Lecture 7 Earnings Properties

合集下载

Lecture 7

Lecture 7

Preference Share




Preference share usually pays a fixed dividend and has a prior claim on the firm’s earnings and assets in case of liquidation over ordinary share. The dividend is expressed as either a dollar amount (no par value) or as a percentage of its par value. Therefore, unlike ordinary share a preference share’s par value may have real significance. If a firm fails to pay a preference share dividend, the dividend is said to be in arrears – prohibited to pay ordinary share dividend.
2
EQUITY CAPITAL – PREFERRED/COMMON



Long term fund, provided by firm’s owner Permanent form of financing No repayment is required Liquidate in the event of bankruptcy Claims on income – after satisfy claims from creditors Claims on asset – after satisfy creditor, government, employee, customer Not tax deductibility

注会6科加分常用英语

注会6科加分常用英语

39. Capital surplus 资本溢价 40. Surplus reserves 盈余公积 41. Undistributed profit 未分配利润 42. Owner’s equity 所有者权益 43. Comprehensive income 综合收益 44. Other comprehensive income其他综合收益 Difference on translation of foreign currency financial statements 外币报表 折算差 45. retained earnings (accumulated deficit)未分配利润(或累积亏损) 46. net income or loss for current period 本期损益 47. unrealized loss on market value decline of long-term equity investments 长 期股权投资跌价损失 48. repair(s) and maintenance (expense )修理维护费 49. manufacturing overhead-outsourced委托加工费 50. advertisement expense, advertisement广告费 51. general and administrative expenses管理费用 52. research and development expense 研发费用 53. other general and administrative expenses其他管理及总务费用 54. other research and development expenses 其他研究发展费用 55. non-operating income (revenue) and expenses, other income(expense)营业外收入 及费用 56. investment income recognized under equity method 权益法下核算的投资收益 57. gain on market price recovery of short-term investment 短期投资市价转回所得 58. gain from price recovery of inventory 存货跌价回升利益 59. other non-operating revenue-other items 其他营业外收入-其他 60. investment loss recognized under equity method权益法下核算的投资损失 61. unrealized loss on reduction of short-term investments to market 短期投资未 实现跌价损失 62. loss on disposal of investments 处分投资损失 63. loss for market price decline and obsolete and slow-moving inventories 存 货跌价及呆滞损失 64. other non-operating expenses-other其他营业外支出-其他 65. income tax expense (or benefit) 所得税费用(或利益) 66. assets 资产 67. current assets 流动资产 68. cash on hand 库存现金 69. cash at banks 银行存款 70. cash in transit 在途现金 71. short-term investment 短期投资 72. short-term investments-stocks 短期投资-股票 73. short-term investments-other短期投资-其他 74. notes receivable 应收票据 75. discounted notes receivable 应收票据贴现 76. other notes receivable 其他应收票据

米什金《货币金融学-英文第12版》PPT课件-第七章-股票市场、理性预期理论与有效市场假说

米什金《货币金融学-英文第12版》PPT课件-第七章-股票市场、理性预期理论与有效市场假说

FinanceChapter2 Financial MarketsInterest Rates and Calculation of Interest RatesThe Behavior of Interest RatesThe Risk and Term Structure of Interest RatesThe Stock Market, the Theory of Rational Expectations, and the Efficient Market HypothesisLecture 7The Stock Market, the Theory of Rational Expectations, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis •What Is a Stock?•Computing the Price of Common Stock•How the Market Sets Stock Prices•The Theory of Rational Expectations•The Efficient Market Hypothesis •Behavioral FinanceLearning ObjectivesCalculate the price of common stock.Recognize the impact of new information on stock prices.Compare and contrast adaptive expectations and rational expectations.Identify and explain the implications of the efficient market hypothesis for financial markets.Summarize the reasons why behavioral finance suggests that the efficient market hypothesis may not hold.What Is a Stock?1.1 What Is a Stock?A stock (also known as equity) is a security that represents the ownership of a fraction of a corporation.This entitles the owner of the stock to a proportion of the corporation’s assets and profits equal to how much stock they own.Units of stock are called “shares”.股票(也称为股权)是代表公司一部分所有权的证券。

外研社选修7模块1Language points

外研社选修7模块1Language points

5. There is no doubt that he deserves the title “outstanding player of his age”. deserve: vt.值得;应得,应受(赏罚、帮助等): Good work deserves good pay. One good turn deserves another. These proposals deserve serious consideration. 值得注意/同情 deserve attention/sympathy deserve blame/punishment 该受责备/惩罚 deserve doing;deserve to do She deserved to win because she was the best. The old woman deserves looking after. Your suggestion deserves to be considered. considering.
3.He finished his first season as one of the top scorers in the league, with an average of 28.2 points per game. During this time, the average number of points he scored was more than 30 points per game. Chamberlain is the only NBA player who averaged over 50 for an entire season. average n. 平均;平均数; adj. 平均的;普通的 vt. 算出…的平均数;将…平均分配;vi. 平均为 a.The rainfall here averages 10 millimeters every year. b.I averaged the price of meat in four neighbourhood stores. c.The cars travel at an average speed of 40 kilometers per hour. d.I suppose I average about 5 cups of coffee a day.

