啤酒行业报告

啤酒行业报告
啤酒行业报告

Beer Distribution in China

The Supply Chain Logistics Institute

The School of Industrial and Systems Engineering

Georgia Institute of Technology

Center of Excellence: Logistics in China

Directors

Prof. Jiangang (Jim) Dai

Prof. Chen Zhou

March 5, 2008

We hope you find this report useful and we would like to hear from you. Please direct all correspondence to Professor Chen Zhou at School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, USA.

Participants

Georgia Institute of Technology

Profs. Jim Dai and Chen Zhou

Chengran Chai, Senior

Chien-Hung Chen, Ph.D. Student

Huizhu Wang, Ph.D. Student

Huazhong University of Science and Technology

Prof. Haijun Wang, School of Management

Shandong University

Prof. Yaohua Wu, Professor and Head, Department of Logistics

Peng Liu, Ph.D. Student

Shanghai Jiaotong University

Prof. Jianwen Luo, Associate Professor, School of Management

Tianjin University

Prof. Daozhi Zhao, Professor and Head, Department of Industrial Engineering Tsinghua University

Prof. Jian Chen, Professor and Head, School of Economics

Huang

Shuo

Prof.

Ning Chen, MS Student

Qinhuangdao Transportation Management Department

Xiutian Liu, Deputy Director and Senior Engineer (Adjunct Professor at Northeastern University, Qinhuangdao Campus)

Quanta Computer Nashville Company

Yuepeng Li, Service Materials Analysis Supervisor

Acknowledgement

This project was funded by the Supply Chain Logistics Institute in the school of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology. This project involves many cities and organizations. We sincerely appreciate the help and support of these organizations. Special thanks to the following individuals. Prof. Derong Wang, Prof. Hong Chen, Marketing director Ding Lei from China Merchants Logistics Group, Marketing director Zheng Hao from Heineken. We also thank the anonymous helpers from other brewers and distributors.

Table of Contents

Beer Distribution in China (i)

Participants (ii)

Acknowledgement (ii)

1. Introduction (1)

2. Beer Distribution (1)

A. Tiered Distribution Network (1)

B. Demand Management (3)

C. Long Haul Transportation and Transshipment (4)

D. Local Delivery (5)

E. Distribution Network Sharing (5)

F. Inventory Control (5)

G. Reverse Logistics (6)

3. Distribution Economics (8)

A. Payment Term (8)

B. Retail Fee (8)

C. Value Chain (9)

D. Cap Fee (10)

E. Transportation Cost (11)

4. Cases (12)

A. Case 1 – Tsingtao Beer in Beijing and Tianjin (12)

B. Case 2 – Beer Company A in Central China (15)

5. Observations (16)

A. Cost Drivers (16)

B. Packaging and Handling (17)

C. On-Trade VS Off-Trade (17)

D. Consumers’ Behavior (18)

E. Difference between Cities (18)

F. Transportation Particularities (19)

G. Middle Tier Prevalence (21)

6. Insights (22)

A. Marketing in the Channel (22)

B. The High Density Retailing and Living (23)

C. Loose Regulations Favor Small and Informal Operations (23)

D. Underemployment (23)

7. Conclusion (23)

8. Appendix (25)

Reference (31)

1. Introduction

Today, many multinational companies (MNCs) are either already in China or

planning to enter the Chinese market. With the recent entrance of China into WTO, this

trend will most likely continue. Of all the MNCs that entered China, few provide

transportation or logistics services. One may wonder about the reason behind this. As

China matures, information regarding logistics becomes more accessible. Logistics

reports are now available regularly from the National Bureau of Statistics, China

Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) [1], China Road Transportation

Association (CRTA) [2], China Communications and Transportation Association (CCTA) [3], Li and Fung [4], etc. Such macro-level reports publications tremendously help those who plan to enter Chinese market.

However, these reports do not provide much information regarding the potential

issues involved if one starts a distribution service in a region. This study attempts to

provide micro-level information to complement to the aforementioned reports. Our

strategy is to peek into the world of transportation, distribution and economics in China

via the distribution of a simple product – beer. We believe it is impossible to conduct

controlled experiments to acquire meaningful data that is statistically significant to cover

such a complex and diversified system. Our approach was to observe and to conduct in-

depth interviews with selected few brands, factories, regional distribution centers,

wholesalers and retailers in different cities of different sizes and locations, an approach

similar to economic analysis.

The following is organized in three parts. The first part is the overview of the

distribution network and operational characteristics. The second part describes the

economics in the distribution system. The third part highlights some interesting

observations that are either different from developed countries or counter intuitive. The

last part provides arguments of the insights we have derived from our observations and

other research.

2. Beer Distribution

A. Tiered Distribution Network

Beer distribution in China from producers to distributors is via a set of distributors

and wholesalers. Whereas a producer-distributor-retailer 3-tier distribution network is

highly regulated in the United States, the actual beer distribution networks in China vary

among brands and regions. The geographic distribution and roles of the surveyed firms

are listed in Tables A1, A2 and A3 in the Appendix.

Beer producers vary in terms of ownership structure and size. Large SOE (State-

Owned Enterprise) beer producers include Tsingtao Beer and Taishan Beer in Shandong

Province, and Yanjing Beer in Beijing. Examples of joint venture beer producers are

Heineken, Budweiser, Shandong Yinmai and Shandong Sankong. Producers usually

directly serve a number of distributors. For example, Taishan Beer, producer of a popular

brand in regional market, has 40% of revenue in Taian, a mid-sized city located in the

center of Shandong with a 1.2 million population. It deals with over 400 distributors in

Shandong province with many of them in Taian. Tsingtao Beer, the producer of a much bigger brand, has nationwide sales and over 10,000 distributors in the country. This figure seems rather large, and we were so intrigued that we carried out more interviews around Tsingtao’s distribution. More details are summarized in Chapter 4.

Distributors are usually licensed by the beer producer through public bidding to represent its brand in certain regions, though they could also be designated by producers when the distributors are the important link of the channel in a market producers desire to get into. In bidding events, the distributors are required to commit to a certain annual sales goal in order to become licensed. Examples are Lianda, Jinshida and Qisheng in Qinhuangdao, a mid-sized coastal city in Eastern Hebei province with a 2.7 million population.

Unlike in US where each brand of beer can only be licensed to one distributor in one state, multiple distributorships can be awarded by beer producer for each brand of beer in a single province in China. Distributors on this list include Tsingtao Beer’s regional distributor in Tianjin – a coastal city 85 miles east from Beijing with over 11 million population, Yanjing’s and Budweiser’s local distributors in Qinhuangdao – Lianda and Jinshida respectively. Notably, “Guanxi” or personal relationships play a vital role in obtaining distribution rights.

Distributors purchase beers from producers or other distributors and sell them to a number of wholesalers. Distributors can also act as wholesalers in order to directly sell products to retailers. Each distributor normally carries a single brand, though the distributor can carry many other non-competing beverages at the same time. In larger cities such as Beijing and Shanghai, from our surveys we only found one distributor that carries multiple brands from different beer producers. Beyond distribution functions, some distributors also support marketing for the producers, such as product and service policy training programs, customer relationship management, complaint resolution and promotional activities.

