苏联解体后的俄罗斯与西方关系【英文】

Georgian tanks enter South Ossetia
Bush and Putin were attending Beijing Olympics
源自文库
Russian forces enter South Ossetia through the Roki Tunnel
Vice President Cheney and Senator McCain argued for a US military strike at Russian forces
SS-21
French President Nicolas Sarkozi mediates an end to the conflict; the war ends on August 12


Scale of conflict 1. Size of forces The Georgian side – 17-20,000 The Russian-Ossetian-Abkhazian side – 20-23,000 2. Casualties, killed South Ossetian - 365 Georgian – 412 Russian – 71 Abkhazian - 1



“Frozen conflicts” Control of territory: which ethnic group, which state? Dissolution of the multiethnic Soviet Union is the trigger Struggles between nations – or between elites? Human rights – or property and power? Fights over the imperial spoils Participants can be pro-Russian or anti-Russian, proWestern or anti-Western, depending on the situation
The global economic crisis
Changes in Russia’s GDP

Russia reverts to its traditional theme: Modernization This goal boosts Russia’s interest in further integration with the West
Afghanistan

2009-10: THE RESET IN RUSSIA-WEST RELATIONS



1.Improvement of US-Russian relations Containment of Russia no longer key US priority Serious dialog across the board Security and arms control – key area of joint actions Expansion of trade 2.Resumption of cooperation between NATO and Russia Further NATO expansion put off Afghanistan as the main area of common interests Change of US policy and a new dialog on missile defence NATO’s Lisbon Summit 3.New push for EU-Russia integration

The war’s impact on Russia’s relations with the West



1. Showed how close to a major war the relationship deteriorated as a result of zero-sum thinking 2. Showed the danger of clients provoking a major war for their own ends 3. Showed that main leaders did not want a major war 4. Showed the danger of further NATO expansion 5. Manifested the need for a major review of relations


Georgia (South Ossetia and Abkhazia) Armenia-Azerbaijan (Nagorny Karabakh) Moldova (Transnistria)
August 7, 2008: Georgian forces launch a major invasion of South Ossetia
Russia and the West after the USSR, Part II

The year 2008, the game changer



2008 March: Dmitry Medvedev is elected President of Russia August: The Russia-Georgia war brings tensions between Russia and the West to the highest level since the Cold War October: The global financial crisis reaches its critical point November: Barack Obama is elected US President on a platform of change December: NATO decides to put off further Eastern expansion