商务英语术语翻译

商务英语术语翻译

07A1. Taking Delivery2.Factor endowments3.Learning effects4.clusters of related industries5. Location-specific advantage6.attentiveness7.industrial dispute8. equity(in accounting)9. down payment10. bonus point 11.Work permit 12. floor plan13. freehold 14.leasehold 15.stakeholder16. a filing cabinet 17.expenses claims sheet 18. no-frills airlines19. staff turnover 20.workshop1) 提货2) 要素禀赋3) 学习效应4) 相关产业集群5) 区位优势6) 周到7) 劳资纠纷8) 净资产9). 首付10) 积分11) 工作许可证12) 楼层平面图13) 永业产权14)_租赁权15). 利益悠关方16) 文件柜17) 费用报销单18) 经济型航空公司19) 员工流动20) 研讨会_07B1. Value for money2.Factor endowments3.Learning effects4.outstanding balance5. Location-specific advantage6. mortgage7.industrial dispute 8.motoring magazine 9. down payment10.press coverage 11.Work permit 12. full amenities13. leasehold 14.breakeven 15.stakeholder16.disposal 17.expenses claims sheet 18. take precautions19. staff turnover 20. civil liability1)物有所值2) 要素禀赋3) 学习效应4) 余额5) 区位优势6) 住房按揭7) 劳资纠纷8) 汽车杂志9). 首付10) 报道篇幅11) 工作许可证12) 全套设施13) 租赁权14) _盈亏平衡15). 利益悠关方16) 处置财产17) 费用报销单18) 采取防范措施19) 员工流动20) _ 民事责任08A1. Profit and loss statement2.Factor endowments3. Zero inventory4.EPS(earnings per share)5. Location-specific advantage6. Taking Delivery7.Industrial dispute8. Equity(in accounting)9. Lecture theatre10.lump sum 11.Work permit 12. Overheads13. Freehold 14.General merchandise 15.Stakeholder16. FOB(Free On Board) plimentary tickets 18. No-frills airlines 19. Staff turnover 20. Know-how1) 损益表2) 要素禀赋3)零库存4)每股收益5) 区位优势6) 提货7) 劳资纠纷8) 净资产9). 阶梯教室10) 一次性付款11) 工作许可证12) 公司日常开支13) 永业产权14)_杂货15). 利益悠关方16) 离岸价17) 免费赠送票18) 经济型航空公司19) 员工流动20)专有技术/略号08B1.A backlog of orders2. Net worth3. Financing cost4.Core competence5.Corporate event6. Bulk discount7.risk-free investment 8.Brand stretching 9. Disposal10.Bargaining power 11.Legal action 12. Annual Leave13. Leasehold 14.Roadshow 15. Operating margins16. CIF 17. Dividend per share 18. Concession19. Settle the balance 20. Tribunal rules1) 定单积压2) 净资产3) 融资成本4) 核心竞争力5) 企业社交活动6) 批量折扣7) 无风险投资8) 品牌延伸9). 出售10) 议价能力11) 法律诉讼12) 年假13) 租赁14)_路演15). 经营利润16) 到岸价17) 每股分红18) 减让19) 结清余款20) 法庭裁决。