Wholesalers procure products from multiple beer and other beverage distributors. By carrying a broad variety of beverage products and being geographically close to the market, wholesalers try to provide one-stop shopping for retailers and achieve a high service level. Haoshen in Shanghai, for example, sell beers such as Budweiser, Harbin, Guinness, as well as wine and bottled water.

Typical beer retailers in China include hotels, restaurants, KTV’s (Karaoke entertainment centers), supermarkets, bars, clubs and numerous convenient stores. Retailers may purchase from one or more distributor(s) or wholesalers. It is observed that retailers in Qinhuangdao and Dalian (a coastal city with a 5.6 million population in Northern China) usually deal with multiple distributors to obtain a good assortment of beers of different brands, while retailers in Beijing and Shanghai are likely to obtain all desired brands from the same distributor.

Aforementioned beer distribution network is widely deployed to move products in China, regardless of size and volume of surveyed participants. Producers rarely bypass distributors to deal with wholesalers or retailers. We did observe, however, that one retailer in Dalian bypasses the middle tier and directly source from the beer producers, though this retailer has regular upstream tiered distribution network. It is learned that this direct sale mode is a result of very close personal relationships between producers and

retailers, and takes place when producer and retailer are in the same geographic location where direct replenishment can be achieved conveniently.

Delivery from upper tier to lower tier is the norm, although exceptions do exist. The upper nodes normally manage the transportation. Many operate their own private fleet, such as Haoshen in Shanghai and Qisheng in Qinhuangdao. Some use rental equipment.

A few outsource their logistics services, such as Tsingtao Beer that outsource the logistics services for its high end beer to China Merchants Logistics Group (CML), a large state owned logistics provider. In term of inventory carrying, either end of the supply chain, the producer and the retailer, carries little inventory. Most of the inventories are at the distributors and wholesalers.

The large retail chains, such as Carrefour and Hualian, a large domestic supermarket chain, normally procure product to their own distribution centers and then mix beer with other products to deliver to stores.

B. Demand Management

End market demand history is typically not systematically collected and shared. This is compensated by relatively fast response time and frequent replenishments between nodes. In such business context, pull scheme based on market signals to distribute products prevails over push scheme. With wide deployment of point-of-sale (POS) system, accessing market sales data, collaborating and sharing data between supply chain participants is recognized as the key to ensure visibility to the market at each layer of distribution.

Majority of surveyed producers and distributors plan product supply based on downstream demand information and experience, indicating well adopted pull demand management scheme in beer distribution system. However, we found demand information collection and sharing is limited to adjacent tiers of distribution at best, and supportive information system is rarely deployed or quite basic. Producers or distributors usually do not have access to retailer POS data. Among the producers, Taishan Beer has a MRPII (Manufacturing Resource Planning) system that has been upgraded many times. It is also trying to gain visibility to retail sales by having distributors and wholesalers complete detailed order forms at the point of products handover. Tsingtao Beer in Tsingtao and its 3PL (Third Party Logistics), China Merchants Logistics Group are the only ones that use both ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) system and TMS (Transportation Management System).

Orders from downstream to upstream are predominantly communicated through phone calls or fax and processed manually. Tsingtao Beer’s and Yinmai’s distributors, on the other hand, have the option of submitting orders through a web-based order management system. While in general it takes 10 to 15 days to fulfill orders from distributors to manufacturers, orders from retailers to wholesalers can be fulfilled in as little as half an hour and no more than 3 days. In Qinhuangdao, wholesalers often have to handle emergency orders with small quantities and unplanned routes. In contrast, in Beijing and Shanghai, wholesalers very rarely or are never requested of emergency delivery. This interesting difference between cities will be explored with more details in Chapter 4.

Promotions are mostly sponsored and organized by manufacturers and distributors in low business season, during holidays or at a new product launch, and take place at retailer

sites. Such promotional activities are often independent of retailer’s regular business operations.

Overall the survey indicates lack of demand and order management processes among the beer distribution participants. No obvious collaborative planning exists between different tiers of the distribution.

C. Long Haul Transportation and Transshipment

From beer producers to distributors, long haul trucking is most often used. A distinctive feature of long haul trucking is the strong influence of highway toll charges that contributes to high transportation cost. However, it is faster and more reliable. Rail and water are also used but to much lesser extent. For example, Budweiser Wuhan plant deliver beer via rail to Budweiser’s only licensed distributor in Qinhuangdao. The order cycle takes around 10 days. Mode selection between Tsingtao Beer to its licensed distributor Qisheng in Qinhuangdao, on the other hand, is order quantity dependent. When the order size reaches one carload, rail will be used and trucking vice versa.

Trucks with various capacity and style are used in long haul transportation. Capacity-wise 5-ton and 8-ton and 35-ton trucks are common. There are open trucks, boxed trucks, trucks covered with canvas, and even container trucks used for the long haul. None of the surveyed participants use refrigerated trucks.

Some beer producers still own their own fleet instead of utilizing 3PL (Third Party Logistics) to handle long haul delivery. Examples are Lubao Beer and Yinmai Beer. This is no surprise based on our 2004 China Road Transportation Enterprise study [5]. Others outsource to 3PL or utilize fragmented trucking resources for long haul transportation. Tsingtao Beer in Northern China, for instance, designated China Merchants Logistics Group (CML) for its regional distribution services in North and East China. CML operates a Central Distribution Center (CDC) near Tsingtao Beer’s brewery in Tsingtao. The throughput at CDC is over 1 million tons per year. From CDC, the beer are sent to regional distribution centers (RDC). The largest RDCs are in Beijing, Tianjin, Jinan, Taiyuan, Zhengzhou, Dalian and Taizhou, shown in Figure 7 in the Appendix. For this project CML owns 90 trucks, mostly 35-ton open top trucks. CML uses trucks to distribute product from factory warehouse to Jinan, Beijing and Tianjin RDCs, and replenishes products from Qingdao to Taiyuan and Zhengzhou RDC by rail. In addition, CML uses 2,000 to 2,500 ton barges to ship product in cases to Dalian and Taizhou RDCs via sea water. The annual volume is around 120,000 tons to each coastal RDC. The replenishment is weekly and could be more than once a week in peak seasons. CML outsource about 50% of the transportation to cottage trucking services.

It is noted that the surveyed participants that utilize 3PL services tend to be more aggressive in adopting advanced logistics and distribution practices in comparison to their peers with own fleet. For example, Tsingtao Beer’s 3PL, China Merchants Logistics Group, has implemented a TMS system to proactively analyze transportation routes and loads to improve space utilization and transportation efficiency.

In many cases long haul transportation cost is borne by beer producers, though some distributors may pick up the shipping payment tab. If beer producers are responsible for outbound shipments, they usually will apply the long haul cost into sales price to distributors.

Shipments from producers are usually dropped off at rail station warehouses in destination city or at local public warehouse awaiting pick-up, where deconsolidation or cross-docking happens. In these transshipment stations, products may be palletized and moved with forklift, or simply stacked up on the floor. Loading is still manual in many cases.

