投资学课件—博迪第九版—Ch03 Types of Orders & Margin Accounts

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博迪投资学英文课件 (9)

博迪投资学英文课件 (9)

23-6
Text Pricing Example
rus = 4% ruk = 5% E0 = $2.00 per pound
T = 1 yr
F0

$2.001.04 1 1.05

$1.981
If the futures price varies from $1.981 per pound, covered interest arbitrage is possible.
A US exporter wants to protect against a decline in profit that would result from depreciation of the pound. The current futures price is $2/£1. Suppose FT = $1.90? •The exporter anticipates a profit loss of $200,000 if the pound declines by $.10 •Short or sell pounds for future delivery to avoid the exposure.
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23-15
Creating Synthetic Positions with Futures
• Speculators on broad market moves are major players in the index futures market. – Strategy: Buy and hold T-bills and vary the position in market-index futures contracts. – If bullish, then long futures – If bearish, then short futures

Chap002 资产类别与金融工具兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT

Chap002 资产类别与金融工具兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT

2-9
2.2 债券市场
1、中长期国债
① 期限: – 中期国债 – 期限最长是10年 – 长期国债 – 期限从10年到30年不等 ② 面值 – 1000美元; ③ 利息支付期—半年; ④ 行情– 以面值的百分比;1/32
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2.2 债券市场
2.3 权益证券
• 1、普通股:代表所有权 – 剩余索取权最后 – 有限责任 • 2、优先股: 永续性 – 固定收益; – 求偿权优先于普通股,次于债券; – 税务处理:股利部分免税; • 美国存托凭证ADR:在美国市场上ODIE, KANE, MARCUS
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2-21
标准普尔指数
• 标准普尔500指数:
– 涵盖500家公司的指数
– 市值加权指数
• 投资者可以购买指数投资组合:
– 购买与各种指数相对应的共同基金;
– 购买交易所交易基金 (ETFs);
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2-8
2.2 债券市场
• 1、中期国债和长期国债 • 2、通胀保值债券 • 3、联邦机构债券 • 4、国际债券 • 5、市政债券 • 6、公司债券 • 7、抵押贷款和抵押担保证券
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第二章
资产类别与金融工具
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McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chap023 Futures, Swaps, and Risk Management 《投资学》博迪 第九版 英文教学课件

Chap023 Futures, Swaps, and Risk Management 《投资学》博迪 第九版 英文教学课件
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23-16
Index Arbitrage
Exploiting mispricing between underlying stocks and the futures index contract • Futures Price too high - short the future and buy the underlying stocks • Futures price too low - long the future and short sell the underlying stocks
• Available on both domestic and international stocks • Settled in cash • Advantages over direct stock purchase – lower transaction costs – better for timing or allocation strategies – takes less time to acquire the portfolio
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Figure 23.4 Predicted Value of the Portfolio as a Function of the Market Index
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Figure 23.2 Foreign Exchange Futures
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博迪投资学第九版ppt

博迪投资学第九版ppt
NE, MARCUS
27-11
Table 27.4 The Optimal Risky Portfolio with Constraint on the Active Portfolio (wA ≤1)
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• How accurate is your forecast?
• Regress forecast alphas on actual, realized alphas to adjust alpha for the accuracy of the analysts’ previous forecasts.
• The BL model is a generalization of the TB model that allows you to have views about relative performance that cannot be used in the TB model.
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Table 27.5 The Optimal Risky Portfolio with the Analysts’ New Forecasts
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Adjusting Forecasts for the Precision of Alpha
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27-17
Steps in the Black-Litterman Model

博迪投资学Chap003章节

博迪投资学Chap003章节
Howfar can the stock price f a l l before a margin call? (100P - $4,000)* / 100P = 30% P = $57.14 * 100P - Amt Borrowed = Equity
3 - 30
Table 3.4 I l l u s t r a t i o n of Buying Stock on Margin
• Spread: cost of trading with dealer – Bid: price dealer w i l l buy from you – Ask: price dealer w i l l s e l l t o you – Spread: ask - bid
• Combination: on some t ra d e s both are paid
futures
3 - 26
Stock Margin Trading
• Margin i s currently 50%; you can borrow up to 50% of the stock value – Set by the Fed
• Maintenance margin: minimum amount equity i n trading can be before additional funds must be put into the account
How Firms Issue Securities
• Primary – New issue – Key f a c t o r : i s s u e r receives the proceeds from the s a le
• Secondary – Existing owner s e l l s t o another party – Issuing firm doesn’t receive proceeds and i s not d irectly involved

