硅谷银行：前沿科技报告Frontier Tech Industries

• Ray Kurzweil,
• Director of Engineering at
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Frontier Tech: Industries
SVB defines these five industries under Frontier Tech. These industries are interconnected and have the potential to enhance the capabilities of each application.
Hype
Autonomous Vehicles
Space Services Smart Advisors
Speech-to-Speech Translation
Machine Learnin g
Connected Home Affective Computing
Natural-Language Question Answering
• “We can only see a short distance ahead, but we can see plenty there that needs to be done.”
• Alan Turing,
• British Pioneering Computer Scientist
• “Our technology, our machines, are part of our humanity. We created them to extend ourselves, and that is what is unique about human beings.”
Innovation Inflated Disillusionment Enlightenment Expectations
Based on Gartner's 2015 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Source: Gartner, Silicon Valley Bank
Industrial
Learning
Commerce
Social Medical/ Healthcare
Service Rescue & Protection Industrial Entertainment
Military/ Space
Software
FRONTIER TECH
Imaging Analytics Delivery Infrastructure
Frontier Tech
Frontier Tech: Defined
Frontier Tech can be defined as new industries, or a reinvention of existing industries, made possible by advancements in technologies that represent the potential for a paradigm shift affecting business, economics, the environment and the whole of society.
Productivity
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Frontier Tech: Market Size
Current and expected market size by industry.
Including Space
5 Year CAGR
59% Virtual Reality 266% Augmented Reality
Hardware Innovation Compute Power, Speed and Cost
Data Innovation Sensorization, Access and Precision
Software Innovation Analytics, Deep Learning and Smart Autonomy
53% Drones 10% Robotics 29% Artificial Intelligence 15% Space
$834
Excluding Space
Vision
Data
Algorithms
Consumer
Software & Platforms Hardware Platforms
Natural Language
Entertainment & Gaming
Predictive Analytics
Advertising Enterprise
Machine
Source: Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity in Near
Compute Power Exponentially Increasing
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Frontier Tech: Hype vs. Reality
Many Frontier Tech industries are moving quickly through the hype curve, as the technology matures and investment and adoption increases.
Rocket Technology
Smart Robots
Human Augmentation
Augmented Reality
Virtual Reality
Unmanned Air Vehicles
Virtual Personal Assistants
Autonomous Field Vehicles
Hardware & Platforms
Satellites & Imaging
Surveying/ Monitoring
RT Data
Rocket TechBaidu Nhomakorabeaology & Transport
Space Services
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Frontier Tech: Catalysts
After several “false dawns”, infrastructure is now in place to support advancements in Frontier Tech.