D. Local Delivery

Local delivery refers to short distance transportation from transshipment station to distributor’s warehouse, and delivery from distributors or wholesalers to retailers in the city. It is often through densely populated districts and heavy traffic areas. Most city regulations require special registration for cargo trucks in cities during daytime, and deliveries are normally made in passenger vans of various sizes. We have noticed other types of equipments such as tricycles, push carts and trolleys are used for very small volume and short distance deliveries. Some retailers request boxed or canvas covered trucks for delivery in inclement weather.

In general, delivery from transshipment station to distributor’s warehouse is the distributor’s responsibility, and is handled by its own trucks or rented spot trucking resources in market. Our survey results show that distributors and wholesalers are also often responsible for local delivery to retailers.

A wholesaler typically serves in a small district in a city, or a small city in some cases. They usually own one or a few vans. Some wholesalers also own 5-ton open trucks, such as Haoshen in Shanghai. Due to the capacity limit, van delivery usually makes more stops per route compared with trucks. Trucks are often used for customers with larger demand.

The surveyed participants rarely choose professional 3PL to handle their distribution needs, with cost and efficiency concern cited as the main reasons. Again this fact concurs well with our findings in the 2004 China Road Transportation Enterprise study.

E. Distribution Network Sharing

Producers push distributors to solely represent their brand as much as possible. Multiple brands are allowed as long as they are non-competing ones. For example, a distributor representing high end beer can at the same time carry low end beer, soda and bottled water.

On the other hand, distributors are always motivated to boost sales and provide “one stop shopping” for customers. One way of achieving this is to share distribution channel of multiple beers. Aside from their contracts with producers, distributors may reach agreement with each other that one distributor will act as a wholesaler of the other, resulting in a mixed role of the distributor in the distribution system. One such example is Yanshan beer sales company, which while being a Qinhuangdao distributor for Snow Beer, is also a wholesaler of Budweiser and Tsingtao Beer by purchasing other brand products from local licensed distributors.

F. Inventory Control

Surveyed beer producers reported to hold 3 – 4 days of inventory on average, and replenish distributors based on pull signal. Producers all have warehouses, and inventory

storage and handling is highly manual. The picture below shows beer in cases stacked in a wholesaler’s warehouse.

Most regional and local distributors rent warehouses, and manage inventory using seasoally adjusted order point and order quantity. Tsingtao Beer’s RDC and central distribution centers (CDC) usually hold about 2-week safety stock inventory. Tsingtao Beer’s CDC has a size of 15,000m2 in comparison to an average size of 1,000 to 2,000m2 for a RDC. The strong seasons are summer months and during major events such as World Cup. It is mentioned in the survey that

about 60% to 70% of Tsingtao Beer’s sales is

generated between May and October. The

sales will increase more during the golden

weeks in China such as the week of May 1st

and October 1st. Some distributors adapt more

frequently to market dynamics to manage

inventory. Example is Yanshan in

Qinhuangdao, which places orders

dynamically based on daily sale volume and

season.

Distributors in Qinhuangdao normally

hold 1 to 2 weeks inventory. Distributors for

Taishan Beer, specifically Kangjian and

Mingyou, pick up order with their own trucks, often bypass their distribution centers and directly deliver the products to wholesalers and retailers. By doing so, their inventory is greatly reduced. Wholesalers such as Haoshen in Shanghai, typically keep 2 days of inventory. Beer packs are stacked up from the ground to ceiling about 10’ high in low cost warehouses, as seen in picture showing one wholesaler’s warehouse. Ladders are used for operators to reach the top stack if it is too high. FIFO (First In, First Out) inventory management is achieved by piling in an ad-hoc fashion.

Retailers surveyed carry the least inventory, typically one to two days and sometimes even less than that, compared to beer producers, distributors and wholesalers. This is due to space constraints, high space rental cost and also the short order lead time from wholesalers. Distributors and wholesalers are involved in intense competition to win the contract, and are willing to deliver products in short notice. The low inventory level at retailers and market demand dynamics they directly face often lead to high order frequency to wholesalers or distributors. This in turn translates into frequent replenishment and high delivery cost. This observation will be studied in more details in Chapter 4. Overall retailers have higher inventory turns thanks to the lower inventory level they carry compared to other tiers.

G. Reverse Logistics

The government encourages bottle

recycling for material and energy savings.

This is enforced by allocation of bottle return

fees. However, bottle return is less profitable

than beer distribution, and it is often carried

out by lower cost providers. For the producers,

distributors and wholesalers, the most important motivation for bottle recycling is to ensure that the products are sold through intended channel. For example, in order to reach sales goal, a restaurant may sell its product to the neighborhood convenient store who acquires beers from the same wholesaler. The picture on the right shows an example of empty bottle recycling.

For producers, Taishan requests distributors collect empty bottles from lower tiers of distribution, and have incorporated the recycling cost in delivery payment to distributors. Taishan also buys empty bottles from independent recycling stations. Sankong’s customers directly drop off empty bottles for recycling when they pick up orders from Sankong factory.

On average the credit for recycled empty bottles is Chinese Yuan (RMB) 0.2 – 0.5 per bottle. Bigger brands give more credit

per returned bottle. For example, one

returned Tsingtao beer bottle is worth

RMB0.35. However, the restaurants

surveyed in Beijing reported credit per

recycled bottle is only RMB0.05 – 0.1. At

such low margins, the 3PLs, the distributors

and wholesalers who distribute the beer do

not handle the reverse logistics. The returns

are normally handled by lower cost

providers.

Speaking of reverse logistics, we must

also highlight cap return, which is a very

distinctive part of beer reverse logistics in

China. Like bottle return which is demanded

by producers for materials recycling

purposes, cap return is also advocated by

producers or distributors as a major

marketing strategy to promote sales. Cap

return will be covered in-depth under the

“Cap Fee” section in Chapter 3. The picture

on the right provides an example of a

Tsingtao beer cap.

Plastic totes, as seen in picture on the

right, are mostly chosen as packaging cases

for low end beers, are widely used for empty

bottle packaging, though we observed that

gunnysacks are also often used. Recycling

transportation vehicle types are very diverse, from small trucks, tractor-pulled carts to human pedaled tricycles. Other than some roller conveyors we saw at one recycling company that move toted bottles to shipping area, loading and unloading are largely manual.

3. Distribution Economics

The beer price in China is much lower than that in the US. That translates into much lower margins at each tier of the distribution. With the high cost in a fragmented and cottage logistics industry revealed from previous study [5], we are interested to find out how the current distribution system creates value for each participant.

In China, “Channel is King” was most cited as a marketing motto, implying the importance of sales channel control for market penetration. Given the market driven nature of the beer business, retailing points directly feel the market pulse, and are especially critical for the entire beer supply chain. This well explains special leverages the retailers enjoy in China.