Chap012 行为金融与技术分析兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT

Chap012 行为金融与技术分析兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT
由框定依赖导致的认知与判断的偏差即为框定偏差它是指人们的判断与决策依赖于所面临的决策问题的形式即尽管问题的本质相同但因形式的不同也会导致人们做出不同的决策
第十二章
行为金融与技术分析
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McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
1. 基本趋势/主要趋势: 股价的长期趋势,持续时间从 几个月到几年不等。 2. 二级趋势或中间趋势: 价格对目标趋势线的短期偏 离,当价格回归到趋势值时,这些偏离就会消失。 3. 三级趋势或次要趋势: 几乎不重要的日波动。
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12-21
图12.5 移动平均线(惠普公司)
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趋势与修正: 宽度
宽度:常用的测量 方法是计算价格 出现上涨的股票 数量和出现下跌 的股票数量之差。
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12.2.3 警告!
• 很可能会观察出实际上并不存在的波动形式。 • 图12.8A 是基于真实的数据资料。图B描述的 是利用任意数字算出的股票收益。 • 图12.9 描述的是图12.8对应的每周股价变化, 可以看出其明显的随机性。
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12-12

博迪投资学第九版课件

博迪投资学第九版课件

p
24-11
Risk Adjusted Performance: Treynor
2) Treynor Measure
(rP rf )
P
rp = Average return on the portfolio
rf = Average risk free rate ßp = Weighted average beta for portfolio
24-2
Introduction
• Two common ways to measure average portfolio return: 1. Time-weighted returns 2. Dollar-weighted returns • Returns must be adjusted for risk.
24-7
Time-Weighted Return
53 50 2 r1 10% 50 54 53 2 r2 5.66% 53
rG = [ (1.1) (1.0566) ]1/2 – 1 = 7.81% The dollar-weighted average is less than the time-weighted average in this example because more money is invested in year two, when the return was lower.
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24-14
M Measure
• Developed by Modigliani and Modigliani • Create an adjusted portfolio (P*)that has the same standard deviation as the market index. • Because the market index and P* have the same standard deviation, their returns are comparable:

Chap009 资本资产定价模型兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT

Chap009 资本资产定价模型兹维 博迪 《投资学 》第九版课件PPT
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9-18
图9.3 证券市场线和一只α值为正的股票
股票的实际期望 收益与正常期望收 益之间的差,称为 股票的阿尔法,。 被低估的股票期 望收益值将高于证 券市场线给出的正 常收益值。
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9.4 计量经济学与期望收益—贝塔关系
9.3.2 实证检验不支持CAPM
• 实证拒绝了假设:α等于0。 • 统计偏差的引进。 • 米勒和斯科尔斯的论文证明了计量问题可 能会导致拒绝资本资产定价模型,即使该 模型是非常有效的。 • 但也可能是模型本身的问题。
E r r
M f
9-7
• 变换一下,我们可以得到:
ErGE rf GE ErM rf
– 风险溢价取决于两个因素:
• 一是市场组合风险报酬[E(r )-rf]; • 二是资产对市场组合的风险暴露程度β;
M


注意:预测的是收益
9-8
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E (rM ) rf M E ( r ) r M f
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9.1.5 证券市场线★
均衡市场中,所有证券 都必须在证券市场线上。 证券市场线:期望收益 -贝塔关系。斜率为市 场投资组合的风险溢价 :【E(rM)-rf 】。
• βi为个股对市场组合方差的贡献。
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博迪投资学第九版课件

博迪投资学第九版课件

Security D and Security E
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7-9
Two-Security Portfolio: Risk
• Another way to express variance of the portfolio:
2 P wD wDCov(rD , rD ) wE wE Cov(rE , rE ) 2wD wE Cov(rD , rE )
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7-20
Figure 7.6 The Opportunity Set of the Debt and Equity Funds and Two Feasible CALs
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7-15
Figure 7.3 Portfolio Expected Return as a Function of Investment Proportions
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Figure 7.4 Portfolio Standard Deviation as a Function of Investment Proportions
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7-5
Figure 7.2 Portfolio Diversification
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7-6
Covariance and Correlation
• Portfolio risk depends on the correlation between the returns of the assets in the portfolio

金融学 第九版Basic Finance_ch03

金融学 第九版Basic Finance_ch03

Over-the-counter markets (e.g., Nasdaq)
4
Buying and Selling Securities
Role of brokers
– full service brokerage firms – discount brokers – electronic trading
Current price properly values a stock
Cannot expect to consistently out perform market as a whole
18
Efficient Market Hypothesis
Empirical results support the hypothesis Exceptions to efficient market hypothesis: “anomalies”
13
Construction of Indices
Questions concerning:
– Which securities to include – How to compute index
Can produce different stock performance measures
14
19
Foreign Securities
Foreign stocks traded in American markets American Depository Receipts (ADRs)
– Avoids language issues – Expressed in dollars--not local currency – Registered with the SEC

