction in unemployment can only be achieved at the cost of higher inflation.3. "The stickiness of wages implies that policy makers can achieve low unemployment only if theyare willing to put up with high inflation." Comment on this statement.There are several explanations of why wages and prices adjust only slowly. One is that workers have imperfect information, so they do not realize that lower prices mean higher real wages. Another is that firms are reluctant to change prices and wages since they are unsure about the behavior of their competitors and want to avoid the perceived cost of making these changes. Finally, wage contracts tend to be long-term and staggered, so it takes time to adjust wages to price changes. Some firms may pay their workers above market-clearing wages to keep them happy and productive. For these reasons, wages and prices tend to be rigid in the short run. Thus it takes time for the economy to adjust back to full-employment.If there were a stable Phillips-curve relationship, a low rate of unemployment could only be achieved by allowing inflation to increase. However, such a stable relationship does not exist. Wages tend to be rigid in the short run, so expansionary policies lower unemployment and increase inflation in the short run. In the long run, however, the economy will adjust back to the natural rate of unemployment, so expansionary policies simply lead to a higher price level.4. "If we assume that people have rational expectations, then fiscal policy is always irrelevant.But monetary policy can still be used to affect the rate of inflation and unemployment."Comment on this statement.Individuals and firms with rational expectations consistently make optimal decisions based on all information available. As long as a policy change is anticipated, people are able to assess its long-run outcome and will try to immediately adjust. Since fiscal policy doesn't affect inflation or unemployment in the long run, it is also ineffective in the short run if wages and prices are assumed to be flexible. An anticipated change in monetary growth, on the other hand, will be reflected in a change in the inflation rate. If wages are flexible, workers will adjust their wage demands immediately and no significant change in the unemployment rate will occur. However, even if people have rational expectations, wages tend to be fairly rigid in the short run due to wage contracts. Therefore, it will take time for the economy to adjust back to a long-run equilibrium. This implies that both fiscal and monetary policy can affect the rate of inflation and unemployment to some degree in the short run.5. "Inflation cannot accelerate in a recession, when the rate of unemployment is above its naturalrate." Comment on this statement.Inflation can accelerate even in a recession, that is, when the unemployment is high, if a supply shock occurs. An oil price increase will increase the cost of production, so the upward-sloping AS-curve will shift to the left. This will increase the inflation rate and the rate of unemployment simultaneously, as firms increase their product prices and cut their production. If the Fed tries to accommodate the supply shock with expansionary monetary policy in an effort to stimulate the economy, then inflation will accelerate even more, as the AD-curve shifts to the right.6. Comment on the following statement:"The coordination approach to the Phillips curve focuses on the problems that the administration has in coordinating its fiscal policies with the monetary policies of the Fed." The coordination approach has nothing to do with fiscal or monetary policy but is simply one explanation of why wages adjust slowly. This view asserts that firms generally are unable to coordinate wage and price changes in response to a monetary policy change. For example, any firm that cuts workers' wages in response to monetary contraction while other firms don't, will anger its employees who may then choose to leave. Firms are also reluctant to change their prices since they are unsure about their competitors' behavior. Thus wages and prices change only slowly in response to a change in aggregate demand. This implies an upward-sloping (short-run) AS-curve.7. Comment on the following statement:"The unemployment rate is zero at the full-employment level of output."With a higher price level real wages decline, increasing the quantity of labor demanded. Therefore the nominal wage rate is bid up until the real wage rate is restored to its unique equilibrium level. Similarly, if prices fall, real wages increase, leading to unemployment. The nominal wage rate falls to bring the real wage rate back to its equilibrium level. So the nominal wage rate changes in proportion to the price level to maintain a real wage rate that clears the labor market. At this wage rate, the full-employment level of output is produced. However, at the full-employment output level the unemployment rate is not zero. Due to frictions in the labor market, there is always a positive unemployment rate, as workers switch between jobs. This is called the natural rate of unemployment.8. Briefly state the reason for the slow adjustment of wages to changes in aggregate demand. The reasons for the slow adjustment of nominal wages can be explained in several ways. One explanation is that workers have imperfect information, that is, they do not immediately realize whether a change in their nominal wage is the result of an increase in prices or in the real wage they receive for the work they provide. Another explanation is that coordination problems exist, that is, different firms within an economy are unsure about the behavior of their competitors and thus they only reluctantly change wages or prices. The efficiency wage theory, on the other hand, argues that firms pay above market-clearing wages to motivate their workers to work harder. Firms are also reluctant to change wages due to the perceived