基于PROMETHEE的珠三角城市群城市竞争力的测算与比较分析

本科毕业论文（设计）

题目：基于PROMETHEE的珠三角城市群城市竞争力的测

算与比较分析

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院（系）：专业：

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2012 年 6 月

本科生毕业论文（设计）原创性声明

本人以信誉声明：所呈交的毕业论文（设计）是在导师指导下进行的研究工作及取得的研究成果，论文中引用他人的文献、数据、图件、资料均已明确标注出，论文中的结论和结果为本人独立完成，不包含他人成果及为获得中国地质大学或其他教育机构的学位或证书而使用过的材料。与我一同工作的同志对本研究所做的任何贡献均已在论文中作了明确的说明并表示了谢意。

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摘要

随着全球化和全球城市时代的到来，城市之间的竞争日益激烈，提升城市竞争力成为越来越多国家和地区的关注点。在中国，城市化、工业化、市场化、国际化和信息化同步加速推进，使城市变得更加重要，城市竞争十分激烈。本文在总结了城市竞争力理论基础上，参照国内外最新的城市竞争力研究成果并在成果的基础上建立了一套城市竞争力评价指标体系，运用偏好顺序结构评估法（PROMETHEE）以珠江三角洲城市群为样本进行了所辖九城市（深圳、广州、珠海、东莞、佛山、中山、惠州、肇庆、江门）竞争力排名的测算和比较分析。

论文结合具体国情创造性地将城市竞争力的反映指标归纳为发展动力、发展阻力、城市间相互影响、环境条件四个方面，包括了经济实力、政府作用、居民消费水平、人力资源、科技实力、社会秩序问题、能源问题、人口问题、对外开放、对内依存、基础设施、环境水平十二个构成要素，构成要素下面划分五十八个评价指标。然后采用偏好顺序结构评估法（PROMETHEE）对珠三角城市群所辖九座城市的竞争力进行了综合评价和排名，最后分析了它们的发展现状并结合测算结果探索了提高城市竞争力的策略。

关键词：PROMETHEE；城市竞争力；珠三角城市群；德尔菲法

Abstract

Along with the globalization and the arrival of the era of global city, a fierce competition among the cities began. Improving city competitiveness become the center of regional policy with the growing number of countries and regions. In China, urbanization, industrialization, marketization, internationalization and informationization accelerate synchronously and the cities become even more important and are extremely competitive. This paper summarizes the city

competitiveness in theoretical basis, and establishs a set of city competitiveness evaluation index system according to the latest research and bead trigonometry city group(Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Zhuhai, Dongguan, Foshan, Zhongshan, Huizhou, Zhaoqing and Jiangmen) is measured and compared by Preference Ranking Organization Methods For Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE) as sample.

The thesis considers creatively the reflect indexes of urban competitiveness are divided into four aspects of the driving force for development, the development of resistance and mutual influence between cities, environmental conditions combining specific conditions, including twelve elements of economic strength, the role of government, the level of consumption, human resources, scientific and technological strength, social order issues, energy issues, population issues, the outside world, internal dependencies, infrastructure, environmental levels. The constituent elements consist of 58 evaluation indexes. At last, the paper analyzes the current situation of the development of them and gives the development suggestions based on estimation results.

Key words:PROMETHEE; City competitiveness;Bead trigonometry city group;The delphi method.

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