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INVESTMENTS 投资学 (博迪BODIE, KANE, MARCUS)Chap03 How Securities are Traded40页PPT

Investment Banking (Ctd.)
• Private placements – Firm uses underwriter to sell securities to a small group of institutional or wealthy investors. – Cheaper than public offerings – Private placements not traded in secondary markets
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Initial Public Offerings
• Process
– Road shows to publicize new offering
– Bookbuilding to determine demand for the new issue
– maintain a “fair and orderly market”
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NASDAQ
• Lists about 3,200 firms • Originally, NASDAQ was primarily a dealer
• A large order may be filled at multiple prices
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Figure 3.5 Price-Contingent Orders
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• Shelf Registration – SEC Rule 415: Allows firms to register securities and gradually sell them to the public for two years

博迪投资学第九版课件

博迪投资学第九版课件
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18-8
Intrinsic Value and Market Price
• The intrinsic value (IV) is the “true” value, according to a model. • The market value (MV) is the consensus value of all market participants Trading Signal: IV > MV Buy IV < MV Sell or Short Sell IV = MV Hold or Fairly Priced
2013
kg
kg
0.111 0.077
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18-22
Honda Example
18-18
Example 18.4 Growth Opportunities
• Firm reinvests 60% of its earnings in projects with ROE of 10%, capitalization rate is 15%. Expected year-end dividend is $2/share, paid out of earnings of $5/share. • g=ROE x b = 10% x .6 = 6%
$5 PVGO $22.22 $11.11 .15
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18-20
Life Cycles and Multistage Growth Models • Expected dividends for Honda: 2010 $.50 2012 $ .83 2011 $.66 2013 $1.00 • Since the dividend payout ratio is 30% and ROE is 11%, the “steadystate” growth rate is 7.7%.

【2024版】《投资学》博迪第九版课件Chap010

【2024版】《投资学》博迪第九版课件Chap010
beta F = Surprise in macro-economic factor
(F could be positive or negative but has expected value of zero) ei = Firm specific events (zero expected value)
• Rests on mean-variance efficiency. The actions of many small investors restore CAPM equilibrium.
• CAPM describes equilibrium for all assets.
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Rate ei = Firm specific events
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10-6
Multifactor SML Models
E ri rf iGDPRPGDP iIR RPIR
i GDP = Factor sensitivity for GDP
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10-5
Multifactor Model Equation
ri E ri iGDPGDP iIRIR ei
ri = Return for security i βGDP = Factor sensitivity for GDP βIR = Factor sensitivity for Interest
10-17
Multifactor APT
• Use of more than a single systematic factor

博迪投资学第九版课件

博迪投资学第九版课件
– Semi strong form efficiency and fundamental analysis
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1 1 - 11
Active or Passive Management
• Active Management
– An expensive strategy – Suitable only for very large portfolios
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1 1 - 13
Resource Allocation
• I f markets were i n e f f i c i e n t , resources would be s y s t e m a t i c a l l y misallocated.
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1 1 - 10
Types of Stock Analysis
• Fundamental Analysis - using economic and accounting information to predict stock prices
• How do we explain random stock p r i c e changes?
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11-3
E f f i c i e n t Market Hypothesis (EMH)
• EMHsays stock p r i c e s already r e f l e c t a l l available information

博迪投资学第九版课件

博迪投资学第九版课件

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GE Example
• Reward-to-risk ratio for investment in market portfolio:
Market risk premium E (rM ) rf 2 Market variance M
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9-21
Extensions of the CAPM
• Merton’s Multiperiod • Consumption-based Model and hedge CAPM portfolios • Rubinstein, Lucas, • Incorporation of the and Breeden effects of changes in • Investors allocate the real rate of wealth between interest and inflation consumption today and investment for the future
• Information is costless and available to all investors • Investors are rational mean-variance optimizers • There are homogeneous expectations
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E (rM ) rf M E (rM ) rf
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INVESTMENTS 投资学 (博迪BODIE, KANE, MARCUS)Chap03 How Securities are Traded PPT资料共40页