一些英文词的标准缩写

一些英文词的标准缩写

⼀些英⽂词的标准缩写有些词可能共⽤⼀些缩写。

带星号的缩写或词来源于PeopleSoft标准。

The following standard word abbreviations should be used in naming records, fields, and SQRs:Word(s)Abbreviation DescriptionAbbreviateABRVAbbreviationAcademic ACADAcceptACPTAcceptanceAcceptedAccess ACCSAccident ACDNTAccomplishACMPAccomplishmentAccomplishmentsAccount*ACCT*Accounting*ACCTG*Accounts PayableAPAdvanced PlacementAccounts Receivable ARAccredited ACRDAccrual ACRLAccumulated*ACCUM*AccumulationACUMAccumulativeAchieveACHVAchievementAcquisition*ACQ*ActActiveACTActivityAmerican College TestAction*ACTN*Actual ACTLAddADDAddedAdditional*ADDL*Address*ADDR*Narrative data which describes a person, place or thing's location Ad hoc ADHCAdjudicateADJDAdjudicatedAdjudicationAdjusted Gross Income AGIAdjustment*ADJ*AdministeredAdministratedADMAdministrationAdmissibleAdmission ADMSAdmittanceADMTAdmittedAdvanced PlacementAPAccounts PayableAdvice ADVCAffiliation AFFLAfter AFTAge AGEAgency AGCYAgent AGNTAid AIDAlien ALNAll ALLAllocateALLOC*Allocation*ALPHALTALMNAM"Ante Meridiem" (morning)ACTAMT*Monetary value(s)ANLSANNL*ANONANSAPTAPELAPP*APPL*APPTAPRVAREAARAYARRSASCASGNASSCASMPATHLATCHATNDATTNATTRADTAUTHAUXAVLAVG The mean of two or more numbers ACGAWRDBAL*The net value (balance) of an account BNKBARGBASBTCHBEFBEGNBOTBENBIDBILLBRSBRTHBRDBRKBUDBBABLDBUSBU*BUYCALC*CAL*CALLCMPNCMPSCANCAPCPLZCRDCARCRIRCARTCSECSHCTLGCATG*CENSCTRCERTCERTCHGCHAPCRGCHARTFCHKCTZNCTYCLASCLRCLEPCLOCLBCBR*CD*Data which represents encoded values (translate or code table)CLCTCOLGCLMNCOMBCMDCMT An explanatory, illustrative or critical note, remark or observation CMMTTEECO*COMPA*CPTRCMPLCMPT When the meaning is "part", use abbreviation "PRT".COMPCONDCNFDCONF*CNSTData which is unchanging or invariableCSTCTCTCONTCNTRCNTL*CONVR*CNV*CRSPCOSTA number of people or things that have been "counted", such as inventory cycle CNTCNT A number of people or things that have been "counted", such as inventory cycle countCTRY CNTY CRSE* COVRG* CRE CRDLCR* CRDT Use "CR" for field names relating to financial data Use "CRDT" for field names relating to academic workCREFCRSXLSTXREFCUMCURR*CUR*CRSRCSTNCUST*DLYDATADPDT* A calendar day, month, and year (including century) DTTMDD*DY*A day of the week (Sunday, Monday, etc.)DEADDR*DED*DFLT*DFCTDEFN*DEGDELDLVRDMODNTLDEPT*DMVDEP*DPSTDEPR*DESCR* DSC Narrative data which translates a code or number. When a suffix, use "_DSC" (see Standard Field Name Suffix table).DSGN DEST* DETL*DETL* DEV DIFFDGT DIR DISA DSBDISC* DSPL DISP DSPDIST*DSTR DIV DCE DOC DONR DNDRVDUE DUP*EA ERLYEARN* EIC EDU EFF*EFFDT* EFFSEQ* EFRTELCTEDIEFTEM ELIG*EMRG EMPH EE* EMPL EMPLID*EMPLID* ER* EMPLMTENCB END EOT ENDR ENDR ENDW ENGNENGL ENRCH ENRLENTR ENTL EQEEOEQP ERR ESTB ETHNEVALEVNT EXM EXCPEXCL EXEC EXMT EXPCEFC XPDTEXP EXPM EXPR EXP EXTEXTR FCLT FAC FMLYFERPAFST FATH FED FLSA FEEFTFICAFLD FILE FNL FIN*FA FINE FRST FISC FY FYTDFIXFLG SW Data which functions as a flag or indicator. Used with only two possible states/conditions. Data should normally be "Y" or "N".FSA FLR FOR FGN FK FRM FMT FORMR FREEFAFSAFOBFRZFREQ*FRSHFRFULFFT FTEFCN FUNDFUNDFUTGARN*GENLGEDGLGEOGGFTGLBLGOVTGDEGRD A value assigned to reflect performance or position on a scale GPAGRADGRNTGROSGRPGUARGSLGSTHANDHEADHDR*HLTHHLDHLPHIERH Normally used in conjunction with another word (i.e., High School abbreviated as "HS").HSHSSHEDHWAYHIREHSTHMHONRHSCHOSPHH A duration of time expressed in hoursHRLYHRS*HSEHOWHRHRSID*Alphanumeric data which identifies a person, place, or thing IMGIMGIMUNIMPC IMPL IMP IMPEXP IN INCL INCMINCRINDXIDIND INDV ISIR INFOINITINJ* INOC INPT INQ ISRT INSTISTRINAS INSIU*INT INTFC* INTR INTL INVLINTVINVN INV INVEST*INVTINVC ISSITM JOB JRNL* JRJSKEY LBL LBR LABLABLNGLSTLATELATLAYFLVLCTRLED*LGLLNDRLEN*LTRLVLLISNLBDLIBLICLIC_PLTE_NBR LIFELIM*LN*LNKLIQLSTLTRLLOADLNLOC*LKLKRLOGLOGON LONGLTCLTDLONLOTLOWMAILMAINT*MJRMKMGRMAPMRTLMASMASMSKMARSMTCHMTHMTRCMAX*MEDMTMBRMSHPMMOMEMRMERCHNDSMERCHMERTMSG*MTRMETHMFILMMIDMILMIN*MINRMNTA duration of time expressed in minutesMMMISCMDEMODMONYMM*A calendar month in numeric form (e.g., 01=January)MN*MTD*MOREMOTHMOVEMULTNMWord(s) by which a person, place or thing is commonly known NMENATLNACUBONSLDS Commonly known as the "Perkins Loan"NAVNEWNXTNOKNCNCNOCRNPRTNOMNONNPSNOTNANOTENBR*Numeric data which identifies a person, place, or thing OBJOCPOCCOFFROFFCOFCROFCLOLDONLNOPNOPR*OPTORDRORGORNTORIGOTHROUTOVROHOVRDOTOWNOWNRPACKPAIDPPRPARM*PARPRTYPRKPRTPTPTPRTPPASSPASTPTRNPAYPYRLPEDPELPENDPENSPCT*Part of a whole expressed in hundredthsPD*PTD*NSLDS Common name for National Student Loan Direct System PERMPRMTPERSPSNLPINPANPHNPHYSPLCEPLNPLTEPLDGPM"Post Meridiem" (afternoon)PNTPLCYPOSN*POSTPSTLPOTNPREDPREFPRFXPREMPREQPSCRPRSTPRESPREVPRCPLPRIMPKPRINPIPRNPREVPRTYPROBPROCPRFSPRFCPROF*PROGPROJPRMSPROMPRPSPRSPPRVNPURPOPRGPURPQALQTY* A number of things other than moneyQTD*QTRQSTNRACERNGRNK Relative standing or positionRT*Numeric value expressing amount per some unit of coverage READREALRSN*RCLRCPTRECV*RCVRRCHGRECGRCMDRECON* REC*RECR RCRT RED* REF*RFND RGNL REGR REGRJCT RLAT RLSE RELGRMNG RMDR RNWLREPTREPLRPLY RPT*REQ*RQMT* RESRSRV ROTC RSDTRSGN RSRC RESP RST RSTKRSTRRSLT RET*RET*RETRRTNREVRVWREVSREVKRLRLUPRMROUTROWRSVP French abbreviation meaning "please reply" RUNRUNCTLSAL*SALESLTNSMSAVESCALSCHED*SCHLRSCHLSATSCISCR A number that expresses merit or performance SCRNSRCHSCND SS Use "SCND" for field names relating to number two in a countable series Use "SS" for field names relating to a duration of time expressed in secondsSCTN SEC* SEGSEL*SEM SEMFSENSND SR SNT SEPR SEQ* SERL SERV SESSN* SEXSHR SHET SHLT SHFT SHIP SHRT SGN SIM SITE SZ SKL SKPSOCSSN SFT SLID SOPH SRTSRC SPCL SPECSPONSPRT SPSE SQ STCK STF STG STMP STD STDVSTRTST STMT STC STAT* STS STP STPD STK STOP STR STRG STRC STU SAR SCH STDY SCMPSCMP SUBJ SUB SUBS SFXSUM* SUP* SUPL*SRVY SUSP SUSPNFLG SW Data which functions as a flag or indicator. Used with only two possible states/conditions. Data should normally be "Y" or "N".SYSTBLTKNTAPETRGTTGHTTXTINTEAMTEMPTMPL*TMPTENRTRMTRMLTRMTTSTTXT Narrative informational data such as a message or error text THERM13th MonthTIAATKTTM Hours and minutes. May include seconds, hundredths of seconds. TMKPTS A system generated Time-stampTITLTDYTOT*TOURCTYTRKTRADTRN*TRANS*TSCPXFER*XFER*XLT Meaning "Crosswalk Table" XMITTRVLTUIT*TYPUGRDUNEMPLUNITUOM*UNVRSLUNIVUNPDUNSECMAXUPDTUPRUSDEUSEUSRVACN*VLDCVLDVALVARVEH*VENDVRBLVERFVETVPVIOVISAVSTVCHRW2W4W9WVEDWKWIDW Normally used as part of a compound word (i.e., Withdrawl abbreviated as "WDRL").WDRL WHLDWHLDWMN WKSTWRT YR*YTD* ZIP ZN。