cost of doing so. Another argument is that wage contracts tend to be long-term, so real wages tend to fluctuate over the length of the contract and output adjusts only slowly to price changes. Finally, the insider-outsider model argues that firms negotiate only with their employees but not the unemployed. Since a turnover of the labor force is costly to firms, they are willing to offer above market-clearing wages to the currently employed rather than hiring the unemployed who may be willing to work for less. These various explanations are not mutually exclusive, and they all imply that the AS-curve is positively sloped, that is, that a change in aggregate demand will affect both output and prices in the short run.9. True or false? Why?"There is no frictional unemployment at the natural rate of unemployment."False. The natural rate of unemployment is the rate at which the labor market is in equilibrium. But there is always some unemployment due to new entrants into the labor force, people between jobs, and the like.This rate of unemployment is considered normal, due to frictions in the labor market, and is often called frictional unemployment.10. "If everyone in this economy had rational expectations, then wages would be flexible andunemployment could not occur." Comment on this statement.The new Keynesian models argue that even if people have rational expectations, socially undesirable outcomes may still occur due to imperfect competition and the existence of wage contracts. Prices may not change freely, since firms in imperfectly competitive markets are reluctant to change them, due to the menu costs involved. Nominal wages are set by contracts over a period of time, so the economy may adjust only slowly to a decrease in aggregate demand. Thus a rate of unemployment higher than the natural rate can exist over an extended period of time.11. True or false? Why?"If nominal wages were more flexible, expansionary policies would be more effective in reducing the rate of unemployment."False. In Chapter 5 we learned that in the classical case (where nominal wages are completely flexible) the AS-curve is vertical, whereas in the Keynesian case (where wages do not change, even if unemployment persists) the AS-curve is horizontal. From this we can conclude that more flexible nominal wages imply a steeper upward-sloping AS-curve. Any type of expansionary demand-side policy will shift the AD-curve to the right and this will cause the level of output and prices to increase (at least in the short-run). A steeper upward-sloping AS-curve results in a larger price increase and a smaller increase in output. But a smaller increase in the level of output results in a smaller reduction in unemployment. In either case, the economy will settle back at the full-employment level of output in the long run. In the long run, the rate of unemployment always goes back to its natural level.12. Explain the short-run and long-run effects of an increase in the level of government spendingon output, unemployment, interest rates, prices, and real money balances.An increase in government spending increases aggregate demand, shifting the AD-curve to the right. Because there is excess demand, the price level increases, which reduces the level of real money balances. Therefore interest rates increase, leading to some crowding out of investment. Due to this real balance effect, the increase in output is less than the shift in the AD-curve. Assuming an upward-sloping AS-curve, a new equilibrium is reached at a higher price level, a higher level of output, a lower unemployment rate and a higher interest rate. Since output is now above the full-employment level, wages and prices will continue to rise and the upward-sloping AS-curve will start shifting to the left. This process will continue until a new long-run equilibrium is reached at the full-employment level of income Y*, that is, until unemployment is back at its natural rate. At this point the price level, nominal wages, and interest rates will be higher than previously and real money balances will be lower.13. Briefly explain why there seems to be so much interest in finding ways to shift theupward-sloping aggregate supply curve to the right.Shifting the upward-sloping AS-curve to the right seems to be the only way to offset the effects of an adverse supply shock without any negative side effects. An adverse supply shock, such as an increase in oil prices, causes a simultaneous increase in unemployment and inflation, and policy makers have only two options for demand-management policies. Expansionary fiscal or monetary policy will help to achieve full employment faster but will raise the price level, while restrictive fiscal or monetary policy will reduce inflationary pressure but increase unemployment. Therefore, any policy that would shift the upward sloping AS-curve back to the right seems preferable, since it might bring the economy back to the original equilibrium by simultaneously lowering inflation and unemployment.14. Use an AD-AS framework to show the effect of monetary restriction on the level of output,prices and the interest rate in the medium and the long run.A decrease in nominal money supply will increase interest rates, leading to a decrease in investment spending. This will shift the AD-curve to the left, creating an excess supply of goods and services. Therefore price level will decrease and real money balances will increase. A new equilibrium will be achieved at the intersection of the new AD-curve and the upward-sloping AS-curve at an output level that is below the full-employment level.In the long run, higher unemployment will cause downward pressure on wages. As the cost of production decreases, the upward-sloping AS-curve will keep shifting to the right until a new long-run equilibrium is established at the full-employment level of output, that is, where the new AD-curve intersects the long-run vertical AS-curve at Y*. At this point, real output, the real interest rate, real money balances, and the real wage rate will be back at their original level. Nominal money supply, the price level and the nominal wage rate will all have decreased proportionally.A simplified adjustment can be shown as follows:1-->2: Ms down ==> i up ==> I down ==> Y down ==> the AD-curve shifts left ==>excess supply ==> P down ==> real ms up ==> i down ==> I up ==> Y up(The first line describes a policy change, that is, a shift in the AD-curve; the second line describes the price adjustment, that is, a movement along the AD-curve.)Short-run effect:Y down, i up, P down2-->3: Since Y < Y* ==> downwards pressure on nominal wages ==> cost of production down ==> the short run AS-curve shifts right ==> excess supply of goods ==> P down ==> real ms up==> i down ==> I up ==> Y up (This process continues until Y = Y*)Long-run effect:Y stays at Y*, i remains the same, P down.Note: Even though only one shift of the short-run AS-curve to the new long-run equilibrium is shown here, this shift is actually a combination of many shifts.P2P1P2P30 215. Briefly discuss the importance of Okun’s law in evaluating the cost of unemployment.Okun’s law states that a reduction in the unemployment rate of 1 percent will increase the level of output by about 2 percent. This relationship allows us to measure the cost to society (in terms of lost production) of a given rate of unemployment.16. True or false? Why?"If monetary policy accommodates an adverse supply shock, it will worsen any inflationary effects."True. An adverse supply shock shifts the upward-sloping AS-curve to the left. There is excess demand for goods and services at the original price level and prices start to rise, leading to lower real money balances, higher interest rates, and lower output. If no policy is implemented, then unemployment will force the nominal wage down to restore equilibrium at the original position. If the government views this adjustment process as too slow, it can respond by implementing expansionary policies. Accommodating the supply shock in this way shifts the AD-curve to the right and a new equilibrium can be reached at full-employment but at a higher price level. It is unlikely, though, that the economy will remain there for long since workers will realize that their purchasing power has been diminished by higher prices and will demand a wage increase. If they are successful, the cost of production will increase and the upward-sloping AS-curve will shift to the left again. In other words, we will enter a wage-price spiral.PP3P2P1217. Assume oil prices decline. What kind of monetary policy should the Fed undertake if its goal isto stabilize the level of output while keeping inflation low? Show with the help of an AD-AS diagram and briefly explain the adjustment process.1-->2: As oil prices decline, the cost of production decreases and the upward-sloping AS-curve shifts to the right, causing excess supply of goods. Thus the price level decreases, real money balances increase, and the interest rate declines.2-->3: A decrease in money supply will increase the interest rate, decrease private spending, and shift the AD-curve to the left. This means that prices will decrease even further and the level of output will decline. (We assume, for simplicity, that it goes back to the full-employment level Y*, so no long-run adjustment is needed.) Overall, the level of output has remained at its full-employment level but the level of prices and the interest rate have decreased.PP1P2218. Comment on the following statement:"A favorable oil shock causes lower inflation and lower unemployment."A decrease in material prices (or any other favorable supply shock) shifts theupward-sloping AS-curve to the right, and prices begin to decrease. The new equilibrium is at a lower price level and a higher level of output (a lower level of unemployment).Since output is now above the full-employment level, there will be upward pressure on nominal wages and prices, and the upward-sloping AS-curve will start shifting back to its original position (assuming that potential output was not affected). In the long run, unemployment will be back at its natural rate but the price level will have decreased (and thus real wages increased).19. “Falling oil prices will lead to increased employment, higher wage rates an dincreased real money balances.” Comment on this statement with the help of an AD-AS diagram and explain the short-run and long-run adjustment processes.A decline in material prices shifts the upward-sloping AS-curve to the right, leading to excess supply at the existing price level. A new equilibrium is reached at a higher level of output and a lower price level. But since output is now above the full-employment level Y*, there is upward pressure on wages and prices and the upward-sloping AS-curve starts shifting back to the right. A new long-run equilibrium is reached back at the original position (Y*), and the original price level (assuming that the change in material prices did not affect the full-employment level of output). Since nominal wages (W) will have risen but the price level (P) will not have changed, real wages (W/P) will have increased.PP1P2Y*Y2Y。
宏观经济学英文课件
slide 2
Important issues in macroeconomics
▪ What is the government budget deficit?
How does it affect the economy?
▪ Why does the U.S. have such a huge trade
and aggregate income.
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
slide 15
Digression: Functional notation
▪ General functional notation shows only
that the variables are related:
even when the economy is booming?
▪ Why are there recessions?
Can the government do anything to combat recessions? Should it??
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
D
Q
Quantity of cars
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
deficit?
▪ Why are so many countries poor?
What policies might help them grow out of poverty?