A. Payment Term

The first leverage of the retailers is the stretched payment term, typically 1 – 3 months. In particular, retailers in Shanghai make payments to distributors 1.5 – 3 months after order. The typical payment term in Qinhuangdao and Beijing are 1 month. Distributors in this survey are all required to pay producers at the time of order placement. Shipment is dispatched from producers once payment from distributors is received. This obviously puts much financial pressure on middle tiers in the channel. Also distributors and wholesalers are subject to risks under the payment term agreement. As they allow retailers to pay back later, they may have difficulty collecting the funds and often wind up seeking resolution through court by bearing court fee as well.

B. Retail Fee

The second leverage of the retailers is the Retail Fee. It was started in Hangzhou around 2004 and spread quickly around the country. It is an upfront payment a distributor or wholesaler pays to the retailer in order to sell its brand through the retailer. There are usually three types of retail fee with one or all available for distributors or wholesalers to choose from. First type has the lowest amount requirement, and the brand is allowed for sale at the retailers. Second type has relative higher cost, and the brand will be the main selling brand at the retailers. Third type has the highest premium and it could be ten times or more of the first type retail fee. In return, the brand enjoys exclusivity at the retailer and all other competing brands are not allowed on the retailer’s shelf. Retail fee can be a one-time and non-refundable fee, or attached to certain preset sales goal so that the fee may be partially refunded to distributors if sales goal is not achieved. The exact amount of retail fees is determined through negotiation between distributors and retailers, and depends heavily on locale, beer brand, the size and market positioning of the retailer. However, not all retailers charge retail fee to distributors.

In Qinhuangdao, if requested, the retail fee is around Chinese Yuan RMB2,000 to 3,000 per brand per year for the brand to be put on retailer’s shelf. It can reach RMB10,000 a year in Dalian for the distributor to become the retailer’s only supplier of the given brand. In Beijing and Shanghai, the retail fee is significantly higher if charged, likely reaching RMB100,000 a year. No sales goals are attached to the retail fee in these cases in Dalian, Beijing and Shanghai.

As opposed to on-trade which refers to in-store beer consumption, supermarkets belong to off-trade markets where beer sale occurs but not beer consumption. Retail fee

also applies to off-trade markets including large retail chains such as Wal-Mart and HuaLian, the latter being a big domestic retail chain in China. The retail fee at Shanghai Carrefour can be a hefty RMB200,000 a year. Such steep capital barrier steers many wholesalers away from the particular channel and leave only capital-rich producers to penetrate directly.

Another form of leverage for retailers is kickback. If a retailer surpasses a preset sales goal, the wholesaler would provide kickback, up to 20% of the sales value to the retailer. In a way, this is similar to the retail fee at the end.

C. Value Chain

It is probably of all readers’ interest to find out how much a bottle of beer adds value along the distribution channel from a producer to the end consumer. We learned that Heineken’s mark up is around 30%, a rather healthy level thanks to its brand recognition. The less recognized brand producers command lower markups. The markup by distributors is reported to be around 0% – 15%. In absence of markup, the distributors’ profit comes from kickbacks when a preset sales volume is reached. For example, eligible distributors of Taishan Beer get kickbacks of 7% of sales. Wholesalers charge higher markups to retailers to cover their operating cost and make profit. The wholesaler’s markup in Beijing and Shanghai is between 25% and 35%. However, the real profit may only be less than 15% because of the retail fee, long payment term etc. The average markup in Qinhuangdao to retailers is lower, around 10%. The distributors’ cost in retail fee and long payment term is also lower in Qinhuangdao.

There are a big variety of retailers, such as hotels of different star ratings, corner restaurants vs. upscale bistros, KTV’s and nightclubs. The target customers, beer brands carried and provided service have big differences as well in these retail points. Hence, we found retailers’ markups to customers vary significantly, from a modest 70% to an astounding 1000%. To be more specific, the survey found that low end stores have lower markup. Retailers tend to impose higher markup for smaller or less popular brands, as smaller brand producers or distributors are willing to sacrifice profit margin to retailers to gain market share. Across different geographic regions, retailers in larger cities have higher markup.

Figure 1 illustrates the markup breakdown by brand at Yanshan wholesaler in Qinhuangdao. The wholesaler’s markups are from 6.4 to 15%, as compared to a minimum 10% markup demanded by law in U.S.

Figure 1: Markup Breakdown at Yanshan wholesaler in Qinhuangdao

For comparison, the cost breakdown at of Heineken in Shanghai is rather different. The producer’s markup is about 60% of the production cost, and the wholesaler’s markup is around 25 to 35%, although the cost of distribution accounts for about 10%. For small brand, wholesaler’s markup is much higher, often from 40 to 60% and is inching up driven by market forces. This is much higher than that in Qinhuangdao. In contrast, the wholesalers in Shanghai are often upper middle class while in Qinhuangdao they are closer to working class. More differences between cities are highlighted in Chapter 4.

D. Cap Fee

Cap Fee is rather unique in China. Consumers dining in may find bottled beer served had caps removed and taken away by the waiters or waitress, and wonder why. There are incentives in doing so, for in many cases caps can be collected and submitted to distributors for cash credit, i.e. cap fee. First, returning the caps to distributors can be a proof that the sales were realized via intended channel. Second, restaurants in most cases get cash back from distributors on a cap-by-cap basis.

Cap fee is brand, region and store specific and typically falls into a range from RMB0.1 to 1.0 per cap. It is usually predetermined by producers. Cap fees are distributed in different ways among employees in the restaurant: evenly distribute among waiters, distribute based on number of caps collected, evenly distribute among all employees, or install “funds” to improve the working environment and workers’ welfare. Some restaurants allow waiters return caps they collected directly to distributors to exchange for money.

Illegal cap exchange, mentioned by some retailer participants in the survey, means caps are returned to distributors directly by waiters or waitresses, without going through the intended return process. The motivation can easily be seen that waiters want to keep such benefits for themselves. They may not want to share their benefits with other workers who did not contribute to sales, or they do not want their benefits being used as “funds”. Taking a restaurant in Beijing as example, distributors give back cap fee of RMB1.0 each, and the waiter gets RMB0.80 per cap if he returns the caps to his manager through the defined channel. The balance of 20 cents is going to be distributed to other

workers such as cleaners and cooks who do not have the chance to sell beer and collect caps.

An estimated calculation based on the survey data indicates cap fee at retailers is insignificant, usually less than 10% of the total revenue.

E. Transportation Cost

The percentage of transportation cost out of total landed cost can serve as a good indicator of the efficiency of one logistics system. We are particularly interested in local delivery as it covers many special characteristics of distribution in China. For example, a 1-ton boxed truck or a 2-ton open truck in Qinhuangdao has a typical transportation cost structure consisting of following components:

1. Fuel charges (FUEL)

2. Driver wages (DRIVER)

3. Porter wages (PORTER)

4. Road maintenance fee (RM)

5. Transportation administration fee (TA)

6. Vehicle maintenance fee (VM)

7. Vehicle annual inspection fee (VAI)

8. Toll way charges (TOLL)

9. Vehicle insurance (VI)

10. City pass fee (CP)

11. Parking fee (PK)

12. Tire cost (TIRE)

13. Repair cost (REP)

14. Industry and commerce administration fee (ICA)

Table 1 provides a comparison of transportation cost components listed above between trucks in Qinhuangdao and in Beijing based on the survey. All costs are in Chinese Yuan (RMB). Driver wage and porter wage are per person per month, and all other costs are per truck per month. All trucks use Diesel fuel.

