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Ch~ Wen Td/Flm. 1-201-792-0334 F_,-nmlhy~mLw~g@y~.c~n C,~tml Edlladal Oll~m
,~ ~ : Wa.g Y m J u ~
C,ot~nmSw ~
Xiaoli s~s0n
TeL'86d0-tg996252 Fax: 86-10-68326628
~ m i i l : ad@bj~vi~w.com.cn
Fax: 86,-10-6~293~
Beijing 100044,
~
Book Co. Lld.
U.S.A- ............................................ : ................ ..... tr~$ 85.30 ' ~ ~
BEIJIHG REVIEW
A News Weekly Publieht,d Slate 1958
[ =I 0 h O ] ; ~ !
;I_~t
Taming the Bull
B y ZHOU J I A N X I O N G
Imttp://www.bjreviewxom l~mal:emmet@bjrcvicw x.or~cn
Bureau o f Statistics (NBS) has put the growth of the consumer price index for November at 6.9 percent, the highest in 11 years, in addition to Ihe rising
NewZealand................................................. NZD 14,,I..00
U K ....................................................................... (IBF 53.$0
F~llll~ &dmlnl~Irll~'~ Li Ni~,, $hi Bosch
Edttm"in '~m.ld: JitmgWtmdi
o far this year China's central bank has raised interest rotes six times and increased the reserve requirement ratio for comme~ial lenders I0 times. Anyone with even rudimentary economic knowledge will realize immediately the implications of these efforts: to curb an overheating economy and rein in the risk of inflation. Facts and figures have proved these regulatory measures are by no means based on groundless fear. The National
l,~mikKri.skn&R~m~ C~riu
O~h-. ]g(tilte~. U Zheazho~ Dln~or: Dal Xiaoh,a Dlfeilmti~l)htao~. W~$ Weiwei.Pm ClmaSqing
lltmau ~
Z~
mm-ma~mt
LegalCo---.=. Y~ O~ng North Am,s-iraBmamu
S
Sealor.~: $I~o l-laimia$. O~ ~ YaoB~ Wodd Edtt~. D~g Z ~ m Nation~ Tang.Qi~ EdRm'~. Y. 5bujun,Laa Xiazlgn ("~l~w~~ ZarlJifallg Edltorlal~ m Jolt.Butcher, ~ St~da~n Repm'ters: Taag Yumlmi, Fe=gJim,.him. DingYing,NI Yanshtm, DingW~dcL Wang.tun,YahWei, TimWel,Lita, Liu Yu,I..iuYtm~m, Yin Pumin,Jiag Xia, ol+i+. PanXiaoqim Hu Yu¢,YmmYmm IgditoMWnngXi=ng ~ : y ~ g xiao~g, wel Ym Art: I j Shi$~lg ~ & Layn-t: Xu Husl~, Wa~ Ysjuan Prteht=l~: Qin W~U
Vke ~ 1 = QLW~ngosg Edltors In Od-./: U Jianguo " HmmgW¢i lKl~mdveEditor. ZhtmJimmkmg Amlstmttg~eeutlveF.,dltor~ YaoBin,DiogZldmo. 2~ing Zhiong. FmneiseoLittle
In stnr-na~ ~
l w . l a ~ . l . Y ~ t l ~ M,Байду номын сангаас:Ua,t~-'P.,mmm n ~ n , ~ k
producer price index at a two-year high of 4.8 permit. This had followed a steady increase in the index since earlier this year. from 3.3 percent in March to 6.5 percent in October, well surpassing the 3 percent ceiling expected by economists and the government. The s ~ g prices of some non-foodstuffs, including fuels and industrial goods, are an indication that inflationary pressure is building up and may require more tightening of regulations i n the days ahead. A l o n g with this looming inflationary threat are some, other unwelcome tendencies, ranging from over-investment and loose credit to swelling foreign t r a d e surpluses. M a n y economists have defined these as "structural problems," ascribing them to excess liquidity originating from years of booming economic growth, ballooning foreign reserves and large inflows of hot money from abroad. Others also have blamed the country's extensive growth pattern that relies on investment much more than consumption, the existing export-oriented trade policy that has helped to induce mounti n g pressure on the renminbi's appreciation, and soaring prices of some capital goods in the global market. Fully aware of these unhealthy economic phenomena in the nation's economy, the C h i n e s e G o v e r n m e n t has designed a series of macro readjustments for next year, These include, among others, tightening monetary policies, regulating consumption, and modifying investment and foreign trade growth. Clearly, these measures are aimed at preventi n g the e c o n o m y f r o m o v e r h e a t i n g and bringing growth onto a more coordinated and sustainable track. Apart from these, the government has also come up with the essential task of keeping at bay commodity prices, including those closely assoc, iated with people's lives, such