lecture7 valuation of bonds and stock

lecture7 valuation of bonds and stock

Chap. 7 /8KMPLECTURE 7The Valuation Bonds and StocksValuation of bondsLearning Objectives1.Distinguish between different kinds of bonds.2.Explain the more popular features of bonds.3.Define the term value as used for several differentpurposes.4.Explain the factors that determine value.5.Describe the basic process for valuing assets.6.Estimate the value of a bond.pute a bondholder’s expected rate of return.8.Explain three important relationships that exist in bondvaluation.Slide Contents Principles used in this Chapter1.Types of Bonds2.Bond Terminology3.Bond Valuation4.Bond Yield5.Bond Valuation: Important RelationshipsPrinciples Applied inthis Chapter •Principle 3:Money has time value•Principle 3:Risk requires reward•Principle 4:Market prices are generally rightBonds•Meaning: Type of debt or long-term promissory note, issued by a borrower, promising to its holder a predetermined and fixed amount of interest per year and repayment of principal at maturity.•Issuers or Borrowers: Corporations, US Government, State and Local Municipalities.1. Types of Bonds•Debentures•Subordinated Debentures •Mortgage Bonds •Eurobonds•Convertible BondsDebentures •Debentures are unsecured long-term debt.•For issuing firm, debentures provide the benefit of not tying up property as collateral.•For bondholders, debentures are more risky than secured bonds and provide a higher yield than secured bonds.Subordinated Debenture •There is a hierarchy of payout in case ofinsolvency.•The claims of subordinated debentures are honored only after the claims of secured debt and unsubordinated debentures have been satisfied.Mortgage Bond •Mortgage bond is secured by a lien on realproperty.•Typically, the value of the real property is greater than that of the bonds issued.Eurobonds •Securities (bonds) issued in a countrydifferent from the one in whose currency thebond is denominated.•For example, a bond issued by an American corporation in Japan that pays interest and principal in dollars.Convertible Bonds •Convertible bonds are debt securities that can be converted into a firm’s stock at a pre-specified price.2. Bond Terminology•Claims on assets and income•Par value•Current yield•Coupon interest rate•Maturity•Call provision•Indenture•Bond ratingsClaims on Assets and Income •Seniority in Claims: In the case of insolvency, claims of debt, including bonds are honored before those of common or preferred stock.Par Value•Par value is the face value of the bond, returned to the bondholder at maturity.•In general, corporate bonds are issued at denominations or par value of $1,000.•Prices are represented as a % of face value. Thus a bond quoted at 112 can be bought at 112% of its par value in the market. Bonds will return the par value at maturity, regardless of the price paid at the time of purchase.Coupon Interest Rate•The percentage of the par value of the bond that will be paid periodically in the form of interest.•Example: A bond with a $1,000 par valueand 5% coupon rate will pay $50 annually(.05*1000) or $25 (if interest is paid semi-annually).Maturity•Maturity of bond refers to the length of time until the bond issuer returns the par value to the bondholder and terminates or redeems the bond.Call Provision•Call provision (if it exists on a bond) gives corporation the option to redeem the bonds before the maturity date. For example, if the prevailing interest rate declines, the firm may want to pay off the bonds early and reissue at a more favorable interest rate.•Issuer must pay the bondholders a premium.•There is also a call protection period where the firm cannot call the bond for a specified period of time.Indenture•An indenture is the legal agreement between the firm issuing the bond and the trustee who represents the bondholders.•It provides for specific terms of the loan agreement (such as rights of bondholders and issuing firm). •Many of the terms seek to protect the status of bonds from being weakened by managerial actions or by other security holders.Bond Ratings•Bond ratings reflect the future risk potential of the bonds.•Three prominent bond rating agencies are Standard & Poor, Moody’s, and Fitch Investor Services.•Lower bond rating indicates higher probability of default. It also means that the rate of return demanded by the capital markets will be higher on such bonds.Table 7-1Favorable Factors affectingBond Rating•A greater reliance on equity as opposed to debt in financing the firm•Profitable operations•Low variability in past earnings•Large firm size•Minimal use of subordinated debtJunk Bonds•Junk bonds are high-risk bonds with ratings of BB or below by Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s. Junk bonds are also referred to as high-yield bonds as they pay high interest rate, 3-5% more than AAA rated bonds.3. Valuing Bonds Defining Value•Book value:Value of an asset as shown on a firm’s balance sheet.•Liquidation value:The dollar sum that could be realized if an asset were sold individually and not as part of a goingconcern.•Market value:The observed value for the asset in the marketplace•Intrinsic or economic value:Also called fair value—the present value of the asset’s expected future cash flows.Value and Efficient Market •In an efficient market, the values of allsecurities at any instant fully reflect allavailable public information.•If the markets are efficient, the market value and the intrinsic value will be the same.What Determines Value?•Value of an Asset = Present value of its expected future cash flows using the investor’s required rate of return as the discount rate.•Thus value is affected by three elements:–Amount and timing of the asset’s expected future cashflows–Riskiness of the cash flows–Investor’s required rate of return for undertaking theinvestmentBond Valuation•The value of a bond (V) is a combination of:–C: Future expected cash flows in the form of interest and repayment of principal–n: The time to maturity of the loan–r: The investor’s required rate of returnEquation 7-1Typical cash flows on a Bond(for Corporation)Time Cash flow0Cash inflow from Bond Issue1–Maturity Pay InterestMaturity Repay PrincipalExceptions: Bankruptcy, Bond Recalled and paid off before the due date, Mergers and acquisitions.Typical cash flows on a Bond (forbondholder)Time Cash flowO Pay for bond (Buy)1–Maturity Receive InterestMaturity Receive Par value back Exceptions: Bankruptcy, Bond Recalled, Bond sold by investor in the market before maturity date, Mergers & acquisitions.Example on Bond Valuation •Consider a bond issued by Toyota with a maturity date of 2010 and a stated coupon of 4.35%. In December 2005, with 5 years left to maturity, investors owning the bonds are requiring a 3.6% rate of return.Toyota Bond Example •Step 1 (CF):Estimate amount and timing of the expected future cash flows:–Annual Interest payments= .0435 ×$1,000 = $43.50 every year for five years–The par value of $1,000 to be received in 2010Summary of Cash Flows(For One Bond)Time Bondholder Corporation 0Price = ?Price = ?1–5$43.5–$43.55+1,000–1,000•Step 2 (r)Determine the investor’s required rate of return by evaluating the riskiness of the bond’s future cash flows. Remember the investors required rate of return equals the risk free rate plus a risk premium. Here, the required rate of return (r) is given as 3.6%•Step 3:Calculate the intrinsic value of the bond.•Bond Value= PV(Interest, received every year)+ PV(Par, received at maturity)= PV($43.5, for 5 years,r= 3.6%)+ PV($1000 at year 5, i= 3.6%)= PV of Annuity (A = 43.5; N = 5; r = 3.6%) + PV of single cash flow(FV= $1,000, N= 5, i= 3.6%)= $195.84 + $837.73= $1,033.574. Bond YieldsYield to Maturity (YTM)•YTM refers to the rate of return the investor will earn if the bond is held to maturity. YTM is also known as bondholder’s expected rate of return. •YTM = Discount rate that equates the present value of the future cash flows with the current market price of the bond.Bond Yields To find YTM, we need to know:(a) current price(b) time left to maturity(c) par Value and(d) annual interest paymentCurrent Yield•Current yield is the ratio of the interest payment to the bond’s current market price.•Current Yield = Annual interest payment/current market price of the bond Example: The current yield on a $1,000 par value bond with 8% coupon rate and market price of $700= $80 / $700 = 11.4 %Total Yield•Total Yield from Bond =Current Yield+ Capital gain/loss from sale of bond.•Thus in the previous example, if the bond was bought for $700 and sold for $725.Total Yield = 80 + (725 –700)= $105 or 105/700=15%5. Bond Valuation: ThreeImportant RelationshipsRelationship #1•The value of a bond is inversely related to changes in the investor’s present required rate of return (the current interest rate).•As interest rates increase (decrease), the value of the bond decreases (increases).Bond Valuation: ThreeImportant Relationships Relationship #2•The market value of a bond will be less than the par value if the investor’s required rate of return is above the coupon interest rate.•Bond will be valued above par value if the investor’s required rate of return is below the coupon interest rate.Discount Bonds•The market value of a bond will be below the par when the investor’s required rate is greater than the coupon interest rate. These bonds are known as discount bonds.Premium Bonds•The market value of a bond will be above the par or face value when the investor’s required rate is lower than the coupon interest rate. These bonds are known as premium bonds.•If investor’s required rate of return is equal to the coupon interest rate, the bonds will trade at par.Bond Valuation: ThreeImportant Relationships Relationship #3•Long-term bonds have greater interest rate risk than do short-term bonds.•In other words, a change in interest rate will have relatively greater impact on long-term bonds.Main Risks for Bondholders •Changes in current Interest rates (if interest rates rise, the market value of bonds will fall)•Default Risk (this may mean no or partial payment on debt as in bankruptcy cases)•Call Risk (If bonds are called before maturity date)…bond are generally called when interest rates decrease. Thus investors will have to reinvest the money received from corporation at a lower rate.。