Table 1: Transportation Cost Comparison

Vehicle Information Cost Breakdown

City

Vehicle

Capacity

(ton) FUEL DRIVER PORTER RM TA VM VAI TOLL VI CP PK TIRE REP ICA

Qinhuangdao 1 1500 1500 1300 19021 65 56 416 342 15 200 185 200 10 Qinhuangdao 2 1500 1500 1300 38042 65 56 416 342 15 200 185 200 10 Beijing 1.5-2 3200 2800 1300 22020 53 25 0 92 0 30 100 400 0

Some fees are vehicle weight dependent such as road maintenance and transportation administration fees. We learned discounts are available if one year’s road maintenance fee is paid in full.

Vehicle maintenance and vehicle annual inspection fee may be counter intuitive and very different from tire and repair cost. The former fees are fixed annual cost mandated by government, while tire cost and repair cost are dependent on actual parts wear and tear and failures.

Many passenger vans have been used in cities to handle small order transportation. This in fact is against regulations. However, there are lots of incentives doing so from retailers and wholesalers perspective, as transportation administration fee, industry and commerce administration fee and annual vehicle inspection fee can all be exempted for vans. In addition, compared to trucks, vans are not subject to route and city entry time restrictions. Even if such practice is caught by the regulation enforcers, fines imposed are so low that participants are still willing to take the risk.

The cost components for delivery trucks and vans can be grouped into fuel cost, fixed monthly cost, variable monthly cost by application, and wages [6][7][8]. Table 2 shows the cost comparison between some vans and trucks in Qinhuangdao and Beijing with all costs in RMB per month. Detailed fixed cost data and cost by application data for Qinhuangdao vehicles are listed in Table A4 and A5 in Appendix.

Table 2: Cost Comparison between Van and Trucks

Vehicle Type Cost Breakdown

City

Vehicle Capacity

(ton)

Fuel

Consumption

Rate

(l/100km)*

Driver

Wage

Porter

Wage

Fuel

Cost

Fixed

Cost

Other Cost

by

Application

Qinhuangdao Van 0.6 8.8 1200 0 750 376 126 Qinhuangdao Truck 1 0.8 5.8 1200 1000 700 442 145 Qinhuangdao Truck 2 2 15 1500 1300 1500 895 600 Beijing Truck

3 2 N/A 2800

1300

3200

385 530 * Based on the manufacturer’s published data and tested in an optimal environment

4. Cases

A. Case 1 – Tsingtao Beer in Beijing and Tianjin

Tsingtao Beer was introduced in previous Chapters and highlighted with its large number of distributors. In developing a new market, Tsingtao Beer has a phase-by-phase strategy in distribution channel establishment. In the first phase, Tsingtao Beer identifies

the existing brand of the market and takes over its developed distribution channel through acquisitions. In the second phase, Tsingtao Beer redefines the market segmentations. Certain distributors are selected or grown from existing distributor base for new market sectors. This phase tends to continue until Tsingtao Beer’s business goal for the market is achieved and then the third phase kicks in. In the third phase distributors are either gradually eliminated or they morph into sole logistics providers in the distribution. For example, in 2000 Tsingtao Beer acquired Five Star Beer in Beijing and added a low end brand DaYou. Along with the acquisition, Tsingtao Beer in Beijing has adopted a

distribution channel with the high level structure shown in Figure 2 for its low end beer sales.

Figure 2: Distribution Structure of Tsingtao DaYou Beer in Beijing Tsingtao Beer has two low end beer producers in Beijing suburban area (The other one is Three Rings, approximately one-third larger than Five Star) with annual sales volume around 350,000 tons. Five Star Beer produces both Five Star and Tsingtao DaYou. Due to beer production tax imposed in China, an independent sales company was setup to manage market development, distribution channel operations and financial transactions. Beijing Five Star Beer divides the Beijing market into 13 geographic sales segments with one major distributor and over sixty other small distributors serving the whole Beijing market. The distribution channel consists of 6 local distribution centers (LDCs) and around 100 wholesalers. Beijing Five Star Beer had its own fleet a few years ago and later it was spun off to form a trucking company. In 2005, Beijing Five Star acquired a major share in the trucking company. This trucking company has approximately 100 trucks and is responsible for beer delivery to the 6 LDCs and large wholesalers. The fleet consists of open trucks in 300-case or 150-case capacities with each tote holding 24 640 ml bottles. The delivery schedule is based on the requests released by the distributors. The Five Star Beer’s factory store approximately 500 tons of beer. The LDCs have about one day of inventory supply. The average cycle time of bottles and plastic totes are 4-5 days.

The market for low end beer in Beijing is approximately 1 million tons per year. Tsingtao DaYou constitutes 15% of the market share and is striving for 20%. It has direct business with over 100 wholesalers. Its fleet, established with the help of Tsingtao Beer, handles about 60% of Tsingtao Beer’s low end beer distribution volume in Beijing.

The distributors of Tsingtao DaYou in Beijing collect demand information from wholesalers and submit through the sales company to the producer between 4pm and 5pm every day. Tsingtao DaYou’s producer is paid by its sales company immediately for each confirmed order. The sales company then collects payment from distributors. All purchases and sales are made in cash. There is no markup from Tsingtao DaYou’s factory

to the wholesalers in Beijing. The distributors make profit from revenue return from producers at a preset percentage in contract.

Tsingtao Beer does not have a brewer in Beijing or Tianjin, a coastal city 75 miles south of Beijing, for its high end beer. Instead a sales company was established in Tianjin to manage the high end beer market in Tianjin. In Tianjin, Tsingtao Beer has over 100 distributors with 10 largest ones having approximately 30k cases monthly sales. Other distributors only have a few hundred cases of monthly turnovers. Tsingtao Beer’s distribution in Tianjin is 100% outsourced to a 3PL - China Merchant Logistics Group (CML) Tianjin Company. It rents a 160,000 ft2 DC 13 miles away from its office in the city. Tsingtao Beer’s warehouse in the DC is about 20,000 ft2. In peak season the DC can process 700,000 cases a month compared to 450,000 cases in off-peak season.

The business relationship structure of these parties is shown in Figure 3.

Information flow

Cash flow

Figure 3: Tsingtao Beer Distribution Structure in Tianjin Tsingtao Beer Company, Tsingtao Beer Tianjin Sales Company and CML Tianjin are sharing the same logistics information system developed by CML. On a daily basis, Tsingtao Beer Tianjin Sales Company takes purchase orders and collects payments from distributors. Such demand information is shared across the system. Once payment to Tsingtao Beer Company is received, the purchase orders will be confirmed and get fulfilled by CML Tianjin to the distributors from the DC the same day or the next day morning. On average it takes a bottle of beer 7 days from production to reach end customer in Tianjin.

CML Tianjin Company does not participate in Tsingtao Beer’s cash flow transactions, but is responsible for tracking daily shipments and inventory level, and Tsingtao Beer Company will replenish Tianjin DC based on the daily inventory updates.