CHAPTER 1 The Science of Macroeconomics
slide 3
U.S. Gross Domestic Product
GrowthHistory(宏观经济学-加州大学-詹姆斯·布拉
The Demographic Transition
• In the world today, not all countries have gone through their demographic transitions
– Nigeria, Iraq, Pakistan, and the Congo are projected to have population growth rates greater than 2% per year over the next generation
– sustained increases in the population and the productivity of labor followed
5-8
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
– population growth accelerated – output per capita grew
5-4
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Table 5.1 - Economic Growth through Deep Time
The End of the Malthusian Age
• Over time, the rate of technological progress rose
– by 1500, it was sufficiently high so that natural resource scarcity could not surpass it
宏观经济学课件chapter02精选全文
可编辑修改精选全文完整版宏观经济学课件chapter02Macroeconomics, 6e (Blanchard/Johnson)Chapter 2: A Tour of the Book2.1 Multiple Choice Questions1) Fill in the blank for the following: GDP is the value of all ________ produced in a given period.A) final and intermediate goods and services produced by the private sector onlyB) final goods and servicesC) final and intermediate goods and services, plus raw materialsD) all of the aboveE) none of the aboveAnswer: BDiff: 12) When using the income approach to measure GDP, the largest share of GDP generally consists ofA) interest income.B) labor income.C) indirect taxes.D) profits.E) capital income.Answer: BDiff: 13) For this question, assume that 1980 is the base year. Given macroeconomic conditions in the United States over the past three decades, we know thatA) nominal GDP is always smaller than real GDP since 1980.B) real GDP and nominal GDP would be equal for the entire period.C) real GDP is larger than nominal GDP from 2002 to 2008.D) real GDP and nominal GDP were equal in 1980.E) none of the aboveAnswer: DDiff: 24) Suppose nominal GDP increased in a given year. Based on this information, we know with certainty thatA) real output has increased.B) the price level (GDP deflator) has increased.C) real output and the price level (GDP deflator) have both increased.D) either real output or the price level (GDP deflator) have increased.E) real output has increased and the price level has decreased.Answer: DDiff: 25) Use the following information to answer this question. If nominal GDP rises from $100 trillion to $120 trillion, while the GDP deflator rises from 2.0 to 2.2, the percentage change in real GDP is approximately equal toA) -10%.B) 10%.C) 20%.D) 9.1%.E) 0%.Answer: DDiff: 26) Hedonic pricing isA) the way that luxury goods are priced in a market economy.B) the tendency for the inflation rate to rise by greater and greater amounts.C) the tendency for nominal GDP to rise when the price level rises.D) the process of translating nominal GDP into real GDP.E) the process of pricing individual characteristics of a good or service.Answer: EDiff: 17) In a given year, suppose a company spends $100 million on intermediate goods and $200 million on wages, with no other expenses. Also assume that its total sales are $800 million. The value added by this company equalsA) $200 million.B) $300 million.C) $500 million.D) $700 million.E) $800 million.Answer: DDiff: 28) A firm's value added equalsA) its revenue minus all of its costs.B) its revenue minus its wages.C) its revenue minus its wages and profit.D) its revenue minus its cost of intermediate goods.E) none of the aboveAnswer: DDiff: 29) Suppose you are provided with the following data for yourcountry for a particular month: 200 million people are working, 20 million are not working but are looking for work, and 40 million are not working and have given up looking for work. The official unemployment rate for that month isA) 7.7%.B) 9.1%.C) 10%.D) 23%.E) 30%.Answer: BDiff: 110) In the United States, someone is classified as unemployed if he or sheA) does not have a job.B) does not have a job, or else has a job but is looking for a different one while continuing to work.C) does not have a job, has recently looked for work, and is collecting unemployment insurance.D) does not have a job, and is collecting unemployment insurance.E) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 111) An individual is said to be a discouraged worker if he or sheA) is working, but prefers not to work.B) is working part time, but would prefer a full time job.C) is working in jobs she/he is not suited for.D) wants to work, and is actively searching for a job.E) wants to work, but has given up searching for a job.Answer: EDiff: 112) Which of the following tends to occur when the unemployment rate increases?A) a reduction in the labor force participation rateB) a reduction in the number of discouraged workersC) an increase in the number of employed workersD) all of the aboveE) none of the aboveAnswer: ADiff: 113) Labor income's share in an advanced country is likely to beA) 70%.B) 45%.C) 29%.D) 10%.E) none of the aboveAnswer: ADiff: 214) The labor force in the United States is defined asA) the total number of