教育类英语词汇

教育类英语词汇

学校:nursery托儿所kindergarden幼儿园primary school/elementary school小学,secondary school中学教育higher education高等教育further education进修教育: parenting, schooling,enroll 入学admit 招收,录取Parents are obliged to do…父母有责任、义务去做。

compulsory education 强制教育、义务教育minors 未成年人immature 不成熟的学习的好处learn skills学习技能acquire knowledge学习知识,enrich knowledge丰富知识,widen horizon开阔视野,inspire interest激发兴趣,stimulate interest激发兴趣,cultivate v. 培养 hobbiesdevelop potentialsconduce to mental developmentlay a solid foundation for the future为将来打下坚实的根底学习上的问题:lack discipline缺少约束力/persistence毅力,test-oriented education应试型教育,quality education 素质教育cram for examinations突击考试,stuff 塞 materialsmemorise背, memorisation,rote learning死记硬背Test-taking techniques应试技巧害处:discourage critical thinking 打击评判性思维students stop questioning what they are being taught学生们不去质问他们学习的东西conduce to academic performance有助学习表现Adversely influence 负面地影响〔动作〕Exert adverse/unfavorable influence on对。

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (7)

财务报表分析与证券估值英文课件 (7)

Reverse Engineering the S&P 500, May 2011
Inputs: Index level: 1357 Book value: 588 P/B: 2.3 B/P: 0.435 Forward Earnings (for the next year) $98.76 Long-term treasury rate: 3.3% Risk premium: 5.7%
CHAPTER SEVEN
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Prepared by: Stephen H. Penman – Columbia University With contributions by
Value = Value based on what we know + Speculative value
(1)
(2)
(1) Value based on what we know is the no-growth valuation
= $143.92 + $215.62 = $359.54
(2) Speculative value is the value from speculating about growth = Market price – No-growth value = $535 - $359.54 = $175.46
The Big Picture for this Chapter
• Don’t take valuation models literally üUse valuation models to challenge the market price rather than for calculating intrinsic value üUse valuation models to convert the market price to a forecast – then challenge that forecast

Lecture 7.labor

Lecture 7.labor

Lecture 7: Human Capital: Education and EarningsThe theory of compensating differentials suggests that wages will vary among workers because jobs are different. Wages will also vary among workers because workers are different. We each bring into the labor market a unique set of abilities and acquired skills, or human capital.We begin our study of human capital by focusing on the decision to acquire formal education. The skills we acquire in school make up an increasingly important component of our stock of knowledge.cation in the Labor Market: Some Stylized Facts表一勞動參與率與教育程度單位:%表二就業者與教育程度單位:%,千人表三失業者與教育程度單位:%2.The Schooling ModelWhat factors motivates some workers to remain in school while other workers dropout before they finish high school? We assume that workers acquire the skill level that maximizes the present value oflifetime earnings.(1) Present Value of Age-Earnings ProfilesThe present value of the earnings stream if the worker only gets a high school education is:()()()()∑=+=+++++++=46046211...11t t HS HS HS HS HS HS r w r w r w r w w PV (7-1) The parameter r is the worker ’s rate of discount. There are 47 terms in this sum, one for each year that elapses between the ages of 18 and 64.The present value of the earnings stream if the worker gets a college diploma is:()()()()()()4654321...11111r w r w r w r H r H r H H PV COL COL COL COL ++++++++-+-+--= (7-2)Direct Costs of Attending College Post-College Earnings Stream=()()∑∑==+++-3046411t t t COL t r w r HThe first four terms in this sum give the present value of the direct costs of a college education, while the remaining 43 terms give the present value of lifetime earnings in the post-college period.We assume that a person ’s schooling decision maximizes the present value of lifetime earnings. Therefore, the worker attends college if the present value of lifetime earnings when he gets a college education exceeds the present value of lifetime earnings when he gets only a high school diploma, or:HS COL PV PV > (7-3)Dollarsw COL Goes to Collegew HS Quits after High SchoolAge18 22 65-HFIGURE 7-1 Earning Streams Faced by a High School Graduate(2)The Wage-Schooling LocusThe wage-schooling locus gives the salary that employers are willing to pay for every level of schooling. The wage-schooling locus is market-determined. In other words, the salary for each level of schooling is determined by the intersection of the supply of workers with that particular schooling and the demand for those workers.Dollars30,00025,00023,00020,0000 12 13 14 18 Years of schoolingFIGURE 7-2 The Wage-Schooling LocusThe wage-schooling locus has three important properties:(a)The wage-schooling locus is upward sloping.More educatedworkers must earn more as long as educational decisions are motivated only by financial gains. To attract more educated workers, employers must compensate those workers for the costs incurred in acquiring an education.(b)The slope of the wage-schooling locus tells us by how much aworker’s earnings would increase if she/he were t o obtain one more year of schooling.(c)The wage-schooling locus is concave. As with most productionprocess, there are diminishing returns to getting an education. Defn. The Marginal Rate of Return to SchoolingThe percentage change in earnings resulting from one more year of school is defined to be the marginal rate of return to schooling.(3)The Stopping Rule, or When Should I Quit School?Suppose that the worker has a rate of discount r that is constant; that is, it is independent of how much schooling the worker gets. The stopping rule that maximizes the worker’s present value of earnings over the life cycle is given by:Quit school when the marginal rate of return to schooling = rThis stopping rule maximizes the worker’s present value of earnings over the life cycle.Rate of interestr’rMRRs’s* Years of SchoolingFIGURE 7-3 The Schooling Decision3. Is Education a Good Investment?(1)Is Education a Good Investment for Individuals?The rate of return typically estimated for the U.S. generally fall in the range of 5-15 percent.At first glance, an investment in education is about as good as an investment in stocks, bonds, or real estate.A.The Upward BiasThe typical estimates of the rate of return on further schooling overstate the gain an individual student could obtain by investing in education because they are unable to separate the contribution that ability makes to higher earnings from the contribution made by schooling.i.e., Some of the added earnings college graduates typically receive would probably be received by an equally able high school graduates who did not attend college.Methods to correct this bias:(a)Separating effects of ability and schooling by including the aptitude-test scores such as IQ.(b)Controlling for all the unmeasured aspects of ability by using data on twins.⇒Part of earnings differentials associated with higher levels of schooling are due to inherently abler persons obtaining more schooling.B.The Downward Bias(a)Some benefits of college attendance are not necessarily reflected in higher productivity.(b)Most rate-of-return studies fail to include fringe benefits.⇒Fringe benefits, usually as a fraction of total compensation, tend to rise as money earnings rise.(c)Some of the job-related rewards of college are captured in the form of psychic or nonmonetary benefits.C.Selection BiasThe measured rate of return on a college education may understate the actual return for those who choose to attend college. Likewise, the measured rate of return may overstate the return that would have been received by those terminating schooling with higher school had they instead chosen to attend college.Measured benefit B t: B t = E c c,t– E h h,tE c c,t: the earnings in a college-level job of those who choose to go tocollege.E h h,t: the earning in a high school-level job of those who choose not togo to college.Let E c h,t: the earnings in a high school-level job of those who choose to attend college terminating schooling at high school.E c h,t is perhaps less than E h h,t.⇒B c t = E c c,t - E c h,t > Bt – measured benefitE h c,t: the earnings in a college-level job of those who choose not toattend college were to alter their decisions.E h c,t is perhaps less than E c c,t⇒B h t = E h c,t - E h h,t < B t– measured benefit⇒When abilities are diverse, the principle of comparative advantage is an important factor in making choices about schooling and occupations.(2)Is Education a Good Social Investment?Some critics have suggested that to a large degree, education acts merely as a “sorting device”.⇒Schooling does nothing to alter productive characteristics. The education is simply as a filter that has the effect of “signaling”which people are likely to be most productive.Note: Even if schooling were only a screening device, it could have social value. Employers need a reliable method by which to select employees. Investment in schooling sends a signal to the labor market that one has a certain level of ability.⇒School would have net social value if the decision to attend and the success one attained in school sent accurate signals about productive characteristics to employers in the least costly way.Either education does enhance worker productivity or it is a cheaper screening tool than any other that firms could use. In either case, the fact that employers are willing to pay a high price for an educated work force seems to suggest that education produces social benefits.。