Large rented 20-ton open trucks are used for 14-hour long haul replenishment from Tsingtao to Tianjin DC. CML Tianjin use private trucks and rented 5-10 ton trucks for city delivery. It was estimated the city distribution cost is about RMB 0.02~0.06 per bottle, which is almost negligible given the beer price is typically above RMB 6.00 per bottle.

B. Case 2 – Beer Company A in Central China

Beer Company A was located in central China and established in the mid 1990s. It produces 9 types of beers and 105 SKUs. In addition to its existing plant, it will build another plant in Southern China with expected operational date in late 2008. In 2008 Company A will reach its design capacity to produce 665,000 tons of beer with most in bottles and some 30% in cans.

Company A has a standard 4-layer beer distribution: factory, DCs, wholesalers and retailers. It owns some DCs in approximately 20 major markets and 30 smaller markets, and normally delivers from DC to many large retailers directly. The transportation mode

by volume is listed in Table 3 below.

Table 3: Transportation Mode by Volume for Beer Company A

Transportation Mode % by volume

Rail 65

Barge 19

Truck (<250 KM) 11

Long haul truck 2

Kegs 3 Company A chooses three forms of rail shipment:

1.Train flat car for palletized loads and it accounts for the largest shipment

volume of Company A.

2.Container load. This form is the most preferred mode and is growing the share

rapidly.

3.Fixed volume on partial train flat car. Due to its smaller scale of economy this

form incurs higher shipping rate, though still lower than trucking rate.

Full 4,000-5,000 ton barge is used for Company A’s largest market - Shanghai. It is selected also because of the Company’s geographic proximity (about 1600 ft) to the barge port and the river that links to other major markets conveniently. In addition to trucks, barge is used to handle some reverse logistics too, where empty bottles are shipped to glass factories for cleaning and shipped back to factory for reuse.

In regular season, Company A allows no more than 1.5-day inventory in factory, and requests the DCs carry no more than one month worth of inventory.

5. Observations

Admittedly, data collection in China, especially concrete operational and financial information from industrial players, is difficult. We are fortunate to have some valuable data acquired which are detailed in Chapter 2 and 3. By combining the factual data with other information carefully, we observed following interesting phenomena that are either unique in China or not obvious to casual observers. These observations are highlighted and implications are explored in depth in this chapter.

A. Cost Drivers

Low labor cost has been unanimously

reckoned as the biggest advantage of all a

foreign business can reap in China. This

understanding is still true based on our survey.

Typical labor rates for workers in beer

distribution are around $120/month in Beijing

and Shanghai, and less than $100/month in

Qinhuangdao. As a result, the payback for

investment in storage, material handling and IT

system would be very long, if ever. Within

expectation, we have observed product loading

and unloading are heavily manual. Pure hand

carrying, use of pushcarts and hand trolleys are widely seen at product handover points. The picture below provides a good example of this labor intensive operational feature.

Assuming fixed daily delivery distance and stops using van or truck, the survey shows that in Qinhuangdao driver wages and loading and unloading labor cost account for about 55% of the total local delivery cost, dwarfed by a lofty 82% to 88% for similar US operations from a cost analysis based on the survey data. For other labor cost such as administrative cost, one distributor in Qinhuangdao hired 10 people to manage the business at a fraction of one average US manager’s cost. As we have covered in Chapter 2, order management, processing, warehouse inventory management and FIFO control are highly manual as well. This is very common in China.

The advantage of labor is its flexibility. This flexibility reduces the setup cost or fixed cost in operations. As a result, frequent deliveries in short routes and small quantities using passenger vans, human pedaled tricycles, pushcarts and hand trolleys do not mitigate operational efficiency much, if any.

B. Packaging and Handling

The most popular form of beer in China is bottled beer. Soaring raw materials and energy cost suppress aluminum canned beer production. Canned beer only accounts for a very small percentage of the total sales volume. All surveyed beer manufacturers mainly produce 12-pack or 24-pack bottled beers. There are large size and small size bottle types. For large size bottles in 12-pack case, 600ml, 630ml, 640ml, 500ml are widely seen. In 24-pack case, 330ml and 350ml bottles are commonly used. Some manufacturers may produce small lot of 24-pack canned beer for the holiday season.

Typical beer packs at supermarket and restaurants are shown in pictures on the left

and below. Cardboard boxes are most widely used

for high end beers and leading brand in major

supermarkets like Carrefour, Wal-Mart and

Hualian. The plastic totes are normally used for

low cost beers, local beers in neighborhood

convenient stores and low end restaurants. Bigger

brand and high end stores choose cardboard box

due to the simplicity, sanitation and esthetics.

Cardboard boxes also promote and provide

friendlier customer handling.

Small brand producers and low end retail stores prefer plastic totes due to lower cost and its

sturdiness and reusability. Also, plastic totes are

made standard and can be stacked up securely with

one’s base fits into the other’s open rim. It is also

more ergonomic for warehouse operators to handle.

On the other hand, different producers have their

plastic totes marked differently; recycling plastic

totes can also be quite cumbersome.

Regardless type of packaging used, loading

and unloading are still very manual. The boxes are

laid on the surface in layers without cushion or

separation. In warehouses, beer is simply stacked up box by box from the ground up to the ceiling without any protection. Product retrieval is achieved using ladders.

C. On-Trade VS Off-Trade

Beer consumption can be categorized as on-trade and off-trade, depending on whether the beer is consumed at the retailer’s premises. On-trade refers to in store consumption and off-trade is the opposite. For example, beer sold to end consumers through supermarket falls into off-trade as it will be consumed outside the store. According to a beer report published in 2005[9], off-trade is responsible for about 72% of

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2019 年中国精酿啤酒行业分析报告-行业现状与未来趋势研究 企业发展咨询首站

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外贸行业分析报告 Document serial number【NL89WT-NY98YT-NC8CB-NNUUT-NUT108】

