欧盟能源供给安全【英文】

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Australia (1979) Canada Finland (1992) Greece (1977) Italy (1978) Luxembourg Norway participates in
the Agency under a special Agreement
Austria Czech Republic (2001) France (1992) Hungary (1997) Japan The Netherlands Portugal (1981)
OECD 19%
OECD 80%
OPEC 23%
Source of investment by company base
Distribution of investment
Oil and gas companies based on OECD countries continue to dominate global upstream investment, most of which will go to non-OECD
Belgium Denmark
Germany
Ireland Korea (2002) New Zealand (1977) Spain Turkey (1981)
Sweden
United Kingdom
Switzerland
United States
The Slovak Republic and Poland are candidate countries
Coal
6 000
4 000 2 000 0 1970
Oil
1980
1990
2000
2010
wk.baidu.com2020
2030
Global demand grows by more than half over the next quarter of a century, with coal use rising most in absolute terms
Units: Million barrels Includes: crude, NGLs and feedstocks and finished products
© OECD/IEA, 2007
Hurricanes Katrina & Rita
140 120 100
$/bbl
2 September 2005 - IEA collective response to Hurricane Katrina
© OECD/IEA, 2007
New Oil & Gas Upstream Investment by Source and Destination, 2006-2010
Total investment = $306 billion
Rest of world OPEC 7%
13%
Rest of world 59%
© OECD/IEA, 2007
Public Oil Stocks Key to Preparedness
937
North America
1,230
Europe
401
691
Public
Industry
Asia
396
Public Industry
428
Public
Industry
•Total Stocks of 4.1 billion barrels =150 days of net imports •Public stocks only = 2 years of Iranian exports •No emergency system exists for natural gas
World Energy Outlook 2006
© OECD/IEA, 2007
Reference Scenario: World Primary Energy Demand
18 000
16 000
14 000 12 000 Mtoe 10 000 8 000
Other renewables
Nuclear Biomass Gas
80 60 40 20 Jan 05 May 05 Sep 05 Jan 06
WTI Cush Platt's M1(Adj) Unleaded USG Pipeline Platt's No. 2 USG Pipeline Platt's
May 06
Sep 06
© OECD/IEA, 2007
This is the core task of governments
© OECD/IEA, 2007
IEA Shared Goals
1. Diversity, efficiency and flexibility in the energy sector 2. Prompt, flexible (and, when needed, collective) response to energy emergencies 3. Environmentally sustainable provision and use of energy 4. Development of more environmentally acceptable energy sources 5. Improved energy efficiency 6. Continued research, development and market deployment of new and improved energy technologies 7. Undistorted energy prices 8. Free and open trade and a secure framework for investment 9. Co-operation among all energy market participants
Security of Energy Supply in the European Union
William C. RAMSAY INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY
Castle Mĕlník, 31 May 2007
© OECD/IEA, 2007
The IEA: Who are Members?
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