市场营销策略英文课件 (11)

市场营销策略英文课件 (11)
2. Specify characteristics that define the segment 3. Determine segment size (large, medium, small, global),
2. Sit on alternative seats, please leave a gap of one seat between you and the next person
3. Do not look over to see what the other people are writing. The questions are mixed up and therefore you will copy the wrong questions
Fundamental Tools which Marketing strategists/managers use to reach consumers
• Fundamental tools in the marketer’s tool kit are 1. market segmentation and 2. target marketing • These tools go along with 3. product positioning, or brand positioning and
• Their running experience (Phil Knight) and making their own shoes (Bill Bowerman, coach) helped to identify a better way to deal with the problems and injuries due to running in rough/outdoor surfaces (empirical evidence).

财税英语Unit07

财税英语Unit07

Answers for understanding the text
• 1.ABCD • 2.CD • 3.ABC • 4.ACD • 5.B • 6.D
Unit Social Security
What is social security?
• Generally share 4 characteristics:
– Participation is mandatory – Eligibility and benefits depend on prior
Structure of Social Security
• Pay-as-you-go Financing • Explicit transfers • Benefit structure • Age at which benefits are withdrawn • Recipient’s family status • Financing
– Convert AIME into Primary Insurance Amount (PIA) – basic benefit payable to a work who retires at the “normal retirement age.”
– Benefit schedule is progressive, where lower-earners receive a higher proportion of previous earnings.
• Benefit Structure
– Average Indexed Monthly Earnings – are an individual’s average wages throughout their working life.

公司财务讲义英文版

公司财务讲义英文版
11
National Income and Future Spot Exchange Rate
An increase in China income will lead to more China imports from the U.S. as Chinese people spend some of income on U.S. products. This, however, would cause demand for $ and supply of $ to change and spot exchange rate to change.
Valuing International Cash Flows
M
[ E ( Cj,t ) × E ( Ej,t ) ] N j=1
PV = t=1
( 1 + r )t
E ( Cj,t ) = expected cash flows denominated in currency j to be received by parent in period t. E ( Ej,t ) = expected exchange rate at which currency j can be converted to RMB at the end of period t. r = weighted average cost of capital of parent. M = number of currencies. N = number of periods.
12
Other Factors Affecting Future Spot Exchange Rate
Political and economic environment: if political and economic environment in China is better than that in the U.S., the value of RMB will be higher than that of $, spot rate will change.

中级财务会计英文版95页PPT

中级财务会计英文版95页PPT

Balance Sheet Format
Equity Classifications
Capital Stock
Other Contributed Capital
Owners’ Equity
Retained
Earnings
Chapter 3-14
Treasury Stock
Statement of Changes in Stockholders’ Equity
Chapter 3-18
Contingent Liabilities and Assets
No or No
Chapter 3-19
Loss
Probable (?)
Yes
and
Reasonably
estimated (?)
Yes
Reasonably possible
Disclosure
Report amount in financial statements
Balance Sheet Format
Liability Classifications
Accounts Payable
Short-term Notes Payable
Current Liabilities
Collections in advance of unearned revenue
Chapter 3-11
(Owner’s Equity)
Balance Sheet
Basic Accounting Identity
A = L + OE
Chapter 3-5
Balance Sheet
Basic Definitions - SFAC No. 6

中级财务会计(双语)第7章

中级财务会计(双语)第7章

Your site here
LOGO
Bond--HTM
Case study 2
● Purchased Masterwear Industries’ 12%, 3-
year (from July 1, 2011 to June 30, 2014) bonds for $666,633. The face amount was $700,000. Interest is payable semiannually on June 30 and December 31. The market rate is 14%. (Suppose it’s a HTM)
当公司取得一项投资而这项投资既不是以投机为目的进行经常性的买卖也不将持有至到期时公司把这项投资归为可供出售的证券
LOGO
Chapter 7 Investments
Investment classification
The investor lacks significant influence over the investee: 投资方对被投资方缺乏重大影响
C. Recognizing “unrealized gains and losses” No entry.