as foodstuffs and housing. This could well be a priority for China in 2008, since mainmining stable prices is a k e y to securing steady and sustained economic growth as well as ensuring greater harmony in social development. Despite these negative elements, the general economic situation fared nonetheless pretty well in a number of respects through 2 0 ~ + Gross do+ mestie product (GDP) rose to 11,5 percent in the first three quarters and, according to forecasts by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, will top i 1.6 percent for the whole year, meaning C h i n a will have experienced a double-digit growth rate for five consecutive years. In the meantime, both fixed-assets invesun¢nt and foreign wade registered steady growtl~, up by 25+7 percent and 23.5 percent, respectively, and consumption also # e k e d up steam, accounting for 37 l~rcent of GDP, compared with 35.7 l ~ r c e n t a y e a r ago. Moreover, the g o v e r n m e n t has laid greater stress on more diversified and effective macro-control measures to rectify the economic order, shutting d o w n energy-devouring enterprises, reducing hazardous pollutant emissions in the industrial sector, cutting interest tax for bank savings and lowering export rebates for 2,268 commodities liable to cause trade friction. Through opportunity and risk the Chinese economy will soon be entering another year. Most likely, it will continue to grow at a fast pace but i n a more rational and healthy environment. That is good news for both China and the world economy, m
Tel: 86-10-68996259
Tel: 86dO-6S99..sSI3, f~326072
l~mr~utka Depm.lmmt Tel: 86-t0~310644, 6~9.S807 Fax-'86-10.68328738 ]P..-IIIIIII: ci¢cubttkm@bjre.vicw,com.m eve~ ~ y by BEIJINGREVIEW,24 Ba/wanz~angLu. Beijing100037, China. Ovema~ mstrns=t=n.Clat~ latmuaioaalBook!'rad~ Ctalxa'adoa(Ouojl$1mdi~n). P. O+BOX 39'9, Tel: 86.-I0-68413849FH: 86-i0-68412166 Ig.~mll:f#~ntiLeilm.eo~ Wdaat~: he~:lt~e,v.eibte.om~ ~ for i~ Konl~.Maao and Tnlwan: ]~tt~ w - m m m m ~ t~K~ ~ s t , ~ w t . , n g Tel: 85"2-280466~FJ~; 8.~+2~46409 SUBSCRIPTIONRATES(I Ye~)
,~ ~ : Wa.g Y m J u ~
C,ot~nmSw ~
Xiaoli s~s0n
TeL'86d0-tg996252 Fax: 86-10-68326628
~ m i i l : ad@bj~vi~w.com.cn
Fax: 86,-10-6~293~
Beijing 100044,
~
Book Co. Lld.
U.S.A- ............................................ : ................ ..... tr~$ 85.30 ' ~ ~
BEIJIHG REVIEW
A News Weekly Publieht,d Slate 1958
[ =I 0 h O ] ; ~ !
;I_~t
Taming the Bull
B y ZHOU J I A N X I O N G
Imttp://www.bjreviewxom l~mal:emmet@bjrcvicw x.or~cn
Bureau o f Statistics (NBS) has put the growth of the consumer price index for November at 6.9 percent, the highest in 11 years, in addition to Ihe rising
NewZealand................................................. NZD 14,,I..00
U K ....................................................................... (IBF 53.$0
F~llll~ &dmlnl~Irll~'~ Li Ni~,, $hi Bosch
Edttm"in '~m.ld: JitmgWtmdi
o far this year China's central bank has raised interest rotes six times and increased the reserve requirement ratio for comme~ial lenders I0 times. Anyone with even rudimentary economic knowledge will realize immediately the implications of these efforts: to curb an overheating economy and rein in the risk of inflation. Facts and figures have proved these regulatory measures are by no means based on groundless fear. The National
l,~mikKri.skn&R~m~ C~riu
O~h-. ]g(tilte~. U Zheazho~ Dln~or: Dal Xiaoh,a Dlfeilmti~l)htao~. W~$ Weiwei.Pm ClmaSqing
lltmau ~
Z~
mm-ma~mt
LegalCo---.=. Y~ O~ng North Am,s-iraBmamu
S
Sealor.~: $I~o l-laimia$. O~ ~ YaoB~ Wodd Edtt~. D~g Z ~ m Nation~ Tang.Qi~ EdRm'~. Y. 5bujun,Laa Xiazlgn ("~l~w~~ ZarlJifallg Edltorlal~ m Jolt.Butcher, ~ St~da~n Repm'ters: Taag Yumlmi, Fe=gJim,.him. DingYing,NI Yanshtm, DingW~dcL Wang.tun,YahWei, TimWel,Lita, Liu Yu,I..iuYtm~m, Yin Pumin,Jiag Xia, ol+i+. PanXiaoqim Hu Yu¢,YmmYmm IgditoMWnngXi=ng ~ : y ~ g xiao~g, wel Ym Art: I j Shi$~lg ~ & Layn-t: Xu Husl~, Wa~ Ysjuan Prteht=l~: Qin W~U
Vke ~ 1 = QLW~ngosg Edltors In Od-./: U Jianguo " HmmgW¢i lKl~mdveEditor. ZhtmJimmkmg Amlstmttg~eeutlveF.,dltor~ YaoBin,DiogZldmo. 2~ing Zhiong. FmneiseoLittle
