全球新能源发展趋势

Rising of New Energy in Asia
• Change of demand and supply
• Intensification of regional cooperation. • Raise of the importance of energy security.
• Substantial
Bureau of Energy Ministry of Economic Affairs 經濟部能源局 Division Director: Dr. Chin-Te Chen 組長 陳金德
March 27, 2008
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Contents 內 容
increase of energy demand and economic development • New market of oil and gas
Russia
• Oil pipe project in Northeast Asia • Investment in Southeast Asia
3. Enhance the energy security and regional cooperation 供應安全、區域合作日趨重要 供應安全、
(1) The increasingly intense of international competition on energy has raised the risk of energy supply and impacts on national defense security and economical development. 各國對能源爭奪益趨激烈，升高能源供應風險， 衝擊國防安全、經濟發展。 (2) Rising of new energy in Asian has raised the international awareness. India 亞洲新能源勢力興起備受矚目 • Substantial
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Japan China
Goal: Reduction of 20% of Energy Intensity (EI) by 2010 Strategy : Comprehensive development of energy conservation, clean coal and renewable energy technologies Measures : Accelerate the development of nuclear energy
Source: IEA, Key World Energy Statistics 2007
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Forecast of the global primary energy demand 全球初級能源需求預測
EIA forecasted that the average annual growth rate of energy demand is about 1.6% during 2004 - 2030, while 70% of it will be concentrated in developing countries. IEA預估2004~2030年能源需求年均成長率為 1.6% ，其中70%將集中於發展中 國家。 Fossil fuels will still be the major energy supply in 2030, but the average annual growth rate of gas, hydro and other REs will be more than 2%. 2030年化石燃料仍為主要能源需求，惟天然氣、水力及其他再生能源之平均成 長率將高於2%。 (Mtoe)
EU-25
Goal : Reduction of 20% of energy consumption by 2020. Strategy: Integrate energy, economic and environmental policy, enhance strategic consortium with petroleum importing countries to increase negotiating position Measures: Target of Energy Mix by 2015 Coal 30％, ％ Nuclear Energy 30％, ％ Renewable Energy 15％, ％ Others
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
I. Change of the Global Energy Situation 國際能源情勢的變遷
Growing trend of the global primary energy demand 全球初級能源需求之成長趨勢 Global energy situation and future development 國際能源情勢與未來發展 Status and Targets of Major Countries’ Energy Development 各國能源發展現況與目標
經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
International Seminar on Material Synthesis and Processing 2008合成材料與加工處理技術國際研討會
The Trend of New Energy Development in the World 全球新能源發展趨勢
I. Change of the Global Energy Situation 國際能源情勢的變遷 II. World-spread New Energy Waves 席捲全球的新能源浪潮 席捲全球的新能源浪潮 III. Development of New Energy Technologies 新能源技術的脈動 IV. Fostering New Energy Industrial Development in Taiwan 引領國內新能源產業發展 V. Closing Remarks 結語
(1) Due to the limited amount of conventional energy, the reserve is estimated about 41 years for oil, 67 years for natural gas, 192 years for coal, and 53 years for uranium. Therefore, seeking for new substitute energy is increasingly pressing. (BP(2004); World Nulear Association(2004))。 全球能源資源蘊藏量有限，預估石油可開採約41年、天然氣67年、煤192年、鈾53年。尋求新的替代 能源日益殷切 (2) The development and utilization of new and renewable energy has become more important. However, it is limited by the technological development, high-cost, and lower stability than fossil fuels. 新及再生能源的發展運用，受到重視，惟現階段仍受限於技術發展、單位成本高、供應穩定度較化石 燃料低等因素。
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Growing trend of the global primary energy demand 全球初級能源需求之成長趨勢
From 1973-2005, global primary energy demand increased 86.7% 1973-2005年：初級能源需求成長 年 初級能源需求成長86.7%； ； Fossil energy was over 80% of primary energy 初級能源中化石能源占80%以上 初級能源中化石能源占 以上 Mainly bio-energy (about 79.4%) and hydropower (about 16.7%) of renewable energy 再生能源中以生質能(約佔 約佔79.4%)及水力 約16.7%)為主 及水力(約 再生能源中以生質能 約佔 及水力 為主
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*：Average annual growth rate
Source：IEA, World Energy Outlook 2006
經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Global energy situation and development 國際能源情勢與發展
1. Trend of high energy price 高能源價格趨勢 (1) The highwenku.baidu.comenergy price has increased the impact on economic and social development for the importing countries. 高能源價格，對進口國的經濟發展與社會民生產生影響。 (2) Rationalization on domestic energy price and increase of energy efficiency are two important issues. 能源價格合理反映成本及提升能源效率為二大重要的課題。
Reduce 10% of petroleum Consumption in 10 years 10年內降低 年內降低20%石油消耗 年內降低 石油消耗
Single electrical network integrate energy supply network 單一電網， 單一電網，整合能源供應網路
煤 炭 美 元 公 噸 、 原 油 美 元 桶 ( / )
(年-月)
天 然 氣 美 元 (
( / )
mmbtu = million British Thermal Units
/mmBtu)
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
2. Depletion of conventional energy, and searching for the substitute energy 傳統能源耗竭、 傳統能源耗竭、尋求替代能源
US
Goal : 20 in 10 (President Bush; 2007) Strategy: Secure 3E (Energy, Economy, Environment） ） Measures: Diversify energy source, increase energy efficiency, modernize infrastructure equipment, increase oil stockpile.
China
increase of oil demand • Active participation in the regional organizations
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經濟部能源局
Bureau of Energy, MOEA
Status and Targets of Major Countries’ Energy Development 各國能源發展現況與目標
2004 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Bio Other REs Total 2,773 3,787 2,311 718 243 1,172 55 11,059 2010 3,354 4,366 2,686 775 280 1,283 99 12,842 2015 3,666 4,750 3,017 810 317 1,375 136 14,071 2030 4,441 5,575 3,869 861 408 1,645 296 17,095 2004-2030* 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 0.7% 2.0% 1.3% 6.6% 1.6%