INVESTMENTS 投资学 (博迪BODIE, KANE, MARCUS)Chap03 How Securities are Traded PPT资料共40页
• Secondary Market – Investors trade previously issued securities among themselves
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How Firms Issue Securities (Ctd.)
– Brokers search out buyers and sellers
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How Securities are Traded
Types of Markets:
• Dealer markets – Dealers have inventories of assets from which they buy and sell
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Investment Banking
• Firm commitment – investment bank purchases securities from the issuing company and then resells them to the public.
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Table 3.1 Partial Requirements for Listing on NASDAQ Markets
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New York Stock Exchange
• Stocks
– IPO – Seasoned offering
• Bonds

投资学 博迪 Chap003 共93页

投资学 博迪 Chap003 共93页
counter),店头市场 • 场外意指不受交易所有关规则的限制,其特点
是:
– (1)非集中:分散的、无固定交易场所的抽象市 场或无形市场,它是由许多各自独立经营的证券 公司与投资者采用信息网络分别进行交易,没有 统一的交易时间,甚至无统一的交易规则。
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3.2 证券是如何交易的
3.2.1交易市场的类型: (国内教材) 第二市场:场外交易市场
– (4)议价方式不同
• 经纪人同时挂出卖价(Bid price)和买价( Ask price ),具有买卖价差(Bid-ask spread)
– (5)场外交易一般由做市商作为交易中介。
• 买卖价差(Bid-ask spread)是做市商的收益
不得使用包销方式。
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3.1.2 投资银行业务
• 承销商: 投资银行帮助公司发行和销售新证券。
• 募股说明书: 说明发行事宜和公司前景
– 红鲱鱼 • 暂搁注册
– 美国证券交易委员会通过415法案: 该法案允许 公司在证券首次注册后的两年内逐期向公众销 售证券。
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3.1.3 首次公开发行
• 股票
– 首次公开发行(IPO) – 再次发行 • 过程 – 路演宣传即将发行的新证券 – 建立投资者购股意愿档案 – 投资者对新发行证券的兴趣度为定价提供了宝贵信

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• NASDAQ积极支持了美国高科技企业上市,解决 中小企业融资困难的问题。

博迪投资学第九版课件Chap001

博迪投资学第九版课件Chap001

博迪投资学第九版课件Chap001Chapter 1The Investment EnvironmentThe Investment EnvironmentINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSReal Assets Versus Financial Assets ?Real AssetsReal Assets–Determine the productive capacity andnet income of the economyt i f th–Examples: Land, buildings, machines,knowledge used to produce goods andservicesFinancial Assets–Claims on real assetsINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFinancial AssetsThree types:1.Fixed income or debt1Fixed income or debt/doc/c30ecec07c1cfad6185fa718.html mon stock or equity 3.Derivative securitiesINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFixed IncomePayments fixed or determined by aP t fi d d t i d bformulaMoney market debt: short term, highly ?Money market debt:short term highly marketable, usually low credit risk Capital market debt: long term bonds, can be safe or riskyINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSCommon Stock and Derivatives ?Common Stock is equity or ownershipCommon Stock is equity or ownershipin a corporation.–Payments to stockholders are not fixed,P t t t kh ld t fi dbut depend on the success of the firm ?Derivatives–Value derives from prices of othersecurities, such as stocks and bonds–Used to transfer riskINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFinancial Markets and the Economy ?Information Role: Capital flows tocompanies with best prospectscompanies with best prospectsConsumption Timing: Use securitiesto store wealth and transferto store wealth and transferconsumption to the futureINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFinancial Markets and theEconomy (Ctd.)Allocation of Risk: Investors can select securities consistent with their tastesfor riskfor riskSeparation of Ownership andg y Management: With stability comes agency problemsINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFinancial Markets and theEconomy (Ctd.)Corporate Governance and Corporate Ethicsg–Accounting ScandalsExamples –Enron, Rite Aid, HealthSouth –Auditors –watchdogs of the firms Auditors–watchdogs of the firms–Analyst ScandalsArthur Andersen–Sarbanes-Oxley ActTighten the rules of corporate governanceINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSThe Investment ProcessAsset allocationChoice among broad asset classes–Choice among broad asset classes ?Security selection–Choice of which securities to hold withinasset class–Security analysis to value securities anddetermine investment attractivenessdetermine investment attractivenessINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSMarkets are CompetitiveRisk-Return Trade-OffEfficient Markets–Active ManagementFinding mispriced securitiesFinding mispriced securitiesTiming the marketINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSMarkets are Competitive (Ctd.)(Ctd)–Passive ManagementNo attempt to find undervaluedNo attempt to find undervaluedsecuritiesN tt t t ti th k tNo attempt to time the marketo d g a g y d e s ed po t o o ?Holding a highly diversified portfolioINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSThe PlayersBusiness Firms–net borrowers Households –net saversGovernments can be both borrowers ?Governments–can be both borrowersand saversINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUS(Ctd)The Players (Ctd.)Financial Intermediaries: Pool and invest funds–Investment Companies–Banks–Insurance companies–Credit unionsINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSUniversal Bank ActivitiesInvestment Banking Commercial Banking g ?Underwrite new stockand bond issues g ?Take deposits and ?Sell newly issued securities to public in p make loans pthe primary marketInvestors trade previously issued securities amongthemselves in thesecondary markets INVESTMENTS |BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFinancial Crisis of 2008Antecedents of the Crisis:–“The Great Moderation”: a time in which theU.S. had a stable economy with low interestrates and a tame business cycle with onlyy y mild recessions–Historic boom in housing marketINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFigure 1.3 The Case‐Shiller Index of U.S.Housing PricesINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSChanges in Housing Finance Old Way New Way yLocal thrift institution made mortgage loans to y Securitization: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac made mortgage loans to homeownersThrift’s major asset:a Mae and Freddie Mac bought mortgage loans and bundled them into Thrift s major asset: a portfolio of long-term mortgage loans large pools ?Mortgage-backed g gThrift’s main liability:depositssecurities are tradable claims against the underlying mortgage pool ?“Originate to hold”underlying mortgage pool“Originate to distribute”INVESTMENTS |BODIE, KANE, MARCUSFigure 1.4 Cash Flows in a MortgagePass‐Through SecurityINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUSChanges in Housing Finance(Ctd.)At first, Fannie Mae and Freddie MacAt fi t F i M d F ddi M securitized conforming mortgages, which were lower risk and properly documented.?Later, private firms began securitizing ,p g g nonconforming “subprime”loans withg e de au t shigher default risk.–Little due diligencePlaced higher default risk on investors–Placed higher default risk on investors–Greater use of ARMs and “piggyback” loansINVESTMENTS|BODIE, KANE, MARCUS。