In stnr-na~ ~
l w . l a ~ . l . Y ~ t l ~ M,Байду номын сангаас:Ua,t~-'P.,mmm n ~ n , ~ k
producer price index at a two-year high of 4.8 permit. This had followed a steady increase in the index since earlier this year. from 3.3 percent in March to 6.5 percent in October, well surpassing the 3 percent ceiling expected by economists and the government. The s ~ g prices of some non-foodstuffs, including fuels and industrial goods, are an indication that inflationary pressure is building up and may require more tightening of regulations i n the days ahead. A l o n g with this looming inflationary threat are some, other unwelcome tendencies, ranging from over-investment and loose credit to swelling foreign t r a d e surpluses. M a n y economists have defined these as "structural problems," ascribing them to excess liquidity originating from years of booming economic growth, ballooning foreign reserves and large inflows of hot money from abroad. Others also have blamed the country's extensive growth pattern that relies on investment much more than consumption, the existing export-oriented trade policy that has helped to induce mounti n g pressure on the renminbi's appreciation, and soaring prices of some capital goods in the global market. Fully aware of these unhealthy economic phenomena in the nation's economy, the C h i n e s e G o v e r n m e n t has designed a series of macro readjustments for next year, These include, among others, tightening monetary policies, regulating consumption, and modifying investment and foreign trade growth. Clearly, these measures are aimed at preventi n g the e c o n o m y f r o m o v e r h e a t i n g and bringing growth onto a more coordinated and sustainable track. Apart from these, the government has also come up with the essential task of keeping at bay commodity prices, including those closely assoc, iated with people's lives, such as foodstuffs and housing. This could well be a priority for China in 2008, since mainmining stable prices is a k e y to securing steady and sustained economic growth as well as ensuring greater harmony in social development. Despite these negative elements, the general economic situation fared nonetheless pretty well in a number of respects through 2 0 ~ + Gross do+ mestie product (GDP) rose to 11,5 percent in the first three quarters and, according to forecasts by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, will top i 1.6 percent for the whole year, meaning C h i n a will have experienced a double-digit growth rate for five consecutive years. In the meantime, both fixed-assets invesun¢nt and foreign wade registered steady growtl~, up by 25+7 percent and 23.5 percent, respectively, and consumption also # e k e d up steam, accounting for 37 l~rcent of GDP, compared with 35.7 l ~ r c e n t a y e a r ago. Moreover, the g o v e r n m e n t has laid greater stress on more diversified and effective macro-control measures to rectify the economic order, shutting d o w n energy-devouring enterprises, reducing hazardous pollutant emissions in the industrial sector, cutting interest tax for bank savings and lowering export rebates for 2,268 commodities liable to cause trade friction. Through opportunity and risk the Chinese economy will soon be entering another year. Most likely, it will continue to grow at a fast pace but i n a more rational and healthy environment. That is good news for both China and the world economy, m
Tel: 86-10-68996259
Tel: 86dO-6S99..sSI3, f~326072
l~mr~utka Depm.lmmt Tel: 86-t0~310644, 6~9.S807 Fax-'86-10.68328738 ]P..-IIIIIII: ci¢cubttkm@bjre.vicw,com.m eve~ ~ y by BEIJINGREVIEW,24 Ba/wanz~angLu. Beijing100037, China. Ovema~ mstrns=t=n.Clat~ latmuaioaalBook!'rad~ Ctalxa'adoa(Ouojl$1mdi~n). P. O+BOX 39'9, Tel: 86.-I0-68413849FH: 86-i0-68412166 Ig.~mll:f#~ntiLeilm.eo~ Wdaat~: he~:lt~e,v.eibte.om~ ~ for i~ Konl~.Maao and Tnlwan: ]~tt~ w - m m m m ~ t~K~ ~ s t , ~ w t . , n g Tel: 85"2-280466~FJ~; 8.~+2~46409 SUBSCRIPTIONRATES(I Ye~)