气候脆弱性评估

• Identify how gender and social factors affect the vulnerability of women and men differently, especially among the most climate vulnerable populations in your area
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Why Conduct CVAs? 为什么要进行气候脆弱性评估?
Climate vulnerability analyses help you to:
气候脆弱性分析有助于:
• Take a systems perspective to identify the range of social, economic, physical, environmental and human factors - and the interlinkages across systems - that shape vulnerability.
•
• Examinations of policies, institutions, communication and usage of information, and inclusive and coordinated planning processes. • 研究政策、体制、交流和信息的使用、包容性规划
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Concepts, Principles & Applications 概念、原则与应用
Climate vulnerability assessments involve combining the following sets of information: 气候脆弱性评估包含以下信息：
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Shared Learning Dialogues 共享学习对话
共享学习对话进程
Small, iterative focus group discussions to: 多次进行的小型讨论 组： - Engage vulnerable groups & assess their capacities 编入弱势群体& 评估其能力 - Understand and work with complex, adaptive systems 了解复杂适应系统， 与其共同工作 - Cross disciplinary and orgranisational boundaries & scales of governance 跨学科、跨组织、跨管 理部门 - Generate new information & use existing information in new ways 产生 新的信息&以新的方式使用已有信息
• 识别性别与社会因素何以会对男性与女性的脆弱性造成 差异性影响，对区域内最易受气候影响的人群尤为重要
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Why Conduct CVAs? 为什么要进行气候脆弱性评估?
Climate vulnerability analyses help you to: 气候脆弱性分析有助于：
Methods and Tools for Resilience Planning: 适应机制规划方法与工具:
中英瑞气候变化适应项 目ACCC: Workshop Climate Change Impact And Risk Assessments
Climate Vulnerability Assessments
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Analysis Techniques 分析方法
• Governance and institutional analysis • 管理层与机构分析 • Community-resource markets mapping • 社区资源市场测绘
• Quantitative indices of vulnerability • 脆弱性定量指数
• Identify the most climate vulnerable areas in your province. • 识别所在省份最易受气候影响的地区
• Identify the most climate vulnerable ecosystems, sectors and institutions. • 识别最易受气候影响的生态系统、部门与机构
Climate vulnerability assessments help you to identify who & what are vulnerable to what and the reasons why they are vulnerable.
气候脆弱性评估有助于识别 不同人群或事物易受何种因 素影响，原因何在
Adapted from Mustafa et al. 2008 & 2009
Total Possible Vulnerability Score
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Vulnerability Indices 脆弱性指数
脆弱性与指数类型 物质脆弱性 (满分 30) 1. 2. 3. 4. 收入来源 受教育水平 资产 经历 脆弱性 能力
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当地经验、科学研究
反思、修订计划
学习Fra Baidu bibliotek
共享学习对话 规划、实行
监控、文件、 使用对话系统、 反思 监控、文件、 使用对话系统、 监控、文件、 反思 使用对话系统、 反思 时间
Vulnerability Indices 脆弱性指数
Types of Vulnerability and Indicators Material Vulnerabilities (Total Score 30) 1. 2. 3. 4. Income Source Educational Attainment Assets Exposure Vulnerability Capacity
体制脆弱性 (满分 50)
5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 社会合作 与外地亲属的联系 基础设施 家庭受扶养人口比例 预警系统 次等种姓、宗教或少数民族社区 观念脆弱性 (满分 20) 11. 总计
MARCH 3-5, 2010 Beijing 中英瑞气候变化适 应项目: 气候变化 影响与风险评估 研讨会 北京 2010年3月3日至五 日
气候脆弱性评估
Sarah Opitz-Stapleton, ISET
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Climate Vulnerability Assessments 气候脆弱性评估
• Examinations of physical, social, environmental,
economic and human dimensions that contribute to vulnerability or enhance capacity.
研究造成脆弱性或加强能力的自然、社会、环境、 经济与人类活动。
实现:
发展、优化、确定适应战略、行动 ，用于主要 脆弱群体、部门与系统。
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Analysis Techniques 分析方法
• Focus group discussions, interviews and stakeholder consultations • 有针对性小组讨论、会谈并咨询利益相关者 • Shared Learning Dialogues • 共享学习对话 • Participatory vulnerability assessments • 参与式脆弱性评估方法
气候脆弱性评估包含以下信息：
• Historical climate information and projections
of future climate, while knowing the limitations of future projections
• 历史上的气候信息和对未来气候的预测（虽然未来 气候预测有一定局限性）
与协调性规划过程。
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Concepts, Principles & Applications 概念、原则与应用
Climate vulnerability assessments involve combining the following sets of information: 气候脆弱性评估包含以下信息：
• Household and community surveys •入户与社区调查
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Analysis Techniques 分析方法
• Climate scenarios and hydrologic modeling • 气候情景与水文模型 • GIS-enabled vulnerability mapping using overlays of biophysical and social indicators, boundaries, service delivery, infrastructure, climate and socio-economic scenarios • 叠加生物物理和社会指数、分界、服务交付、 基础设施、气候与社会经济情景，应用全球信息 系统进行脆弱性测绘
• Specific attention to the vulnerabilities and capacities of the most poor and vulnerable groups. • 特别关注最贫困和最脆弱群体的脆弱性与能力。
• Consideration of how vulnerability may differ across scales and time. • 考虑脆弱性在不同尺度间的差异。
Birkman 2005: 4
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Why Conduct CVAs? 为什么要进行气候脆弱性评估?
Climate vulnerability analyses help you to: 气候脆弱性分析有助于： • Identify the most climate vulnerable populations in your province, to what they are vulnerable and why • 识别所在省份最脆弱人群、易受何种因素影响，原因何 在
Institutional Vulnerability (Total Score 50)
5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Social Networks Extra-local kinship ties Infrastructure Proportion of dependents in a household Warning Systems Community of disadvantaged caste, religious or ethnic minority Attitudinal Vulnerability (Total Score 20) 11. Sense of Empowerment 100
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Concepts, Principles & Applications 概念、原则与应用
…in order to: Develop, prioritise and target adaptation strategies and actions to address key vulnerable groups, sectors and systems.
• 从系统角度识别能够影响脆弱性的社会、经济、自 然、环境及人为因素（包括系统间联系）
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Concepts, Principles & Applications 概念、原则与应用
Climate vulnerability assessments involve combining the following sets of information: