Gartner技术成熟度曲线 hype_cycle

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The Hype Cycle of Innovation
expectations
Mass media hype begins First-generation products, high price, lots of customization needed
Predictive Analytics Speech Recognition Location Intelligence Consumer Telematics
Biometric Authentication Methods
Quantum Computing
Gesture Control
In-Memory Analytics Virtual Reality As of July 2013
Augmented Reality Machine-to-Machine Communication Services Mobile Health Monitoring NFC Mesh Networks: Sensor Cloud Computing Enterprise 3D Printing Activity Streams
© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle, 2013
expectations
Big Data Natural-Language Question Answering Internet of Things Speech-to-Speech Translation Mobile Robots 3D Scanners Neurobusiness Biochips Autonomous Vehicles Prescriptive Analytics Affective Computing Electrovibration Volumetric and Holographic Displays Human Augmentation Brain-Computer Interface 3D Bioprinting Quantified Self Consumer 3D Printing Gamification Wearable User Interfaces Complex-Event Processing Content Analytics In-Memory Database Management Systems Virtual Assistants
AuguFra Baidu bibliotekt 21, 2013 @GARTNER_INC
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Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle for 2013: Redefining the Relationship
Hung Le Hong, Research VP Jackie Fenn, VP & Gartner Fellow
Executive Leadership and Innovation
72% of Global 500
10,200 Media Inquiries
64 Conferences 2,100 Consulting Engagements
Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle for 2013: Redefining the Relationship
• Over 2000 individual technology profiles (including definition, business impact, maturity and example vendors for each) • New Hype Cycles this year:
Gartner at a Glance
World's Largest Community of CIOs 13,000 Client Organizations 935+ Analysts 290,000 Client Interactions 71% of Fortune 1000
Clients in 85 Countries Vertical Coverage in Nine Industries 5,500 Benchmarks 500 Consultants
Agenda
• Introduction to Hype Cycles
• Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2013 • Priority Matrix and Toolkit • Using Navigating Gartner‟s Planning Tools
- Hype Cycle for Embedded Software and Systems, 2013 - Hype Cycle for Consumer Market Research, 2013 - Hype Cycle for Content and Social Analytics, 2013 - Hype Cycle for Open Banking, 2013 - Hype Cycle for Bank Operations Innovation, 2013 - Hype Cycle for ICT in Africa, 2013
Plateau of Productivity
Second-generation products, some services
Innovation Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment time
Slope of Enlightenment
Hung Le Hong, Research VP Jackie Fenn, VP & Gartner Fellow
Executive Leadership and Innovation
August 21, 2013
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© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Gartner’s Hype Cycle Special Report for 2013
• 98 Hype Cycles (technologies, applications, management, industries, regional)
Negative press begins
High-growth adoption phase starts: 20 to 30 percent adoption
Methodologies and best practices developing Third-generation products, out of the box solutions, product suites