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Exercise 2

On January 1, you sold short one round lot (that is, 100 shares) of Zenith stock at $14 per share. On March 1, a dividend of $2 per share was paid. On April 1, you covered the short sale by buying the stock at a price of $9 per share. You paid 50 cents per share in commissions for each transaction. What is the value of your account on April 1?
Stock $10,000

New position
Borrowed $4,000 Equity $3,000
Stock price falls to $70 per share Stock $7,000
Margin% = $3,000/$7,000 = 43%

How far can the stock price fall before a margin call?
Sale Proceeds initial margin

New position
Stock price rises to $110 Sale Proceeds $100,000 Initial Margin $50,000 Stock Owed $110,000 Net Equity $40,000 Margin% = $40,000/ $110,000 = 36%
Examples

Buying on margin
Stock price of X Corp: Initial margin: Maintenance margin: Shares purchased:

$100 60% 40% 100
Initial position
Borrowed $4,000 Equity $6,000
Hale Waihona Puke Limit Orders


price is specified by the investor, without knowing it will be executed limit orders vs. market orders: a tradeoff between immediate execution and certain price

Short selling on margin
Short sale Dot Bomb: 1,000 Shares Initial margin: 50% Maintenance margin: 30% Initial price: $100

Initial Position
$100,000 $50,000 Margin & Equity $50,000 Stock Owed $100,000

Stop Orders



conditional market orders the stop price regarding as a trigger, when current market price reaches the stop price, the order is executed sell order: stop price < market price, while the order is placed buy order: stop price > market price, while the order is placed

Stop Limit Orders

conditional limit orders two prices specified: stop price and limit price
Margin Accounts

Principle of making profit: BUY LOW, SELL HIGH

Margin account


Initial margin vs. maintenance margin How to compute the actual margin?

buying on margin

selling on margin

What happens?

if actual margin > initial margin: unrestricted if actual margin < initial margin > maintenance margin: restricted < maintenance margin: margin call

How much can the stock price rise before a margin call?
Exercise 1

You’ve borrowed $20,000 on margin to buy shares in Disney, which is now selling at $40 per share. Your account starts at the initial margin requirement of 50%. The maintenance margin is 35%. Two days later, the stock price falls to $35 per share. a. Will you receive a margin call? b. How low can the price of Disney shares fall before you receive a margin call?
Chapter 3 Types of Orders & Margin Accounts
Types of Orders

Market Orders

executed immediately at current market price e.g.
the best ask price: 33.60; ---- market price to buy the best bid price: 33.59. ----- market price to sell

buy low first, sell high later: long position sell high first, buy low later: short position CAN borrow money or securities from the broker buying on margin vs. short selling on margin
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