风险和机会管理PPT

Risk and Opportunity – Preparation 风险和机会—准备
Who should you involve?谁应该参加
• Project stakeholders(internal) 项目所有者（内部） • Bid or Project Team members 投标或项目团队成员 • Team members from ―similar project‖- important “相似 项目”团队成员——非常重要 • Experienced staff and experts 有经验的员工和专家 • External to CBRC 外部 • Customer, Partners, Suppliers, Legislative or Approval Bodies, Lending Institutions 客户、合作方、供应商，立法或审批机构、贷款机构 • People familiar with the customer, the market, the geographic area 对客户，市场及地理区域熟悉的人员
product Strategy
Bid
To generate a winning bid response
To develop a harmonized contract plan and schedule and to commit resources To translate customer requirements and needs into product specifications and to ensure readiness for realization To provide a contractcompliant product in time and within budget
Goal 目标
• Why do we manage Risks and Opportunities? 为什么要管理风险和机会？ • What are the steps of Risk and Opportunity Management? 管理风险和机会分几个阶段？ • Identify and describe Risks and Opportunities (3Cs) 识别和描述风险和机会（3Cs） • Analyze Risks and Opportunities 分析风险和机会 • Plan mitigation actions 计划弥补行动 • Report 报告 • Close out 关闭
Risk and Opportunity – Ownership 风险和机会—所有权
Risk and Opportunity Manager 风险和机会经理 Project Risk management Project manager
Project Risk Coordinator
ENGINEERING Risk management Project engineer ENGINEERING Risk Coordinator
Operational Risks运作风险
每个层次都会面临自己层次的风险和机会，必须要明确风险是哪个层次的， 然后就能明确由谁来进行这个风险的管理，这样才能更有效率。
Risks and Opportunities - Definition风险和机会的定义
An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on a project‘s objectives. 不确定的时间和条件，一旦发生，会对项目目标产生积极或消极的影响。
Where to Capture? 哪里获取？ Risk and Opportunity Workshops 风险和机会讨论会 Risk and Opportunity identification/assessment workshops 风险和机会识别/评估讨论会 Risk and Opportunity meeting 风险和机会会议 Risk and Opportunity management – item on Project Meeting agendas 风险和机会管理 – 项目会议议程的议 题 Every day 每天 Risk and Opportunity management – enter data on ROP database by team member 风险机会管理—由团队成员将数据输入ROP数据库中
项目管理流程
Joint Design Definition 联合设计定义
Change Management 变更管理
Project Launch 项目启动
Project Management 7 Processes 项目管理的7个流程
Risk and opportunity management 风险和机会管理
Start-up
1
2 Field support 3 4
Customer/Operator Acceptance To ensure customer End of Contractual Warranty satisfaction regarding Warranty Obligations product performance and to Operation ans Maintenance End of Contractual Agreement fulfill product support Product Support Beyond obligations End of Product life Contarctual Obligations
ENGINEERIN G Risk Owner
ENGINEERIN G Risk Owner PROCUREMEN T Risk Owner
MANUFACTURI NG Risk Owner
PROCUREMEN T Risk Owner
MANUFACTURI NG Risk Owner
Risk and opportunity – Identification 风险和机会—识别
Detailed Project Schedule 详细项目 时间表
Work Breakdown Structure 工作分 解结构
Work Breakdown Structure工作分 解结构
Who manages risks?谁来管理风险
风险管理是从上至下的金子塔型管理。
ቤተ መጻሕፍቲ ባይዱ
总公司的风险管理
Divisional Risks分公司风险 Project Risks项目风险
Risk and Opportunity Tracking and Reporting 风险和机会的跟踪和报告
Risk and Opportunity Assessment 风险和机会的评估
项目
Risk and Opportunity Response Planning 风险和机会的响应计划
Risk and Opportunity Response Implementation 风险和机会的响应实施
Differences: Concerns, Risk or Issues 区别：担忧、风险、问题
Concerns, can ‗t avoid.担忧是不能避免的 Risks, possibility to avoid or mitigate 风险有可能避免或弥补 Issues, a fact that will definitely impact 问题是已经产生影响的事实
Preacceptance
Risk and Opportunity Management – 5 step 风险和机会管理—5个阶段
Risk and Opportunity Closure 风险和机会关闭
Risk and Opportunity Identification 风险和机会的定义
New Risk and Opportunity 新的风险和机会
PROCUREMENT Risk management Project Buyer
MANUFACTURING Risk management Project Management Methods
PROCUREMENT Risk Coordinator
MANUFACTURING Risk Coordinator
Where to find them? – Look at the whole picture怎么找 他们？--纵观全局
Source of Risks and Opportunities 风险和机会的来源 • • • • • External 外部 Contractual 合同的 Customer客户 Project Management 项目管理 Under-or over-estimations低估或高估
1 2 3 1 2 3 4 subphase Market Understanding Product Option Assessment Business Case Marketing Pre-Bid Bid Bid Finalization Negotiations Start-up 1 2 Design 3 1 Realization 2 3 Work Preparation 1st Product Realization Qualification Series Realization Preliminary Detailed Design purpose To shape Marketdriven,competitive and profitable profitable product plans Milestone Market Analysis Approval Product Strategy Decision Business Case Approval Go/No Go Decision Bid/No Bid Decision Bid Approval Contract Award Harmonized Plan Agreement Perliminary Design Approval Design Approval Approval for realization Approval for Qualification of Completed Product Qualification Status Review Readiness for Commissioning
Project Risk Management:项目风险管理： Systematic process of identifying, analyzing and responding to project risk. 定义，分析和响应项目风险的系统化流程。 Maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events. 使积极事件的可能性和结果最大化 Minimizing the probability of adverse events to project objectives. 使对项目目标有影响的不利时间最小化
Base on …基于… …Experience …经验 …Contract value …合同价值 …Project scope …项目范围 …Specifications …规格 …Project rank …项目等级
Risk and opportunity – Identification 风险和机会—识别
（担忧、风险、问题是在风险管理中经常被混淆的三个意思。在项目进行过程 中，担忧是不可避免的，譬如，生产会担心工期会延误，这只是一个担忧，还 不足以成为风险。必须要分析到，工期延误的原因和后果，例如，物料供应严 重滞后导致生产将延误，这时才是风险。如果生产已经延误，那么也不是风险， 而是问题。）
Assessing a Risk – Impact Phases评估风险-影响阶段