Your site here
LOGO
Bond--HTM
Case study 2





D. Selling the investment On June 30, 2014: (On the maturity date) Dr. Cash 42,000 Discount on bond investment 6,544 Cr. Investment revenue 48,544 Dr. Cash 700,000 Cr. Investment in bond 700,000

lecture 8 earnings management

lecture 8 earnings management
19
CA-Computer Associates, or Creative Accounting?
But it is difficult to get new contracts and shows impressive revenue growth. So CA kept buying small software companies. After CA bought a software companies, it treats the companies’ existing contracts as CA’s new contracts. Rising revenues and net incomes led to higher and higher stock prices. CA used its high stock prices to buy more software companies. This trick goes on and on…… until there are no more software companies to buy!
5
Between shareholders and creditors Debt covenants specify firm’s upper bound for debt-to-equity ratio and dividend payout ratio To borrow more money or pay more dividend without violating debt covenants, firm tends to manage earnings up.
Lecture 8: Earnings Management
1

Lecture_7

Lecture_7

• (1 + money discount rate) = (1 + real discount rate) × (1 + inflation rate).
1-10
Project NPV:
• • • • •
CF(0) = -151,000. CF(1 - 5) = 46,461. Discount rate = 14%. NPV = $8504.37 We would accept the project.
Inflation
• Inflation must be taken into account when using NPV. Either:
– real cash flows must be discounted using a real discount rate; or – money (nominal) cash flows must be discounted using a money (nominal) discount rate. • The two cannot be mixed. • In practice, it is usually easier to use money cash flows and discount rate.
2. Total the cash flows for each point in time.
3. Discount each total, according to the appropriate time into the future that the cash flow will occur. 4. Total the present values of the various discounted values to derive the NPV for the project. 5. If the NPV is positive, the project is acceptable, presuming a shareholder wealth maximisation objective.

选修7module1单词讲解 words

选修7module1单词讲解 words

11. generation n. 一代(人) generation gap 代沟 the coming/future generation 12.overtime :加时赛 There is overtime of five minutes. six hours’ overtime
13.nature n. 性格;天性、本性 1).keep the balance of nature 2).The nature of the wolf can never be changed 3).Peter has a happy nature. by nature 天生地, 生来 1).She is proud by nature.
1.defend v. 1)防卫,防守 2)为…辩护
eg. defend the motherland 保卫祖国 defend sb from/against sth 保护某人免受…
defence n. offend v.
冒犯,触犯,得罪
eg. When the dog attacked me, I defended myself with a stick.
7.motivation n. 动力,动机 motivate v. 激发,为… 的动机
如果你有学习的动力,你就可以克服任何 困难 If you have the motivation of study, you can overcome any difficulty.
tie v/n 打成平局
eg. The game ended in a tie. 平局
19. absorb v.1)消减,缓冲 2)吸收,吸引 be absorbed in (doing) sth:对…专注 eg. 1. Basketball players wear socks and sneakers to absorb energy when they bound into the air. 2. I was absorbed in a book and didn’t hear your call.

财务报表分析双语

财务报表分析双语
– Financial statements don’t reflect the whole economic events (assets, liabilities);
– Management choice of accounting methods; – Accounting principles differ in different country.
– Regulates secondary market and national exchanges
– SEC was created by this Act
• SEC has the authority to determine GAAP • Regulation S-X describes disclosure requirements
Chapter 1, Slide #6
第六页,共58页。
• Financial statements don’t fully reflect firm’s true economic position because:
– Accounting recognition and measurement don’t correspond with economic events;
Chaapptteerr11,,SSlildidee##1155
第十五页,共58页。
GAAP
• Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) in United States
• Major Sources of GAAP
– Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) – American Institute of Certified Public Accountants
  1. 1、下载文档前请自行甄别文档内容的完整性,平台不提供额外的编辑、内容补充、找答案等附加服务。
  2. 2、"仅部分预览"的文档,不可在线预览部分如存在完整性等问题,可反馈申请退款(可完整预览的文档不适用该条件!)。
  3. 3、如文档侵犯您的权益,请联系客服反馈,我们会尽快为您处理(人工客服工作时间:9:00-18:30)。



当年盈余主要由应计项目构成时,要意识到未 来盈余走低的概率增加;投资者在短期内(三 个月内)会高估企业的价值,但是高估会在一 年内被纠正,企业股票价格将下降。 当年盈余主要由现金盈余构成时,投资者未必 能完全理解这个好消息,可能会短期内低估股 票价值。但是低估也会在一年内被纠正,企业 股票价格会上升。 这种情况下,企业可以通过其他渠道向投资者 传达盈余的高质量,而避免股票价格被低估。
销售增长率
年度
年度
37
我国国有企业赢利能力的均值回转特 征:1998-2001
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
-0.05
-0.1 T=0 T=1 T=2 T=3 T=4
姜国华,岳衡,赵龙凯(2006)
38
对财务汇报的启示(四)



美国企业表现出类似的盈余回转特性 盈余回转是不可避免的自然规律 在财务汇报中要结合未来几年的汇报目标适当 调整盈余回转特性对未来盈余的影响 尤其避免好的业绩导致以后年度业绩持续下降 的趋势 坏的业绩年度中要防止投资者认为坏业绩会长 期持续下去,从而低估企业价值的现象
3
哈佛案例:啤酒游戏
当信息传递者和信息接受者之间信息不对 称时,接受者所推导的信息的统计分布, 即使均值无差错,方差也倾向于大于真实 信息的统计分布。 研究表明,信息不对称越严重的情况下, 推导方差和真实方差间的差别越大。
4
啤酒游戏金融版
Jiang, Lee and Zhang (2005):
Review of Accounting Studies
10
盈余质量


如果我们仅仅根据今年的盈余来预测明 年的盈余,则盈余质量的定义为盈余的 持续性,即如果今年盈余为1元,明年的 盈余为0.8元,则持续性为0.8。 持续性越接近于1,持续性越高。 在盈余持续性低的企业中,未来盈余大 于现在盈余的企业的盈余质量优于未来 盈余小于现在盈余的企业的盈余质量
资产回报率
年度
年度
在0年按相应变量把所有上市公司分成十 组,观察各组未来变化
36
我国上市公司赢利能力的均值 回转特征(续)
股东权益增长率
0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 0 1 2 3 4 5
1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 0 1 2 3 4 5
年度超额投资回报
盈 余 储 备 从 低 到 高
基于美国数据,根据盈余储备建立投资组合未来 各年超额投资回报
26
对财务汇报的启示(二)