individuals who are employed.B) the sum of the total number of individuals who are employed and the officially unemployed.C) the sum of the total number of individuals who are employed, the officially unemployed, and discouraged workers.D) the total number of individuals who are 16 years old and older, but not retired.E) none of the aboveAnswer: BUse the information provided below to answer the following questions.Suppose a country using the United States' system of calculating official unemployment statistics has 100 million people, of whom 50 million are working age. Of these 50 million, 20 million have jobs. Of the remainder: 10 million are actively searching for jobs; 10 million would like jobs but are not searching; and 10 million do not want jobs at all.15) Refer to the information above. The labor force isA) 20 million.B) 40 million.C) 60 million.D) 80 million.E) 100 million.Answer: CDiff: 216) Refer to the information above. The labor force participation rate isA) .2.B) .3.C) .4.D) .6.E) .8.Answer: DDiff: 217) Refer to the information above. The official unemployment rate isA) .1.B) .2.D) .4.E) .66.Answer: CDiff: 218) The GDP deflator provides a measure of which of the following?A) the ratio of GDP to the size of the populationB) the ratio of GDP to the number of workers employedC) the ratio of nominal GDP to real GDPD) the price of a typical consumer's basket of goodsE) real GDP divided by the aggregate price levelAnswer: CDiff: 119) Which of the following calculations will yield the correct measure of real GDP?A) divide nominal GDP by the consumer price indexB) divide the GDP deflator by the consumer price indexC) multiply nominal GDP by the consumer price indexD) multiply nominal GDP by the GDP deflatorE) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 220) The prices for which of the following goods are included in both the GDP deflator and the consumer price index?A) goods bought by householdsB) goods bought by firmsC) good bought by governmentsD) goods bought by foreign households (i.e., exports)E) all of the aboveAnswer: ADiff: 221) Suppose we switch the base year from 2000 to 2008. This change in the base year will causeA) nominal GDP in every year to increase.B) nominal GDP in every year to decrease.C) both nominal and real GDP in every year to decrease.D) real GDP in every year to decrease.E) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 222) Pure inflation occurs whenA) nominal wages rise faster than all prices.B) all prices rise faster than nominal wages.C) all prices and nominal wages rise by the same percentage.D) the GDP deflator and Consumer Price Index rise by the same percentage.E) none of the aboveAnswer: CDiff: 223) One of the reasons macroeconomists have concerns about inflation is that inflation causesA) real GDP to rise.B) nominal GDP to fall.C) wages to rise as fast as prices.D) real GDP to exceed nominal GDP.E) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 124) Changes in GDP in the short run are caused primarily byA) demand factors.B) supply factors.C) technology.D) capital accumulation.E) all of the aboveAnswer: ADiff: 225) Changes in GDP in the medium run are determined primarily byA) demand factors.B) supply factors.C) monetary policy.D) all of the aboveAnswer: BDiff: 226) Changes in GDP in the long run are determined primarily byA) monetary policy.B) fiscal policy.C) demand.D) all of the aboveE) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 227) Which of the following prices will be used when calculating the rate of growth of real GDP between the year's 2005 and 2006 using the chain method?A) prices in the base year (2002)B) prices in 2005C) prices in 2006D) the average of prices in 2005 and 2006E) prices in 2005, 2006, and in 2002 (the base year)Answer: DDiff: 228) Which of the following factors is NOT believed to affect output in the long run?A) technologyB) monetary policyC) the size of the labor forceD) the capital stockAnswer: BDiff: 129) The Okun's law shows the relationship betweenA) inflation and unemployment rate.B) output growth and unemployment.C) inflation and output growth.D) output growth and money supply.Answer: BDiff: 230) The Phillips curve describes the relationship betweenA) output growth and unemployment.B) inflation and output growth.C) output growth and money supply.D) inflation and unemployment .Answer: DDiff: 231) Prices for which of the following are included in the GDP deflator, but not included in the Consumer Price Index?A) firms' purchases of new equipmentB) intermediate goods and servicesC) consumption of goodsD) consumption of servicesAnswer: ADiff: 132) Macroeconomists are concerned about changes in the unemployment rate because changes in the unemployment rate provide information aboutA) the state of the economy.B) the welfare of those who are unemployed.C) none of the aboveD) both A and BAnswer: DDiff: 133) Based on the notation presented in Chapter 2, which of the following expressions represents nominal GDP?A) Y tB) P t Y tC) Y t/P tD) $Y t/P tAnswer: BDiff: 134) Deflation generally occurs when which