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2018年啤酒行业深度研究报告

2018年啤酒行业深度研究报告

?我们认为,结合全球的经验来看,啤酒行业挣格局的钱,行业的集中度对 净利润的影响较大。从国内的发展态势来看,目前的格局较好的是华润啤酒和百威,其次是青岛,燕京和嘉士伯随后。当下行业逐步步入良性,行业提价跃跃越试,随着消费升级的不断进行以及结构的优化,新一轮的成长周期打开,建议重点关注格局较好的啤酒标的。 ?当下是较好的投资时间窗口。我们认为:(1)目前中小企业在加速退出。 经过了2013-2016年的下滑,大多中小企业经营举步维艰,销量刚刚传出积极的信号,但是此时包装材料(纸箱、玻璃)较前两年提升明显,对于中小企业而言,无疑是雪上加霜。(2)龙头企业百威定位核心为要利润,产品结构有望继续提升,拉高板块的成长空间。百威啤酒去年收购了萨博米勒,目前处于整合期,公司也需大量的现金流还贷款,百威自2016年以来在中国的策略核心是要利润,未来2-3年关掉近一半数量的工厂(平均每年关停8家)。公司要达到既定的目标,唯有提高效率和提升产品结构得以实现。(3)2018年龙头企业有望陆续提价,龙头企业可抢占更多的市场份额,利润率有望提升。(4)竞争有望趋缓,行业加速集中将显著改善企业的利润水平。 ?放眼全球,啤酒行业是个好行业。随着格局的稳定,龙头企业有望持续获 利,长期来看,啤酒有望大幅跑赢指数。从产业的情况来看,即使行业没有明显的增长,随着集中度的明显提升,净利润提升的空间也很明显。 ?市场份额决定了盈利水平。同样的品牌,在强势区域和费强势区域利润率 差异较大。百威在强势的巴西、阿根廷EBITDA利润率可达45%-50%,而在亚太等费强势区域EBITDA利润率不足30%。萨博米勒、喜力啤酒、华润、青岛啤酒均表现如此。随着国内龙头企业集中度的提升,净利润率有待提升。 ?利润有望持续加快释放,开启新一轮的成长。我们认为,随着消费升级的 进行,产品结构有望不断走高,啤酒有望开启新一轮的成长周期。短期随着产品提价的逐步兑现、产品结构的走高以及竞争得趋缓,利润率有望持续提升。 ?华润、百威等有望持续胜出。我国啤酒市场中的前五大啤酒企业凭借各自 不同的优势在全国各地占地为王,使得我国啤酒市场呈现诸侯割据。华润雪花在四川、贵州、安徽、江苏和辽宁都处于龙头地位,青岛啤酒基地市场为山东和陕西,百威英博目前占领了黑龙江、吉林、湖北、福建和浙江市场,燕京啤酒主要在北京、广西和内蒙古市场,嘉士伯占领了西北部啤酒的半壁江山。我们看好龙头企业优秀的团队,步步为营的产品策略和战略布局,市场份额有望持续提升,而随着龙头企业市场份额的提升,中小企业面临着被包围的风险,市场份额将不断地被蚕食。从现有的竞争实力和目前的布局来看,华润、百威的全国化有望获得成功。青岛啤酒和燕京的战线可能会收缩。 ?风险提示:因不可抗要素带来销量的下滑;市场竞争恶化带来超预期促销 活动。

咨询产业市场调研分析报告

咨询产业市场调研分析 报告 LEKIBM standardization office【IBM5AB- LEKIBMK08- LEKIBM2C】

咨询产业市场调研分析报告 咨询产业调查报告目录 一咨询业认知状况 1对咨询业的整体认知 2对咨询类别的认知 3对咨询业现状和前景的认知 4 对咨询公司的了解状况 5 对咨询工作的了解状况 6 对咨询业的了解途径 二咨询业从业意愿 1从业意愿度 2 咨询业吸引点 三从业准备 1 进入难度估计 2 进入后的挑战 3 咨询师应具备的素质 4 知识储备 四信息需求 1讲座信息需求 2文化知识应聘需求 (一)对咨询产业的认知 国外的咨询产业已经发展的相当成熟,据称,世界500强的企业中有50%左右的公司拥有自己长期合作的国际着名咨询公司。美国的AT&T公司就有1000多家咨询公

司为其进行全方位、多层面的咨询,每年投入的咨询费用高达3亿多美元。随后,咨询热潮蔓延到国内,使得国内咨询业蓬勃发展起来。一时间,我国咨询市场风潮涌动,从事咨询的企业和组织层出不穷。 但咨询产业作为一个新产业,其社会认知程度并不如预想的那样高。本次调研过程中,这一现象体现得比较突出。在我学会对北大学生为期几天的问卷调研过程中发现,对咨询行业有一定程度关注的学生较少,部分经管类专业的学生甚至根本没有听说过汉普波士顿等国内外知名咨询公司,更无从谈起对咨询产业的了解。 一,样本总体对咨询业的基本认知: 1,总体认知状况: 图1-1-1样本总体对咨询业的认知 对调研中收到的问卷进行统计,发现北大学生对咨询产业的认知水平偏低。如上图显示,对咨询产业非常了解的人数,只占到总样本量的6%;约70%的学生认为自己对咨询产业“一般知道”或“比较了解”,总的来说缺乏对咨询产业的深度了解,其余约20%的学生对咨询产业了解则停留在更低的层次上。 2,对咨询业认知的专业类别、性别和年级差异: 图1-1-2专业类别在咨询认知方面的差异 如图所示,对咨询产业认知程度的差异,在专业类别这一变量上表现显着。对咨询产业非常了解的学生,基本分布于经济管理类专业中,占到这类专业学生的%;经管类学生中,%表示对咨询行业比较了解,50%表示对咨询行业一般了解。与我们的预期相同,大部分非经管类专业学生对咨询行业仅停留在一般了解的水平上,而这一特点在理工科学生中表 现更为突出。 图1-1-3 性别在咨询业 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

2016年中国啤酒行业分析报告(完美版)

(此文档为word格式,可任意修改编辑!) 2016年4月

目录 一、低浓度,高品质啤酒成消费趋势,生啤及听装化是主要爆发点4 1、啤酒高速增长已成过去式,国内啤酒产品升级进入第一阶段4 2、个性化、低浓度啤酒提升女性消费占比8 3、高端啤酒占比低,行业整合及消费升级提升吨酒价格9 4、生啤及产品灌装化是产品升级的主要方向,毛利率提升在即11 二、“8+1+1”行业格局雏形渐显,扁平化、多渠道的精耕细作开启13 1、“8+1+1”行业格局雏形凸显提升行业毛利率13 2、产品消费升级在沿海地区,量增空间在西部15 3、扁平化、多渠道的精耕细作是目前渠道转型方向17 三、产品升级及渠道精细化首推龙头青岛啤酒及国企改革标的燕京啤酒和惠泉啤酒18 1、青岛啤酒:国内中高端啤酒龙头,产品和渠道战略定位中高端、年轻化18 (1)“1+1+3”战略转型,构建更明晰中高端产品定位18

(2)主打年轻化战略不改,布局更精细产异化产品19 (3)“大客户+微观运营”:由粗放式增长到精细化运营19 (4)“网络销售商+官方旗舰店+分销专营店+官方商城”,打造物联网王国19 2、燕京啤酒:西部扩张及产品升级支撑业绩向好,改革预期增强弹性较大20 (1)错位布局非竞争激烈消费大省,渠道扁平化奠定品牌优势20 (2)产品提价空间较大,中低档→中高档产品结构升级开启20 (3)吨价市值提升空间仍存,业绩支撑及改革预期是主要驱动力20 3、惠泉啤酒:我们看好燕京啤酒控股的国内二线啤酒公司惠泉啤酒的国企20