稳健的会计政策,不论是主动的还是被 动的,都会产生盈余储备。 盈余储备减低当期盈余,但是增加企业 未来盈余。 但是,投资者比较简单地,过度地,关 注当期盈余,所以低估了盈余储备高的 企业的股票,高估了盈余储备低的企业 的股票。
27
对财务汇报的启示(二)续

企业投资增长越大,这种偏差越强 处理不好,企业可能为投资增长支付不 必要的资金成本:投资机会越好-投资增
长越大-企业盈余越低-股票价格越低-融 资成本越高-融资越困难-越可能丧失良好 的投资机会

所以,企业应该通过其他渠道向投资者 传递盈余质量和盈余预期的信息。
28
12
盈余汇报如何影响企业价值

影响投资者对未来赢利能力的预测 影响投资者对企业风险的评估
投资者关系两原则: 1)投资者永远是对的 2)如果投资者不对,请参考第1条

13
盈余的时间序列特性(一): 未来赢利能力预测




应计盈余,现金盈余及盈余的持续性(Sloan 1996) 稳健性原则与盈余的持续性(Penman and Zhang, 2002) 配比性原则与盈余的持续性(Dichev and Tang, 2005) 盈余的均值回转特性(Nissim and Penman, 2002; 牛建军,岳衡,姜国华,2005)
35
我国上市公司赢利能力的均值回 转特征
股东权益回报率
0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 -0.10 -0.15 0 1 2 3 4 5
0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 -0.10 -0.15 0 1 2 3 4 5
信息不确定性低
信息不确定性高
5
啤酒游戏金融版(续)
Jiang, Lee and Zhang (2005):
Review of Accounting Studies
投资者对过去股票 价格中包含的信息 的理解。 信息不确定性导致 投资者对接受到的 信息理解偏差增大, 对股票价格评估的 错误增大。
6
啤酒游戏金融版(续)
21
投资者关系什么时候最重要?


企业和投资者之间信息不对称性越大的 时候 企业融资需求越大的时候
22
稳健性原则与盈余的持续性



稳健性(保守性)原则倾向于高报费用, 低报当期盈余,但是增加未来盈余 后进先出法储备(LIFO reserve) 研发支出费用化 广告、推广指出费用化 所以,稳健性原则产生盈余储备(ER), 盈余储备减少当期盈余,增加未来盈余
公司上市及上市后5年内赢利状况变化分析 IPO Mean ROE Median Mean ROA Median 0.111 0.104 0.074 0.069 IPO+1 0.11 0.11 0.074 0.071 IPO+2 0.08 0.093 0.059 0.061 IPO+3 0.061 0.077 0.048 0.053 IPO+4 0.04 0.068 0.036 0.046 IPO+5 0.03 0.061 0.029 0.04
t+1
= 0.011 + 0.855*现金盈余 t + 0.765 *应计盈余
t
所以,如果盈余2003 = $1 = $0.6 + $0.4, 那么 E(盈余2004) = 0.011 + 0.855*$0.6 + 0.765*0.4 = 0.830
16
盈余持续性:美国数据(续)
盈 余
0年时应计盈余 比例高的组 0年时应计盈余 比例低的组

均值回转特性指不论过高的盈余还是过 低的盈余都有向平均水平趋近的倾向 过高的盈余水平会吸引新的资金进入同 行业,竞争加剧,导致盈余水平下降 过低的盈余水平会导致资金退出同行业, 或企业经理层变更,从而使盈利水平上 升
33
我国上市公司赢利能力:1993-2004
34
我国公司上市及其后年度赢利状况
18
基于美国30年历史数据计算的应计利润/总利 润投资组合的未来一到三年超额投资回报
应 计 利 润 从 小 到 大 组 合
19
基于我国1998-2000年历史数据计算的应计利润/ 总利润投资组合的未来一到三年超额投资回报
(姜 二国 零华 零, 五李 )远 鹏 , 牛 建 军 ,
20
对财务汇报的启示(一)
Jiang, Lee and Zhang (2005):
Review of Accounting Studies
同样,投资者对上 一季度盈利中包含 的信息的理解。 信息不确定性导致 投资者对接受到的 盈余信息理解偏差 增大,对股票价格 评估的错误增大。
7
投资分析的信息构成(续)



财务信息是投资者经济决策所使用的信 息的一部分 财务信息和各种其他信息争夺决策者的 注意力 如果财务信息噪音太大,信用太低,将 失去决策者的兴趣,从而降低财务报告 的价值
39
23
盈余储备与盈余质量
盈余质量指标Q是盈余储备ER从t-1年到t年 的变化。 Q越大,表明t年新产生的盈余储备越多, 未来年度盈余大于t年盈余的概率越高。
24
盈余储备与未来赢利能力
三角线为0年盈余储备高的企业; 菱形线为0年盈余储备低的企业; 竖轴为行业调整后的资产回报率
25
投资者是否理解稳健原则,盈余 储备对未来盈余的影响?
配比性原则与盈余的持续性

帐费用、折旧费用与收入配比:配比 性中 研发费用、广告费用与收入配比:配比 性低 配比性差导致盈余的波动性大,进而导 致盈余的持续性低 波动性指过去N年中盈余的标准差
29
波动性小的企业盈余的持续性高
下 期 盈 余
当期盈余
30
波动性大的企业盈余的持续性低
14
应计盈余,现金盈余及盈余的 持续性

总盈余=应计盈余+现金盈余 应计盈余占总盈余比重越大,盈余的持 续性越低,盈余的质量越低,未来盈余 水平下降的可能性越大
15
盈余持续性:美国数据
盈余
t+1
= a + b*现金盈余 t + c*应计盈余 t + et
1962至1991年美国数据回归估计: 盈余
下 期 盈 余
当期盈余
31
对财务汇报的启示(三)



企业的经营活动、经营周期、行业变动、 宏观经济等因素不可避免地可能导致企 业盈余剧烈波动 但是,过于剧烈的波动导致盈余质量下 降,投资者错误评价的可能性上升 企业可以通过会计汇报方法的选择使盈 余尽可能地平滑,波动小
32
盈余的均值回转特性


盈 余
0年时现金盈余 比例高的组
0年时现金盈余 比例低的组
17
投资者是否理解应计盈余的特 性?

理解,企业汇报的盈余越高,股票价格在消息 公布时上涨幅度越大(初始反应) 但不充分理解: 高估应计盈余比例大的企业的价值 低估应计盈余比例小的企业的价值
相关文档
最新文档