of the following occurs?A) the consumer price index is greater than the GDP deflatorB) the consumer price index decreasesC) the rate of inflation falls, for example, from 4% to 2%D) nominal GDP does not changeAnswer: BDiff: 135) During the mid-1980s, we observed a significantreduction in oil prices. In the United States, we would expect that this reduction in oil prices would causeA) a larger reduction in the CPI compared to the GDP deflator.B) an equal reduction in the CPI and GDP deflator.C) a larger reduction in the GDP deflator compared to the CPI.D) no change in the CPI and a reduction in the GDP deflator.Answer: ADiff: 236) Suppose nominal GDP in 2009 does not change (compared its previous level in 2008). Given this information, we know with certainty thatA) real GDP increased during 2009.B) the GDP deflator increased during 2009.C) both the GDP deflator and real GDP fell during 2009.D) more information is needed to answer this question.Answer: DDiff: 237) During the late 1990s, Japan experienced reductions in the GDP deflator. Given this information, we know with certainty thatA) real GDP fell during these periods.B) real GDP did not change during these periods.C) the overall price level in Japan decreased during these periods.D) both real GDP and the overall price level decreased during these periods. Answer: CDiff: 238) Hedonic pricing is used toA) convert nominal values to real values.B) calculate the difference between nominal GDP and real GDP.C) measure the rate of change in real GDP.D) obtain chain-weight indexes.E) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 139) GDP in current dollars is equivalent to which of the following?A) real GDPB) GDP in terms of goodsC) GDP in 2000 dollarsD) GDP in constant dollarsE) none of the aboveAnswer: EDiff: 140) Which of the following does NOT represent real GDP?A) GDP in current dollarsB) GDP in terms of goodsC) GDP in base year dollarsD) GDP in constant dollarsAnswer: ADiff: 141) which of the following represents real GDP?A) GDP in constant dollarsB) GDP in terms of goodsC) GDP in base year dollarsD) all of aboveAnswer: ADiff: 142) According to convention, a recession is referred to if an economy goes throughA) at least two consecutive quarters of negative growthB) at least three consecutive quarters of negative growthC) at least four quarters of negative growthD) at least two consecutive months of negative growthAnswer: ADiff: 143) Based on the notation presented in Chapter 2, which of the following expressions represents real GDP?A) Y tB) P t Y tC) Y t/P tD) $Y t/P tAnswer: ADiff: 144) Measures of aggregate output have been published on a regular basis in the United States sinceA) 1947.B) 1933.C) 1917.D) 1946.Answer: ADiff: 145) Which of the following about capital income is NOT correct?A) it refers to a firm's revenue.B) it is also called profit income.C) it goes to the firms.D) it accounts for less than 35% of income in advancedcountries.Answer: ADiff: 146) Which of the following about the Phillips curve is NOT correct?A) It shows the relation between GDP growth and unemployment.B) It has been redefined as a relation between the change in the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate.C) It was first explored by A. W. Phillips.D) The curve is downward sloping.Answer: ADiff: 12.2 Essay Questions1) Explain the three ways GDP can be measured.Answer: GDP can be measured three ways. First, GDP represents the market value of the final goods and services produced in the economy during a given period. This would be obtained by adding C, I, G, and NX. Second, GDP is the sum of the value added by firms. The value added for a firm equals the value of the production (at that stage of the production process) minus the value of the intermediate goods (excluding labor services). The final value of aggregate output can be calculated by either summing the value of all final goods and services OR by summing the value added of all goods and services at each stage of production. And finally, GDP is also the sum of all incomes earned in a given period.2) First, define nominal GDP and real GDP. Second, is it possible for nominal GDP in a year to be less than real GDP in the same year? Explain.Answer: Nominal GDP represents the value of goods and services produced using current prices. Real GDP measures the value of the same goods and services using some base year prices. It is possible for nominal GDP to be less than real GDP in a given year. Given the definitions of the two variables, this will occur if prices in that year are simply less than prices in the base year. If, for example, the base year is 2002, it will generally be the case that nominal GDP will be less than real GDP for those years prior to 2002 given that prices have generally risen in all years. 3) Explain whether it is possible for nominal GDP to increase and real GDP to decrease in the same period.Answer: Nominal GDP can rise because either the price level is rising or the real quantity of goods and services produced has increased. Nominal GDP can increase while real GDP falls if the increase in the aggregate price level is larger (in a proportionate sense) than the drop in real economic activity.4) Explain the difference between the unemployment rate and the participation rate.Answer: The unemployment rate is the percentage of the labor force (those employed and unemployed) that is unemployed. The participation rate is the percentage of the working age population that is in the labor force.5) Explain how the existence of discouraged workers alters the extent to which the official unemployment provides an accurate measure of the use of labor resources.Answer: Discouraged workers are those individuals who have decided to stop searching for employment because they have become "discouraged" about employment opportunities. At some point, these individuals will no longer be considered as part of the labor force. The existence of discouraged workers willcause the official unemployment rate to provide an under-estimate of the underutilization of labor.6) Briefly explain why the reported official unemployment rate in Spain in 1994 may have provided an over-estimate of unemployment in Spain.Answer: The relatively high unemployment rate in Spain is partly the result of a relatively large underground economy. The underground economy is that part of the economy not measured in official statistics. After taking into account those individuals who are "employed" in the underground economy, the unemployment rate in Spain would have been lower (but still relatively high).7) What are the social and economic implications of unemployment? Explain.Answer: Economic implications: signal of economic activity and measure of the utilization of labor. Social implications: the emotional and psychological suffering that occurs as a result of being unemployed.8) Explain what factors cause changes in output in: (1) the short run; (2) medium run; and (3) long run.Answer: In the short run, demand factors primarily cause changes in output. In the medium run, factors such as the technology, amount of capital, and the skill and size of the labor force (supply factors) affect output. And in the long run, the education system, saving rate, and role of government affect economic activity.9) Will the CPI and GDP deflator always move together? Explain.Answer: No they will not. Some of the goods included in the GDP deflator (some investment goods) are not included in theCPI. Some of the goods included in the CPI (foreign goods) are not included in the GDP deflator.10) Explain how inflation can lead to distortions.Answer: First, not all prices and wages adjust automatically when inflation occurs. Second, variations in relative prices (which occur when there is not pure inflation) can lead to uncertainty. Inflation can also lead to distortions if the tax system is not adjusted when inflation occurs (e.g. nominal income tax brackets).11) Explain why economists care about inflation.Answer: Inflation will cause relative prices to change. It will also cause changes in the distribution of income. Inflation will lead to other distortions such as tax distortions and uncertainty.12) Explain Okun's Law.Answer: It shows the relationship between GDP growth and unemployment rate. If output growth is high, unemployment will decrease.13) Explain the Phillips curve.Answer: It shows the negative relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate. After 1970s, it was redefined as the relationship between the change in the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate.14) Explain why the Phillips curve on average is downward sloping.Answer: When unemployment becomes very low, the economy is likely to overheat and this will lead to upward pressure on inflation.15) Explain why economists care about unemployment.Answer: First, they care about unemployment because of its direct effect on the welfare of the unemployed. Unemployment is often associated with financial and psychological suffering.Second, they care about unemployment because it provides a signal that the economy may not be using some of its resources efficiently.16) Can an economy maintain high output growth, low unemployment, and low inflation at the the same time? Explain.Answer: It would be very hard to achieve the three objectives at the same time. High output growth leads to low unemployment, which is likely to put pressure on inflation.。
宏观经济学原理(第七版)曼昆 名词解释(带英文)
宏观经济学原理曼昆名词解释微观经济学〔microeconomics〕，研究家庭和企业如何做出决策，以及它们如何在市场上互相影响。
宏观经济学〔macroeconomics〕，研究整体经济现象，包括通货膨胀、失业和经济增长。
国内消费总值GDP〔gross domestic product〕，在某一既定时期，一个国家内消费的所有最终物品与效劳的市场价值。
消费〔consumption〕，家庭除购置新住房之外，用于物品与效劳的支出。
投资〔investment〕，用于资本设备、存货和建筑物的支出，包括家庭用于购置新住房的支出。
政府购置〔government purchase〕，地方、州和联邦政府用于物品与效劳的支出。
净出口〔net export〕，外国人对国内消费的物品的支出〔出口〕，减国内居民对外国物品的支出〔进口〕。
名义GDP〔nominal GDP〕，按现期价格评价的物品与效劳的消费。
真实GDP〔real GDP〕，按不变价格评价的物品与效劳的消费。
〔总之，名义GDP是用当年价格来评价经济中物品与效劳消费的价值，真实GDP是用不变的基年价格来评价经济中物品与效劳消费的价值。
〕GDP平减指数〔GDP, deflator〕，用名义GDP与真实GDP的比率乘以100计算的物价程度衡量指标。
消费物价指数CPI〔consumer price index〕，普通消费者所购置的物品与效劳的总费用的衡量指标。
通货膨胀率〔inflation rate〕，从前一个时期以来，物价指数变动的百分比。
消费物价指数〔producer price index〕，企业所购置的一篮子物品运效劳的费用的衡量指标。
指数化〔indexation〕，根据法律或合同按照通货膨胀的影响，对货币数量的自动调整。
名义利率〔nominal interest rate〕，通常公布的、未根据通货膨胀的影响，校正的利率。
真实利率〔real interest rate〕，根据通货膨胀的影响校正过的利率。
宏观经济学原理第七版曼昆名词解释带英文
宏观经济学原理曼昆名词解说微观经济学（ microeconomics ），研究家庭和公司怎样做出决议，以及它们怎样在市场上互相影响。
宏观经济学（ macroeconomics ），研究整体经济现象，包含通货膨胀、失业和经济增添。
国内生产总值GDP（gross domestic product ），在某一既准期间，一个国家内生产的所有最后物品与服务的市场价值。
花费（ consumption ），家庭除购置新住宅以外，用于物品与服务的支出。
投资（ investment），用于资本设施、存货和建筑物的支出，包含家庭用于购置新住宅的支出。
政府购置（ government purchase ），地方、州和联邦政府用于物品与服务的支出。
净出口（ net export ），外国人对国内生产的物品的支出（出口），减国内居民对外国物品的支出（入口）。
名义 GDP（nominal GDP），按现期价钱评论的物品与服务的生产。
真切 GDP（real GDP），按不变价钱评论的物品与服务的生产。
GDP是用不变的基年价钱来评论经济中（总之，名义 GDP是用当年价钱来评论经济中物品与服务生产的价值，真切物品与服务生产的价值。
）GDP平减指数（ GDP, deflator），用名义GDP与真切 GDP的比率乘以100 计算的物价水平衡量指标。
花费物价指数 CPI（consumer price index ），一般花费者所购置的物品与服务的总花费的衡量指标。
通货膨胀率（ inflation rate ），以前一个期间以来，物价指数改动的百分比。
生产物价指数（ producer price index ），公司所购置的一篮子物品运服务的花费的衡量指标。
指数化（ indexation ），依据法律或合同依据通货膨胀的影响，对钱币数目的自动调整。
名义利率（ nominal interest rate ），往常宣布的、未依据通货膨胀的影响，校订的利率。
GrowthHistory(宏观经济学加州大学詹姆斯·布拉
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserv
Questions
• What policies can make economic growth faster?
• What are the prospects for successful and rapid economic development in tomorrow’s world?
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserv
American Long-Run Growth, 1800-1973
• Many economists believe that official estimates of output per worker overstate inflation and understate real economic growth by 1 percent per year
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserv
The Demographic Transition
• As material standards of living rise far above subsistence, countries undergo a demographic transition
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserv
Policy(宏观经济学-加州大学-詹姆斯·布拉德福特·
– emergency meetings can also be scheduled on short notice
• When the FOMC decides on a policy change, it is implemented immediately
13-6
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Figure 13.1 - Structure of the Federal Reserve System
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Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Monetary Policy Institutions
• Monetary policy in the U.S. is made by the Federal Reserve which is the central bank
– the principal policy-making body of the Federal Reserve system is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
Monetary Policy Institutions
• The Federal Reserve can also alter interest rates in two other ways
– the Board of Governors can alter legally required bank reserves
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CHAPTER 8
Money, Prices, and Inflation
1
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Questions
• What do economists mean by “money”?
2
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Questions
• Why would a government ever generate “hyperinflation”?
• What determines the level of money demand?
Inflation
• In the 1970s, the United States experienced an episode of relatively mild inflation
– prices rose between five and ten percent per year
– caused significant economic and political trauma
Figure 8.2 - Coincidence of Wants
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Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Usefulness of Money
• Money also serves as a unit of account
Figure 8.1 - Post-World War II Inflation in the United States, 1951-2000
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Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Flexible-Price Model
• avoiding a repeat of the inflation of the 1970s remains a major goal of economic policy
4
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
• Without money, market transactions would have to be performed through barter
• In a barter economy, market exchange would require the coincidence of wants
Money
• is wealth that is held in a readilyspendable form
• is made up of
– coin and currency – checking account balances – other assets that can be turned into cash
– money is used as a yardstick to measure value or quote prices
• Anything that alters the real value of money in terms of its purchasing power will also alter the real terms of existing contracts that use the money as a unit of account
– money is “neutral”
• This is a special feature of the fullemployment flexible-price model
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Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
– you would have to have some good or service that someone wants and he or she would have to have some good or service that you want
8
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
• Why is money useful? • What do economists mean when they
say that money is a unit of account? • What determines the price level and
the inflation rate?
• What determines the level of the money supply?
• Why is inflation seen as something to be avoided?
3
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
or demand deposits nearly instantaneously, without risk or cost
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Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Usefulness of Money