国内市场:低浓度,高品质啤酒成消费趋势,生啤及听装化是主要爆发点。我们认为国内啤酒换代正处于第一阶段,消费量见顶,人均酒精消费量开始下降,口味革新渐启。 我们认为啤酒消费由增量转为增质,差异化、低浓度、高品质啤酒成消费升级趋势;对照日本发展及国内具体情况来看,生啤和听装占比显著低于日美,预判未来品质升级的主要爆发点在生啤及听装化啤酒。 另外,从日美发展情况来看,低浓度偏好驱动女性消费群体占比提升,预测未来啤酒企业将开发更多针对女性的啤酒消费品,例如果啤、预调酒等。 “8+1+1”市场格局雏形凸显,毛利率提升在即;渠道扁平化、多样化的精耕细开启,中高端市场竞争趋热。啤酒的行业格局是“8+1+1”,CR4 占比80%,进口占比10%,其他小企业占比10%;TOP4 座次及占比已基本确定,依照日本及欧美发展经验,龙头企业盈利能力有望趋强,行业毛利率提升至40-50%之间是大概率事件。

2020年啤酒行业分析报告

2020年啤酒行业分析 报告 2020年1月

目录 一、啤酒行业量增空间有限,高端化是新趋势 (5) 1、啤酒行业需求端近年表现较弱 (6) 2、啤酒行业未来量增空间较为有限 (8) (1)啤酒行业迈入成熟期 (8) (2)啤酒行业产能过剩,近年产量连续下滑 (9) 二、啤酒行业呈寡头垄断、区域割据的竞争格局 (9) 1、啤酒行业集中度高,呈寡头垄断 (9) 2、啤酒行业区域割据,格局较稳定 (10) (1)啤酒毛利率低,运输费用高,基地市场更具成本优势 (10) (2)啤酒厂商区域割据,主要通过异地建厂及并购拓展版图 (11) (3)全国性的品牌主要有华润啤酒和百威啤酒 (11) 3、进口啤酒品牌主导高端市场 (13) 三、行业竞争由重份额转向重利润,高端化是盈利改善核心驱动力 (15) 1、国内啤酒行业盈利能力有提升空间 (15) 2、啤酒企业关厂提效、优化产能 (17) 3、直接提价应对成本上涨 (18) 4、产品结构升级将成为行业盈利改善的长期驱动力 (19) 5、精酿啤酒开启高端新时尚 (21) 6、罐化率提升助力盈利能力提升 (23) (1)中国啤酒罐化率有较大提升空间 (23) (2)罐装啤酒的毛利率更高 (24)

啤酒行业竞争格局较为稳定,呈寡头垄断、区域割据特点。啤酒行业集中度高,国内CR5占比71.6%。由于啤酒的运输成本高,存在一定的销售半径,几大品牌均有各自的优势区域市场。 啤酒行业步入成熟阶段,量增空间较为有限。啤酒行业在经历过高速发展阶段后步入成熟期,销量在2013年达到高点之后逐年下滑,2013-18年产量复合增速为-6%。我国啤酒人均消费量于2015年达到短期峰值后有所下降,目前为33升。此外,在人口老龄化趋势下,预计主力消费人群占比将下滑,行业量增空间较有限。 行业竞争策略由重份额转向重利润,盈利改善空间较大。我国啤酒行业过去份额为重、低价竞争,加之中低端产品占比大,吨价和毛利率较低。啤酒吨价仅为日、韩的三分之一。国内品牌毛利率30%-40%,而国际品牌百威毛利率60%左右,盈利改善空间大。2013年后行业产能明显过剩,净利率大幅下滑,甚至亏损。各大厂商改变竞争策略,关厂优化产能、推行产品高端化,盈利改善空间较大。 行业产能优化推动净利率回升。2013年后,啤酒行业产能利用率下降至50%-60%,近年啤酒厂商纷纷关厂提效。重庆啤酒自2015年关闭10家工厂,净利率由-4.6%逐步提升至12.2%;行业关厂进程持续,净利率有望进一步提升。青岛啤酒提出5年关闭10家工厂规划、19年完成2家工厂优化。华润啤酒预计19年关厂5-8家。 高端化是行业盈利改善的核心驱动力。行业竞争从低价时代进入高价时代,厂商重心转移至中高端产品布局。近年,华润对勇闯天涯进行升级,并与喜力合作发力高端市场。青啤推出一系列高端化产品,

2017年血透产业市场分析报告

2017年血透产业市场分析报告

目录 第一节血透市场将迎来大爆发 (4) 一、终末期肾脏病患病人数持续上升 (4) 二、国内血液透析将成主流 (6) 三、全球透析患者概况 (7) 四、国内透析患者治疗率低下 (8) 1、血透患者透析费用高昂 (8) 2、国内透析中心数量较少 (9) 五、血透市场迎政策春风 (9) 1、大病医保政策出台彻底激活市场需求 (9) 2、透析中心牌照逐步放开弥补供给缺口 (10) 六、血液透析迎来千亿大蓝海 (10) 第二节血透产业链分析 (11) 一、透析机 (12) 二、透析器 (17) 三、透析粉液 (20) 四、血液透析服务之独立透析中心 (21) 五、DaVita-全球血透服务龙头 (22) 六、透析药品 (24) 1、抗贫血药 (24) 2、抗凝药 (24) 第三节部分相关企业分析 (26) 一、宝莱特 (26) 二、常山药业 (28) 三、新华医疗 (30) 四、蓝帆医疗 (31)

图表目录 图表1:慢性肾病原发性疾病 (4) 图表2:居民高血压和糖尿病患病率 (4) 图表3:国内透析患者数量 (5) 图表4:国内透析市场规模 (6) 图表5:全球2012年ESRD患病率(PMP) (7) 图表6:全球2012年ESRDS患者救治率(PMP) (8) 图表7:血液透析产业链 (11) 图表8:血透成本构成 (11) 图表9:威高日机装血液透析机 (12) 图表10:血液透析机工作原理 (12) 图表11:国内血透机需求量增长迅速 (14) 图表12:国内血透机总产量占比较小 (15) 图表13:国外进口血液透析机数量呈上升趋势 (16) 图表14:国外日本欧盟进口产品构成 (16) 图表15:国内血液透析机市场份额 (17) 图表16:血液透析器构造 (17) 图表17:2012年国内血液透析器市场份额 (18) 图表18:2012-2016年国内血透粉液市场规模 (20) 图表19:国内血液透析分业市场格局 (20) 图表20:血液透析中心3D图纸 (21) 图表21:DaVita营收净利及增速 (22) 图表22:DaVita营收构成 (22) 图表23:DaViTa和标普500指数变化以及DaVita发展历程 (23) 图表24:2015年国内EPO市场份额 (24) 图表25:2015年低分子肝素钙市场竞争格局 (25) 图表26:宝莱特历年营收净利及增速 (26) 图表27:宝莱特历年营收构成情况 (27) 图表28:宝莱特血透全产业链布局 (27) 图表29:常山药业产品构成 (28) 图表30:常山药业营收净利及增速 (29) 图表31:常山药业分产品营收及增速 (29) 图表32:新华医疗产品构成 (30) 图表33:新华医疗营收净利及增速 (30) 图表34:蓝帆医疗产品构成 (31) 图表35:蓝帆医疗营收净利及增速 (32) 表格目录 表格1:大病医保相关政策 (9) 表格2:国内血液透析机批文情况 (14) 表格3:2015年国内血液透析器需求量与市场规模 (18) 表格4:国内透析器批文情况情况 (19) 表格5:常山药业主要产品简介 (28)

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